Coterra Energy is cutting back on its oil drilling in response to sagging crude prices and spending more on natural gas production — but that move, announced alongside first-quarter results, is being overshadowed by some operational concerns and leading to a stock sell-off Tuesday. Revenue in the first quarter increased 33% year over year to $1.9 billion, short of the $1.97 billion consensus estimate, according to LSEG. Adjusted earnings per share of 80 cents in the three months ended March 31 matched expectations, LSEG data showed. On an annual basis, adjusted EPS increased 56.9%. Free cash flow of $663 million topped estimates of $596 million, according to FactSet. Bottom line We have long coveted Coterra’s mix of oil and natural gas assets because it gives the company flexibility to respond to inherently volatile commodity prices. Our biggest takeaway from Coterra’s late Monday release and Tuesday morning conference call: That flexibility is being put to serious use in the current unfavorable oil market. But even if we support that move in principle, some operational issues in a certain part of the company’s Texas acreage are getting a lot of attention and are likely among the biggest drivers of the steep 8.5% stock decline. CTRA YTD mountain Coterra YTD While executives did a good job explaining their plan to fix the issue on Tuesday’s earnings call — and making it clear that they do not believe it is a structural problem with the quality of inventory — we’re not in a hurry to step in and take advantage of this sell-off. Coterra is still worth owning as our only oil-and-gas play, providing a solid dividend payout, acting as a geopolitical hedge and offering some exposure to long-term trends that could drive increased natural gas demand such as artificial intelligence computing and growing U.S. exports of liquified natural gas. But in the near term, the stock may struggle to gain traction. We’re reiterating our hold-equivalent 2 rating , but lowering our price target to $28. Commentary There are three main themes from Coterra’s earnings report — and none of them really have to do with the actual first-quarter results, which, as the chart above shows, were mixed. Not that bad, but also not exceptional. 1. Macro landscape The first area of discussion is around the macro landscape and Coterra’s decision to spend less on oil. Coterra and its American oil-producing brethren are confronting a difficult setup, thanks to a steep decline in crude prices over the past month that has brought West Texas Intermediate crude , the U.S. oil benchmark, to four-year lows below $58 a barrel . At the start of April, WTI traded above $71 a barrel. There are two main reasons for the pullback: President Donald Trump ‘s intensified trade war has fueled concerns about a global economic slowdown — a bad thing for oil demand if it comes to fruition. At the same time, the group of eight oil-producing nations known as OPEC+ has announced a series of surprisingly aggressive moves to bring more supply to the market in the coming months. The most recent of those decisions was announced over the weekend. While Saudi Arabia-led OPEC+ might typically be expected to curtail output in the face of potential demand destruction, the opposite is happening. A variety of factors could be motivating OPEC+’s counterinitiative actions, including internal politics within the oil cartel, analysts say. But for our purposes here, what matters most is that anything that materially weakens the outlook for crude prices — whether it’s trade-related recession fears, OPEC+ or both — makes Coterra’s job of profitably drilling for oil harder to do. Not impossible, but the company and its peers make a whole lot more money when WTI is $75 a barrel than they do at $55. And so, the new set of facts requires them to reconsider what the best use of money is and adjust accordingly if something else is better for their investors. Coterra’s new plan to reduce oil-focused spending is a sensible one in the near term, and it is made possible by its presence in both the oil-rich Permian Basin in western Texas and Southeastern New Mexico and the natural gas-heavy Marcellus Shale in Pennsylvania and other parts of the Appalachian region. Coterra also has wells in the Anadarko Basin that spans the Texas Panhandle and western Oklahoma, but its planned activity there this year is not changing. In the Permian, though, Coterra now plans to average just seven rigs in the second half of 2025, down from the 10-rig plan announced in late February. Rigs are the machinery used to drill a well. As such, its planned Permian capital investments this year are coming down by $150 million. Meanwhile, Coterra restarted activity in the Marcellus in April with two rigs, as previously projected. But the company said it now expects to keep both rigs running into the second half of the year, lifting its capital spending in the region by an additional $50 million. Another $50 million could be added to those plans if Coterra decides to keep its second rig running through year-end, though executives said that decision will be made in the third quarter. On Tuesday’s earnings call, CEO Tom Jorden said he’s hopeful that the tariff situation is resolved and the “threat of recession is lifted,” but he stressed that “we can’t run our program on hope.” “Right now, we’re relaxing slightly [on oil spending] because we’re concerned that oil prices could further weaken. I hope we’re wrong on that,” Jorden said. “But our experience tells us that when you see these events – and you see the possibility – be prepared for the worst-case scenario.” The net effect of these changes is Coterra’s total capital expenditure projections for 2025 came down by $100 million at the midpoint of its new guidance range — and yet the company’s total production guidance was actually nudged higher for the year, driven entirely by more natural gas output. Expecting more total production on less spending is a reflection of Coterra’s ability to be a capital-efficient operator. That is a positive in the short run. However, investors might be questioning what these changes mean to Coterra’s production levels in 2026 and 2027, analysts at Mizuho Securities wrote before Tuesday’s earnings call, considering last quarter the company provided three-year outlook that included annual average oil growth of at least 5%. Executives fielded a number of questions on the three-year plans, but they repeatedly said it remained intact. “We’re holding to our three-year plan as outlined with the changes that we’ve discussed in this call. We want to be really clear with everybody on that,” Jorden said. 2. Free cash flow Another big theme: Coterra’s free cash flow outlook for this year was cut by 22% to $2.1 billion — and while lower commodity price assumptions outside its control is a big driver of the revision, investors might be worried this will limit the amount of share repurchases this year, particularly if oil prices get even weaker. The company’s commitment has been to return at least half of its free cash flow to shareholders via dividend payouts and stock buybacks. But in 2025, in particular, executives have prioritized paying down debt — tied to its two Permian-focused acquisitions that closed earlier this year — over buybacks. “We still have the ability to do it all, so to speak, but to be really clear, in 2025, our priority is going to be debt repayment. We’re not going to compromise that,” CFO Shane Young said on the call. “That doesn’t mean that there’s not going to be repurchases. … But if you look at 2024, we returned 90% of cash flow to shareholders. [In 2023], we returned 76% of cash flow to shareholders. Why were we able to do that? Because we had low leverage. And we believe that having low leverage is an enabler, and we’re dead-set focused on protecting our long-term shareholder return objectives, and we think the best way to do that is to reduce debt.” 3. Operational issues The final major theme — and likely a major culprit for the stock reaction — is operational issues plaguing some of Coterra’s operations in Culberson County, Texas, which is part of the Permian. At the highest level, some of the wells in an area called Harkey were producing higher-than-normal water volumes, so the company paused development there to work through the issue. At this time, Jorden said Coterra is “pretty optimistic that this is a mechanical operation that is solvable with a combination of revised pipe design and cementing program,” rather than something strategically wrong with the land that threatens the quality of inventory. “As we currently see it, we think we’ll be back to completing and drilling these Harkey wells in months, not years,” Jorden said. 2025 guidance Here’s where Coterra’s full-year guidance stands after the numerous aforementioned revisions: Estimated discretionary cash flow of $4.3 billion based on WTI crude prices of $63 a barrel and natural gas prices of $3.70 per metric million British thermal unit, or mmbtu. That’s below Wall Street expectations of $4.62, according to FactSet, and previous guidance of $5 billion, which factored in higher prices for both commodities. Estimated free cash flow of $2.1 billion based on the commodity price assumptions used in the discretionary cash flow guide. That is down from $2.7 billion previously. Estimated capital expenditure budget of $2 billion to $2.3 billion, down by $100 million on both ends of the range. That results in a new midpoint of $2.15 billion compared with the prior guide of $2.25 billion. Seven rigs in operation in the Permian in the second half of the year, lower than the previous plan to operate 10 rigs. Expected 2025 total equivalent production of 720 to 770 Mboe/d. The 745 midpoint of the range — up from 740 in its previous guidance — is slightly below the FactSet consensus forecast of 757 Mboe/d, which stands for total oil equivalent of a thousand barrels per day. Expected oil production in the range of 155 to 165 Mbo/d, which stands for a thousand of barrels of oil per day. The midpoint of the range is unchanged at 160 Mbo/d, despite modestly lowering the top end of the range and slightly increasing the bottom end. The FactSet consensus is for 163.6 Mbo/d. Expected natural gas production in the range of 2,725 to 2,875 MMcf/d, resulting in a new midpoint of 2,800, up from 2,775. That is below the consensus of 2,837 MMcf/d, according to FactSet. (Jim Cramer’s Charitable Trust is long CTRA. See here for a full list of the stocks.) As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust’s portfolio. If Jim has talked about a stock on CNBC TV, he waits 72 hours after issuing the trade alert before executing the trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB. NO SPECIFIC OUTCOME OR PROFIT IS GUARANTEED.
An oil pumpjack is shown near the Callon Petroleum vicinity on March 27, 2024 in Monahans, Texas.
Brandon Bell | Getty Images News | Getty Images
Coterra Energy is cutting back on its oil drilling in response to sagging crude prices and spending more on natural gas production — but that move, announced alongside first-quarter results, is being overshadowed by some operational concerns and leading to a stock sell-off Tuesday.
The entrance to the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) headquarters is seen during a protest on Feb. 10, 2025 in Washington, DC.
Anna Moneymaker | Getty Images
For the third time under President Donald Trump, the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau has pulled back from enforcing a key rule, this time targeting buy now, pay later services.
The CFPB said in a notice on Tuesday that it will not prioritize enforcement of a rule, established during Joe Biden’s presidency, that classified BNPL providers as credit card issuers subject to the Truth in Lending Act. Fintech lenders had been required to comply with more stringent consumer protections, including standardized disclosures, refund processing and formal dispute investigations.
Affirm and other BNPL firms had voiced opposition to the billing statement requirement, arguing that it would confuse users and add unnecessary friction.
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“Requiring BNPL providers to comply with rules designed for open-end credit cards creates compliance challenges and confusing outcomes for consumers,” Affirm wrote in a formal comment letter, urging the CFPB to adopt rules that reflect how consumers actually use BNPL products.
The CFPB is looking to go even further as it’s considering rescinding the rule entirely, citing a need to focus resources on “pressing threats to consumers,” especially service members, veterans, and small businesses.
In October, the Financial Technology Association, which represents major BNPL players, sued the CFPB, claiming the agency overstepped by imposing credit card-like restrictions through an interpretive rule rather than a formal one.
The CFPB notice comes as new consumer data shows mounting pressures in the market.
A Bankrate survey released Monday found that nearly half of BNPL users have faced financial problems tied to these services. As usage rises, particularly for essentials like groceries, missed payments are increasing as well.
Affirm is scheduled to report quarterly results on Thursday. Rival Klarna is on file to go public, but delayed its IPO last month after President Trump’s announcement of sweeping new tariffs roiled financial markets.
About 764,000 wallets that purchased President Donald Trump‘s $TRUMPmeme coin have lost money on the investment, according to fresh data shared with CNBC by blockchain analytics firm Chainalysis.
Most of the wallets that lost money held smaller amounts of the token, according to the firm’s on-chain analysis. Crypto wallets are accounts that store the keys you need to access and use your cryptocurrency holdings.
Chainalysis said that while around 2 million wallets have bought into the token, 58 wallets made more than $10 million apiece, totaling roughly $1.1 billion in gains.
The $TRUMP token, which surged in popularity after being tied to the start of Trump’s second term, has seen sharp price swings and highly uneven returns for investors. Fight Fight Fight LLC. and CIC Digital LLC., control the bulk of the token’s supply.
CNBC has reached out to Fight Fight Fight LLC. for comment on the Chainalysis numbers.
Interest in the coin spiked more than 50% after the project’s website promised the top 220 holders a seat at a black-tie-optional dinner with the president.
The $TRUMP event, set for May 22 at the president’s Trump National Golf Club, Washington, D.C., includes a reception for the 25 wallets with the largest coin balance, along with a White House tour.
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The dinner-pegged rally pushed the token’s market cap to $2.7 billion at its peak, though it has since pulled back to around $2.17 billion.
Since that rally, around 54,000 wallets have bought the coin. In total, 100,000 new wallets have purchased $TRUMP since April 15, Chainalysis said, extending the post-announcement surge despite ongoing volatility in the broader crypto market.
The Trump-branded meme token has drawn scrutiny from regulators and ethics watchdogs.
Lawmakers are now formally investigating whether the $TRUMP meme coin — and a related crypto venture called World Liberty Financial, which sends 75% of revenue to the Trump family — constitute a direct conflict of interest for the president.
The Senate’s Permanent Subcommittee on Investigations has launched a probe into the token’s ownership structure and revenue model, while House Democrats stormed out of a crypto hearing in protest.
At the center of the controversy is the dinner competition for top token holders, promotional posts from the president himself, and ties to foreign investors including a state-backed Emirati fund and crypto mogul Justin Sun.
Launched in January ahead of Trump’s second inauguration, the token’s value initially soared to $15 billion after a series of promotional posts from the president on Truth Social and X. It lost most of that value within days.
Only 20% of the token’s total supply is currently in circulation. The remaining 80% — reportedly controlled by the Trump Organization and affiliated entities — is locked under a three-year vesting schedule. Public disclosures say insiders have agreed not to sell their allocations for another few months.
Since January, more than $324 million in trading fees have been routed to wallets tied to the project’s creators, according to Chainalysis. The token’s code automatically directs a cut of each transaction to these addresses, allowing the team to profit from ongoing activity.
Lucid Motors (LCID) reported first-quarter earnings on Tuesday, reaffirming its plans to more than double EV production in 2025. Despite the threat of new tariffs, the EV maker expects to continue building momentum after another record quarter.
Lucid stands by 20,000 EV production goal for 2025
In the first three months of 2025, Lucid delivered 3,109 vehicles, setting its fifth straight quarterly record. The company’s production is also picking up, with 2,213 vehicles built at its Casa Grande plant in Arizona. Another 600 were in transit to Saudi Arabia, where they will be assembled at Lucid’s new AMP-2 plant.
At this rate, Lucid is on track to deliver around 12,500 vehicles, easily topping the 10,200 vehicles it delivered in 2024.
With its first electric SUV, the Gravity, now rolling out, Lucid is poised to see even more demand throughout the year.
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Lucid reported first-quarter revenue of $235 million, up slightly from the $234.5 million in Q4 2024 and an increase of 35% from Q1 2024.
Despite higher sales, the EV maker cut its net loss to $366 million from over $680 million in the first quarter of 2024. Lucid also improved gross margins by 37 pts year-over-year (YOY) to -97%.
Even with the added tariffs, Lucid still expects to produce around 20,000 vehicles in 2025, more than double the roughly 9,000 cars it made last year.
Like most automakers, Lucid is preparing for a shakeup under the Trump administration, including possibly ending the $7,500 federal EV tax credit. Earlier today, Republican House Speaker Mike Johnson said there’s “a better chance we kill it than save it” during an interview.
Lucid Gravity electric SUV at a Tesla Supercharger (Source: Lucid Motors)
The company said, “A thorough analysis of tariffs, supply chain, and related macroeconomic uncertainties is ongoing.”
Lucid ended the first quarter with around $5.76 billion in total liquidity, which the company said is enough to fund it into the second half of 2026, when it plans to launch its midsize platform.
Lucid midsize electric SUV teaser image (Source: Lucid)
Former CEO Peter Rawlinson said earlier this year that Lucid’s midsize platform is “finally when we compete directly with Tesla.” The first two vehicles are expected to be an electric SUV and sedan, starting at around $50,000, which could rival Tesla’s Model Y and Model 3.
But first, it will focus on its new electric SUV. The Lucid Gravity Grand Touring is available to order starting at $94,900 with up to 450 miles of range. Later this year, Lucid will launch the lower-priced Touring trim, starting at $79,900.
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