Bitcoin beats global assets post-Trump election, despite BTC correction
Bitcoin managed to outperform the other major global assets, such as the stock market, equities, treasuries and precious metals, despite the recent crypto market correction coinciding with the two-month debt suspension period in the United States.
Bitcoin’s (BTC) price is currently down 23% from its all-time high of over $109,000 recorded on Jan. 20, on the day of US President Donald Trump’s inauguration, Cointelegraph Markets Pro data shows.
Despite the recent decline, Bitcoin still outperformed all major global market segments, including the stock market, equities, US treasuries, real estate and precious metals, according to Bloomberg data shared by Thomas Fahrer, the co-founder of Apollo Sats.
BTC/USD, 1-year chart. Source: Cointelegraph
“Even with the pullback, Bitcoin still outperforming every other asset post election,” wrote Fahrer in a March 18 X post.
Asset performance post-Trump administration takeover. Source: Thomas Fahrer
Despite concerns over the premature arrival of the bear market cycle, Bitcoin’s retracement to $76,000 remains part of an organic “correction within a bull market,” according to Aurelie Barthere, principal research analyst at the Nansen crypto intelligence platform.
“We are still in a correction within a bull market: Stocks and crypto have realized and are pricing in a period of tariff uncertainty and fiscal cuts, no Fed put. Recession fears are popping up,” the analyst told Cointelegraph.
Related: Bitcoin experiencing ‘shakeout,’ not end of 4-year cycle: Analysts
Bitcoin ETFs log biggest daily inflows since February
The US spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) are starting to see positive net daily inflows, which may bring more upside momentum for the world’s first cryptocurrency.
Spot Bitcoin ETF net inflows. Source: Sosovalue
The US Bitcoin ETFs recorded over $274 million worth of cumulative net inflows on March 17, marking the highest day of investments since Feb. 4, when Bitcoin was trading above $98,652, Sosovalue data shows.
ETF investments played a major role in Bitcoin’s 2024 rally, contributing approximately 75% of new investment as Bitcoin recaptured the $50,000 mark on Feb. 15.
Related: Rising $219B stablecoin supply signals mid-bull cycle, not market top
While Bitcoin may see more downside volatility due to global trade war concerns, it is unlikely to see a significant decline below the current levels, according to Gracy Chen, CEO of Bitget.
Chen told Cointelegraph:
“I don’t see BTC falling below 70k, possibly $73k – $78k which is a solid time to enter for any buyers on the fence. In the next 1-2 years, BTC at $200k isn’t as far-fetched as most would think.”
Other industry leaders are also optimistic about Bitcoin’s price trajectory for the rest of 2025, with price predictions ranging from $160,000 to above $180,000.
Magazine: SCB tips $500K BTC, SEC delays Ether ETF options, and more: Hodler’s Digest, Feb. 23 – March 1
When FTX filed for bankruptcy on Nov. 11, 2022, it sent shockwaves throughout the crypto world, erasing billions in market liquidity and shattering confidence in centralized exchanges.
The dramatic collapse became a turning point for the digital asset industry, triggering calls for stronger transparency and reactions from regulators.
Three years after the exchange’s collapse, transparency initiatives across the crypto industry have proliferated. Proof-of-reserves attestations, audits and onchain analytics represented progress. Still, many of those reforms remain works in progress, and some of FTX’s creditors have yet to be made whole.
CEXs forced to adjust post FTX
Centralized exchanges bore the full impact of the post-FTX crisis of confidence. In the weeks following the bankruptcy, users withdrew more than $20 billion from major trading platforms, according to CoinGecko data.
In response, exchanges began publishing proof-of-reserves (PoR) attestations to demonstrate solvency. Binance released its first report on Nov. 10, 2022, followed by a Merkle Tree-based report a few days later that allowed users to verify its Bitcoin (BTC) holdings.
Around that time, OKX, Deribit and Crypto.com all published proofs-of-reserve amid fears of contagion and uncertainty surrounding crypto exchanges.
While these efforts offered some visibility into reserves, most relied on snapshots rather than continuous audits and often drew criticism from the crypto community.
One X user, David Gokhshtein, said at the time that publishing proof-of-reserves wasn’t enough. “When you aren’t showing the company’s liabilities, it means nothing,” he wrote.
Thomas Perfumo, Kraken’s global economist, told Cointelegraph that the “hard lessons of the past were never an indictment of crypto,” adding that the FTX debacle reinforced the “governance and integrity matter.”
Decentralized finance protocols also adapted following the collapse, pushing calls not only for transparency but also for self-custody as an essential safeguard for crypto users.
“We’ve seen a notable shift,” Eddie Zhang, president of dYdX Labs, told Cointelegraph. According to Zhang, DeFi now operates under stronger risk frameworks while “governance is becoming more sophisticated,” with systems that “withstand market shocks.”
Related: FTX’s 2-year repayment delay is a ‘win,’ claims trader who predicted FTX’s collapse
Creditors still waiting for closure
Despite the industry’s transparency campaigns and recent regulations, such as the GENIUS Act in the United States and the European Union’s Markets in Crypto-Assets Regulation, some FTX creditors have yet to recover their losses.
According to a Nov. 9 update by Sunil Kavuri, a FTX creditor representative, the exchange has distributed $7.1 billion to creditors across three rounds so far.
In January, FTX announced the distribution of more than $1.2 billion in repayments to creditors who fulfilled certain requirements before Jan. 20. However, according to Sunil, only $454 million was effectively paid in the first round, going to small claimants with balances under $50,000.
A larger $5 billion payout followed on May 30, while the latest round took place on Sept. 30 and distributed another $1.6 billion to creditors. The next distribution is expected in January 2026, though it has not been confirmed by the FTX estate.
FTX’s total recovered assets were estimated at about $16.5 billion in October 2024.
According to Kavuri, because repayments are being made in US dollars rather than in-kind crypto assets, creditors are missing out on the market’s rebound since 2022.
Bitcoin, valued at $16,797 the day after FTX filed for bankruptcy, was trading around $103,000 on Tuesday.
Even with cash repayments exceeding the original claim amounts, real recovery rates could range from 9% to 46% when adjusted for current crypto prices, Kavuri said.
Related: FTX drops ‘restricted countries’ motion but warns it may refile
SBF looks for a lifeline
Former FTX CEO Sam Bankman-Fried is serving a 25-year prison sentence for fraud and conspiracy but has appealed his conviction, arguing that he was denied the presumption of innocence and barred from presenting evidence that FTX was, in fact, solvent in November 2022. His legal team appeared before the US Court of Appeals for the Second Circuit on Nov. 4.
Prediction market Polymarket currently assigns only a 4% probability that Bankman-Fried will receive a presidential pardon in 2025. Former Alameda Research CEO Caroline Ellison, who cooperated with prosecutors, began serving her sentence in late 2024 and is projected to be released in mid-2026.
Magazine: Good luck suing crypto exchanges, market makers over the flash crash
John Deaton, a lawyer who advocates for XRP holders and ran against Massachusetts Senator Elizabeth Warren in the 2024 US election, is making another bid for Congress.
At a Monday event in Worcester, Massachusetts, Deaton announced that he would run for US Senate again in 2026, this time attempting to unseat Democratic Senator Ed Markey. The lawyer ran as the Republican candidate in 2024, losing to Warren, a Democrat, by about 700,000 votes.
“I’m winning this time,” Deaton said in a campaign video aired at the Worcester event.
Deaton, who said he will run as a Republican to unseat Markey, will likely face competition on both sides of the aisle in 2026. His campaign announcement did not specifically focus on digital asset policy, but he and Warren had previously clashed over their respective views on crypto.
Related: XRP Army made a difference in Ripple’s SEC lawsuit: Crypto lawyer
Deaton gained widespread recognition in the crypto industry by advocating on behalf of XRP (XRP) holders in Ripple Labs’ legal battle with the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).
Seth Moulton, who represents Massachusetts’s 6th Congressional District in the US House of Representatives, is a Democratic contender in the 2026 race. Markey, who will be 80 next year, voted against the passage of the GENIUS stablecoin bill and has called out crypto mining for its “extravagant electricity use.”
Looking at a repeat of 2024?
“We’re never going to not be excited about someone advocating for [crypto] policy,” Mason Lynaugh, community director of Stand With Crypto, told Cointelegraph. “He’s going to have his own voters he’s going to cultivate that are very excited to see someone like him saying these types of things publicly.”
It’s unclear what Deaton’s chances would be in a US state that typically swings to the Democrats.
During his previous Senate campaign, cryptocurrency executives from Ripple, Gemini and Kraken supported Deaton’s run, contributing more than $360,000 in the first quarter of 2024.
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