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The US central bank has slashed its expectations for economic growth this year as it eyes challenges on several fronts amid Donald Trump’s escalating trade war.

The Federal Reserve announced, as was widely expected, that it would keep its main interest rate at its current target range level of 4.25%-4.5% following the latest meeting of its Federal Open Markets Committee.

The statement that accompanied that decision showed slightly elevated expectations for inflation but also a forecast that the annual rate of economic growth this year had been cut from 2.1% to 1.7%.

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The reduction partly reflected weaker consumer spending, the Fed said, adding that could be partly explained by the threat of rising prices due to the tariff agenda.

The central bank admitted rising uncertainty over its dual mandate which covers employment as well as inflation.

At a news conference to accompany the decision, Fed chair Jay Powell said: “The economy is strong overall”, adding that labour market conditions were “solid”.

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But on the question of rising goods inflation he said: “A good part of it is coming from tariffs”, adding that it was too soon to split non-tariff and tariff-related inflation in the data.

Fed chair Jay Powell takes reporters' questions on 3 May. Pic: Federal Reserve
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Fed chair Jay Powell takes reporters’ questions. File pic: Federal Reserve

The core message was that it was too early to predict the impact overall.

Policymakers said risks had increased, with a near unanimous sentiment in saying the outlook for the year was muddled but it stopped short of directly blaming the protectionist policies being pursed by the Trump White House.

The Fed revealed its hand less than 24 hours before the Bank of England was expected to follow suit by also holding off on any fresh rate cut amid risks of surging prices due to the growing trade war uncertainty.

The Fed meeting took place against a backdrop of mounting concern among financial markets and economists that the trade war could lead the world’s largest economy into recession.

Stock market values are well down on where they started the year, with the broad-based S&P 500 losing $4trn in the space of less than a month at one stage as the tariff threats intensified.

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Should UK be worried by Trump tariffs?

The dollar remains around five cents down against both the pound and euro while US government borrowing costs also remain elevated.

Stocks rebounded somewhat on the Fed’s update as it signalled no immediate pressure for a policy shift, with the statement signalling that two rate cuts remained on the cards over the remainder of 2025.

But US economists are particularly worried about the trade war involving the country’s nearest neighbours Mexico and Canada – yet to get into full swing as had been threatened due to several suspensions by the Trump administration.

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The main domestic concern is that tit-for-tat tariffs will hammer cross-border supply chains and wider trade, leaving US businesses drowning under a mountain of red tape and higher costs, the latter being widely tipped to be passed on down supply chains and ultimately hitting consumers.

Trade war hostilities between the three are set to ramp up from 2 April – a day after the EU retaliates to US steel and aluminium tariffs with duties being applied to US goods worth €26bn.

Mr Trump has already threatened to respond with 200% tariffs on EU alcohol imports including wine and spirits.

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WH Smith high street arm sold to Hobbycraft owner in £76m deal

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WH Smith high street arm sold to Hobbycraft owner in £76m deal

WH Smith has sold its 233-year old high street business to the owner of Hobbycraft in a £76m deal.

Sky News revealed in January how a sales process was under way for the arm, which employs roughly 5,000 people and has 480 stores.

Modella Capital won the final stage of the auction process in a run off against Alteri investors – both specialists in turning around troubled retailers.

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The deal will see the WH Smith name erased from town centres to become TGJones.

The sale allows the WH Smith business to focus fully on its lucrative travel retail arm.

That has around 1,200 stores, based mainly at airports and railway stations, in 32 countries globally and accounts for 85% of group profits.

Chief executive Carl Cowling said: “Given our rapid international growth, now is the right time for a new owner to take the High Street business forward and for the WH Smith leadership team to focus exclusively on our Travel business”.

There was no word on what the new owners may do to bolster profitability, with a question mark firmly hanging over employment and the store estate – often the subject of criticism over a perceived lack of investment.

WH Smith’s statement said: “All stores, colleagues, assets and liabilities of the High Street business will move under Modella Capital’s ownership as part of the Transaction.

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“Under this new ownership, the business will be led by Sean Toal, currently CEO of the High Street business. The High Street business will operate for a short transitional period under the WHSmith brand whilst the business rebrands as TGJones.”

The sale to Modella represents an enterprise value of £76m on a cash and debt-free basis but will see WH Smith secure an estimated £25m on a net basis after several costs associated with the sale are accounted for.

Shares fell by more than 1% at the open.

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Port giant DP World ‘discredited’ by former minister despite £1bn investment in London Gateway

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Port giant DP World 'discredited' by former minister despite £1bn investment in London Gateway

The chairman of P&O Ferries’ parent company DP World has told Sky News he went ahead with a £1bn investment in the UK despite feeling “discredited” by criticism from a cabinet minister.

P&O was widely criticised in 2022 when more than 700 seafarers were summarily fired and replaced by largely overseas workers without consultation.

Last October, the issue threatened DP World’s planned expansion of London Gateway, its deepwater port on the Thames Estuary, when the then transport secretary, Louise Haigh, described P&O as a “rogue operator”.

Her comments came as DP World was in the final stages of negotiating a £1bn investment in the port, due to be announced at the government’s investment summit.

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In response, DP World pulled the announcement and only relented following a personal intervention by the prime minister to keep his showpiece event on course.

DP World's chairman Sultan Ahmed Bin Sulayem
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DP World chairman Sultan Ahmed Bin Sulayem

Speaking exclusively to Sky News, Sultan Ahmed Bin Sulayem said the criticism was unexpected given the scale of his planned investment in the UK.

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‘Water under the bridge’

“There was a misunderstanding. Someone, unfortunately, said something that was not what we expected.

“We were going to invest in infrastructure, a huge investment, and then we get the person in charge to basically discredit us. But it’s water under the bridge.”

Bin Sulayem confirmed that he had spoken with the prime minister and received “reassurances” that Ms Haigh was expressing a personal view. She subsequently resigned after admitting a fraud offence.

The chairman also defended P&O’s conduct, saying that having received no state support during the pandemic, the cuts were necessary to save the company.

“We had a choice. We either close down the company and 3,000 people or more lose their jobs, or we try to survive by letting 700 or so go. And we felt that was right,” he said.

“Maybe we didn’t follow the procedures, but most importantly, we compensated every employee with more than what the law said.”

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Rebuilding relations

File pic of DP World's London Gateway container port in Stanford-le-Hope, Essex. Pic: PA
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DP World’s London Gateway container port in Stanford-le-Hope, Essex. File pic: PA

Bin Sulayem was speaking on a flying visit to the UK intended to rebuild relations with the government, meeting investment minister Poppy Gustaffsen at London Gateway to discuss an expansion that will make the port Britain’s largest by volume and offering encouraging words about the UK’s attractiveness to investors.

“We believe in the UK economy, in its strength, and we believe the economic fundamentals are strong. That’s why we invested,” he said.

“The UK has the best stock market in the world. You have English law, and you have the best universities in Oxford and Cambridge. If we look to the future, it will be the economy of the brain, not the economy of the hand.

“The world economy doesn’t want labourers, it wants brains. People want engineers. They want free thinkers. They want innovators. That is what’s here, and that’s why we invested in London Gateway.”

DP World's chairman Sultan Ahmed Bin Sulayem
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Sky’s Paul Kelso with Bin Sulayem

Tariff trade trouble

With ports and logistics operations in more than 70 countries handling around 10% of global trade, DP World’s chairman has a unique insight into global trade and the likely impact of the tariff war sparked by Donald Trump.

While confident that trade will find a way to navigate the disruption, he warned America’s trading partners to take the president seriously.

“I think psychologically it will [have an impact], but in reality it will not, because trade is resilient. I think of it like water coming from the mountain in the rain, nobody can stop it. If you can’t sell a product in one place, you can sell it somewhere else.

“Trump is a deal maker. He is making threats because that’s the way he negotiates. He comes with impossible demands because he wants people to come to the table.

“But he’s serious. He will do what he’s threatening if nobody makes a deal.”

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Bank payday outages ‘will absolutely happen again’, tech expert says

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Bank payday outages 'will absolutely happen again', tech expert says

Payday banking outages will happen again but are unlikely to occur tomorrow, according to a banking technology expert.

Online banking failures on the final Friday of the last two months, payday for many, were seen as millions of customers of different institutions were locked out of accounts or unable to send or receive payments.

At the end of January, Barclays experienced problems in branches and online for days, while in February issues – which did not appear to be related – were encountered by Lloyds, Halifax, Nationwide, TSB, Bank of Scotland and First Direct.

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Similar outages “will absolutely happen again”, said Paul Taylor, chief executive of bank technology company Thought Machine, which sells cloud computing solutions to the banking industry.

Given the attention generated by the last two paydays, Mr Taylor said his guess is this Friday will be safe as every bank’s chief information officer is “super aware” of the day and that “it would be devastating for reputation if anything happened”.

The troubles, however, are not unique to the last two paydays but have just been more visible and complained about, Mr Taylor told Sky News.

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“My guess is that we’re talking about visibility, not occurrence. I’m aware of bank problems on paydays for many years.”

Through his job, Mr Taylor said he speaks to a major bank every day and counts Lloyds Banking Group as a client.

Why are glitches happening?

These issues will continue to arise as lenders grapple with “creaking infrastructure”, Mr Taylor said.

“The sheer volume of payments can overwhelm the bank, and that’s why it’s particularly susceptible on this [pay] day”.

“The problem that banks have is that the systems are old and the systems are fragile”, he said.

“One problem causes a knock-on effect, and that knock-on effect ripples through the bank, and then the end result is on payday that the payments don’t get made”.

Solving the issue is expensive and time-consuming, he added, even for banks that have enjoyed higher profits in recent years, thanks to elevated interest rates.

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Could ageing tech be behind banking outages?

Many banks are moving to more modern infrastructure, Mr Taylor said, but it takes time and banks don’t want to get it wrong.

But some are “so entrenched in this legacy technology”, he said.

The UK banks are “not that bad” when compared to international competition and each spend billions on IT every year, Mr Taylor caveated.

Despite this, no banks contacted by Sky News said glitches wouldn’t happen again.

What went wrong on paydays?

And when banks were asked what caused the glitches last payday, none responded with an explanation.

After parts of Barclays were down in January, the phenomenon began being investigated by the influential Treasury Committee of MPs.

As part of this, banks were asked to outline the outages they’ve experienced and why.

In the days before the February payday, nine top UK banks told the committee typical reasons for failures included problems with third-party suppliers, disruption caused by systems changes and internal software malfunctions.

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Those companies had a total of 803 hours of unplanned outages over the last two years, they said, equivalent to 33 days, comprised of 158 individual IT failures.

What have banks said?

TSB and Natwest referred Sky News to the banking lobby group UK Finance, which said it did not know what was behind the past two payday problems.

“The banking industry invests significantly in the resilience of systems and technology,” UK Finance’s managing director of operational resilience David Raw told Sky News.

“The ongoing investment means incidents which cause significant disruption happen very rarely,” he said

“Incidents can be short in duration, but if an issue does arise the bank will always work extremely hard to rectify it as quickly as possible and minimise the customer impact.”

Santander UK said it was not affected by the last two payday outages. “We have robust systems in place to ensure that our services remain operational for customers,” a spokesperson said.

“Since January 2023, our services have been available to customers for 99.9% of the time. When there is a disruption, our priority is to minimise its impact and restore services as quickly as possible and support customers through our alternative channels and ensure that no customer is left out of pocket as a result.”

A spokesperson for HSBC, which also owns First Direct, said: “We continue to invest in our operational resilience to provide the best possible service for our customers”.

“The end of each month brings increased transaction volumes and heightened demand across the banking services industry, and so we plan accordingly – enhancing system capacity as well as limiting non-essential, back-end system changes and updates.”

Nationwide, The Co-operative Bank, Lloyds – who also own the Halifax and Bank of Scotland brands – did not respond to Sky News’s request.

Barclays did not comment.

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