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Now that we’re two months into the 2025 MLB season — and past Memorial Day, when baseball fans traditionally say you can finally check the standings — the top of our rankings have started to become more consistent.

Each week, you can find the usual powerhouses atop our list — but what does change from week to week is which one sits at No. 1, with the Philadelphia Phillies taking that honor for the first time this season in Week 9. They are the fifth team to take the top spot so far in 2025, despite the preseason expectation that the Los Angeles Dodgers would rule that spot for the majority of the season.

How does the rest of the top five play out? And where do other clubs stand in our final May edition?

Our expert panel has ranked every team based on a combination of what we’ve seen so far and what we already knew going into the 162-game marathon that is a full baseball season. We also asked ESPN MLB experts Buster Olney, Jesse Rogers and Alden Gonzalez to weigh in with an observation for all 30 teams.

Week 8 | Preseason rankings


1. Philadelphia Phillies

Record: 35-19
Previous ranking: 3

The Phillies are who we thought they were coming into the season, led by their starting pitching. As the Dodgers continue to try to find enough pitching until their stars are activated off the injured list around the All-Star break, a case can be made for the Phillies as the best team in the majors because of their rotation. Since April 26, the Phillies are 21-6 and getting contributions from all over their staff. Zack Wheeler has a 1.08 ERA in his past five starts, as he, Tarik Skubal and Paul Skenes vie for the title of best pitcher on the planet. — Olney


Record: 37-20
Previous ranking: 1

Tarik Skubal put together a masterpiece Sunday, shutting out the Guardians with a two-hit, no-walk, 13-strikeout performance that went down as one of the best pitched games in franchise history. Skubal won the American League’s Cy Young Award unanimously last year, and he looks just as dominant — if not more so — this year. But we knew Skubal was good. And this Tigers season has also been defined by what we didn’t know. Namely, that Spencer Torkelson (.864 OPS, 13 home runs) and Javier Baez (.276/.313/.456 slash line while transitioning to center field) would be integral parts to a championship contender. — Gonzalez


3. Los Angeles Dodgers

Record: 34-22
Previous ranking: 2

Three key members of their starting rotation reside on the injured list, as do five (five!) high-leverage relievers. Shohei Ohtani, meanwhile, is navigating through his pitching progression methodically. The Dodgers keep winning nonetheless — largely because their offense is just that deep. Ohtani has been every bit as impactful as he was while becoming the first full-time designated hitter to win MVP last year; Freddie Freeman is off to one of the best starts of his illustrious career, and the likes of Teoscar Hernandez, Will Smith, Andy Pages and Hyeseong Kim have been major contributors. Only the Yankees boast a higher OPS than the Dodgers. Only the Cubs have scored more runs. — Gonzalez


Record: 35-20
Previous ranking: 4

Call them the Plan B Guys — the group of players the Yankees pivoted to after Juan Soto took the Mets’ $765 million-plus-perks offer over the Yankees’ $760 million deal. Max Fried, signed to a record-setting $218 million contract, is in the conversation for AL Cy Young. Paul Goldschmidt has had an excellent bounce-back season. Cody Bellinger has played effectively, both defensively and offensively. The Yankees aren’t as dynamic without Soto, but they might have more depth — and are better suited for the postseason. — Olney


Record: 35-21
Previous ranking: 6

A relentless offense has defined the Cubs’ first two months as the team has averaged six runs. That would be the most over the course of a season since the 2007 Yankees. Chicago ranks as a top-three team in almost every offensive category, including batting average, OBP, slugging, triples, doubles and stolen bases. In fact, the Cubs’ stolen-base percentage is also the best in baseball. They’ve been great at both jumping on opponents and coming from behind — and it has led to one of the best records in the game as May comes to a close. — Rogers


Record: 34-22
Previous ranking: 5

The Mets’ defining characteristic is their pitching, but Juan Soto’s slow start is getting the most attention. With Soto drawing enormous scrutiny — especially in New York — others in the organization are working to provide some layer of protection for him. On Saturday, manager Carlos Mendoza seemingly hijacked an in-game interview to cover for the fact that Soto made it only a third of the way up the first-base line before peeling off to the dugout. Then on Sunday, de facto captain Francisco Lindor told ESPN before the game that he wanted to talk about Soto when he wore the microphone in-game for “Sunday Night Baseball.” And Lindor did just that, lauding his new teammate. — Olney


Record: 31-23
Previous ranking: 7

The Padres will face the Dodgers for the first time in a week and a half, when they host them for what should be a captivating series at Petco Park. In the meantime, they’ve continually applied pressure to the team many expected to run away with the National League West. They’ve done so mostly behind their best players. Fernando Tatis Jr., Manny Machado and Jackson Merrill have combined to slash .301/.363/.501. Robert Suarez has looked like one of the best closers in baseball, leading the NL with 17 saves. In the rotation, Nick Pivetta and Michael King dominated in April, Dylan Cease started to round into form in May and Yu Darvish is expected back in June. — Gonzalez


Record: 30-24
Previous ranking: 8

Seattle has been defined by an unexpectedly productive offense led by early MVP candidate Cal Raleigh and out-of-nowhere thumper Jorge Polanco. Polanco’s work at home is particularly impressive. T-Mobile Park has been known as a tough hitters’ park in recent years — but that has not been the case for Polanco. He has an OPS over 1.000, including eight home runs in only 19 games. Raleigh also has eight home runs at home. Manager Dan Wilson has pushed the right buttons, providing confidence for a group of hitters who seemingly lacked it when performing at home in previous years. — Rogers


Record: 31-25
Previous ranking: 9

The first iteration of Buster Posey’s Giants has proved to be a persevering bunch, already stringing together 14 come-from-behind wins. And their bullpen has sure helped that cause. Giants relievers boast the lowest ERA in the majors. A handful of rough outings have inflated Ryan Walker‘s ERA, forcing him out as closer. But the bridge to him had been absolutely dominant. Camilo Doval, Tyler Rogers, Erik Miller and Randy Rodriguez have combined for a 1.28 ERA and a 0.85 WHIP in 95 appearances. Opposing hitters are slashing just .167/.237/219 against them. — Gonzalez


Record: 32-24
Previous ranking: 12

Resiliency might be the defining character trait of the Cardinals this season, as they were behind the eight ball from the get-go when St. Louis said it might be taking a step back this season to reassess and reimagine the team. Early on, it looked as if the standings would dictate as much — St. Louis finished April three games under .500 and in fourth place in the division. But the veterans seemingly wouldn’t give in to this narrative and the Cardinals began a climb up the standings highlighted by a nine-game win streak in May. It vaulted them into the playoff race. — Rogers


Record: 30-25
Previous ranking: 10

The 2025 Twins have been defined by two distinctly different chapters. They sat at just 13-18 at the end of April, but since then they’ve won 17 of 24 games to surge back into the playoff mix in a wide-open American League. Royce Lewis and Carlos Correa are back and healthy but have yet to fully click offensively. In the meantime, the Twins’ pitching staff has carried the team of late, boasting the third-lowest ERA in the majors since the start of May. Jhoan Duran is dominating the ninth inning, and Joe Ryan, Chris Paddack, Bailey Ober and Pablo Lopez are holding it down in the rotation. — Gonzalez


Record: 30-25
Previous ranking: 15

While mainstays such as Jose Altuve, Framber Valdez and Yordan Alvarez (though injured) are still leading the way in Houston, new faces have emerged to keep the Astros in the hunt. At the top of the rotation is Hunter Brown, who gives up only 5.8 hits per nine innings pitched and has a 2.00 ERA and 0.916 WHIP over the first two months. At the plate, newcomer Isaac Paredes has proved that his pull-side tendencies work well at Daikin Park, where he has hit seven of his team-leading 11 home runs. — Rogers


Record: 27-29
Previous ranking: 11

The D-backs can hit, but (somewhat surprisingly) they’ve really struggled on the mound. Their pitchers rank 24th in ERA, ahead of only the Rockies, Orioles, A’s, Marlins, Nationals and Angels — the types of teams with which they really don’t want to keep company. Most surprising of all is that their rotation — a deep and talented group that was further bolstered by the surprise signing of Corbin Burnes this offseason — ranks 24th in ERA. Zac Gallen is off to a brutal start, posting a 5.54 ERA in his first 66⅔ innings. And Eduardo Rodriguez had a 7.05 ERA through his first nine starts before going down because of shoulder inflammation. — Gonzalez


Record: 30-25
Previous ranking: 18

In recent years, the Guardians continually remained competitive despite a tight budget because of their ability to develop starting pitching. But that hasn’t necessarily been the case lately. Guardians starters rank 23rd in ERA this season, on pace to finish in the bottom 10 for the third time in the past five years. They also have the sport’s highest walk rate. Ben Lively, the team’s Opening Day starter, recently underwent season-ending Tommy John surgery. And the homegrown trio of Tanner Bibee, Gavin Williams and Logan Allen hasn’t been as impactful as many would have hoped. — Gonzalez


Record: 25-28
Previous ranking: 14

As they continue to dig themselves out of that season-opening streak of seven straight losses, the Braves have made major changes to their roster. It’s pretty rare that a pennant-contending team makes changes at shortstop and catcher during a season, but that’s what they’ve done, installing Nick Allen at short and Drake Baldwin as part of their catching platoon. Now Atlanta needs more from the players signed to long-term deals, including Austin Riley, Michael Harris II and Spencer Strider. — Olney


Record: 28-27
Previous ranking: 22

The AL is a mud bog, with 11 teams carrying at least a 20% chance of reaching the playoffs (according to FanGraphs), meaning that a lot of clubs are still largely undefined. Count the Rays among those — we won’t really know what they’re capable of until they get ace Shane McClanahan back, perhaps sometime in July or August. Jonathan Aranda is hitting over .300 and might be a leading candidate to represent Tampa Bay at the All-Star Game. — Olney


Record: 30-27
Previous ranking: 13

The Royals have stayed in the mix despite struggling to do what virtually every contender must in this era: hit the ball over the fence. Royals hitters have accumulated only 30 home runs this season, worst in the majors. Bobby Witt Jr. has totaled only five, but he has also slashed .290/.349/.480 while stealing 20 bases and accumulating a major league-leading 21 doubles. He is not the problem; the problem is that Royals outfielders have totaled only seven home runs. And that outside of Vinnie Pasquantino, no individual Royals hitter has produced even six. Only five teams have a lower slugging percentage than the Royals. — Gonzalez


Record: 27-31
Previous ranking: 16

Fair or not, the Rafael Devers situation is defining Boston’s season so far. The highest-paid player in the organization’s history, moved to designated hitter against his will, has declined to take ground balls and build more flexibility into the roster. Instead, everyone else is expected to move — more specifically, rookie Kristian Campbell, who is learning to play a corner infield position on the fly and taking grounders before games. Devers, meanwhile, has played a corner spot his whole career. Is it shocking that Campbell might be overwhelmed as he tries to hit as a rookie? He’s batting .120 in May. — Olney


Record: 28-29
Previous ranking: 19

Cincinnati has been led by starting pitching that has kept the team afloat in the NL Central and wild-card race. The Reds’ rotation ranks in the top half of the NL in ERA and has both power and finesse throughout. Hunter Greene is the unquestioned ace of the staff, but his supporting cast has been pretty good. Andrew Abbott is sneakily good, though he’s limited to facing hitters only two times through the order. Nick Lodolo and Nick Martinez both have an ERA under 3.50, and newcomer Brady Singer had one really bad outing but has kept the Reds in games more often than not. So has the whole rotation, really. — Rogers


Record: 29-28
Previous ranking: 20

Pitching injuries and an underachieving offense have defined the Brewers so far. After showing some pop during spring training — OK, it is spring training, after all — they’ve done anything but at the plate. The team ranks in the bottom five in home runs and has been shut out in back-to-back games three different times in May. Struggling individuals include catcher William Contreras, who finished fifth in MVP voting last season. He has only five home runs and a .695 OPS. But Milwaukee still runs well, and that has helped the team stay afloat in the wild-card race. — Rogers


Record: 27-30
Previous ranking: 17

Losing Corey Seager definitely hurt, but even with that, Texas is performing a lot like last year at the plate — and it already has cost the team a hitting coach. The Rangers rank 27th in OPS, which is actually worse than their 2024 mark (23rd). The list of underperformers is lengthy: Marcus Semien, Jake Burger and Adolis Garcia come to mind while others, such as Wyatt Langford, have been OK — but none has an OPS over .800. The return of Seager this week could be monumental for the Rangers moving forward. — Rogers


Record: 27-28
Previous ranking: 21

Even with Vladimir Guerrero Jr. locked down with a long-term deal worth $500 million, the Jays’ offense has been shockingly poor, ranking in the bottom third of the big leagues in runs and home runs. In his walk year, Bo Bichette has an on-base percentage a little over .300 and a slugging percentage a little under .400. If he continues to slog along in this way, the Jays’ best option in the offseason might be to extend him a qualifying offer, which will probably be in the range of $21 million, creating the possibility he could be back for 2026. — Olney


Record: 25-30
Previous ranking: 24

Defining these Angels is a bit difficult: They’ve had moments when they’ve hit and pitched well but always seem to take a step backward after taking one forward. Ultimately, they’ve hung around thanks to a couple of streaks, most notably a recent eight-game winning streak that included an impressive sweep of the Dodgers during rivalry weekend. Who the Angles are might not yet be determined, but so far there has been a nice resiliency to Ron Washington’s squad. His leadership in his second year as manager has proved to be a bit more steadying. — Rogers


Record: 25-30
Previous ranking: 25

With this rebuilding franchise a member of one of MLB’s toughest divisions, the Nationals’ season will be judged on the evolution of their youngest big leaguers — and, so far, they’ve had a mixed bag of performances. James Wood is hitting well with a .950 OPS, and MacKenzie Gore has 93 strikeouts in 62⅓ innings. But Dylan Crews has struggled overall, hitting under .200, and Mitchell Parker has given up four earned runs or more in five of his past six starts. — Olney


Record: 23-33
Previous ranking: 23

Only the Orioles have a worse home ERA than the Athletics, who vowed to make Sutter Health Park in Sacramento an advantage for them. It has been anything but as the A’s are 9-19 there, serving up 50 home runs while hitting only 31. Less than a month ago, their outlook was bright thanks in part to a solid road record that had them in both the division and wild-card hunt, but their inability to pitch well at home has become their Achilles’ heel. To wit: Not one even semi-regular starter has a home ERA under 5.50. — Rogers


Record: 22-32
Previous ranking: 26

Miami is not contending, so this must be a year of small successes, like the one the Marlins have experienced with outfielder Kyle Stowers. Acquired in a trade with Baltimore last summer, Stowers has become perhaps the front-runner to be their All-Star representative this year. The Orioles’ second-round pick in 2019, Stowers is hitting .291 — and .375 against left-handed pitching — with a .362 on-base percentage and 10 homers. He is exactly what the Orioles thought they were getting when they signed Tyler O’Neill to a $49.5 million contract this past offseason. — Olney


Record: 19-36
Previous ranking: 27

Baltimore is baseball’s most disappointing team of 2025, and evaluators with other teams say that the Orioles’ pitching problems might continue into next year and beyond. Zach Eflin has been good for them when healthy — save for a mid-May outing in which he gave up four homers and eight runs against the Nationals — and would probably fetch a decent trade return. But it’ll be interesting to see if Baltimore tries to sign Eflin to an extension, at a time when it has to rebuild its pitching. — Olney


Record: 21-36
Previous ranking: 28

His strikeout totals aren’t as eye-popping as they were last season, but nonetheless, Paul Skenes is still the must-watch attraction of the Pirates. He has made every turn in the rotation, has a masterful complete-game loss against the Phillies and gives up only 6.2 hits per nine innings pitched. Skenes seems to be finding his stride as he has gone at least six innings in each of his past four starts, giving up only one run in each of the past three. And remember, he has to be near perfect as Pittsburgh is averaging an MLB-worst three runs per game. Skenes is the sole hope for a Pirates turnaround — though it won’t come this season. — Rogers


Record: 18-38
Previous ranking: 29

The White Sox are still really bad, on pace to finish with the AL’s worst record for the second straight year. And their most valuable trade option, Luis Robert Jr., is off to a dreadful start, making it unlikely that he’ll bring back anything close to the type of return they were hoping for. But one major bright spot has emerged of late: Miguel Vargas, acquired from the Dodgers in last summer’s Michael Kopech trade, has finally gotten going. The 25-year-old infielder was slashing just .139/.236/.203 on April 21. Since then, it’s .316/.382/.607. — Gonzalez


Record: 9-47
Previous ranking: 30

The 2024 White Sox — you know, the team that lost a modern-day record 121 times — won their 10th game of the season on May 9. It’s May 29 now, and the 2025 Rockies still haven’t won their 10th game. Through their first 56 games, the Rockies sit at 9-47, six games worse than the 2024 White Sox were at that point in their season. That’s how bad the Rockies have been. Their run-differential is a whopping minus-175, and no other team is even at minus-100 at this point. Their offense ranks 29th in OPS, 29th in strikeout rate and 30th in runs per game. Their pitching staff has the worst ERA and the second-worst strikeout-to-walk ratio. — Gonzalez

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Crochet retires 17 straight as Red Sox swipe G1

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Crochet retires 17 straight as Red Sox swipe G1

NEW YORK — Garrett Crochet retired 17 consecutive batters in a sparkling pitching performance, and pinch-hitter Masataka Yoshida lined a two-run single off reliever Luke Weaver that sent the Boston Red Sox past the New York Yankees 3-1 on Tuesday night in their AL Wild Card Series opener.

New York loaded the bases with nobody out in the ninth inning, but All-Star closer Aroldis Chapman pitched out of the jam against his former team. Boston is 10-4 versus its longtime rival this year and halfway to winning the best-of-three playoff.

Game 2 is Wednesday night in the Bronx again, with Aaron Judge and the Yankees needing a victory to extend their season. Carlos Rodon (18-9, 3.09 ERA) will start for New York, opposed by Brayan Bello (11-9, 3.35).

Crochet gave up only Anthony Volpe‘s second-inning homer and improved to 4-0 against the Yankees this year, throwing a career-high 117 pitches in a marquee duel of ace left-handers with Max Fried. Crochet struck out 11 and walked none over 7⅔ innings while allowing four hits.

“The stuff was really good at that point,” Red Sox manager Alex Cora said of Crochet, keeping him in well into the eighth inning. “He was throwing 97, 98, and the previous inning was a quick one. So, it gave us a chance to push the envelope.”

Pitching with a 2-1 lead after Yoshida’s go-ahead hit in the seventh, Crochet extended his streak of retired batters until Volpe singled with one out in the eighth. Crochet’s final pitch was his fastest at 100.2 mph, which Austin Wells took for a called third strike.

“He’s the best pitcher in the game,” Yankees slugger Aaron Judge said of Crochet. “He’s going to work all of his pitches, and he threw a little bit more off-speed early on. But we got the Volpe homer, and we got some guys on, but we couldn’t do much after that.”

Chapman retired Jose Caballero on a fly out to finish the eighth before Alex Bregman, playing his 100th postseason game, hit an RBI double in the ninth off David Bednar.

Paul Goldschmidt, Judge and Cody Bellinger loaded the bases with consecutive singles starting the bottom half, but Chapman recovered to get the save when he struck out Giancarlo Stanton, retired Jazz Chisholm Jr. on a fly out and fanned Trent Grisham with a 101 mph fastball.

Boston improved to 13-12 against the Yankees in the postseason, winning nine of the past 10 meetings.

Crochet threw the most pitches in a postseason game since Washington’s Stephen Strasburg tossed 117 against St. Louis in 2019.

Fried pitched shutout ball for 6⅓ innings but a Yankees bullpen that had a 4.37 ERA during the regular season, 23rd among the 30 teams, faltered again.

Weaver relieved with no one on, got ahead of Ceddanne Rafaela 0-2 in the count, then walked him on 11 pitches.

Nick Sogard grounded a hit into right-center, hustling to second when Judge didn’t sprint to pick up the ball. Yoshida lined the next pitch, a fastball at the letters, to center for a 2-1 lead.

Weaver had a 1.05 ERA in his first 24 appearances, was sidelined for 2½ weeks by a strained left hamstring, then had a 5.31 ERA over his final 40 games.

Fried got 19 swings and misses, striking out six and walking three while allowing four hits in 6⅓ innings. He escaped a second-and-third, two-out jam in the fourth, then first-and-second, one-out trouble in the fifth.

Volpe, who slumped to a .212 average this year, put the Yankees ahead when he drove a sinker to the opposite field, where the ball landed a half-dozen rows into the right-field seats. Volpe’s drive would have been a home run in all but one big league stadium: Fenway Park.

The Associated Press contributed to this report.

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Winners and losers of Kirill Kaprizov’s NHL record-setting contract

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Winners and losers of Kirill Kaprizov's NHL record-setting contract

The Minnesota Wild handed out the largest contract in NHL history on Tuesday to star winger Kirill Kaprizov, as the 28-year-old will earn $136 million on an eight-year term through the 2033-34 season.

It’s a deal worth more in total money that the one Alex Ovechkin signed with the Washington Capitals ($124 million) in 2008, and carries a higher average annual value (AAV) than the one signed by Leon Draisaitl with the Edmonton Oilers ($14 million) last September.

It’s a contract that has sent shockwaves through the NHL. Some will benefit from its repercussions. Some will not. Here are the winners and losers of the Kaprizov contract, as we see them:


Winner: Bill Guerin

It was Guerin that finally got Kaprizov to leave the KHL for the NHL in 2021, succeeding where two previous Wild GMs had failed. Now he’s the guy that’s helped convinced Kaprizov to stay in Minnesota.

Guerin faced some enormous challenges in getting this done. One of them was the lure of unrestricted free agency under a rising salary cap, as Kaprizov wouldn’t have suffered from a lack of suitors. Some of those suitors might have been more appealing than the Wild: As one NHL agent told ESPN, the Wild’s status as a mid-tier Stanley Cup contender and Minnesota not being “a destination” for stars worked against them. Kaprizov had the hammer in negotiations, as was evidenced by the windfall he eventually received.

But Guerin also had some advantages here. His team could give Kaprizov the eighth contract year that the player reportedly wanted out of his next deal. He also had the financial backing of ownership to offer the richest contract in NHL history — $128 million earlier in September — and then increase that offer when Kaprizov didn’t sign.

Guerin also benefitted from having Kaprizov’s contract come up before a major change in the CBA rules. His contract pays out $128 million of his money in annual signing bonuses. That’s 94% of its value. Starting in Sept. 2026, contracts will only be able to offer signing bonuses worth 60% of the “aggregate compensation payable under the contract.”

Guerin landed the plane at time when many felt Kaprizov’s initial rejection of a record contract was his rejection of the franchise. Whether you agree with the compensation or not, give credit where it’s due: He got it done.


Loser: Kevin Cheveldayoff

Since 2021-22, Kyle Connor has scored just five fewer goals (153) than Kaprizov (158), having played 44 more games than the Minnesota winger. That’s on a 14.2% shooting percentage. Simply put, the 28-year-old Jet winger is as elite a goal-scorer as you’ll find on the wing — and as an unrestricted free agent next summer, should be compensated as such.

The question is whether that’ll happen in Winnipeg, where he’s entering his 10th season, or elsewhere.

If Connor was waiting for a salary domino to fall, this one landed with a sonic boom. Jets GM Kevin Cheveldayoff just watched Kaprizov reset the market for a player that scored 41 goals and had 56 assists for a career best 97 points in 82 games.

Cheveldayoff has done a masterful job retaining other stars like goalie Connor Hellebuyck and Mark Scheifele, both at $8.5 million AAV over seven seasons. Market conditions were more favorable to the Jets when they re-upped in 2023. They aren’t now, thanks in part to Kaprizov.

The conundrum for Cheveldayoff and the Jets: Is Connor worth that money?

“He scores goals, but gives a lot back,” one NHL executive said.


Winner: Paul Theofanous

Wild owner Craig Leipold told The Athletic on Tuesday that the team was still convinced Kaprizov wanted to re-sign even after he didn’t agree to an eight-year, $128 million contract extension offer on Sept. 9.

“He never raised the money issue. That was always the agent,” Leipold said. “So, I mean, I think we always thought that we’re going to get this thing done, and we thought, at least in the last week or so, 17 was the number.”

Theofanous, Kaprizov’s agent, is a legendarily tough negotiator. He not only managed to get another $8 million added to an offer that would have already set a new NHL contract value record, but he negotiated a contract structure that pays Kaprizov $128 million in “buyout-proof” bonus money. Theofanous dug his heels in and won huge, despite the Wild’s belief that Kaprizov wouldn’t take this to free agency.


Loser: Player movement

The era of player retention continues.

The upper limit of the NHL salary cap this season is $95.5 million. It’s been estimated that the ceiling will be at least $104 million in 2026-27, the first time the NHL’s salary cap will have crested over the century mark. Some predicted this inflation would lead to a spike in player movement, as teams had more to spend on acquiring talent.

On the contrary, the rising cap has seen teams retain their players throughout the offseason, no longer sweating out the pressure points that the cap created. Kaprizov is the latest name to stay where his stuff is, and he’s likely not the last.


Winner: Getting locked in early

Hart Levine of the salary cap site Puck Pedia believes that hockey fans just have to accept that this is the new normal under the salary cap.

“It’s a big number, but we just have to get used to living in a world where the cap is going up each year. It’s going up 9% from this year to next year,” he told me.

It’s all about context. Heck, even Kaprizov’s deal might look like a bargain in the next few seasons.

Take Draisaitl’s contract that he signed last September. Levine says that under next year’s salary cap, Draisaitl’s contract would have been worth $15.25 million against the cap. Conversely, if you took Kaprizov’s contract and put into current cap dollars, the AAV would be around $15.6 million.

One NHL executive likened the rise in the salary cap to a “tidal wave” that’ll just keep adding more and more large contracts as it grows. Which means the key for teams is locking players in before that wave crests.

When discussing good cap management with some NHL sources, one team that came up multiple times was the Carolina Hurricanes.

Their front office, now led by GM Eric Tulsky, has locked up several players to long-term deals ahead of the dramatic salary cap increase: Forwards Sebastian Aho ($9.75 million through 2031-32), Seth Jarvis ($7,420,087 through 2031-32) and Logan Stankoven ($6 million through 2033-34), as well as newly acquired defenseman K’Andre Miller ($7.5 million through 2032-33) and forward Nikolaj Ehlers ($8.5 million through 2030-31).

The Canes have their core locked up long-term at a reasonable rate, and the flexibility to still go after big players via trades as they’ve done the last two seasons with Jake Guentzel and Mikko Rantanen.

Speaking of which …


Losers: Mitch Marner and Mikko Rantanen

Kaprizov’s contract will no doubt continue the dialogue about NHL cities with high income taxes and NHL cities that don’t have income taxes, a.k.a. the teams that happen to be winning Stanley Cups with some frequency lately.

According to an analysis by the Tax Foundation, Minnesota has the fifth-highest top income tax rate in the U.S., at 9.85%. There’s no question that’s a factor in Kaprizov getting $136 million over eight seasons, because he wouldn’t have gotten that same number in a no-tax state. Jeff Marek of Daily Faceoff spoke with one player agent who said Kaprizov’s average annual value in a place like Florida would have been around $14 million.

If that’s the case, then Kaprizov still would have made more annually than Mitch Marner of the Vegas Golden Knights and Mikko Rantanen of the Dallas Stars, who both signed mega-contracts in the last year worth $12 million against the cap through 2032-33.

Marner’s points-per-game average of the last three seasons was equal to Kaprizov’s (1.24) while Rantanen’s was right behind them (1.22). If either of them had the power of clairvoyance and could see what Kaprizov just earned, what would those contracts have looked like?


Winner: Kirill Kaprizov

We must obviously shout out the man himself, who set a new standard for NHL contracts in both overall value and average annual value. From a production standpoint, he’s among the best offensive hockey players in the world: He plays to a 50-goal pace, is a dynamic playmaker and shown to be a more committed defensive player than one might assume given his gaudy stats.

But there’s one number that’s never added up for Kaprizov, and that’s games played. The winger has played over 80 games once in his NHL career, back in 2021-22 when finished seventh in the MVP voting. Last season saw him limited to 41 games. He’s 28 years old, turning 29 next April.

Again, it’s a credit to Kaprizov that he has still managed to post astounding numbers despite those injuries. But for this level of investment, the Wild need him on the ice and not in the press box. Minnesota was 63-41-12 with Kaprizov in the lineup over the last two seasons and 21-23-4 without him. He’s a difference-maker.


The most complicated contract decision in the NHL just got a little more complicated.

McDavid is entering the final year of his contract with the Oilers. As we’ve written previously, everything is on the table for his future — from taking a shorter-term deal to remain in Edmonton to leaving for what would unquestionably become the richest free-agent contract the NHL has ever seen.

The latest speculation around the league: If McDavid does decide to remain with the Oilers beyond this season, it wouldn’t be for a max contract, with the idea being that McDavid would want fair compensation while giving Edmonton GM Stan Bowman flexibility to improve the team in pursuit of McDavid’s elusive Stanley Cup ring.

Yet there are also those who believe that McDavid should secure the bag even if he stays in Edmonton — after all, why should he pay for the team’s cap-management missteps?

McDavid is the best hockey player in the world. Whatever he wants on a new contract in Edmonton, they’re going to give him. It’s the “whatever he wants” that’s now a thornier issue, as the bar has been raised from Draisaitl’s $14 million to Kaprizov’s $17 million. Will McDavid choose to reset that bar whenever — or wherever — he signs his new deal?

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Skubal ties Tigers record with 14 Ks in G1 win

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Skubal ties Tigers record with 14 Ks in G1 win

CLEVELAND — Tarik Skubal tied a franchise postseason record with 14 strikeouts and the Detroit Tigers defeated the Cleveland Guardians 2-1 on Tuesday in Game 1 of their AL Wild Card Series.

Will Vest recorded the final four outs for Detroit, surviving a tense ninth inning after Cleveland star Jose Ramirez got hung up between third base and home for the second out.

The Tigers, who struggled down the stretch, allowing Cleveland to secure the AL Central title, can advance to the division series round for the second straight year with a win Wednesday.

“It means a lot to take the ball in Game 1,” Skubal said. “To have the trust in our whole organization, it means a lot. And it doesn’t really matter how we got here. We’re up 1-0 in a best of three.”

Detroit scored the go-ahead run in the seventh inning when Zach McKinstry‘s safety squeeze scored Riley Greene from third.

Ramirez led off the ninth with an infield single and advanced to third when shortstop Javier Baez threw wide of first base. Vest struck out pinch-hitter George Valera, then Kyle Manzardo hit a grounder to Vest. Ramirez broke for home but was cut off by Vest, who chased him down and tagged him out.

“That ball’s two feet either way, he scores,” Cleveland manager Stephen Vogt said. “It just happened to go right back to Vest. So we play aggressive. We always do. We run the bases aggressive. I wouldn’t play that any other way.”

C.J. Kayfus then hit a flyout to Baez in shallow left to end it.

Skubal, who is favored to win his second straight AL Cy Young Award, set a career high for strikeouts. He was dominant and unfazed as he pitched on the same mound where one week ago, he threw a 99 mph fastball that struck Cleveland designated hitter David Fry in the nose and face during the sixth inning.

“I thought my outing was coming to a close,” Skubal said when asked about being allowed to continue on into the eighth inning. “But I was ready to go back out there. I’m never going to take myself out of a game, and I don’t ever really want the handshake.”

The right-hander went 7 2/3 innings and threw 107 pitches, one off his career high, including 73 strikes. He allowed one run on only three hits, with two being infield singles, and walked three. His fastball averaged 99.1 mph, 1.6 mph above his season average.

Skubal outdueled Cleveland starter Gavin Williams, who was just as effective but hurt by a pair of Guardians errors. Williams allowed two unearned runs in six-plus innings on five hits with eight strikeouts and one walk.

“I was just worried about doing my best to execute each pitch,” Skubal said, “and just do what makes me a good pitcher, and that’s getting ahead, and getting guys into leverage.”

Detroit took a 1-0 lead in the first inning when Kerry Carpenter scored on Spencer Torkelson’s two-out bloop single to left field. Carpenter got aboard on a base hit to right but advanced to second on a fielding error by Johnathan Rodriguez.

The Guardians finally got to Skubal in the fourth by not having a ball leave the infield.

Angel Martinez hit a slow grounder between Skubal and second baseman Gleyber Torres to lead off the inning. He advanced to second on Ramírez’s walk.

With two outs and runners on first and second, Gabriel Arias hit a high chopper over Skubal. The ball landed on the infield grass between the mound and second base. Skubal fielded the ball as Martinez rounded third. Martinez’s left hand touched the plate before Detroit catcher Dillon Dingler applied the tag.

Martinez was originally ruled out on the head-first slide, but it was overturned by instant replay to tie the game at 1-1.

The Associated Press contributed to this report.

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