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In Miche cafe and bar in British Columbia’s capital, Victoria, owner Allan Sinclair is turning around specific alcohol bottles on the top shelf to hide the labels from public view.

He picks up a bottle of Jack Daniels.

“This is from Tennessee and they supported Trump so we can’t have that,” he says.

How Trump’s tariffs could cost UK consumers

Allan Sinclair, owner of Miche cafe and bar in British Columbia's capital, Victoria.
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Allan Sinclair, owner of Miche cafe and bar in British Columbia’s capital, Victoria

Bottles of American liquor were being turned around in the Canadian store.
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Bottles of American liquor were being turned around in the Canadian store

A bottle of Wayne Gretzky’s cream liquor is nearly finished.

“Once it’s gone, I’m going to get rid of it,” says Allan. “He’s shown he doesn’t respect our country anymore.”

Gretzky, once a Canadian ice hockey hero, has alienated many here with his steadfast support of the American president.

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Allan also sells “Canadianos,” which he says, wryly, are stronger than Americanos.

They are quiet but considered acts of defiance in the face of a trade war started by the United States.

“It is a small protest in the form of a coffee,” he says. “What we can do is hope that they don’t follow up with all of this madness.”

Tuesday began with Donald Trump announcing a 50% tariff on aluminium and steel coming from Canada. Just hours later, that was revised back down to 25%.

There is a grinding, on-off, tit-for-tat nature to these economic punishments.

The British Columbia premier David Eby retaliated to the Trump tariffs by prohibiting the sale of American-manufactured alcohol in his province.

The Miche cafe and bar doesn't sell Americanos.
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The Miche cafe and bar doesn’t sell Americanos

‘Buy Canadian Instead’

BC Liquor Store is just steps away from the premier’s office in Victoria.

On the shelves where Kentucky bourbon would usually be there are signs saying: “Buy Canadian Instead.”

Dozens of bottles of California and Oregon wine are wrapped tightly with cellophane.

But the threats from the Trump administration don’t end with tariffs.

The president has stated repeatedly that he’s keen to make Canada the 51st state. Even referring to Prime Minister Justin Trudeau as “governor”.

British Columbia premier David Eby speaking to Sky News.
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British Columbia premier David Eby speaking to Sky News

Premier Eby tells Sky News: “These are deeply unnerving statements for the president to be making, especially in the context of clearly expansionist policies related to Greenland and the Panama Canal.

“What we get continually about the president is to take him seriously, but not literally.

“I would love to have that kind of luxury… the danger, I think, is not taking him literally and seriously.”

‘I’m trying to buy anything but American

On the ferry which connects Vancouver Island with the mainland, tariff fatigue is setting in.

Passenger Nancy, a government worker, says she thinks Donald Trump is intent on causing mayhem. “He’s a menace, he’s just creating chaos where it doesn’t need to be.”

Her colleague Laura says the silver lining is that the tariffs have galvanised Canadians together.

Laura, a government worker, says the tariffs have brought Canadians together.
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Laura, a government worker, says the tariffs have brought Canadians together

“People feel hurt and angry,” she says. “We are trying to buy more Canadian products and travel anywhere other than the United States. I had a trip booked to Las Vegas and we’ve cancelled that. When I go to the grocery store, I look for the Canadian maple leaf that a lot of grocery stores have put on the shelves. I’m trying to buy anything but American.”

Richard thinks Donald Trump’s end game is to weaken the Canadian economy.

“I think Trump had an agenda from the beginning, without a doubt. I think he wanted to cause a collapse of the Canadian economy so it would make it easier for him and his colleagues to buy up whatever they wanted, if not to make us a 51st state – it had nothing to do with Fentanyl, that was just a ruse.”

Trump’s ‘fiction’ Fentanyl claims

He’s referencing the Trump administration’s repeated claims that Fentanyl, a devastating opioid that has ravaged parts of both America and Canada, is flooding over the Canadian border into the US.

It’s the reason, they say, for starting this trade war.

One reason Mr Trump gave for initiating the trade war was the alleged flow of fentanyl over the border.
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One reason Mr Trump gave for initiating the trade war was the alleged flow of fentanyl over the border

Dr M-J Milloy, director of research at British Columbia Centre on Substance Use, says that this simply isn’t true.

“There is no one who knows anything about drug markets in North America who would agree with the statement that Canada is a substantial part of the problem in the United States. It is a fiction.”

Dr M-J Milloy, director of research at British Columbia Centre on Substance Use.
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Dr M-J Milloy, director of research at British Columbia Centre on Substance Use

“No question that Fentanyl has devastated the United States. Fentanyl is devastating Canada. And so I think in that way, it might be a potent way for Mr Trump to whip up enthusiasm and to justify this aggression,” he adds.

Whatever the reason – invented or otherwise – for this trade war, it’s making an enemy of this ally.

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Day 52: Tesla, tariffs and a step closer to truce

The question is, what power does Canada really have in the face of its much bigger, far wealthier neighbour?

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Good weather and Women’s Euros helps UK net surprise boost to retail sales

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Good weather and Women's Euros helps UK net surprise boost to retail sales

Retail sales rose a surprising amount in July, as good weather and the Women’s Euros led people to part with their cash, official figures show.

The amount of spending rose 0.6% in July, according to figures from the Office for National Statistics (ONS), far above the 0.2% rise anticipated by economists polled by Reuters.

In particular, clothing and footwear stores, as well as online shopping, experienced strong growth.

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When looked at on a three-month basis, the numbers are weaker, with a 0.6% fall in sales up to July due in part to downward revisions in June.

Spending has declined since March, when supermarkets, sports shops, and household goods saw strong sales at the beginning of the year as warm and sunny weather pushed summer purchases earlier. Though compared to a year ago, sales are up 1.1%.

Fans gather during a Homecoming Victory Parade in London after England's win in the final of the Women's Euros. Pic: PA
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Fans gather during a Homecoming Victory Parade in London after England’s win in the final of the Women’s Euros. Pic: PA

Retail sales figures are significant as they measure household consumption, the largest expenditure in the UK economy.

Growing retail sales can mean economic growth, which the government has repeatedly said is its top priority.

A problem with the figures

These figures were originally due to be published in August but were delayed by two weeks so the ONS could carry out “quality assurance” checks.

Following the checks, the statistics body found a “problem”, which meant it had to correct seasonally adjusted figures.

It hasn’t been the only question mark over the reliability of ONS figures.

In March, UK trade figures were delayed due to errors from 2023, and the office continues to advise caution in interpreting changes in the monthly unemployment rate due to concerns over data reliability.

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UK growth slowed amid rising costs in June.

As a result of the latest error, previously monthly figures overstated the monthly volatility in the first five months of 2025, the ONS’s director general of economic statistics, James Benford, said.

Mr Benford apologised for the release delay and for the errors.

What could it mean?

It could mean retrospective changes to the UK economic growth rate, according to Rob Wood, the chief UK economist at Pantheon Macroeconomics.

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April’s economic growth rate will be revised down, and May’s will be moved up as a result, Mr Wood said.

There will be no impact on the Bank of England’s interest rate decision, he added.

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More than a quarter of cars sold in August were electric vehicles – SMMT figures

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More than a quarter of cars sold in August were electric vehicles - SMMT figures

A greater proportion of electric cars were sold last month than at any point this year, industry data shows.

More than a quarter (26.5%) of cars sold in August were electric vehicles (EVs), according to figures from motor lobby group the Society for Motor Manufacturers and Traders (SMMT).

It’s the largest amount of sales since December 2024 and comes as the government introduced financial incentives to help drivers make the move to zero tailpipe emission cars.

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The full suite of grants were not available during the month, however, with a further 35 models eligible for £1,500 off early in September.

Throughout August more models became eligible for price reductions, meaning more consumers could be tempted to purchase an EV in September.

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New EV grants to drive sales came into effect in July

The increased percentage of EV sales came despite an overall 2% drop in buying, compared to a year earlier, in what is typically the quietest month for car purchases.

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What are the rules?

The numbers suggest the car industry could be on course to meet the government’s zero-emission vehicle (ZEV) mandate, the thinktank Energy & Climate Intelligence Unit (ECIU) has said.

It stipulates that new petrol and diesel cars may not be sold from 2030.

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Amid pressure from industry, the government altered the mandate in April to allow for hybrid vehicles, which are powered by both fuel and a battery, to be sold until 2035.

Sales of new petrol and diesel vans are also permitted until 2035.

Until then, 28% of cars sold must be electric this year, with the share rising to 33% in 2026, 38% in 2027 and 66% in 2029, the final year before the new combustion engine ban.

Manufacturers face fines for not meeting the targets.

Last year, the objective of making 22% of all car sales purely EVs was surpassed, with EVs comprising 24.3% of the total sold in 2024.

Why?

The increased portion of EV sales can be attributed to increased model choice and discounting, on top of the government reductions, the SMMT said.

Savings from running an electric car are also enticing motorists, the ECIU said. “Demand for used EVs is already surging because they can offer £1,600 a year in savings in owning and running costs.”

“This matters for regular families as the pipeline of second-hand EVs is dependent on new car sales, which hit the used market after around three to four years.

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Firms cut jobs at fastest pace since 2021, Bank of England data shows

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Firms cut jobs at fastest pace since 2021, Bank of England data shows

Businesses have cut jobs at the fastest pace in almost four years, according to a closely-watched Bank of England survey which also paints a worrying picture for employment and wage growth ahead.

Its Decision Maker Panel (DMP) data, taken from chief financial officers across 2,000 companies, showed employment levels over the three months to August were 0.5% lower than in the same period a year earlier.

It amounted to the worst decline since autumn 2021 as firms grappled with the implementation of budget measures in the spring that raised their national insurance contributions and minimum wage levels, along with business rates for many.

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The start of April also witnessed the escalation in Donald Trump’s global trade war which further damaged sentiment, especially among exporters to the United States.

The survey showed no improvement in hiring intentions in the tough economy, with companies expecting to reduce employment levels by 0.5% over the coming year.

That was the weakest outlook projection since October 2020.

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At the same time, the panel also showed that participants planned to raise their own prices by 3.8% over the next 12 months. That is in line with the current rate of inflation.

The news on wages was no better as the central forecast was for an average rise of 3.6% – down from the 4.6% seen over the past 12 months.

If borne out, it would mean private sector wages rising below the rate of inflation – erasing household and business spending power.

The Bank of England has been relying on data such as the DMP amid a lack of confidence in official employment figures produced by the Office for National Statistics due to low response rates.

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August: Tax rises playing ’50:50′ role in rising inflation

Bank governor Andrew Bailey told a committee of MPs on Wednesday that he was now less sure over the pace of interest rate cuts ahead owing to stubborn inflation in the economy.

The consumer prices index measure is expected to peak at 4% next month – double the Bank’s target rate – from the current level.

Higher interest rates only add to company costs and make them less likely to borrow for investment purposes.

At the same time, employers are fearful that the coming budget, set for late November, may contain no relief.

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Why aren’t we hearing about the budget ‘black hole’?

Sky News revealed on Thursday how the head of the banking sector’s main lobby group had written to the chancellor to warn that any additional levy on bank profits, as suggested by a think-tank last week, would only damage her search for growth.

Rachel Reeves is believed to be facing a black hole in the public finances amounting to £20bn-£40bn.

Tax rises are believed to be inevitable, given her commitment to fiscal rules concerning borrowing by the end of the parliament.

Heightened costs associated with servicing such debts following recent bond sell-offs across Western economies have made more borrowing even less palatable.

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Why did UK debt just get more expensive?

Ms Reeves is expected to raise some form of wealth tax, while other speculation has included a shake-up of council tax.

She has consistently committed not to target working people but the Bank of England data, and official ONS figures, would suggest that businesses have responded to 2024 budget measures by cutting jobs since April, with hospitality and retail among the worst hit.

Commenting on the data, Rob Wood, chief UK economist at Pantheon Macroeconomics, said: “The DMP survey shows stubborn wage and price pressures despite falling employment, continuing to suggest that structural economic changes and supply weakness are keeping inflation high.

“The MPC [monetary policy committee of the Bank of England] will have to be cautious, so we remain comfortable assuming no more rate cuts this year.”

“That said, the increasing signs of labour market weakness suggest dovish risks,” he concluded.

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