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It’s crunch time for the UK’s biggest water provider Thames Water as its fate will be announced on Tuesday morning.

Thames Water finances hang in the balance with debts of £16bn and existing investors declaring the business “uninvestable”, due to the high fines it faces for environmental and other regulatory breaches and the clampdown on shareholder payouts.

But why is the utility provider in this position, what’s happening at court, and could it be nationalised if it doesn’t get the money it needs?

The short-term solution is for Thames Water to borrow its way out of the problem.

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In following this strategy the company has sought High Court approval for a £3bn rescue plan centred on an emergency loan.

That’s being provided by so-called A-class creditors who hold around £11bn in debt racked up by Thames Water Utility Holdings, the business that serves about 16 million customers in London and the South East.

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Thames Water boss in September said he can ‘save’ company

The decision on that request will be made on Tuesday morning.

Thames Water has previously said it will run out of cash by 24 March and the £3bn loan – delivered in two tranches of £1.5bn – would prevent the business from collapsing.

A controversial court battle

Two sets of creditors both want to lend Thames Water the £3bn sum, with the company favouring the A-class creditors.

But water campaigners have criticised the terms of the loan, which comes with an interest rate of 9.75% payable over two and a half years with up to a further £100m due in fees.

They’ve called on environment secretary Steve Reed to block the arrangement and force the company into special administration, effectively temporary re-nationalisation.

The terms of the loan dictate it must be repaid first if administration does happen and existing creditors would have repayment dates set back two years.

A second group of B-class creditors, who hold around £750,000 of subordinate debt, face being wiped out completely in a restructuring.

What if the loan isn’t approved?

High Court approval is contingent on 75% of its creditors agreeing to the rescue plan.

Failing that Thames Water would have to consider a plan that leaves creditors no worse off.

If the £3bn loan is not approved the chances of the company entering a special administration regime or nationalisation, are raised.

If nothing is done and no solution is reached then nationalisation could happen. The government is reportedly preparing for such an event by contacting private sector administrators.

What would happen if the deal is approved?

If the loan is approved Thames Water wants a full restructuring, taking in new shareholder investment and swapping debt for a portion of the company for existing creditors.

Thames Water last week said it was challenging the amount it can raise bills by.

It had sought a 53% hike to bills from 2025-30.

That demand was rejected and instead, a 35% rise was allowed as part of a price determination for all suppliers across England and Wales.

Is there an alternative to nationalisation?

Companies like the UK’s biggest energy supplier Octopus Energy have expressed interest in its technology arm, managing the utility businesses’s functions.

Infrastructure CK Infrastructure Holding and water provider Castle Water are also understood to have submitted proposals to invest in Thames Water.

Nationalisation is not the preferred method in government.

Mr Reed has said he wants a “market solution” and opposes nationalisation.

Underinvestment, mismanagement, and dividend payments have all been blamed for Thames Water’s precarious financial position.

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Parents must not pay mandatory extra charges to access free childcare, government says

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Parents must not pay mandatory extra charges to access free childcare, government says

Parents who are entitled to hours of free childcare should not have to pay mandatory extra charges to secure their nursery place, the government has said.

Updated guidance from the Department for Education states that while nurseries are entitled to ask parents to pay for extras – including meals, snacks, nappies or sun cream – these charges must be voluntary rather than mandatory.

The guidance, which comes amid concerns that parents have faced high additional charges on top of the funded hours, also states that local councils should intervene if a childcare provider seeks to make additional charges a condition for parents accessing their hours.

Since September last year, parents and carers with children aged nine months and older have been entitled to 15 hours of government-funded childcare a week, rising to 30 hours for three to four year-olds.

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From this September, the 30 hours of care will be made available to all families – a rollout that was first introduced under the previous Conservative government.

However, there have been concerns that in order to subsidise shortfalls in funding, nurseries have charged parents extra for essentials that would normally have been included in fees.

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Under the new guidance, nurseries will be now obliged to clearly set out any additional costs parents will have to pay, including on their websites.

It says invoices should be itemised so parents can see a breakdown of the free entitlement hours, additional private paid hours and all the additional charges.

‘Fundamental financial challenges facing the sector’

Representatives of childcare providers welcomed the announcement but pointed out the financial stress that many nurseries were under.

Neil Leitch, chief executive of the Early Years Alliance, said: “While we fully agree that families should be able to access early entitlement hours without incurring additional costs, in reality, years of underfunding have made it impossible for the vast majority of settings to keep their doors open without relying on some form of additional fees or charges.

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Free childcare in England

“As such, while it is absolutely right that providers should be transparent with parents on any optional additional fees, today’s guidance does absolutely nothing to address – or even acknowledge – the fundamental financial challenges facing the sector.”

He added: “Given that from September, government will control the price of around 80% of early years provision, it has never been more important for that funding to genuinely reflect the true cost of delivering places.

“And yet we know in many areas, this year’s rate increases won’t come close to mitigating the impact April’s National Insurance and wage rises, meaning that costs for both providers and families are likely to spiral.”

In last year’s budget, Chancellor Rachel Reeves announced that the amount businesses will pay on their employees’ national insurance contributions will increase from 13.8% to 15% from April this year.

She also lowered the current £9,100 threshold employers start paying national insurance on employees’ earnings to £5,000, in what she called a “difficult choice” to make.

Last month a survey from the National Day Nurseries Association (NDNA) found that cost increases from April will force nurseries to raise fees by an average of 10%.

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This could be welcome news for working parents as they approach the end of another half term break during which they will have incurred childcare costs.

But this money would not affect school age children.

It is dedicated to very young children, aged two or below and is targeting parents, predominantly mothers, that want to return to work.

Previously after doing the sums and factoring in childcare costs, many mums would have felt that it wasn’t worth it.

And so, if these funds are easily accessible on a local level it could make a real difference to those wanting to get back to work.

The survey, covering nurseries in England, revealed that staffing costs will increase by an average of 15%, with respondents saying that more than half of the increase was due to the national insurance decision in the budget.

Purnima Tanuku CBE, chief executive of the NDNA, said “taking away the flexibility for providers around charges could seriously threaten sustainability”.

“The funding government pays to providers has never been about paying for meals, snacks or consumables, it is to provide early education and care,” she said.

“Childcare places have historically been underfunded with the gap widening year on year.

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Parents ‘frustrated’ over rising childcare demand

“From April, the operating costs for the average nursery will go up by around £47,000 once statutory minimum wages and changes to national insurance contributions are implemented. NIC changes have not been factored into the latest funding rates, further widening the underfunding gap.”

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The Department for Education said its offer to parents meant they could save up to £7,500 on average when using the full 30 hours a week of government-funded childcare support, compared to if they were paying for it themselves.

In December, the government also announced that a £75m expansion grant would be distributed to nurseries and childminders to help increase places ahead of the full rollout of funded childcare. 

Local authority allocations for the expansion grant will be confirmed before the end of February. Some of the largest areas could be provided with funding of up to £2.1m.

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Surprise boost for shops as sales growth exceeds expectations with biggest food rise in 5 years

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Surprise boost for shops as sales growth exceeds expectations with biggest food rise in 5 years

Shops were given a surprisingly big boost in January as official figures showed retail sales rose by 1.7%.

Only a 0.3% rise had been forecast by economists polled by Reuters.

It’s the first growth since August and follows a fall of 0.6% in the key shopping month of December, according to Office for National Statistics (ONS) figures.

Not since May has there been a rise this large.

The December drop was even larger than first thought. Initially, only a 0.3% contraction was recorded by the ONS.

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The large rise in January came as food shop sales rose 5.6% – the greatest amount since March 2020 when COVID-19 lockdowns began.

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Shops across the food and drink sector benefitted, the ONS said, as supermarkets, alcohol and tobacco stores plus specialist shops like butchers and bakers all reported strong trading.

Retail sales figures are significant as they measure household consumption, the largest expenditure across the UK economy.

Growing retail sales can mean economic growth, which the government has repeatedly said is its top priority.

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Combined with other data released on Friday showing improved consumer sentiment the figures show a strengthening economy.

Wage rises and interest rate cuts helped to raise the longstanding consumer confidence measure by market research company GFK.

This increase had also not been expected by economists.

“The biggest improvement is in how consumers see their personal finances for the coming year with an increase of four points that takes this measure out of negative territory”, said Neil Bellamy the consumer insights director at NIQ GfK.

“The rate cut will have brightened the mood for some people, but the majority are still struggling with a cost-of-living crisis that is far from over.”

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Nigel Farage relinquishes majority control of Reform UK

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Nigel Farage relinquishes majority control of Reform UK

Nigel Farage has given up sole control of Reform UK, with the party’s members now being “handed over ownership” following a vote last year, according to its chairman.

The party, led by Mr Farage, was previously controlled by the Clacton MP as he held a majority of shares in the company.

According to the party’s new constitution, a board will instead be set up that will lead and direct the party, with members voting in an advisory manner on policies at the annual conference.

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Members also have the power to call an “extraordinary general meeting”, and launch no-confidence motions in the party leader.

In a statement, Reform chairman Zia Yusuf said: “We are pleased to announce that, as promised, Nigel Farage has handed over ownership of Reform UK to its members.

“Reform UK is now a non-profit, with no shareholders, limited by guarantee.

“We are assembling the governing board, in line with the constitution.

“This was an important step in professionalising the party.

“We will soon have more exciting announcements about Reform UK as we prepare for government.”

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Documents filed with Companies House show that all shareholders in Reform UK Party Limited have given up their shares and control of the organisation.

Instead, a limited company called Reform 2025 Ltd is listed as being in control of the party.

Reform 2025 Ltd has two directors – Mr Farage and Mr Yusuf – but no shareholders or persons with significant control.

It is understood this is because the membership is said to be in control.

This appears to put it in a similar structure to the Labour Party, while the Conservatives and Liberal Democrats appear to have controlling leaders or chairs.

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According to the party’s website, Reform UK have more than 211,000 members – close to double the Conservative membership.

Mr Farage says he wants to overtake Labour, which has around 309,000 members.

The party won five seats at the last general election off the back of 4.1 million votes. For comparison, the Liberal Democrats won 72 seats off the back of 3.5 million votes.

This discrepancy is largely down to seats votes are concentrated in.

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Recent polling has shown that Reform are seen as stronger than Labour on a range of topics among voters, including trustworthiness, strength, and “clear sense of purpose”.

Earlier in February, the party also topped a voter intention poll for the first time.

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