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Tesla’s electric vehicle sales in the US are worse than what the media is reporting right now. That’s partly because Tesla is hiding its sales.

Here’s more accurate data.

Today, you might see many headlines about Tesla’s US sales based on Cox Automotive’s Q1 2025 US electric vehicle sales report.

The main problem with this report is that it is a complete estimate when it comes to Tesla, the biggest EV manufacturer in the US.

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Of all the major automakers, Tesla is the only one that doesn’t break down sales by region or even model.

For comparison, here’s a Ford US sales report vs a Tesla global sales report (its only delivery report):

Because Tesla is so opaque with its sales, analysts often rely on reports like Cox’s, which are also estimates.

The Cox report cited in the media today claims that Tesla delivered 128,100 vehicles in the US in Q1 2025 – down 8.6% compared to Q1 2024.

That’s despite EV sales being up 10% overall in the first quarter.

Here’s the report:

Brand Q1 2025 Sales Q1 2024 Sales YOY % Change
Acura 4,813
Audi 5,905 5,714 3.3%
BMW 13,538 10,712 26.4%
Cadillac 7,972 5,800 37.4%
Chevrolet 19,186 8,957 114.2%
Dodge 1,947
Ford 22,550 20,223 11.5%
Genesis 1,496 992 50.8%
GMC 4,728 1,668 183.5%
Honda 9,561
Hyundai 12,843 12,218 5.1%
Jaguar 381 256 48.8%
Jeep 2,595
Kia 8,656 11,401 -24.1%
Lexus 1,453 1,603 -9.4%
Mercedes 3,472 8,336 -58.3%
Mini 696 824 -15.5%
Nissan 6,471 5,284 22.5%
Porsche 4,358 1,247 249.5%
Rivian 8,553 13,588 -37.1%
Subaru 1,154 1,147 0.6%
Tesla 128,100 140,187 -8.6%
Toyota 5,610 1,897 195.7%
Volvo 2,718 996 172.9%
VW 9,564 6,167 55.1%
Additional EV Models 5,930 6,764 -12.3%
Total (Estimates) 294,250 265,981 10.6%

Cox’s estimate looks quite high. The best way to figure out Tesla deliveries in the US is to take deliveries based on registration data in all other markets where Tesla sells vehicles in the world, which are quite accurate, and subtract that number from Tesla’s reported global deliveries.

For the first quarter, Tesla reported 336,681 deliveries globally, and Tesla registrations in all markets except the US and Canada totaled 212,024 vehicles (via TroyTeslike).

This would mean Tesla delivered about 124,657 vehicles in the US and Canada in Q1 2025.

That’s already about 3,500 fewer deliveries than Cox’s estimate, but it includes Canadian deliveries, which are also hard to estimate in the first quarter. It’s safe to assume that they are at about 5,000 units.

This means that Tesla is down closer to 15% than 8% in the US in Q1 2025.

Electrek’s Take

Yes, the Model Y changeover certainly affected Tesla’s performance in the US, but it’s clearly not the only factor at play.

Tesla ended the quarter with record inventory not seen in years. The automaker has no backlog of orders for the new Model Y. You can get one today in many regions of the US.

I think there are good reasons to worry about Tesla’s demand in the US. The main reason is the brand damage caused by Elon Musk, which mostly occurred in the second half of the first quarter.

The lack of backlogs for new Model Y orders is concerning.

I believe deliveries will be up from Q1 this quarter, but they will be down from Q2 2024, and it is more likely that Tesla’s deliveries will be down for the full year 2025 despite most analysts still believing Tesla will still grow this year.

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Tesla becomes desperate with Cybertruck, launches biggest discount yet

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Tesla becomes desperate with Cybertruck, launches biggest discount yet

Tesla has announced that it now offers interest-free loans on the Cybertruck until the end of the month. The move is the equivalent of a roughly $10,000 discount and shows that Tesla has reached a new level of desperation in trying to sell the Cybertruck.

Following the unveiling of the Cybertruck in 2019, Tesla reported having accumulated over 1 million reservations for the highly anticipated electric pickup truck.

However, after launching the production version in 2023 at almost twice the price and with less range than previously announced, the vehicle program became a total flop.

Tesla had planned for a production capacity of 250,000 vehicles per year at Gigafactory Texas, and CEO Elon Musk said that he could see the automaker doubling to half a million trucks per year.

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However, Tesla ended up having issues selling 40,000 Cybertrucks in its first year, and the delivery rate fell even further in 2025 with inventories piling up.

To address the demand issues, Tesla began throttling down production earlier this year and offering deeper discounts on its new vehicles.

Today, Tesla announced its biggest Cybertruck discount yet: 0% APR financing for those who order the truck with its $8,000 Full Self-Driving Package:

As we recently reported, Tesla has virtually given up on delivering Autopilot on Cybertrucks – pushing many buyers toward its more expensive FSD package.

Now, Tesla is doubling down on the strategy by subsidizing financing with FSD.

The automaker has already been offering 0% financing in Model 3 and cheaper financing on Model Y, but it is going to be quite costly on the more expensive Cybertruck.

At a cost of $88,000 (Cybertrcuk Dual Motor plus FSD), it should cost Tesla about $10,000 in loss revenue to subsidize the loans at the current rate.

Inventory trackers indicate that Tesla’s Cybertruck inventory in the US exceeds 3,700 units, valued at over $300 million.

The fact that Tesla is extending this offer only through June 30th points to the automaker trying to reduce its inventory by the end of the quarter.

Electrek’s Take

It looks like Tesla is delivering the Cybertruck at an annual rate of about 25,000 units in its second year of production – down from ~40,000 units in its first year.

There’s no way to put it nicely: this is a commercial flop.

It’s especially bad when you consider that Tesla prepared for a production of 250,000 units per year.

Let’s see how successful a 0% APR promotion is. I’m sure it would have a positive impact, but I doubt it will help increase the annualized rate to more than 30,000 units.

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TSLA drops 14% as investors see corruption being priced out of Tesla stock

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TSLA drops 14% as investors see corruption being priced out of Tesla stock

Tesla stock dropped over 50 points today, primarily in response to a very public feud between Tesla CEO Elon Musk and convicted felon Donald Trump.

But, as we pointed out in November, this doesn’t have anything to do with company performance, and rather only reflects a change in the market’s expectation of potential benefit to Tesla from government corruption.

Tesla stock has had a wild few months, with big rises and falls that has had little to do with company performance (which is, perhaps, nothing new for the stock, which has always been a speculative vehicle).

Much of the movement of TSLA has been centered around CEO Elon Musk’s relationship with Donald Trump.

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Musk very publicly supported Mr. Trump’s run for president, giving hundreds of millions of dollars in bribes to Mr. Trump’s campaign, despite the latter’s openly anti-EV positions (and despite that there exists a clear legal remedy stopping insurrectionists from holding office in the US).

Musk even went on to spew climate denying nonsense alongside Mr. Trump during the campaign, and later said nothing when Mr. Trump opposed the Paris Agreement, even though he previously opposed a similar move in 2017.

This led to Musk being invited into an advisory role, which was dubbed the Department of Government Efficiency despite it not being a real government department, and having a supposed mission redundant with the already-existing Government Accountability Office.

And in the immediate aftermath of the election, TSLA stock rose swiftly, purely because of expectations of corruption. But after that swift rise, it gradually fell as the reality of economy-destroying tariffs, anti-EV legislation, and Tesla’s brand perception problem due to Musk’s actions all became apparent. Despite Musk’s position as a top republican party donor, the party still seems more interested in catering to its traditional base in the fossil fuel industry.

Despite some recovery from that big post election rise-and-drop, TSLA took another big hit today, and it’s all due to the current rift forming between these two egomaniacs.

A rift over spending becomes something greater

During his tenure in his advisory position, Musk claims to have saved the government hundreds of billions of dollars, but independent accounting has shown that it is in fact likely to increase the deficit, not decrease it.

Nevertheless, it seems like Musk was fooled into believing his own propaganda, and into thinking that deficit reduction was ever a goal of Mr. Trump, despite that he previously oversaw the highest nominal deficit of any person in the history of the United States.

At least, he believed that until now. In the last few days, after leaving his advisory position, Musk has loudly opposed the new republican budget bill, which he now correctly points out will add trillions of dollars to the US deficit (as any lucid person might have predicted from the party of waste).

The criticism came to a head today, with Musk going through one of his patented tweetstorms, acting more like a jilted lover than a CEO in charge of a company that has many people’s retirement invested into it.

There’s been a lot of back and forth, but over the course of the day, Musk has posted many statements about how dangerous the budget bill will be for the US debt and deficit.

Mr. Trump responded, stating that Musk should have known these things before now, but that Musk is only acting this way because he cut the “EV mandate.”

To be clear, the bill in question does not cut any EV mandate, as there was never an EV mandate to begin with, but it does cut EV tax credits which Tesla has gained more benefit from than any other company, though Tesla lobbied in support of these cuts. The bill does not cut support for oil and gas companies, which are orders of magnitude higher than the support EV companies get.

In response to this, Musk claimed that he personally swung the election in favor of the republicans, and that Mr. Trump is showing “ingratitude” by not recognizing this fact.

Mr. Trump responded by suggesting that the government could save money by terminating all of the subsidies and contracts for services with Musk’s various companies. To this, Musk said that he would immediately decommission the Dragon capsule, which has been the main spacecraft used by NASA to service the International Space Station.

Then, Musk went on to state that a recession will happen in the second half of this year due to Mr. Trump’s position on tariffs, and also to accuse Mr. Trump of being on Jeffrey Epstein’s list (which is not the first time Musk has publicly accused someone of pedophilia, though it is the first time he’s said that about someone who he claimed to “love as much as any straight man can,” and knowingly worked alongside), and to agree with a call for his impeachment.

The market sees this as a negative sign

The public rift seems to have shaken the stock market out of its stupor, as Tesla went down more than 50 points since the start of today.

While nothing significant has changed for Tesla’s business today – it’s still suffering from falling sales in an otherwise rising market, and it still has a bad CEO – what has changed is the possibility of the company benefitting from corruption.

As I stated during TSLA’s meteoric post-election rise, the stock price was merely a reflection of the market’s expectation that Mr. Trump, a person with an enormous history of corruption, would thank Musk for his election participation by rewarding him and his companies. Nobody quite knew how that might happen, but everyone expected that it would.

I claimed, at the time, that this was unlikely to turn out the way the market thought it would, because the republicans would likely continue to favor fossil fuels, and that regulatory blockages were not the thing holding Tesla back from its automation goals.

Musk did attempt to use the government in corrupt ways, as detailed this week in a report by Senator Warren, and as we all remember from the White House Auto Mall infomercial (remember, folks, “everything’s computer!“).

But none of that was ever going to justify the addition of hundreds of billions of dollars to Tesla’s market cap.

The market seems to be realizing that more today, as over $100 billion has been shaved off of Tesla’s market cap since the start of the feud. That’s quite a lot of priced-in expected benefit that has been wiped away, all by a single tweetstorm.

Fight shows how vulnerable Tesla is to Musk’s whims

While it’s all well and good to see the worst two people you know fighting each other, and to finally see the inevitable fallout between two narcissists who frankly held out much longer than any reasonable person thought they would, this fight does show the significant vulnerability that Tesla has to the whims of a CEO who has shown poor ability to control his impulses in the past.

The last year or more has been highlighted by several poor business decisions by Musk, not the least of which is his support of one of the larger anti-EV entities on the planet right now.

But beyond the politics, his leadership has still been erratic for the company. Not only has he paid more attention to the many other companies he runs, when he has turned his attention to Tesla, it hasn’t been positive for the company.

After mostly ignoring Tesla for a few years, he went through a flurry of activity in the run-up to last year’s shareholder advisory vote on his compensation package. This flurry involved firing everyone including important leadership and successful teamscanceling an all-important affordable car project (and lying about it) and holding Tesla’s AI projects hostage while shifting both resources and staff from Tesla to his private AI company, even as he claims that AI is the future of Tesla.

Now, TSLA investors have another thing to worry about – whether Musk will continue to try to “poke the bear” and get more government opposition to his company, even as he continues to make himself distasteful globally (by, for example, showing support for German neo-Nazisagreeing with a defense of Hitler’s actions in the Holocaust, or his many other white supremacist statements). These actions have driven protests against the companyembarrassed owners and pushed many customers away – and those protesters aren’t planning on stopping.

While some may cheer this new rift that has formed between Musk and one of the environment’s greatest enemies, Donald Trump, it seems unlikely that Musk’s erratic behavior will be beneficial for Tesla the company in the long run.


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Musk’s feud with Trump and exit from DOGE are really bad for Dogecoin

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Musk's feud with Trump and exit from DOGE are really bad for Dogecoin

Idrees Abbas | Lightrocket | Getty Images

It’s been a bad week for DOGE. And a really bad week for dogecoin.

The meme coin, which gained popularity in part because Elon Musk once dubbed it “the people’s crypto,” fell about 10% on Thursday and is down 22% over the past week. That drop corresponds with Musk’s official departure from the Trump administration and the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE), which was the centerpiece of his effort to radically downsize the federal government.

Musk and Trump had been sparring in recent days, with Musk slamming the president’s spending bill, and Trump withdrawing the nomination of Jared Isaacman, a Musk ally, as his pick to run NASA.

But the war of words escalated dramatically on Thursday. After Trump said he was “very disappointed” in the Tesla CEO, Musk fired back on X, claiming Trump would have lost the election without his support.

Trump called Musk “CRAZY” and threatened to cancel his government contracts, sending shares of electric vehicle maker Tesla tumbling to close down 14% for the day.

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Dogecoin and Tesla shares drop as Elon Musk beefs with the president.

Musk responded on X, “Go ahead, make my day.” He later said that following Trump’s comment about canceling contracts, his rocket company SpaceX “will begin decommissioning its Dragon spacecraft immediately.” Dragon is the only U.S. option for delivering crew to and from the International Space Station.

The spat wouldn’t necessarily have an impact on the price of dogecoin, which, like most meme coins, has no attached asset or underlying value. But it’s a particularly volatile coin that can move up or down based on consumer sentiment, celebrity hype, internet memes and Musk news.

Musk’s public backing of dogecoin has long been a major driver of its price, making it particularly sensitive to shifts in his political standing. The price jumped more than 15% on a single day in 2022 after Tesla began accepting the cryptocurrency as payment for some merchandise. The next year, dogecoin spiked more than 30% in a day after Musk replaced the blue bird on the Twitter (now X) website with an image of a shiba inu, the digital coin’s logo.

Dogecoin, along with bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies, soared after Trump’s election victory in November on optimism that the new administration, which was heavily backed by Musk and the crypto industry, would return the favor with friendly policies and deregulation.

Buyers of the coin are now paying the price for the Musk-Trump breakup.

WATCH: Trump says Elon should have turned against me ‘months ago’

Pres. Trump: Elon should have turned against me 'months ago'

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