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In winning the White House, he avoids the so-called ‘big house’.

Whether or not prison was a prospect awaiting Donald Trump is a moot point now, as he now enjoys the protection of the presidency.

Politically, and legally, he has played a blinder.

U.S. Special Counsel Jack Smith looks on as he makes a statement to reporters after a grand jury returned an indictment of former U.S. President Donald Trump in the special counsel's investigation of efforts to overturn his 2020 election defeat, at Smith's offices in Washington, U.S. August 1, 2023. REUTERS/Kevin Wurm TPX IMAGES OF THE DAY
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Special Counsel Jack Smith has dropped his case against Donald Trump. Pic: Reuters

The delay strategy that he pursued through a grinding court process knocked his federal prosecution past the election date and when his numbers came up, he wasn’t going down.

It is an astonishing set of circumstances, given the alleged crimes and alleged criminal.

Separate federal indictments accused Mr Trump of nothing less than an effort to overthrow democracy and there was the accusation in Florida that he mishandled classified documents.

Mr Trump insisted he was innocent but, with the case dismissals, those denials won’t now be tested before a jury.

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Neither will the evidence on the indictment – eye-watering in the reading.

Who can forget his 6 January “fight like hell” speech or the pictures of classified documents in boxes, seemingly hidden in his Mar-a-Lago bathroom, with alleged instructions to staff to conceal them?

FILE - President Donald Trump speaks during a rally protesting the electoral college certification of Joe Biden as President in Washington, on Jan. 6, 2021. (AP Photo/Evan Vucci, File)
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President Donald Trump speaking at a rally in Washington on 6 January 6, 2021. File pic: AP

This image, contained in the indictment against former President Donald Trump, shows boxes of records stored in a bathroom and shower in the Lake Room at Trump's Mar-a-Lago estate in Palm Beach, Fla. The classified documents investigation of Donald Trump appeared to have clear momentum in 2022 when FBI agents who searched the former president...s Mar-a-Lago estate recovered dozens of boxes containing sensitive documents. But each passing day brings mounting doubts that the case can reach trial this year. The judge has yet to set a firm trial date despite holding two hours-long hearings with lawyers this month. (Justice Department via AP)
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Records stored in a bathroom and shower in Mar-a-Lago. Pic: US Justice Department/AP

This from a man who was president and will be again.

In dropping its prosecutions, the Department of Justice makes it clear that it feels it had a case. It states in its court filing:

“The government’s position on the merits of the defendant’s prosecution has not changed. But the circumstances have.”

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It leaves questions, not least about their timing. Why were the prosecutions not brought earlier, giving Donald Trump less opportunity to run down the clock?

It also raises questions about the administration of justice in the US.

Of all the cases that Americans deserved to see tried in an American court before an American jury, can there have been any more important? Probably none more consequential.

There remain cases working their way through state courts in New York (the hush money conviction) and Georgia (election interference).

There’s every chance they will go the same way.

The fact that the federal cases won’t reach a courtroom is a function of the US justice system – a dysfunction, many would argue.

The counter view, of course, is that the criminal pursuit of Donald Trump was the product of a weaponised justice system.

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It is articulated in a statement from Trump spokesman, Steven Cheung, who said the justice department’s decision “ends the unconstitutional federal cases against President Trump and is a major victory for the rule of law”.

It’s a victory for Donald Trump, certainly.

For the rule of law? On that, the jury’s out.

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‘Several’ Trump cabinet picks targeted with ‘bomb and swatting threats’, transition team says

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'Several' Trump cabinet picks targeted with 'bomb and swatting threats', transition team says

Several people nominated to roles in Donald Trump’s incoming cabinet and administration have been targeted by bomb threats and “swatting,” a spokesperson for the US president-elect has said.

The threats were made on Tuesday night and Wednesday morning and law enforcement acted quickly to ensure the safety of those targeted, Karoline Leavitt said.

In a statement, she said the incidents “ranged from bomb threats to ‘swatting'”, which is when a false crime is reported to bring an armed police response to someone’s home.

The statement said: “Last night and this morning, several of President Trump’s cabinet nominees and administration appointees were targeted in violent, unAmerican threats to their lives and those who live with them.”

Ms Leavitt added: “With President Trump as our example, dangerous acts of intimidation and violence will not deter us.”

Elise Stefanik, who represents New York in the House and has been picked by Mr Trump to serve as US ambassador to the United Nations, said her family home had been the target of a bomb threat.

In a statement she said she, her husband and their three-year-old son were driving from Washington DC to Saratoga County in New York for Thanksgiving when they were informed of the threat, with police responding “immediately with the highest levels of professionalism”.

Elise Stefanik, Mr Trump's pick to serve as US ambassador to the United Nations,  says her family home had been the target of a bomb threat. Pic: AP
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Elise Stefanik, Mr Trump’s pick to serve as US ambassador to the United Nations. Pic: AP

Three senior law enforcement officials briefed on the swatting incident told Sky’s US partner network NBC News the threats were “not credible” and no devices or physical threats were found.

They did not involve VIPs protected by the US Secret Service such as Mr Trump or his vice president-elect JD Vance.

The FBI said it was aware of “numerous bomb threats and swatting incidents” targeting Mr Trump’s cabinet and administration nominees and was working with its law enforcement partners.

In a statement it said: “We take all potential threats seriously and, as always, encourage members of the public to immediately report anything they consider suspicious to law enforcement.”

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Threats follow assassination attempt

Mr Trump has been announcing his picks for his cabinet and other high-ranking positions in his administration since his election victory on 5 November.

The threats come months after Mr Trump suffered a wound to his ear during an assassination attempt in Pennsylvania in July, which killed a spectator and left two others seriously injured.

In September a man was charged with attempted assassination after allegedly positioning himself with a rifle outside one of Mr Trump’s golf courses in Florida as Mr Trump played golf.

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China warns Donald Trump over tariffs threat

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China warns Donald Trump over tariffs threat

China has warned Donald Trump a new trade war “will leave no party unscathed” as the incoming US president’s new tariff threats provoke an angry reaction.

The response by the world’s second-largest economy to Mr Trump’s promise of additional 10% tariffs on all goods from China into the US, came via state media.

“There are no winners in tariff wars. If the US continues to politicise economic and trade issues by weaponising tariffs, it will leave no party unscathed,” the China Daily said in an editorial.

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Mr Trump announced late on Monday that he would also target neighbours Mexico and Canada.

He pledged 25% tariffs on goods coming from both nations due to excessive migration.

Mexico and China, however, are also in his sights for another reason.

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Mr Trump has said both are responsible for “attacking” the US with fentanyl – a drug widely blamed for the opioid crisis in the country that has seen more than 100,000 people die from overdoses alone in recent years.

China, his camp has argued, is the dominant source of chemical precursors used by Mexican cartels to produce the deadly drug.

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Trump’s tariff plan explained

The China Daily editorial continued: “The excuse the president-elect has given to justify his threat of additional tariffs on imports from China is farfetched.

“The world sees clearly that the root cause of the fentanyl crisis in the US lies with the US itself.”

Mr Trump wants both Mexico and China to clamp down on the drugs.

Mexico has long been in his sights over migration, with the volume of illegal border crossings prompting a crackdown during his first term in office.

That did, however, fall short of his 2016 threat of a “big, beautiful” border wall though the existing barrier was extended and bolstered in places.

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This is a big deal for both Canada and Mexico especially.

More than 83% of exports from Mexico went to the US in 2023 and 75% of Canadian exports go to the country.

Mexico has pledged to react to any US tariffs by responding in kind.

Canada’s government has spoken of working together but provincial leaders have voiced anger and shock.

Ontario’s premier, Doug Ford, expected retaliation against its closest trading partner.

He said of Mr Trump’s threat: “I found his comments unfair. I found them insulting. It’s like a family member stabbing you right in the heart.”

If tariffs were to be implemented, as Mr Trump has threatened, the aim would be to hurt exports in each of the countries’ targeted in a bid to shrink the US trade deficit.

The country imports far more than it sends abroad.

However, by raising the cost of imported goods, Mr Trump would risk raising US inflation; the pace of price increases in his own domestic economy as the cost is passed on down supply chains to consumers.

Analysis by Goldman Sachs estimated they would raise consumer prices inflation by 1%, if carried through.

They would also hurt profit margins for US companies, while raising the threat of retaliatory tariffs by other countries, the US bank projected.

The prospect of a trade war has not spooked financial markets, with European and Asian equities seeing only limited losses while the broad S&P 500 on Wall Street is at record levels.

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However, the spectre of a wider Trump-led crackdown on imports has been felt elsewhere, with shares of carmakers coming under pressure on Tuesday.

AJ Bell head of financial analysis, Danni Hewson, wrote: “Proving his love of tariffs wasn’t just a campaign stunt, Trump has pledged he will immediately target Mexico, Canada and China before the last bit of confetti has fallen on his inauguration.”

“For European car makers already struggling to make the shift to EVs profitable, it will have sounded an alarm and shares in Stellantis and Volkswagen both took a hit as did US automakers which import a large number of vehicles from both Canada and Mexico.”

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Bluster or really America First? Either way, Donald Trump’s tariff plan creates unease for more than one country

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Bluster or really America First? Either way, Donald Trump's tariff plan creates unease for more than one country

The notion that Donald Trump would hike tariffs is hardly a surprise – it was a plan front and centre of his economic pitch during the election campaign.

If that softened the landing, it still hit hard in the three countries in the frame.

Mexico warned it would cause inflation and job losses in both their countries and Canada’s Prime Minister Justin Trudeau spoke of a relationship that needs a “certain amount of working on”.

It’s the weary assessment of a man who’s seen this movie before.

On the face of it, it’s symptomatic of a muscular economic stance that fits entirely with Donald Trump’s “America First” strategy.

It would have a significant impact, far beyond the countries that Trump has placed in the frame, raising the spectre of trade war and, accordingly, grinding the gears of international trade.

America itself wouldn’t escape consequences.

Canada, Mexico and China are its top three suppliers, shipping more than $1trn of goods to the US in the first nine months of this year alone.

Under the Trump plan, the cut passed on to consumers could cut deep.

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His announcement might amount, merely, to a negotiation tactic – an effort to outsource the problem-solving on his political priorities.

Whatever it is, it creates a sense of diplomatic unease and economic uncertainty.

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