Donald Trump briefly threatened to escalate his trade war with Canada by doubling his planned tariffs on its steel and aluminium from 25% to 50%.
The US president stepped back from his order after the provincial government of Ontario rowed back on a plan to charge 25% more for electricity it supplies to over 1.5 million American homes and businesses.
Canada’s most populous province provides electricity to Minnesota, New York and Michigan.
As a result, White House trade adviser Peter Navarro said Mr Trump would not double steel and aluminium tariffs – but the federal government still plans to place a 25% tariff on all steel and aluminium imports from Wednesday.
Image: Donald Trump with Elon Musk in a Tesla after he promised to buy one of the electric cars. Pic: Reuters
Ontario’s response
In his initial response to Mr Trump’s threat, Ontario’s premier Doug Ford said he would not back down until the US leader’s tariffs on Canadian imports were “gone for good”.
But he later suspended the change temporarily, saying “cooler heads need to prevail” and he was confident the US president would also stand down on his plans.
Meanwhile, Canada’s incoming prime minister Mark Carney said he will keep other tariffs in place until Americans “show respect” and commit to free trade.
Mr Carney called the new tariffs threatened by Mr Trump an “attack” on Canadian workers, families and businesses.
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0:54
‘Canada will win’, country’s next prime minister says
Why is Trump threatening tariffs?
A worldwide 25% tariff on steel and aluminium is due to come into effect on Wednesday as a way to kickstart US domestic production.
Separate tariffs on goods from Mexico and Canada covered by a previous trade agreement (the US Mexico Canada, or USMCA deal) were delayed by a month to 2 April.
President Trump seems to bear a particular grudge against Canada because of what he sees as rampant fentanyl smuggling and high Canadian taxes on dairy imports, which penalise US farmers.
He has called for Canada to become part of the United States as its “cherished 51st state” as a solution, which has angered Canadian leaders.
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3:22
What’s the impact of US tariffs?
Economic impact
Mr Trump’s turnaround comes after markets fell in response to his threat of doubling tariffs.
The stock market has fallen over the last two weeks and Harvard University economist Larry Summers put the odds of a recession at 50-50.
“All the emphasis on tariffs and all the ambiguity and uncertainty has both chilled demand and caused prices to go up,” the former treasury secretary for the Clinton administration posted on X on Monday.
“We are getting the worst of both worlds – concerns about inflation and an economic downturn and more uncertainty about the future and that slows everything.”
Investment bank Goldman Sachs revised down its growth forecast for this year from 2.2% to 1.7% and moderately increased its recession probability to 20% “because the White House has the option to pull back policy changes if downside risks begin to look more serious”.
Mr Trump has tried to reassure the American public that his tariffs will cause a bit of a “transition” to the economy as taxes spur more companies to begin the years-long process of relocating factories to the US to avoid tariffs.
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Mr Trump did not rule out the possibility of a recession during an interview with Fox News on Sunday, where he said: “I hate to predict things like that.”
On Tuesday, he was asked about a potential recession and said “I don’t see it at all” and claimed the US is “going to boom”.
On Monday, the S&P 500 stock index fell 2.7% and on Tuesday it was around 10% below its record set last month.
Donald Trump’s trade war has expanded to cover the world, with 25% tariffs on all steel and aluminium imports to the US in effect from today.
The duties were announced in mid-February as stock market investors cheered President Trump‘s ‘America first’ agenda which saw only Mexico, Canada and China come under initial pressure.
While two rounds of tariffs on China have been enacted, 25% duties on some Canadian and most Mexican cross-border trade have been withdrawn until 2 April at the earliest.
The tariffs beginning today are designed to protect US manufacturing and bolster jobs by making foreign-made products less attractive.
They threaten to make the cost of things like cars to soft drink cans – and therefore some drinks – more expensive.
Canada is the biggest exporter of both steel and aluminium to America. However, the White House on Tuesday rowed back on a threat to double the country’s tariff to 50%.
The EU is to retaliate with €26bn of counter tariffs on US goods starting from 1 April, the European Commission said on Wednesday morning.
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Commission president Ursula von der Leyen said she remained open to “meaningful dialogue” with the US.
During Mr Trump’s first term, the bloc countered with charges on products such as bourbon and jeans.
The American tariffs are also a threat to UK steel exports – worth north of £350m annually – with the bulk of that coming from stainless steel.
The business secretary Jonathan Reynolds confirmed on Wednesday morning that while he was disappointed, there would be no immediate retaliation by the UK government as negotiations continue over a wider trade deal with the US.
“I will continue to engage closely and productively with the US to press the case for UK business interests,” he said.
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1:04
Feb: Prices to rise for planes, trains and automobiles
Any fall in demand among US customers will leave producers scrambling for new markets, though some could be directed to domestic projects within the UK.
That steel could prove attractive as China, the world’s largest producer of steel, has threatened to limit its exports in response to the Trump tariffs.
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0:54
Carney: ‘Canada will win’
President Trump is under growing pressure to row back, particularly in his planned battle with nearest neighbours Mexico and Canada.
Markets have turned on the tariff regime, with jitters about the effects of higher import prices souring the US economy first being seen through the currency and bond markets.
The dollar has lost around five cents against both the pound and a resurgent euro alone in the past few weeks.
Stock markets have joined in, with the combined market value of the broad S&P 500’s constituent companies down by more than $4trn on the peak seen just last month.
The big fear is that the protectionism will push the world’s largest economy into recession – a scenario Mr Trump did not deny was possible during a weekend interview.
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US firms, already also grappling the complexities associated with an expanding tariff regime, are also letting it be known that they expect damage to their own businesses.
Delta Airlines lowered its first quarter growth forecast on the back of the turmoil this week while US firms are increasingly facing product boycotts.
Travel bodies have also reported a big drop in the number of Canadians crossing the US border, with road trips down by almost a quarter last month compared to February 2023 according to Statistics Canada.
Volodymyr Zelenskyy is ready to accept a ceasefire deal – as the US says it has immediately resumed intelligence sharing and military aid with Ukraine.
In a post on Telegram after US and Ukrainian officials met in Saudi Arabia, Mr Zelenskyy said “the American side understands our arguments” and “accepts our proposals” – and that Kyiv “accepts” the US proposal of a full 30-day ceasefire with Russia.
“I want to thank President Trump for the constructiveness of the conversation between our teams,” he said.
“Today, in the conversation, the American side proposed to take the first step immediately and try to establish a full ceasefire for 30 days, not only concerning rockets, drones, and bombs, not only in the Black Sea, but also along the entire front line.
“Ukraine accepts this proposal, we consider it positive, and we are ready to take this step.”
Image: Volodymyr Zelenskyy says he is ready to accept the US’ 30-day ceasefire proposal. Pic: Saudi Press Agency / Reuters
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20:04
Ukraine agrees 30-day ceasefire
‘Ukraine is ready for peace’
The Ukrainian president then said the US “must convince Russia to do this” and that “if the Russians agree – that’s when the silence will work”.
He added: “An important element of today’s conversation is America’s readiness to restore defensive assistance to Ukraine, as well as intelligence support.
“Ukraine is ready for peace. Russia must show whether it is ready to stop the war or continue it.
“The time has come for the full truth. I thank everyone who helps Ukraine.”
Meanwhile, in a joint statement with Kyiv following nine-hour-long talks in Jeddah, the US State Department said it will immediately lift the pause on intelligence-sharing and military aid.
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4:58
Analysis: A pause in aid for Ukraine
‘Ball is now in Russia’s court’
Marco Rubio, US secretary of state, also told reporters that “the ball is now in Russia’s court” after meeting with the Ukrainian delegation.
After the positive talks, Mr Rubio said “we’re going to take the offer” to Russia, adding: “We’re going to tell them this is what’s on the table, Ukraine is ready to stop shooting and start talking, and now it’ll be up to them to say yes or no.
“I hope they’re going to say yes, and if they do then I think we made great progress.”
Image: ‘The ball is now in Russia’s court’ to agree to a ceasefire, Marco Rubio (R) said. Pic: Reuters
He then said that while no deadline has been set, he hopes a deal can be reached “as soon as possible” and that “this is serious stuff, this is not Mean Girls, this is not some episode of some television show”.
“The number one goodwill gesture we could see from the Russians is to see the Ukrainian offer and reciprocate it with a yes,” Mr Rubio added.
National security adviser Mike Waltz also added it is “very clear” that Kyiv shares Donald Trump’s vision for peace and that “they share his determination to end the fighting”.
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Over in the US, Mr Trump said that officials will meet with Russia either today or tomorrow and confirmed he would invite Mr Zelenskyy back to the White House.
“We want to get the Ukraine war over with,” the US president said, before saying he hopes to have a total ceasefire in the coming days.
He also told reporters he thinks he will talk to Russian President Vladimir Putin this week – but warned “it takes two to tango”.
Image: Donald Trump said ‘we want to get the Ukraine war over with’. Pic: Reuters
US vice president JD Vancetold the Ukrainian president “you should be thanking” Mr Trump “for trying to bring an end to this conflict,” sparking a tense 10-minute back-and-forth.
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0:42
From February: What happened when Trump met Zelenskyy?
A press conference with the two leaders and the signing of an agreement was then cancelled.
Following a meeting with Kyiv officials in Saudi Arabia, US secretary of state Marco Rubio told reporters “the ball is now in Russia’s court” and the next step is for Moscow to agree to terms.
US President Donald Trump said “we want to get the Ukraine war over with” and hopes to have a total ceasefire in the coming days.
But what has been agreed by the US and Ukraine? Here’s what we know so far…
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1:16
‘Do you think you’ll get a ceasefire?’
Straight after the nine-hour talks in Jeddah, the US State Department said Washington would immediately lift the pause on intelligence sharing and military aid to Ukraine.
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Mr Zelenskyy confirmed in his post that an “important element of today’s conversation is America’s readiness to restore defensive assistance to Ukraine, as well as intelligence support”.
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4:58
Analysis: A pause in aid for Ukraine
As part of their plan, the US said both sides should agree to an immediate 30-day ceasefire which could then be mutually extended.
A joint statement from the US and Ukraineadded that Washington “will communicate to Russia that Russian reciprocity is the key to achieving peace”.
The Ukrainian president added that the proposal was “not only concerning rockets, drones, and bombs, not only in the Black Sea, but also along the entire front line” – although the official statement does not mention this.
The statement also makes no mention of territory – despite Ukraine previously calling for Russia to return occupied lands, and the US saying Kyiv might have to concede territory – or the foreign deployment of soldiers in Ukraine for peacekeeping.
The joint statement does say officials discussed aid efforts as part of the peace process, including “the exchange of prisoners of war, the release of civilian detainees, and the return of forcibly transferred Ukrainian children”.
Ukraine also reiterated that European partners would be involved in the peace process, and both countries agreed a deal on Kyiv’s minerals and rare earths should “conclude as soon as possible”.
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2:32
How many critical minerals does Ukraine have?
What has Ukraine said?
Mr Zelenskyy said Ukraine agrees to the terms, adding that “the American side understands our arguments” and “accepts our proposals”.
He then said he wanted “to thank President Trump for the constructiveness of the conversation between our teams,” before adding: “Ukraine is ready for peace.
“Russia must show whether it is ready to stop the war or continue it. The time has come for the full truth.”
Image: Zelenskyy met with Saudi’s Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman before the US delegation arrived. Pic: Saudi Press Agency / Reuters
Ukraine’s foreign minister Andrii Sybiha – who was in Jeddah for the talks – called the meeting a step forward “both on the path to peace and in developing the strategic Ukraine-US partnership” on social media.
And speaking to Sky News’ Mark Austin, Ukrainian MP Lesia Vasylenko added that “we will have to wait and see what comes of it” but that “clearly it’s good news”.
“On first glance it’s amazing,” she said. “If we can get the Russians to agree to a ceasefire for 30 days, then our soldiers on the frontline will have a break…”
However, she said: “In previous years [Russia has] shown an absolute inability to understand what a ceasefire is and to stick to the basic rules of a ceasefire – which means not firing any weapons.”
Mr Rubio said the next step is “going to take the offer” to Russia, adding: “We’re going to tell them this is what’s on the table, Ukraine is ready to stop shooting and start talking, and now it’ll be up to them to say yes or no.
“I hope they’re going to say yes, and if they do then I think we made great progress.”
Mr Trump echoed this outside the White House, saying Ukraine has agreed to the “total ceasefire” and that “hopefully Russia will agree to it”.
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0:28
‘I’ll talk to Vladimir Putin’
He added that he will speak to Vladimir Putin in the coming days, warning the Russian president that “it takes two to tango”.
How has Russia reacted?
So far, there’s been no official reaction to the proposal other than to acknowledge Mr Trump’s comments about talks within the next week.
But ahead of the breakthrough talks in Jeddah, Russian foreign minister Sergei Lavrov said Mr Zelenskyy does not want peace.
According to state news agency TASS, Mr Lavrov added: “Mr Zelenskyy publicly declares that he does not want any ceasefire unless the Americans provide him with assurances that they will launch a nuclear strike on Russia if necessary.
“He frames the issue in much the same manner. For now, [a peace talk] is not serious.”
Mr Zelenskyy has not called for the US to strike Russia with nuclear weapons, but did say last month that Ukraine should be given them if talks on joining NATO are protracted for years.