Amazon CEO Andy Jassy speaks during an Amazon Devices launch event in New York City, Feb. 26, 2025.
Brendan McDermid | Reuters
Amazon is slated to announce its first-quarter earnings after the market close on Thursday.
Here’s what analysts are looking for:
Earnings per share: $1.36 expected, according to LSEG
Revenue: $155.04 billion expected, according to LSEG
Wall Street is also looking at other key revenue numbers:
Amazon Web Services: $29.42 billion expected, according to StreetAccount
Advertising: $13.74 billion expected, according to StreetAccount
The topic of tariffs will hover over Amazon’s earnings report. Several of the company’s businesses are exposed to President Donald Trump‘s new tariffs, especially its core retail unit. Investors will want to know whether Trump’s 145% levy on China could impact Amazon’s margins, and whether uncertainty around the tariffs has caused shoppers to be more cautious with their spending.
“This was never approved and is not going to happen,” Amazon said in a blog post on Tuesday.
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Amazon CEO Andy Jassy told CNBC last month the company is working to keep prices low for consumers, including by making strategic forward inventory buys on products overseas. But he acknowledged some third-party sellers will “need to pass that cost” of tariffs to consumers.
Analysts believe Trump’s tariffs could provide a boost to Amazon’s retail business, at least in the short term, as some shoppers have stocked up on items in anticipation of price hikes.
Retail sales rose 1.4% in March, after rising 0.2% in February, according to Commerce Department data, indicating there may have been a pull forward in spending.
Investors will be keeping a close eye on Amazon’s guidance for the current quarter. Some analysts have suggested the impact of Trump’s tariffs may not show up until then, or potentially the third quarter.
“A meaningful portion of products sold on the eCommerce platform (apparel, furniture, toys, accessories, consumer electronics, etc.) come from China, which may impact forward guidance,” Canaccord analysts wrote in a note to clients this week. “That said, we think Amazon’s vast product selection and structural advantages in price and logistics should enable it to mitigate some of the impact.”
Amazon could also potentially benefit from Trump’s executive order to end the de minimis trade exemption, which is set to take effect on Friday. Discount Chinese retailers Temu and Shein have relied heavily on the loophole, which allows shipments under $800 to enter the U.S. duty-free, as a way to keep their prices low.
Both companies began raising prices last week, while Temu added “import charges” between 130% and 150% to some of its products. The prices of many of their products are more aligned with competitors like Amazon, but could still take more than a week to arrive.
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Amazon year to date stock performance
Outside of retail, Amazon’s cloud computing business and investments in AI will also be in focus. It’s been a mixed bag for Amazon’s cloud peers so far. Microsoftreported strong cloud growth in its third-quarter earnings on Wednesday, while Alphabet‘s cloud revenue fell just short of estimates last week.
For the quarter, analysts are projecting AWS revenue of $29.4 billion, according to StreetAccount. That would represent growth of 17.6%, compared to 18.9% growth in the fourth quarter.
Amazon last quarter pledged to boost capital expenditures to $100 billion this year, with the “vast majority” going toward AI services. The company has been rushing to roll out AI products across its businesses. In March, Amazon released a new AI agent for web browsers, and it began testing new AI assistants for its shopping and health platforms.
Amazon’s stock is down more than 13%year to date, while the Nasdaq has fallen less than a percent over the same stretch.
Gusto CEO Josh Reeves and Guideline CEO Kevin Busque talk at Gusto’s San Francisco headquarters.
Elliott Morin | Gusto
Gusto, a startup with payroll and human resources software, said Wednesday that it has agreed to acquire Guideline, a startup specializing in corporate retirement plans. Terms of the deal weren’t disclosed.
Founded in 2011 and based in San Francisco, Gusto is among the world’s most valuable companies backed by venture capitalists, with a $9.3 billion valuation.
Gusto originally was named ZenPayroll and provided software that clients could use to run payroll for their employees. In 2015, the company rebranded to Gusto as it started selling health insurance and workers’ compensation.
Since 2016, Gusto has also offered 401(k) retirement plans through a partnership with Guideline. The relationship isn’t exclusive, though. Organizations can also set up Guideline plans through alternative payroll companies, including ADP, Block, Intuit, Paylocity, TriNet and privately held Rippling.
Those integrations won’t be going away after the acquisition closes, Guideline’s co-founder and CEO, Kevin Busque, said in an interview with CNBC.
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Both Gusto and Guideline target small businesses.
Guideline, founded in 2015, has over 400 employees. In 2021, investors valued it at $1.15 billion. Gusto has more than 2,800 employees, with over $500 million in annualized revenue as of 2023. Guideline’s annualized revenue as of January totaled $140 million.
Gusto is in expansion mode, with plans to add 150,000 new clients this year.
“That’s a small number relative to the 6 million employers in the U.S., and we have work to do,” Josh Reeves, Gusto’s co-founder and CEO, told CNBC. Gusto’s customer count sits above 400,000 today, and the company focuses mainly on the U.S.
Gusto hopes to sell Guideline services to more of its clients after the deal closes, without worrying about revenue sharing. It will also pursue expansion in states that have passed mandates for employers to provide workers with retirement plans, Reeves said.
Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang attends the “Winning the AI Race” Summit in Washington D.C., U.S., July 23, 2025.
Kent Nishimura | Reuters
Nvidia reports fiscal second-quarter earnings on Wednesday after the bell.
Here’s how Nvidia is expected to do versus LSEG consensus estimates:
Earnings per share: $1.01, adjusted
Revenue: $46.02 billion
That would represent 53% year-over-year revenue growth for Nvidia, which carries a market cap of more than $4 trillion and is already the most valuable company in the world.
That type of growth would add to a streak of explosive growth for the chipmaker, which has been on a tear since the arrival of OpenAI’s ChatGPT in late 2022 ushered in the generative artificial intelligence era and created insatiable demand for graphics processing units, or GPUs.
Nvidia’s revenue growth has been driven by its data center business, which accounts for about 88% of the company’s total sales.
There are two key questions analysts will want Nvidia to answer about its data center business: How are the current generation of chips doing? And what’s the state of the company’s business in China?
Analysts will want any color that Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang can give them about how sales of the company’s Blackwell chips are going. Earlier this year, Nvidia said that Blackwell sales would be limited by the number of racks the company can make, not how many customers wanted to buy them.
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Blackwell comes in several different configurations, including one called GB200 that are typically sold in a finished rack computer that has 72 GPUs and costs millions of dollars.
“That’s probably going to be the most important thing, because I think right now, demand is clearly outstripping supply,” KeyBanc analyst John Vinh told CNBC.
The other big question facing Nvidia is its China business. In 2023, it introduced a slowed-down chip, called the H20, specifically to comply with export controls to China. In April, the Trump administration said the H20 would require a license. A month later, Nvidia said it would lose out on $8 billion in sales to China.
The Trump administration in July said it would grant those licenses. But the Chinese government has signaled in August that China-based technology companies should use homegrown chips, raising questions about demand in that country.
Most analysts expect Nvidia to completely exclude China from its guidance. According to LSEG estimates, Nvidia is expected to guide to nearly $53 billion in sales for its fiscal third quarter, which would represent 51% annual growth.
Tareq Amin, CEO of Humain, and Jensen Huang, CEO of NVIDIA, attend the Saudi-U.S. Investment Forum, in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia May 13, 2025.
Hamad I Mohammed | Reuters
Saudi Arabia is looking to make data its new oil — if artificial intelligence and data center company Humain gets its way.
The company, owned by the Saudi kingdom’s massive sovereign wealth fund, the Public Investment Fund, is looking to build out data center capacity in a country with seemingly unlimited land and abundant energy resources.
Faced with lower oil prices and soaring costs for domestic megaprojects like the futuristic region of Neom, the kingdom is hoping that surging demand for the data and computing facilities will serve as a reliable cash cow for decades to come.
“Our ambition is very clear. We want to be the third-largest AI provider in the world, behind the United States and China,” Tareq Amin, Humain CEO, told CNBC’s Access Middle East on Tuesday.
Launched in May of this year, just a day before U.S. President Donald Trump’s visit to the Kingdom, Humain aims to deliver full-stack AI capabilities across data centers, infrastructure, cloud platforms and advanced AI models, which it hopes will position Saudi Arabia as the region’s AI hub.
Saudi Arabia faces stiff competition from the neighboring United Arab Emirates, which is forging ahead with its own major partnerships with U.S. tech giants on a number of projects, including the Stargate Campus in Abu Dhabi. The Stargate Project is a $500 billion private sector AI-focused investment vehicle, announced by OpenAI in January in partnership with Abu Dhabi investment firm MGX and Japan’s SoftBank, and will be built with the help of Oracle, Nvidia and Cisco Systems.
While Saudi Arabia’s data center market is projected to grow from $1.33 billion in 2024 to $3.9 billion by 2030, it still has a long way to go before reaching the scale of the U.S. market, currently valued at over $200 billion.
Further questions remain as to the cost and environmental impact of running and cooling miles of data centers in the Middle East’s scorching deserts, as well as the ability to draw AI engineers to live in Saudi Arabia.
Access to skill and talent remains a major challenge — to bridge that gap, Saudi Arabia relies heavily on foreign talent, with professionals that require high salaries and often don’t stay in the kingdom for a sustained period of time.
Even with the offer of ample pay, drawing and retaining AI engineers will prove difficult for the kingdom. AI-related roles in Saudi Arabia remain largely vacant, with a 50% hiring gap, according to Minister of Human Resources and Social Development Ahmed Al-Rajhi.
In comparison to the UAE, which has a more consistent strategy of attracting investment and executing government strategy, Saudi Arabia is more likely to “struggle” when it comes to AI engineers, said Baghdad Gherras, a UAE-based venture partner at Antler, which invests in early-stage AI ventures.
“I think the bottom up version of Saudi is extremely concentrated at the top, but there is a kind of … lag at the middle management and how the vision is being communicated and translated on the ground,” he said.
Nvidia, AMD partnerships
Humain does not disclose investment targets, but has announced $23 billion for strategic technology partnerships and a $10 billion venture fund. The PIF, which owns it, oversees nearly $1 trillion in assets across a wide swathe of sectors and countries.
“My investments are all strategic in nature. Any startup that is really addressing my number one requirement … the joint IP creation, the localization, workload consumptions in Saudi, is really where we’re going and investing capital in,” Amin said. “So I’m putting a lot of capital in infrastructure, meaning, think about Groq and other companies that we will be investing in, and then the application layers.”
California-based AI company Groq in February secured a $1.5 billion commitment from Saudi Arabia for expanded delivery of its chips. In December, Groq built what it said was the region’s largest AI inference cluster in the kingdom.
“GroqCloud services are now available to nearly four billion people regionally adjacent to the KSA. This deployment of Groq AI inference infrastructure is now enabling service to the EMEA and South Asia markets in ways unseen before,” the company said earlier this year in a statement.
Humain is also in partnership with U.S. chipmaking giants AMD and Nvidia, for chips that will supply Humain’s ambitious data center construction plans.
The PIF-owned firm has started construction on two large campuses in the kingdom made up of 11 data centers. Each data center will have a 200-megawatt capacity. By the fourth quarter of 2025 Humain wants 50 megawatts built, followed by an additional 50 megawatts every quarter into 2026.
By 2030 it is targeting installation of 1.9 gigawatts, and six gigawatts by 2034.