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Global carbon emissions from fossil fuel combustion have reached an unprecedented peak in 2024, with the Global Carbon Project reporting a projected 37.4 billion tonnes of fossil CO2 emissions, a 0.8% increase from 2023. The report underscores an urgent call for emissions reduction as the world’s annual output of CO2 from fossil fuels and land-use changes collectively approaches 41.6 billion tonnes. Despite increased efforts to mitigate climate impacts, there are no clear signs of a peak in global fossil CO2 emissions, heightening the risk of surpassing critical climate thresholds.

Sector-Specific Emissions and Regional Insights

As per a report by University of Exeter, emissions from fossil fuels, including coal, oil, and gas, are anticipated to rise in 2024, accounting for 41 percent, 32 percent, and 21 percent of fossil CO2 emissions, respectively. Coal emissions are expected to increase by 0.2 percent, oil by 0.9 percent, and natural gas by 2.4 percent. On a regional level, China, responsible for 32 percent of global emissions, is projected to see a slight increase of 0.2 percent, while emissions in the United States are expected to fall by 0.6 percent.

The European Union’s emissions are forecasted to decrease by 3.8 percent, whereas India, contributing 8 percent of global emissions, is projected to experience a 4.6 percent rise. Emissions from aviation and shipping sectors are also set to increase by 7.8 percent this year, though they remain below pre-pandemic levels.

Carbon Budget and Climate Warnings

According to Professor Pierre Friedlingstein from the University of Exeter, who led the study, the absence of a peak in fossil CO2 emissions further reduces the remaining carbon budget needed to keep warming below the Paris Agreement’s 1.5-degree Celsius target. At the current emission rate, a 50 percent probability exists of surpassing this threshold within the next six years. Meanwhile, Professor Corinne Le Quéré of the University of East Anglia acknowledged ongoing efforts in renewable energy deployment and reduced deforestation but stressed that substantial emissions reductions are still essential.

Urgency for Accelerated Action

The report emphasises that while some nations demonstrate progress in emissions reduction, these efforts have not been sufficient to reverse the overall global trend. Dr Glen Peters from the CICERO Center for International Climate Research noted that global climate action remains “a collective challenge,” with gradual declines in emissions in certain regions counterbalanced by increases elsewhere.

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Scientists Predict Under Sea Volcano Eruption Near Oregon Coast in 2025

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Scientists Predict Under Sea Volcano Eruption Near Oregon Coast in 2025

An undersea volcano situated roughly 470 kilometers off Oregon’s coastline, Axial Seamount, is showing signs of imminent activity. Researchers have noted telltale signals such as ground deformation, heightened seismic activity, and magma accumulation beneath the surface. These observations have led to a forecast suggesting that the volcano could erupt as early as 2025. This prediction represents a significant milestone in volcanic monitoring, as it is rare for scientists to anticipate eruptions with such precision.

Advanced Monitoring Reveals Key Indicators

According to the study Axial Seamount Has Suddenly Woken Up! An Update on the Latest Inflation and Seismic Data and a New Eruption Forecast presented at the American Geophysical Union meeting, Axial Seamount is among the most closely monitored submarine volcanoes globally. Instruments installed on the seafloor record real-time data, enabling scientists to study its activity continuously. Notable patterns, such as surface swelling and earthquake swarms similar to those preceding the volcano’s 2015 eruption, have been observed again, suggesting a repeat event may be on the horizon.

Insights from Predictive Technologies

As per reports, the potential eruption has also spurred advancements in predictive models. Artificial intelligence is being employed to analyse seismic data collected during the 2015 eruption. This technology has identified specific patterns linked to magma movement, which could refine forecasting accuracy. Researchers view Axial Seamount as a critical testing ground for these innovations, which, if successful, could inform strategies for monitoring other volcanic systems.

Potential Impacts and Global Significance

While Axial Seamount poses minimal immediate threat to human populations, the 2022 Hunga Tonga-Hunga Ha’apai eruption, which caused a Pacific-wide tsunami, underscores the need for preparedness. Enhanced forecasting could provide timely warnings for coastal regions at risk. As the forecasted eruption draws closer, efforts to monitor and study the volcano will continue, with findings expected to have implications far beyond the Pacific Northwest.

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Organic Molecules in Space: A Key to Understanding Life’s Cosmic Origins

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Organic Molecules in Space: A Key to Understanding Life’s Cosmic Origins

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Organic Molecules in Space: A Key to Understanding Life's Cosmic Origins

As researchers delve into the cosmos, organic molecules—the building blocks of life—emerge as a recurring theme, hinting at answers to some of science’s most profound questions. Recent studies, including data from missions like the European Space Agency’s Rosetta and NASA’s Osiris-Rex, continue to reveal the ubiquity of these compounds across the universe. According to reports, these discoveries shed light on how planets like Earth may have acquired the raw materials for life long before the Sun formed.

Cosmic Origins of Organic Molecules

As reported in Quanta Magazine, researchers have traced these molecules to interstellar clouds, comets and asteroids. These celestial objects serve as reservoirs for the compounds that constitute biological systems. Rosetta’s mission to comet 67P/Churyumov-Gerasimenko detected 44 distinct organic molecules, including glycine—a precursor to proteins—and dimethyl sulfide, a compound associated with biological activity on Earth. Such findings emphasise that life’s precursors existed in space long before planets formed.

Asteroids: Organic Richness

Asteroids also harbor an abundance of organic materials. Studies of samples returned by Japan’s Hayabusa2 and NASA’s Osiris-Rex missions revealed tens of thousands of organic compounds on asteroids Ryugu and Bennu. According to Philippe Schmitt-Kopplin of the Technical University of Munich, in a statement to Quanta Magazine, this demonstrates that “everything possible from which life could emerge” exists in space. Ryugu, for example, yielded 15 amino acids, crucial for life’s building blocks.

Molecular Evolution in Space

Organic molecules form through two primary pathways: combustion-like reactions in dying stars and on icy dust grains in molecular clouds. In the latter process, radiation and cosmic rays trigger the formation of molecules like methanol on these icy grains. Research demonstrated that glycine, the simplest amino acid, can form under such conditions, underscoring the molecular complexity present even before star systems emerged.

Organic Molecules in Planetary Birthplaces

Protoplanetary disks, the regions where stars and planets form, are rich with organic compounds. Observations from the Atacama Large Millimeter Array (ALMA) have identified methanol and other molecules in these disks. Computational models suggest these compounds survive the chaotic processes of planetary formation and continue to evolve chemically, enhancing the potential for life.

Clues for Astrobiology

The discovery of complex organics has profound implications for astrobiology. These molecules may serve as biosignatures, pointing to potential life beyond Earth. Upcoming missions like NASA’s Dragonfly to Saturn’s moon Titan aim to explore organic compounds in environments conducive to life, such as hydrocarbon lakes and thick atmospheres.

Ultimately, the universality of organic chemistry reinforces the idea that life’s building blocks are not unique to Earth, offering hope that life may exist elsewhere in the universe.

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ISRO’s Spadex Mission to Demonstrate Satellite Docking on December 30

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ISRO's Spadex Mission to Demonstrate Satellite Docking on December 30

The Indian Space Research Organisation (ISRO) is set to close the year with the Spadex mission, scheduled for launch at 9:58 pm on December 30 from the Sriharikota spaceport. This mission involves two satellites, SDX01 (Chaser) and SDX02 (Target), aimed at demonstrating docking capabilities in orbit. By showcasing the alignment, connection, and power transfer between these satellites, the mission is expected to pave the way for future endeavours, including the Chandrayaan-4 and the proposed Bharatiya Antariksh Station.

Mission Details and Objectives

According to reports, the Polar Satellite Launch Vehicle (PSLV-C60) will place the 220-kg satellites into a 470-km circular orbit. The satellites will begin by separating to a distance of 10–20 km using relative velocity adjustments provided by the rocket. The Target satellite’s propulsion system will then maintain this distance to prevent further drift, marking the start of what is referred to as the “far rendezvous.” Gradual approaches by the Chaser satellite will follow, reducing the gap in calculated stages until docking is achieved.

Once docked, the satellites will demonstrate electrical power transfer and joint spacecraft control. Following separation, both satellites will operate their respective payloads, which are designed to function for two years.

Technological Highlights and Payloads

The Spadex mission is reported to employ innovative technologies, including docking mechanisms and advanced sensors, ensuring precision during the docking process. A relative orbit determination and propagation system, based on navigation constellations, is also part of this mission. The Chaser satellite features a high-resolution miniature surveillance camera, while the Target satellite carries a multispectral payload for monitoring vegetation and natural resources. A radiation monitor onboard the Target will collect space radiation data for analysis.

Additional Experiments

As per several reports, the rocket’s final stage will host experiments involving 24 payloads, including a robotic arm for debris capture and a study on seed germination and plant growth. The mission marks a significant leap in demonstrating small satellite docking, a challenging feat requiring precise control and coordination.

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