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For all the stark warnings and ominous predictions made by the head of NATO today, one key fact remained unmentioned.

The West is still funding the Russian war effort to the tune of billions by buying oil and gas, funnelling vast amounts into an economy that is now fully militarised.

Russian gas exports to Europe went up by 20% last year and its LNG exports to the EU are now at record levels.

Read more: NATO chief calls for 400% increase in air and missile defence

Vladimir Putin’s Russia is now making more money from selling fossil fuels than Ukraine receives from allies.

NATO’s secretary general Mark Rutte did not mention any of that. But he did spell out what Russia is doing with all that hydrocarbon revenue.

It is using it to put its economy onto a war footing that is now pumping out munitions at a rate that puts the West to shame, to the extent Russia could have the capability to take on NATO in three to five years, according to Mr Rutte.

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The secretary general meant his speech in London as a warning and call to arms.

But it was also a shameful admission for the Western alliance he heads.

More than three years into this war, Russia is outstripping the entire Western bloc by four to one in terms of munitions production.

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NATO spending targets explained

Russia’s economy is 1/25th that of NATO’s combined economic might and crippled by sanctions and yet every three months pumps out more shells than the entire NATO bloc manages in a year.

And while Europe carries on funding Russia’s war effort by buying its oil and gas, none of that is going to change.

We are now in the insane and obscene situation where European taxpayers will have to fork out more, a lot more, to counteract the threat of a militarised Russia, whose resurgence is being subsidised by Western countries buying its fossil fuels.

Historians will look back on that and wonder why it was allowed to continue more than three years into this devastating conflict.

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India to London plane crashes with 242 people on board

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India to London plane crashes with 242 people on board

A plane carrying 242 people, including 53 British nationals, to London Gatwick has crashed in India.

A fireball can be seen in footage as the Air India flight crashed into a residential area near Ahmedabad Airport shortly after take-off.

More than 100 bodies have been brought to hospital in the north-western city in Gujarat state, according to police.

India plane crash latest: Follow live updates

Video circulating on social media shows massive plumes of thick black smoke rising into the sky near the airport after the crash.

Other footage shows debris at the scene on fire and people being moved in stretchers and taken away in ambulances.

Air India pane crash map

Air India said flight AI171, which departed from Ahmedabad to London Gatwick at 1.38pm local time, was carrying 242 passengers and crew members.

They include 169 Indian nationals, 53 British nationals, seven Portuguese nationals and one Canadian national.

“The injured are being taken to the nearest hospitals,” the airline said.

Ahmedabad Airport said in a statement all flights were suspended after the plane crashed “shortly after take-off, outside the airport”.

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Video shows huge plumes of smoke near Indian airport

In a statement, London Gatwick said the flight was due to land at 6.25pm UK time on Thursday.

Flight tracking website Flightradar said a signal was last received from the aircraft less than a minute after take-off.

It is the first ever crash of a Boeing 787 Dreamliner, according to the Aviation Safety Network database.

The model, a widebody, twin-engine plane, has made five million journeys in the 14 years since its first passenger flight.

Pic: Takagi
Image:
The aircraft before the crash. Pic: Takagi

Pic: NDTV
Image:
The plane crashed in a residential area. Pic: NDTV

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Tail of Air India plane wedged in roof

Read more: What we know so far

Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer said “the scenes emerging of a London-bound plane carrying many British nationals crashing in the Indian city of Ahmedabad are devastating”.

He said he was being kept updated as the situation develops, while Buckingham Palace said the King was also being kept informed.

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Rescuers rush to airport

The foreign office said the UK is “working with local authorities in India to urgently establish the facts and provide support to those involved” and advised British nationals who require consular assistance to call 020 7008 5000.

India’s prime minister Narendra Modi said in a post on X: “The tragedy in Ahmedabad has stunned and saddened us.

“It is heartbreaking beyond words. In this sad hour, my thoughts are with everyone affected by it.”

Previous Air India crashes

Air India, which started operations in 1932, and its subsidiary Air India Express has suffered several fatal crashes.

According to Aviation Safety Network (ASN) the most recent fatal crashes were:

• May 2010: Boeing 737-800 (Air India Express) overshot the runway at Mangalore, India, and crashed into a gorge, killing 158 people.

• August 2020: Boeing 737-800 (Air India Express) after landing in Karipur, India, the aircraft left the runway, rolled down an embankment and broke up, killing 21 people.

Here are some recent non-fatal incidents, according to ASN, which include unofficial sources:

• September 2024: Boeing 737-8HG (Air India Express) suffered engine problems after taking off from Delhi and returned to the airport.

• October 2024: Boeing 737-8HG (Air India Express) declared an emergency immediately after take-off due to a hydraulic issue, eventually landing safely.

• December 2024: Airbus A320-251N started the takeoff roll (when the aircraft starts to build up speed before take-off) on a taxiway instead of the runway at Goa, but stopped when alerted by controllers.

• December 2024: Boeing 737-86N (Air India Express) returned to land at Kochi after tyre debris was found on the runway.

• January 2025: Airbus A320-251N suffered an engine shutdown after departing Bangalore and landed safely at the same location.

• April 2025: Boeing 737-8HG (Air India Express) made contact with an object on the runway during landing in UAE.

India’s civil aviation minister Ram Mohan Naidu Kinjarapu said he was “shocked and devastated” to learn about the crash.

“We are on highest alert,” he said. “I am personally monitoring the situation and have directed all aviation and emergency response agencies to take swift and coordinated action.

“Rescue teams have been mobilised, and all efforts are being made to ensure medical aid and relief support are being rushed to the site.”

 Air India plane crash
Firefighters work at the site of an airplane that crashed in India's northwestern city of Ahmedabad in Gujarat state, Thursday, June12, 2025. (AP Photo/Ajit Solanki)
Image:
Pic: AP

Aviation expert Julian Bray told Sky News he understands the pilot managed to make a mayday call, meaning the crew was aware of a problem before the crash.

Air India was acquired by Tata Group from the Indian government in January 2022 after racking up billions of pounds of losses.

The group now operates more than 8,300 weekly flights on 312 routes, connecting more than 100 domestic and international destinations with a fleet of 300 aircraft.

Rescue team members work as smoke rises at the site where an Air India plane crashed in Ahmedabad, India, June 12, 2025. REUTERS/Amit Dave T
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Rescue workers at the crash site. Pic: Reuters

People work near the site of an airplane that crashed in India's northwestern city of Ahmedabad in Gujarat state, Thursday, June12, 2025. (AP Photo/Ajit Solanki)
Image:
Pic: AP

The airline’s chairman Natarajan Chandrasekaran described the incident as a “tragic accident” and a “devastating event” and said emergency response teams were at the site.

“At this moment, our primary focus is on supporting all the affected people and their families,” he said.

“We are doing everything in our power to assist the emergency response teams at the site and to provide all necessary support and care to those impacted.”

A Boeing spokesperson said: “We are aware of initial reports and are working to gather more information.”

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What we know so far after Air India flight to London Gatwick crashes

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What we know so far after Air India flight to London Gatwick crashes

An Air India flight which was en route to London Gatwick has crashed in India.

At least 242 people were on board the flight when it crashed shortly after take off in the northwestern Indian city of Ahmedabad.

More than 50 of the passengers are British nationals.

India plane crash latest: Follow live updates

Here is what we know so far.

Where did the plane crash?

Air India flight AI171 took off from Ahmedabad Airport at 1.38pm local time on Thursday.

According to flight tracking website Flightrader, the aircraft had reached a height of 625ft before crashing. Its last signal was received less than a minute after take off.

Air India pane crash map

The aircraft crashed into a residential area called Meghani Nagar, Faiz Ahmed Kidwai, the director general of the directorate of civil aviation, told the Associated Press.

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Huge plumes of smoke near Indian airport

More than 100 bodies have been brought to hospital in Ahmedabad, police said.

At least 30 bodies were recovered from a building at the site of the crash, Reuters reported, citing rescue workers at the site.

More people were trapped inside the building, the workers said.

Rescue team members work as smoke rises at the site where an Air India plane crashed in Ahmedabad, India, June 12, 2025. REUTERS/Amit Dave
Image:
Pic: Reuters

People work near the site of an airplane that crashed in India's northwestern city of Ahmedabad in Gujarat state, Thursday, June12, 2025. (AP Photo/Ajit Solanki)
Image:
Pic: AP

Images from the scene showed people being moved in stretchers and taken away in ambulances. The exact number of casualties is not known.

The tail of the plane has been pictured protruding from a building, while the wings were ripped completely from the main body of the aircraft.

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Tail of Air India plane in roof

MANDATORY credit - Xinhua/Shutterstock
Image:
One plane wing completely detached from the body of the aircraft. Pic: Xinhua/Shutterstock


Who was on board?

Air India said of the 242 passengers and crew on the plane, 53 are British nationals, 169 are Indian nationals, seven are Portuguese and one person is Canadian.

Those that have been injured are being taken to the nearest hospitals.

Firefighters work to put out a fire at the site where an Air India Boeing 787 Dreamliner plane crashed in Ahmedabad.
Pic: Reuters
Image:

Pic: Reuters

The airline said it has also “set up a dedicated passenger hotline number 1800 5691 444 to provide more information”.

The flight had been due to land at London Gatwick at 6.25pm local time.

A general view of part of the departure hall that is used by Air India at Gatwick Airport near London, Thursday, June 12, 2025, after an Air India jet bound for London crashed in Ahmedabad, India with more than 240 people on board. (AP Photo/Kin Cheung)
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The departure hall that is used by Air India at Gatwick Airport. Pic: AP

What caused the crash?

It is unknown at this stage what caused the crash.

The aircraft was a Boeing 787-8 Dreamliner. The American aircraft manufacturer which makes the plane, said it is “aware of initial reports” and is working to gather more information.

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Moment before and after crash

Aviation expert Julian Bray told Sky News that he understands the pilot of flight AI171 managed to make a mayday call before the crash.

This would mean the crew was aware of a problem before the incident happened.

A mayday call is an internationally recognised distress signal used in radio communication. It indicates an imminent danger and the need for immediate assistance.

People gather near the wreckage where Air India crashed in Ahmedabad.
Pic: Reuters
Image:
People gather near the wreckage.
Pic: Reuters

Sky News’ science correspondent Thomas Moore said investigators will now be studying the video and the two black boxes recording cockpit conversations and technical data to try to understand why the crash occurred.

“It’s possible there was an engine failure of some kind, perhaps caused by a catastrophic mechanical fault. But the plane is designed to be able to fly with one engine, even at take-off, so something else would have to go wrong too,” he said

“Both engines could have failed if they sucked in a flock of birds as the plane took off. It’s happened in other air crashes.”

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Aviation experts on India plane crash

How has the UK responded?

Sir Keir Starmer said the scenes emerging from the site of the crash in Ahmedabad are “devastating”.

The prime minister said he is being kept updated as the situation develops. Buckingham Palace said King Charles is also being briefed on the crash.

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Rescuers rush to airport

Foreign Minister David Lammy said that he is “deeply saddened by news”.

In a statement on X, Mr Lammy wrote: “My thoughts are with all those affected. The UK is working with local authorities in India to urgently establish the facts and provide support.”

People gather near the site where an Air India plane crashed in Ahmedabad, India, June 12, 2025. REUTERS/Amit Dave
Image:
Pic: Reuters

Members of the security forces work at the site of an airplane that crashed in India's northwestern city of Ahmedabad in Gujarat state, Thursday, June 12, 2025. (AP Photo/Ajit Solanki)
Image:
Pic: AP

The UK’s Foreign Office said it is currently “working with local authorities in India to urgently establish the facts and provide support to those involved”.

Britons who have concerns may call 0207 008 5000, the Foreign Office added.

Firefighters work at the site of an airplane that crashed in India's northwestern city of Ahmedabad in Gujarat state, Thursday, June12, 2025
Image:
Pic: AP

What has India said?

Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi said the plane crash was “heartbreaking beyond words”.

“The tragedy in Ahmedabad has stunned and saddened us,” he said.

“In this sad hour, my thoughts are with everyone affected by it.”

Firefighters work at the site of an airplane that crashed in India's northwestern city of Ahmedabad in Gujarat state, Thursday, June12, 2025
Image:
Firefighters work at the site of the crash. Pic: AP

The country’s civil aviation minister said he is “shocked and devastated”.

“I am personally monitoring the situation and have directed all aviation and emergency response agencies to take swift and coordinated action,” Ram Mohan Naidu Kinjarapu said.

“My thoughts and prayers are with all those on board and their families.

Firefighters work at the site of an airplane that crashed in India's northwestern city of Ahmedabad in Gujarat state, Thursday, June 12, 2025. (AP Photo/Ajit Solanki)
Image:
Pic: AP

Previous Air India crashes

Air India, which started operations in 1932, and its subsidiary Air India Express has suffered several fatal crashes, two of which were caused by acts of terrorism.

According to Aviation Safety Network (ASN) the most recent fatal crash was in August 2020, when Boeing 737-800 (Air India Express) overshot the runway in Karipur, India, rolled down an embankment and broke up, killing 21 people.

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Non-fatal incidents have happened most recently as April this year, when an Air India Express Boeing 737-8HG made contact with an object on the runway during landing in the United Arab Emirates.

Boeing shares fell nearly 8% in premarket US trading on Thursday, after the crash in Ahmedabad.

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Iran not complying with nuclear obligations for first time in almost 20 years, says UN watchdog

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Iran not complying with nuclear obligations for first time in almost 20 years, says UN watchdog

The UN nuclear watchdog’s board of governors has found that Iran is not complying with its nuclear obligations for the first time in 20 years.

It comes as sources have told US media that Israel is considering taking military action against Iran in the coming days – without American support.

Iran said it has “always adhered” to the safeguard obligations laid down by the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA).

Tehran said it “has no choice but to respond to this political resolution,” and said it would launch a new enrichment site “in a secure location”.

“Other measures are also being planned and will be announced subsequently,” Iran said.

Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei
Image:
Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei

The reports come as US President Donald Trump is said to be in advanced discussions with Iran about a diplomatic deal to curtail the Middle Eastern country’s nuclear programme.

However Mr Trump told the New York Post’s “Pod Force One” podcast that he was “getting more and more less confident about” an agreement.

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Iran will not abandon what it views as its right to enrich uranium – contrary to US demands, a senior Iranian official said on Thursday.

Last week, Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei said that abandoning such enrichment was “100%” against the country’s interests.

Israel is said to have become more serious about a unilateral strike on Iran, particularly with reports that a deal between the US and Iran could include provisions about uranium enrichment. Israel views those provisions as unacceptable.

Such a strike would be a dramatic break with the Trump administration’s foreign policy.

With tensions in the region simmering as the nuclear discussions unfold and with the potential for unrest, the US State Department ordered the evacuation of all non-essential personnel from its embassy in the Iraqi capital, Baghdad.

America has also authorised – rather than ordered – the departure of non-essential personnel and family members from Bahrain and Kuwait

Israel has made no secret of its assessment that Iran is politically and militarily weak, and there has rarely been a better moment to strike its nuclear facilities.

So far, pressure from the US has stopped them acting.

But nuclear talks between Iran and the US are faltering, President Trump is no longer confident a deal can be reached, and Israel has said it is ready to strike if the talks collapse. That moment could be nearing.

A further round of negotiations is set to take place in Oman this weekend. If Iran remains insistent that it must retain enriched uranium, then US patience might run out.

Although the threat of Israeli strikes should be taken seriously, the decision to partially evacuate the US embassy in Baghdad and permit the voluntary departure of other US government dependents in the region, could be a negotiating tactic. A way of upping the stakes.

Sources I’ve spoken to around the region are calm, for now.

But for Israel, the window to act could be closing. Its strikes on the Iran in October 2024 reportedly eliminated much of the country’s air defences. The more time that passes the more opportunity Iran has to rebuild, and that will be in the mind of Benjamin Netanyahu and Israeli commanders as their weigh their options.

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