A view shows the logo of Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) during the United Nations climate change conference COP29, in Baku, Azerbaijan November 13, 2024.
Maxim Shemetov | Reuters
The OPEC+ oil alliance postponed a meeting to decide the next steps of its crude production strategy to Dec. 5, two delegate sources told CNBC.
The sources did not want to be named given the sensitivity of discussions.
The coalition, made up of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies, was initially scheduled to meet on Dec. 1. They will now confer virtually next week.
The OPEC+ coalition is currently operating three sets of separate oil production cuts, in response to an uncertain demand outlook.
Under its formal output strategy, member nations are curtailing their combined production to 39.725 million barrels per day (bpd) into next year. Eight OPEC+ members are meanwhile voluntarily reducing by 1.7 million barrels per day throughout 2025, along with a second set of 2.2 million bpd of cuts that they are currently due to begin phasing out in December.
The OPEC Secretariat later in the session said that the meeting was rescheduled as several ministers of member nations will be attending the Dec. 1 Gulf Summit in Kuwait City, Kuwait.
It remains to be seen whether this second voluntary 2.2 million bpd production trim will be extended, after global oil prices once more came under pressure earlier this week, as the implementation of a cease-fire between Israel and Lebanon reduced the risk of production disruption in the oil-rich Middle Eastern region.
Iran, one of the largest producers of the OPEC contingent, has backed Lebanon’s Hezbollah, Yemeni Houthi and Palestinian Hamas militant groups throughout the year-long conflict with Israel, as well as exchanged missile fire with the Jewish nation. Markets have been watching whether a continuation or escalation of the conflict could ultimately lead to hostilities targeting Iran’s key oil infrastructure — the backbone of its sanctioned economy.
The Ice Brent contract with January expiry was trading at $72.68 per barrel at 07:39 a.m. London time, down 0.2% from the Wednesday settlement. Front-month January Nymex WTI futures were meanwhile trading at $68.58 per barrel, also down 0.2% from the Wednesday close price.
Adding to uncertainty is the January White House return of President-elect Donald Trump, who has previously championed a “drill, baby, drill” approach to bolstering U.S. oil production. Trump has also in the past deployed a hardline policy of enforcing sanctions against Iran because of its nuclear program, which could deter the few remaining buyers of Tehran’s crude — including China, the world’s largest crude importer.
Volkswagen Group is radically overhauling its business strategy to save money and stay afloat, and it may axe its Tesla-inspired direct-to-consumer retail model for EVs in major European markets.
In a press release, VW said that selling EVs through direct-to-consumer models while also selling ICE vehicles via traditional retail operations was too complex in Europe’s weak auto market, pointing to what it says is the slow pace at which consumers are buying EVs.
“Given challenging framework conditions, we will have to reevaluate if our current agency model for all-electric vehicles delivers the best possible customer experience,” Marco Schubert, the VW Group board member responsible for sales, said in a statement. Still, he added that direct-to-consumer sales will remain a “long-term target” for the automaker.
Tesla’s revolutionary direct-to-consumer model, which bypasses traditional dealerships in favor of selling cars directly through its own network of stores and online, has completely disrupted the way in which cars are sold in Europe, with many legacy automakers trying their best to follow suit in a highly regulated auto market. In VW’s case, its EVs can be purchased via dealers, and the dealer earns a fixed, lower margin without needing to take on marketing costs or carrying costs for inventory.
The possible retail revamp includes VW brand vehicles but also Audi, Skoda, and VW commercial vehicles in France, Germany, Poland, Spain, and the UK.
In 2020, VW introduced its direct-sales model for EVs, and the results from its review are expected to be released in March of next year. VWs’s Cupra brand, however, will continue to sells its EV under the direct-to-consumer model, as will all VW vehicles sold in Ireland and Sweden, regardless of drivetrain.
This comes at a time when VW is radically restructuring its business to cut costs, and plans to close down three factories in Germany – the first time in the company’s 87-year history that it is closing factories on its home turf. The plan includes cutting tens of thousands of jobs and slashing pay for 10% of its remaining staff.
The brand is also seeking to streamline production and development processes, shaving off months on the development cycles of specific projects to help tighten the belt, reports Automotive News Europe.
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Tesla has started offering lease buyouts on all its vehicles, allowing customers who lease a Tesla to purchase their vehicle at the end of the lease term. But this represents a pullback from its previous autonomous vehicle ambitions.
In yet another end-of-week (well, at least in the US, due to Thanksgiving) release of Tesla news, Tesla has updated its webpage for lease-end options to describe a new option for Tesla leasers: the ability to purchase your car at the end of your lease term.
The new policy applies to all of Tesla’s vehicles, including Cybertruck, Model S, Model 3, Model X and Model Y, starting today, November 27, 2024 (though not in Iowa or Louisiana). Third-party dealerships are allowed to purchase the vehicles, and there is a $350 purchase fee.
Many other companies offer something similar, with owners treating the lease as somewhat of a “trial term” before purchasing the vehicle. There are also potential financial benefits – for example, leasing makes it easier to get the US EV tax credit, and as a result some companies that don’t qualify for the purchase credit have created unique insta-buyout lease options to make use of this exception.
But Tesla hasn’t offered this option for some time. Ever since the Model 3 started leasing, Tesla said that it would not allow lease buyouts at the end of the term, and instead that it would retain ownership of the vehicles and put them into work in a massive robotaxi fleet, taking advantage of Tesla’s Full Self-Driving technology.
But that didn’t just apply to the Model 3, as Tesla ended lease buyouts for all models in 2022, after having previously offered them on Model S/X. This happened during a strange period in the new vehicle market, with lots of vehicles experiencing price spikes due to COVID-related supply disruptions, but also falls in line with Tesla’s previous ambitions and statements about wanting to retain vehicles for an autonomous robotaxi fleet.
Needless to say, this hasn’t panned out exactly as Tesla might have hoped. Tesla’s Full Self-Driving capability, despite being promised “next year” every year for almost the last decade, is not yet able to fully drive the car without a driver.
So this change could represent a pullback for Tesla’s autonomous vehicle ambitions. Tesla CEO Elon Musk has said in the past that its vehicles would become appreciating assets due to their ability to be used as autonomous robotaxis. The theory goes, you could send out your car to pick up passengers and drive them around, making you money on the side when you aren’t otherwise using the vehicle.
Because of this, Musk even once said that Tesla would stop selling cars once it solves autonomy, since it would be able to make more money providing autonomous rides than by selling cars.
Since then, Tesla has pivoted from talking about its regular cars as potential robotaxis to offering a whole separate robotaxi product, in the form of the Cybercab, which was unveiled last month. Though Musk also said during that unveiling that Tesla’s other vehicles would still be usable as robotaxis (well, most of them anyway).
That product is supposed to come out within two years, which means any standard 3-year lease term that starts today would end after Tesla has solved self driving – if you take their word for it. If that’s the case, then starting a lease buyout option for cars leased today wouldn’t make a lot of sense if you’re confident that they could be used as robotaxis in less than three years.
So it’s hard to think of this news as anything but a pullback in Tesla’s self-driving plans. If it’s true that Tesla thinks vehicles can make more money as robotaxis, and it’s true that Tesla thinks it will solve self-driving in the next two years, then why would Tesla suddenly start allowing buybacks that said it wouldn’t do specifically because of those two things?
So – either Tesla thinks it can’t make much more money with robotaxis, or it thinks it can’t solve self-driving before today’s lease terms are up.
Of course, there’s one other explanation – Tesla just wants to end this quarter strong. The company has already pulled several demand levers lately, with 0% financing, lower lease prices, and a “one-time” FSD transfer scheme for the fourth time as it’s trying to make up for a bad start to the year. It’s one of the few EV companies whose sales are down year to date as the rest of the industry continues to grow, and is trying to end the year flat-to-positive on sales compared to 2023.
It has some work to do to catch up, so we’re not surprised to see more demand levers being pulled. Nevertheless, this change still doesn’t jive with Tesla’s previous self-driving ambitions – and that’s notable.
If you’re looking to take advantage of Tesla’s new lease buyback policy, you can use our Tesla referral code for up to $36/mo off your lease price, or up to $2,000 off purchase (depending on vehicle).
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On today’s exciting episode of Quick Charge, Tesla is making significant updates to its Supercharger network as it welcomes new makes and models to the service. Meanwhile, analysts are expecting a big EV market spike ahead of the new year.
We’ve also got a more efficient charge port heating system, a major offshore wind program that’s backing down in the face of a Donald Trump presidency, and big news about the state of solar and wind in America’s energy mix.
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