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EV maker Rivian (RIVN) released its third-quarter financial earnings Thursday after the market closed. With fewer deliveries in the quarter, Rivian’s revenue missed expectations. However, the EV maker promises things are looking up from here. Here’s a breakdown of Rivian’s Q3 2024 financial earnings

Earnings preview

Yesterday, Electrek posted a preview of what to look out for in Rivian’s third-quarter earnings. One of the biggest things investors will be watching is Rivian’s top line.

After a supply shortage caused Rivian to lower its production goal for 2024, the company now expects to build between 47,000 and 49,000 vehicles this year, down from the previous 57,000 target.

With another 13,157 EVs built last quarter, Rivian’s production total reached 36,749 through September. To hit its target, Rivian will need to build another 10,251 to 12,251 vehicles in Q4.

Despite this, Rivian still expects slight delivery growth over last year, with between 50,500 and 52,000 units delivered in 2024, up from 50,122 in 2023.

According to Estimize, Rivian is expected to report a loss of $0.96 per share in Q3 2024, an improvement from the 1.19 loss per share last year. Rivian is expected to report revenue of around $1 billion, which would be a 25% drop from the $1.34 billion generated in Q3 2023.

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Rivian R1T (left) and R1S (right) electric vehicles (Source: Rivian)

Rivian Q3 2024 earnings breakdown

Rivian reported third-quarter revenue of $874 million, a nearly 35% drop from Q3 2023 and missing expectations.

The company said higher electric delivery van (EDV) deliveries for Amazon last year was partly the reason for the lower top-line total.

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Rivian Q3 2024 earnings (Source: Rivian)

Rivian posted a gross profit loss of $392 million, down from the $477 million loss last year due to the lower delivery total. Meanwhile, operating losses also fell to $1.17 billion, down from $1.44 billion in Q3 2023.

The company lost $39,130 on every vehicle delivered in Q3 2024, which is up from $30,648 last year and $32,705 in Q2 2024.

Q3 ’22 Q4 ’22 Q1 ’23 Q2 ’23 Q3 ’23 Q4 ’23 Q1 ’24 Q2 ’24 Q3 ’24
Rivian loss per vehicle $139,277 $124,162 $67,329 $32,594 $30,500 $43,372 $38,784 $32,705 $39,130
Rivian loss per vehicle by quarter

Rivian’s net loss in the third quarter was $1.1 billion, down from $1.34 billion last year with a $1.08 loss per share.

The EV maker confirmed it’s still on track for a positive gross profit in the fourth quarter of 2024. Rivian’s CEO, RJ Scaringe, said the company is seeing “meaningful progress” on its material costs with new tech and manufacturing processes.

Q1 2024 Q2 2024 Q3 2024 2024 YTD 2024 guidance
Deliveries 13,588 13,790 10,018 37,396 50,500 – 52,000
Production 13,980 9,612 13,157 36,749 47,000 – 49,000
Rivian deliveries and production by quarter in 2024

These improvements are meaningful steps toward its next-gen R2, which will launch in the first half of 2026.

Scaringe said Rivian believes R2 will be a “fundamental driver of Rivian’s growth.” It will start at $45,000, nearly half the cost of its current R1S and R1T models.

Once R2 production begins, Rivian expects the new EV will account for most of its output. The company plans to build 155,000 R2 models annually and about 85,000 R1S and R1Ts in Normal.

Rivian's-Q3-2024-earnings
Rivian production plans (Source: Rivian)

Rivian also believes its new alliance with Volkswagen will be “a landmark development for the industry.” The total deal size is up to $5 billion, which Rivian said is a “meaningful financial opportunity.”

The planned investments in addition to Rivian’s current cash and equivalents “are expected to provide the capital to fund Rivian’s operations through the ramp of R2 in Normal, as well as the midsize platform in Georgia,” the company said. This will establish a path to positive free cash flow and meaningful scale.

The company ended the quarter with $6.7 billion in cash and equivalents, including a $1 billion convertible note from Volkswagen. Rivian reaffirmed its (revised) production and delivery targets for 2024.

Due to the lower production outlook, Rivian now expects an EBITDA loss of $2.83 billion to $2.88 billion, compared to the previous guidance of a $2.7 billion loss.

Check back for more following Rivian’s earnings call with investors. We will post updates below.

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Top trader Vitol eyeing metals market as global oil demand set to peak in 10 years, CEO signals

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Top trader Vitol eyeing metals market as global oil demand set to peak in 10 years, CEO signals

Russell Hardy, chief executive officer of Vitol Services Ltd.

Bloomberg | Bloomberg | Getty Images

SINGAPORE — Vitol is eyeing the metals market with global petroleum demand expected to peak in a decade, signaled Russell Hardy, CEO of Vitol, the world’s largest independent energy trader.

“The petroleum, the oil business, we still think it will reach a peak at some point, about 10 years ahead from where we are today,” Hardy said on Thursday at the Financial Times Commodities Summit in Singapore. 

In contrast to the eventual decline of the crude industry, metals business is going to witness a “great deal of growth through the electrification phase,” he added.

“So we quite like the idea of being involved in the bigger metal markets. And the three bigger metal markets are steel and iron ore, copper and aluminum,” he said.

In August, Vitol announced its acquisition of Noble Resources, a Hong Kong-based trader specializing in oil, coal and metallurgical coke, which is used to make iron. Vitol in April poached two metal traders from Mercuria, Reuters reported. 

It’s a 10 year ambition, and I’m not going to put any pressure on ourselves to be in a particular place in three years, or five years.

Russell Hardy

CEO of Vitol

Energy trading giants, such as Gunvor and Mercuria, have in recent years been eyeing the metals space as they explore opportunities offered by the shift in favor of clean energy.

Critical minerals such as copper, nickel, cobalt and lithium are key in the manufacturing of EV batteries, electric vehicles, power grids and solar panels — some of the components driving the energy transition ecosystem.

Copper in particular is widely expected to see an exponential demand and a potential shortage. Existing mines and projects under construction will meet only 80% of copper needs by 2030, according to the International Energy Agency.

The process of scaling a metals business to the same size as its energy arm would be a long and difficult process, acknowledged Hardy, adding that the metals market is a competitive one and the trading house will have to find its “edge” and “pathway.”

“It’s a 10 year ambition, and I’m not going to put any pressure on ourselves to be in a particular place in three years, or five years,” he said, while emphasizing that oil and gas remain “really important” business units for the trader.

Vitol saw a slew of bumper profits in recent years on the back of Europe’s energy crisis following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in 2022.

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LG Energy Solution to provide Rivian 4695 cylindrical batteries produced in the US for the R2

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Rivian (RIVN) hits a road bump in third-quarter earnings, but things are looking up from here

Battery manufacturer LG Energy Solution just announced that its Arizona subsidiary has signed a long-term supply agreement with US automaker Rivian for 4695 cylindrical batteries. The cells will be produced at LG Energy Solution Arizona’s new standalone US facility beginning next year and will power Rivian’s upcoming R2 BEVs.

LG Energy Solution (LGES) is a spinoff entity of LG Chem specializing in battery development and manufacturing. In the four short years since the entity was founded, the Korean company has established partnerships and supply agreements with OEMs worldwide and is currently one of the leaders in its respective market behind long-time frontrunner CATL.

When the Biden administration introduced the Inflation Reduction Act, which included tax incentives for BEVs and their batteries assembled on US soil, LGES was one the most popular battery manufacturers OEMs reached out to for joint ventures to set up localized cell manufacturing in North America.

Since then, we’ve seen facility plans announced between LGES and automakers like Hyundai Motor Group, Stellantis, Honda, and Ford, which recently decided to bring its operations stateside over from Europe. Toyota also has a supply agreement in place with LG Energy Solution.

In 2022, we covered the news that LG Energy Solution was investing $450 million to produce 4680 battery cells, a format pioneered by Tesla. The company has since developed taller, higher-capacity cells called 4695.

Today, the company announced a new deal for those 4695 cylindrical batteries, which will be produced in Arizona and delivered to Rivian for its R2 models.

Rivian batteries
A rending of LG Energy Solution’s Stand-Alone Battery Manufacturing Complex Project in Arizona / Source: LG Energy Solution

Rivian R2 will be powered by LG Energy Solution batteries

LG Energy Solution shared details of its latest supply agreement this afternoon. The company has signed on to provide Rivian with its advanced 4695 cylindrical batteries for over five years, delivering a total energy capacity of 67 GWh during that time.

The “4695” nomenclature refers to the dimensions of the battery cells, which have a diameter of 46mm and a height of 95mm. LG Energy Solution explained that its 20 years of research and development in cylindrical batteries have gone into its next-generation 4695 cells for Rivian.

The battery specialist states that its larger cells will offer OEMs long-range and high safety while delivering over six times the capacity of the existing 2170 cylindrical cells popular in BEV battery modules today. LG Energy Solution CEO David Kim spoke about the company’s 4695 batteries and its robust supply agreement with Rivian:

Due to the dynamic nature of the current EV market, an increasing number of global automakers are demonstrating a strong preference for a diverse range of battery form factors. This large-scale order from Rivian for 4695 batteries marks a key milestone for LG Energy Solution in expanding its client base within the cylindrical battery segment.

Today, we also learned that the batteries for Rivian will eventually be manufactured at its pending facility in Arizona within the first year of production, then delivered to Rivian’s assembly plant in Normal, Illinois, where they will be implemented in R2 models sold in the North American market. 

Construction of LGES’ Arizona facility is underway and expected to be completed and begin full-scale production in less than two years from now.

The Rivian R2 was unveiled this past March to much fanfare, and well over 100,000 pre-orders have since been placed. It will be assembled at the Normal, IL, facility and may eventually move to the American Automaker’s second manufacturing plant, which remains under construction in Georgia.

During its reveal, Rivian shared that it expects the R2 BEV to reach the market in the first half of 2026. If that timeline holds, it should be right around when LG Energy Solution begins producing batteries for those Rivian models in Arizona.

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Lucid (LCID) has funding for ‘well into 2026’ after Gravity SUV launch, record Q3

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Lucid (LCID) has funding for 'well into 2026' after Gravity SUV launch, record Q3

Lucid Motors (LCID) announced it has enough funding for “well into 2026” after releasing third-quarter earnings. After its third straight quarter of record deliveries, Lucid will begin building its first electric SUV, the Gravity, later this year.

Lucid has funding for Gravity SUV launch and more

“Our momentum continues with our third consecutive quarter of record deliveries,” Lucid’s CEO Peter Rawlinson said after releasing the company’s Q3 2024 financial results.

After delivering another 2,781 vehicles in the third quarter, Lucid’s delivery total reached 7,142 through September. That’s more than the 6,001 Lucid delivered in 2023 already.

The higher deliveries led to top-line growth in the third quarter. Lucid posted $200 million in Q3 revenue, up from $137.8 million last year. Despite the higher delivery total, Lucid’s cost of revenue also fell to $412 million as the company continued driving down costs.

However, Lucid’s net loss rose to $992.5 million on the higher output, up from $630.9 million in Q3 2023.

Lucid ended the third quarter with about $5.16 billion in total liquidity. Its recent $1.75 billion capital raise “serves to further secure the future of the company by extending its financial runway well into 2026,” Rawlinson said.

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Lucid Air (left) and Gravity SUV (right) models (Source: Lucid)

After opening orders for its first electric SUV on Thursday, Lucid said Gravity production is still on track to start later this year. It has already begun pre-production builds.

Rawlinson calls the Gravity a “landmark product” starting at $79,800 with expected up to 440 miles range.

Lucid-teases-midsize-SUV
Lucid midsize electric SUV teaser image (Source: Lucid)

Lucid also teased its upcoming midsize electric SUV in September. Starting at under $50,000, the new model is expected to rival Tesla’s top-selling Model Y. A midsize electric sedan is also in the works and could compete with the Model 3.

Rawlinson previously said the new midsize models are aimed “right in the heart of Tesla Model 3, Model Y territory.” Lucid plans to begin production on the midsize platform in late 2026.

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