
11 surprising stats that have defined the 2025 MLB season
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Bradford DoolittleJun 18, 2025, 07:00 AM ET
Close- MLB writer and analyst for ESPN.com
- Former NBA writer and analyst for ESPN.com
- Been with ESPN since 2013
From the standings to the league leaders to the scoreboard itself, numbers are narrative in baseball.
Each season is a little different and 2025 is no exception. Some numbers tell the story as it unfolds; others suggest where the game is and might be headed.
Here are a few numbers that are holding my attention as we approach the halfway point of the campaign.
.454
What the number is: Aaron Judge‘s batting average on balls in play
Why it’s important: Judge has reached that rarefied place few other hitters have: when a star batter becomes so lethal, debates emerge about whether it would be better to simply walk him every time he comes up.
The short answer to that is no — the math doesn’t check out — but that doesn’t mean Judge isn’t doing something that seemed all but unthinkable during his recent run of dominance: He’s gotten even better.
All of the usual indicators that have made Judge the game’s best hitter are in line with his recent standards. He’s on track to homer in more than 8% of his plate appearances for a fourth straight season. His strikeout rate is up a bit lately but is also comparable to his composite for the past few years.
The glaring difference is Judge’s batting average: .372. Even with a recent slump, he’s in position to challenge for the American League’s Triple Crown. That by itself is remarkable for a player who, at the age of 25 in 2017, homered 52 times but also had 208 strikeouts.
Judge’s average spike is in part because of a better whiff rate than his early years, but it’s mostly driven by that BABIP. He’s always been a high BABIP hitter — .352 for his career — simply because he hits the ball hard so often, but we’ve never seen anything like this.
This BABIP has a chance to be truly unprecedented. According to Baseball Reference’s Stathead, the all-time mark for BABIP by a qualifying AL or NL batter is Ty Cobb’s .443 mark in 1911. Judge is currently on pace to obliterate that record.
Also think about what kind of hitter Judge is — an awe-inspiring home run hitter. The BABIP leaderboard is dominated by deadball era players who excelled at a time when the game was all about batting average — Cobb, Shoeless Joe Jackson, Willie Keeler, Jesse Burkett. In the 1920s, a power hitter joined the upper tier of the stat: Babe Ruth.
Yet Ruth’s career high in BABIP was .423 (1923), nowhere close to where Judge is right now. We used to point to Judge’s feats and contextualize them by citing their historical proximity to Ruth. At the rate things are going, we might end up contextualizing Ruth for his proximity to Judge.
1.89
What the number is: Paul Skenes‘ ERA over his first 38 career starts
Why it’s important: It’s a fun exercise to take a player who is off to a fast career start and see how he ranks on some all-time leaderboard. Doing so might highlight his early accomplishments, but we still understand the point is limited. The player hasn’t gone through the ups and downs, injuries and eventual declines that accompany a baseball career.
Nevertheless, we’re going to highlight Skenes’ ERA this way because it’s just so astonishing. And not for nothing, 38 starts is a pretty good sample.
Ordinarily, ERA is limited when it comes to historical comparisons, because the league contexts that affect it have vacillated so wildly through baseball history. You don’t have to be a baseball analyst to understand why the 1.74 ERA that Pedro Martinez posted in the offense-intense 2000 season was very different than when Ron Guidry posted the same figure in pitching-friendly 1978, and even more different than when Tim Keefe landed there in 1888, when the rules were very different.
The remarkable thing about Skenes’ ERA is how it stands out historically, even if you don’t adjust it one iota for league, team or ballpark context. The current all-time leaderboard for career ERA, minimum 38 starts:
1. Ed Walsh (1.82)
2. (tie) Paul Skenes, Addie Joss (1.89)
You’ve got two Hall of Famers who flourished at the heights (lows?) of the deadball era … and Paul Skenes.
22%
What the number is: The overall MLB strikeout percentage
Why it’s important: Look, 22% is still a high strikeout rate on the historical scale. In each season from 1979 to 1981, for example, it was just 12.5%, and that’s when pitchers were still hitting in the National League. But it’s progress: Last year, the figure was 22.6% and we’re now down 1.2% from the full-season record set in 2021. (It was even higher in the shortened 2020 season.)
That much of a four-year decline from 2021 is certainly noteworthy in a category that has generally gone up relentlessly over the entirety of big league history. When the rate dropped off slightly from the shortened season, it ended a 15-year streak of annual increases.
When strikeouts are down, batting average generally goes up, and so it seems to be the case in 2025. The overall .245 mark is nothing to write home about, but it’s two points better than last season, and the number should go up, as the best batting average months are ahead of us.
The average is driven by the improved contact. League BABIP (.291) remains steady over last year, when it plummeted from the .297 mark in 2023. That turned out to be a temporary spike caused by the ban on extreme shifts, but defenses seem to have adjusted.
The game would be better if we could start to push that BABIP back toward .300. In absence of that, we’ll take a little more contact. So far in 2025, we’ve been getting it.
162
What the number is: Shohei Ohtani‘s runs scored pace
Why it’s important: Once again a big league pitcher, Ohtani continues to do unprecedented things at the plate as a Dodger. His stolen base numbers are down from 2024, when he put up MLB’s first 50/50 season, and now that he’s pitching again, we shouldn’t expect the thefts to accelerate. But Ohtani’s work on the bases is still off the charts.
According to Baseball Reference, Ohtani has scored 45% of the time when he reaches base, fourth in the majors. He’s also third in the NL in on-base percentage, behind only teammates Will Smith and Freddie Freeman, so he has had a lot of opportunities to score. Runs scored percentage doesn’t include tallies on homers, and he’s leading the NL in that category with 25.
Roll it all together and Ohtani is on pace to score more than 160 runs. That just doesn’t happen. The modern record is Ruth’s 177 from 1921. Ruth and Lou Gehrig both topped 160 runs twice — and that’s it. No one else has gotten there.
There’s more: Since World War II, only Ted Williams (150, 1949) and Jeff Bagwell (152, 2000) have reached even 150 runs scored. Ohtani might not post another 50/50 season, but that doesn’t mean he’s still not doing historic things at the plate.
And, yeah, he’s pitching again, too.
6.86%
What the number is: The percentage of stolen base opportunities resulting in attempts
Why it’s important: Teams are still sorting out how to optimize for the revamped stolen base context stemming from rule changes and the adoption of larger bases. After wading into heightened running games at first, we’re really seeing teams rev things up in 2025 — and there’s room for more growth.
SBA% is a formula that estimates the number of theft opportunities that arise and converts that to a rate based on the actual number of attempts. The 6.86% figure is up from 4.31% in 2021, a nadir for the division era. Last season, the rate was at 6.75%.
Caught stealing percentage is up, too — 22.6% of attempts — but while it’s the highest number since the rules were changed, it’s still the third-lowest mark on record. If we consider the accepted red flag level for caught stealing to be 25% — more than that, then teams are being too aggressive — that means teams have room to get even more bold.
As it is, we’ve seen 0.75 steals per game in 2025, the highest figure since 1990. This set of rule changes has been a positive.
39.3%
What the number is: The percentage of runs that have scored via homers
Why it’s important: This number is related to both the improved contact rate and the increased steal rate noted above, but it’s still worth calling attention to on its own. The 39.3 R/HR% is at its lowest since 2015.
In general, runs have been hard to come by in 2025, and it remains true that the easiest way to score a run is to simply jack the ball over a fence. Teams haven’t stopped trying to do that. But there has been an uptick in the diversity of offensive styles. That’s a good thing.
MLB has acknowledged that its own data on the performance of the baseballs this year indicates increased drag, making homers a little harder to come by.
Keep it up! The harder it is to homer, the craftier teams will have to be when it comes to scoring. During the 20-year period ending in 1993, R/HR% was around 29%. We’ve got more work to do, but at least the trend arrow is pointing the right direction.
59
What the number is: Cal Raleigh‘s home run pace
Why it’s important: Three players are on pace for at least 50 homers: Judge, Ohtani and, yes, the amazing Cal Raleigh.
It’s no exaggeration to say that if Raleigh were to get to 59 homers, it would be one of the most remarkable longball seasons in baseball history. Mostly because he’s a Gold Glove catcher — more on that in a bit — but also because Raleigh’s home park in Seattle is a brutal venue for offense.
There’s also this: Raleigh is a switch-hitter, and he has mashed with equal aplomb from both sides of the plate. Let’s keep dreaming on this 59-homer pace: Mickey Mantle’s 54 bombs in 1961 is the record for a switcher. Mantle, who also hit 52 in 1956, is the only switch-hitter ever to top 50.
But yes, Raleigh is a catcher, and he’s one of the best. Among primary catchers, the homer record is 48, set by Kansas City’s Salvador Perez in 2021. But Perez hit 15 of those homers while DHing. According to the Baseball Reference split finder, the record for homers by a catcher as a catcher is 42, set by Atlanta’s Javier Lopez in 2003.
So far, 25 of Raleigh’s 27 homers have come when he’s catching.
40/52
What the number is: Pete Crow-Armstrong‘s homer and steal paces
Why it’s important: The Cubs’ offense has been one of the breakout units in the sport this season. If we told you back in March that this would be the case, you’d assume the attack had been ignited by the addition of Kyle Tucker.
Tucker has been every bit as good as the Cubs hoped, but the avatar for the Cubs’ offensive leap has been the amazing Crow-Armstrong. Again, let’s adopt that back-in-March mindset. The default notion then was that if PCA could hit just well enough to stay in the lineup, his defense and baserunning would be a boon to the Cubs’ roster.
Indeed, Crow-Armstrong has been an impact performer in the field and on the basepaths. He’s also started pulling, launching and mashing the ball at elite levels, resulting in 19 dingers to date, with the homers coming at more than twice the rate as in his rookie season.
For now, Crow-Armstrong is on pace to become the Cubs’ first-ever 40/40 player. He’d also be just the seventh player ever to do it, period. But it’s becoming a thing. If PCA (or someone else — keep an eye on Elly De La Cruz) gets there, it would be the third straight season it’s happened, following Ronald Acuna Jr. and Ohtani.
73
What the number is: The number of starting pitchers on pace for at least 162 innings pitched
Why it’s important: Maybe I’m being a little pie-eyed here, because I long for the return of the preeminence of starting pitching. Still, there are 73 pitchers on pace to qualify for the ERA title. This number is subject to rapid change due to a sudden spate of pitching injuries. But perhaps other pitchers will pick up the pace a little and join the club if that happens.
For now, let’s stick with the pace of 73. Last season, 58 pitchers qualified for the ERA title, up from 44 in 2023. The last time we were in the 70s was 2016. The record was set in 1998, when there were 96.
We’re a long way from the days of Bob Gibson and Sandy Koufax, and complete games aren’t going to make a comeback any time soon. Still, it seems like teams are getting a little more out of their core rotation pitchers, which is a step in the right direction.
127
What the number is: The Colorado Rockies‘ loss pace
Why it’s important: If the Rockies break the record set by the Chicago White Sox just last season, MLB might have to start looking into why baseball’s worst teams have suddenly become so wretched. This isn’t Mizzou in the SEC (it’s a dig at my own school, so it’s OK), it’s the major leagues. Baseball teams simply aren’t supposed to lose this often.
There are so many amazing facts about these Rockies already. They are last in runs per game and runs allowed per game. That might seem like a no-brainer given their record, but lest we forget where the Rockies play their home games. A Colorado team hitting with wiffleball bats ought to escape the MLB cellar in scoring.
The Rockies are also on pace to be outscored by 437 runs. Yeah, that’s not good. The modern era record for worst run differential is minus-349, set by the 1932 Red Sox. I mean, I keep putting the numbers into the calculator because it doesn’t seem possible. Colorado has been outscored by 197 runs in 73 games. That’s 2.7 runs per game. Over 162 games, that calculates to 437 runs.
They really have been that bad. There have now been 2,706 teams that have played since 1901. Their minus-201 differential before their win Tuesday would rank 138th on the worst-ever list. And we’ve still got almost two weeks left in June.
12.5
What the number is: Judge’s bWAR pace
Why it’s important: We bookend our numbers tour with another stop at Mount Judge, because he’s just that unbelievable.
The real number here is 10 — as in a 10-WAR season, which would be Judge’s third. Only 13 players have ever had three or more 10-WAR seasons, and the list is awfully impressive:
10: Babe Ruth
8: Walter Johnson
6: Rogers Hornsby, Willie Mays
4: Christy Mathewson
3: Grover Alexander, Barry Bonds, Ty Cobb, Bob Gibson, Lefty Grove, Mickey Mantle, Ed Walsh, Ted Williams
The only hitters to do it are Ruth, Hornsby, Mays, Bonds, Cobb, Mantle and Williams. More lofty company. Judge, who had 10.8 bWAR last season, would be just the ninth hitter to do it in consecutive seasons. The others: Ruth, Bonds, Carl Yastrzemski, Mantle, Hornsby, Williams, Cobb and Mays.
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Singer defied Dodgers, belted anthem in Spanish
Published
46 mins agoon
June 18, 2025By
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ESPN News Services
Jun 18, 2025, 03:04 PM ET
Latin singer Nezza said that she is “super proud” of performing the national anthem in Spanish at Dodger Stadium on Saturday night and that she has “no regrets.”
Her surprising 90-second rendition of “The Star-Spangled Banner” before the Los Angeles Dodgers‘ game against the Giants — and a behind-the-scenes video she shared on social media of team representatives discouraging it beforehand — quickly went viral. It has become a flashpoint for Dodgers fans frustrated by the team’s lack of vocal support for immigrant communities impacted by the deportation raids across the U.S., including numerous neighborhoods in and around Los Angeles.
“This is my moment to show everyone that I am with them, that we have a voice and with everything that’s happening it’s not OK,” Nezza, 30, told The Associated Press. “I’m super proud that I did it. No regrets.”
Nezza said she hadn’t yet decided whether to sing in English or Spanish until she walked out onto the field and saw the stands filled with Latino families in Dodger Blue. Before that, as shown in the singer’s TikTok video, a Dodgers employee had told Nezza, “We are going to do the song in English today, so I’m not sure if that wasn’t transferred or if that wasn’t relayed.”
The Spanish-language version Nezza sang, “El Pendón Estrellado,” is the official translation of the national anthem and was commissioned in 1945 by President Franklin D. Roosevelt from Peruvian American composer Clotilde Arias.
Nezza says her manager immediately received a call from an unidentified Dodgers employee saying their clients were not welcome at the stadium again, but the team denied that in a statement to the AP.
“There were no consequences or hard feelings from the Dodgers regarding her performance,” the Dodgers said in the statement. “She was not asked to leave. We would be happy to have her back.”
Despite the Dodgers’ statement, Nezza said she does not think she will return to the stadium but said she hopes her performance will inspire others to use their voice and speak out.
“It’s just shown me, like, how much power there is in the Latin community,” Nezza said. “We’ve got to be the voice right now.”
The Dodgers have not gone on the record regarding the arrests and raids made by U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement agents in the areas just a short drive from Dodger Stadium, but player Enrique Hernández posted about it on Instagram over the weekend.
“I am saddened and infuriated by what’s happening in our country and our city,” Hernández posted in English and Spanish. “I cannot stand to see our community being violated, profiled, abused and ripped apart. ALL people deserve to be treated with respect, dignity and human rights.”
The Associated Press contributed to this report.
Sports
2025 MLB mock draft 2.0: Who is surging up draft boards?
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46 mins agoon
June 18, 2025By
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Kiley McDanielJun 18, 2025, 07:00 AM ET
Close- ESPN MLB Insider
- Kiley McDaniel covers MLB prospects, the MLB Draft and more, including trades and free agency.
- Has worked for three MLB teams.
Co-author of Author of ‘Future Value’
With the combine underway and only a few more games in Omaha remaining, MLB draft season is winding down — so it’s time to take another stab at projecting the first round-plus of the 2025 draft.
The start of the MLB draft combine has become a sign that we’re about to enter silly season, when rumors become less attached to reality by the day. Private on-field workouts for players mentioned below are over, so there won’t be much more useful information collected — and that means the rumors are tied to controlling perception more than reflecting a new reality.
The biggest trend to note compared with the previous mock is the half-dozen or so rising college position players, which also corresponds to rumblings that the second cut of high school position players might slip a bit, often for overslot bonuses.
My “speculative” projection in the last mock was Arkansas right-hander Gage Wood at No. 17 — I thought he could be this year’s Cade Horton or Ty Floyd, rising late through the college postseason. Well, Wood threw a no-hitter earlier this week in the Men’s College World Series and now looks to have a floor somewhere in the range I initially projected him in — which was high at the time.
Now let’s predict the first 40 players to come off the board when this year’s MLB draft starts Sunday, July 13.
Kade Anderson, LHP, LSU
Top 150 rank: 7
The conversation around who will go No. 1 continues to be wide open and will be until draft day, but Anderson’s strong finish to the season has him looking like the slight favorite over Ethan Holliday as the top pick. Seth Hernandez and Eli Willits are also getting looks here, and I’m sure there are internal conversations about a couple of other options, but Anderson and Holliday are seen as the most likely selections.
Liam Doyle, LHP, Tennessee
Top 150 rank: 6
Name a player and he probably has been connected to this pick. Trying to figure out what’s actually going on here has been like watching “Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy” — there are more outgoing calls, workouts, rumors, misinformation and theories about the second pick than any other in the entire first round.
When in doubt, judge a team based on what it has done, and the Angels like to save on a quick-moving college player with their first pick. Despite his excellent season, Doyle’s interest seems to have a major hole in it. While there’s believed to be real interest in him at No. 2, teams picking behind the Angels think Doyle could slide all the way to No. 9 of No. 10. Doyle and Seth Hernandez have a similar group of teams eyeing them, as they’re both seen as a riskier type of pitcher (though not in the same way) than Anderson or Jamie Arnold.
There’s some buzz that prep shortstop Eli Willits could be the pick here (his father, Reggie, played for the Angels), breaking the Angels’ trend of taking college players, but I’ll believe that when I see it. Outside of the targets in the top 10 or so picks, the Angels seem to really like Georgia prep shortstop Daniel Pierce, but it’s unlikely he drops to their next pick at 47. At the Angels’ next few picks, potential quick-moving college arms such as Georgia’s Brian Curley, Tennessee’s A.J. Russell and Iowa’s Cade Obermueller make a lot of sense.
Jamie Arnold, LHP, Florida State
Top 150 rank: 1
The Mariners seem to be zeroed in on pitching with Anderson and Arnold being the best fits for them, along with high school pitcher Seth Hernandez if they can stomach taking a prep right-hander this high. In this scenario, I think they just take Arnold. Oregon State shortstop Aiva Arquette is still being scouted for this pick and I’ve heard Ike Irish and JoJo Parker brought up, but they seem to be on the outside looking in right now.
Ethan Holliday, 3B, Stillwater HS (Oklahoma)
Top 150 rank: 3
This is one of the most well-known connections in the draft, and Holliday is likely to go fourth if he doesn’t go first. I’d guess this would be for an overslot bonus, similar to what Colorado did with Charlie Condon last year. Colorado is also tied to Aiva Arquette and Kyson Witherspoon, though I think it’d also be looking at whichever of the three college lefties remain if Holliday isn’t available.
JoJo Parker, SS, Purvis HS (Mississippi)
Top 150 rank: 9
This is right about where the consensus starts to open up. Names such as Ike Irish, Eli Willits, Parker and Billy Carlson come up here, and this is seen as a stopping point for Holliday, Anderson and Arnold if they get this far. Wake Forest shortstop Marek Houston’s name has also come up. If Anderson, Arnold and Holliday are gone, this pick is seen as likely to be a position player — probably the one the Cards think has the best hit tool of the group. Parker would most likely come with some (but not a lot of) savings if he went here and, of late, he has momentum to sneak ahead of Carlson and/or Willits. Some teams think Parker is actually the best hitter in the draft.
Aiva Arquette, SS, Oregon State
Top 150 rank: 8
The two players most tied to this spot are Arquette and Billy Carlson. I’ve also heard the Pirates would take prep righty Seth Hernandez if the board falls a certain way. There are some parallels to Hernandez in other picks this front office has made, such as Jared Jones and Bubba Chandler, so it makes some sense.
Eli Willits, SS, Fort Cobb-Broxton HS (Oklahoma)
Top 150 rank: 2
Willits has some interest at the top two picks, and then is in the mix for basically every pick starting at No. 5 with the Cardinals — so he should go by this pick or the next (Toronto). Miami is tied almost solely to prep position players –Willits, Parker and Billy Carlson come up a lot. There have also been some rumors of another underslot deal like last year’s pick of P.J. Morlando, with targets like some of the prep hitters who are projected a dozen picks or so later, if Miami doesn’t like the names/prices of the players on the board.
Ike Irish, C/OF, Auburn
Top 150 rank: 26
Irish will be ranked higher once I update my rankings, and his name is coming up a lot in the back half of the top 10 and into the teens. There’s lots of buzz he will go ahead of Jace LaViolette — and not that far behind Arquette, if not ahead of him. College bats are rumored to be rising late in the process this year (including Brendan Summerhill, Gavin Kilen, Wehiwa Aloy, Marek Houston, Caden Bodine and Andrew Fischer), and moving a high school player who’s a late-first-round talent to a later pick is a common and often successful strategy. Toronto is often tied to the same prep bats as Miami and St. Louis, but the Blue Jays are believed to be going the college route if the right names with the right prices don’t land here. Irish, Arquette, Willits, Parker and Billy Carlson seem to make up the group from which they’ll probably pick.
Seth Hernandez, RHP, Corona HS (California)
Top 150 rank: 4
Hernandez, as mentioned above, is seen as likely to go either No. 3 to the Mariners or here — with some chance he goes at a couple of other slots, but half the teams in the top 10 seem unlikely to take a prep right-hander. The Reds are hoping he gets here and have no fear of taking this kind of player. If Hernandez isn’t available, they are tied to toolsy types, mostly high schoolers: Steele Hall, Jace LaViolette and Billy Carlson come up the most. This is about where Josh Hammond’s range begins, but he could also go in the 20s.
Billy Carlson, SS, Corona HS (California)
Top 150 rank: 5
The White Sox are casting a wide net because of where they pick. I think Doyle — and probably Carlson and Parker, too — stops here if he happens to slide this far, while Steele Hall is also in the mix. The top tier of talent in the eyes of most evaluators is at least eight players and maybe as many as a dozen, so Chicago will have to be reactive to who is left over. But the White Sox probably will get one of the players they target from that tier.
Brendan Summerhill, CF, Arizona
Top 150 rank: 27
This is about where the top college righties — Kyson Witherspoon and Omaha hero Gage Wood — come into the mix. This is also where that second cut of college position players, with Arquette and Irish gone in this scenario, start to come into consideration depending on what a team prefers: shortstops Wehiwa Aloy, Gavin Kilen and Marek Houston and outfielders Summerhill and Jace LaViolette. The A’s have been tied to Summerhill all spring, and he probably goes in this range and fits the type of player they’ve taken in the past. He’ll also move up in my rankings in the next update.
Steele Hall, SS, Hewitt-Trussville HS (Alabama)
Top 150 rank: 11
Texas is right in the middle of Hall’s range and I think his most likely landing spot. The Rangers are probably straddling the line between picking up a top-tier player who might get to this spot and leading off the next tier of players, which will lean more toward prep prospects and upside. I think Hall is the last position player in that top tier. Texas is also one of the teams most in on New York prep catcher Michael Oliveto, who has interest as high as the comp round and could be the team’s second-round pick.
Kyson Witherspoon, RHP, Oklahoma
Top 150 rank: 10
Witherspoon has some landing spots in the top 10, but Arkansas’ Gage Wood is closing in on him as the top college righty. I think both will land just outside of the top 10. The Giants have been tied to many of the aforementioned second cut of college players, with Wehiwa Aloy and Marek Houston also coming up a lot, and Irish quite similar to recently traded former first-rounder James Tibbs.
Gavin Kilen, SS, Tennessee
Top 150 rank: 24
The Rays are tied to the top prep position players, as usual, with Hall, Jaden Fauske, Sean Gamble, Dean Moss and Josh Hammond mentioned the most — though there are also some college players tied to this pick, with Kilen leading the pack. The Rays pick again at Nos. 37 and 42, and there’s a chance most of those prep players will still be around for an overslot bonus, so grabbing a rising college bat who should go by the 20th pick is a good strategy.
Gavin Fien, 3B, Great Oak HS (California)
Top 150 rank: 13
I’m a big believer in Fien, and he fits around here or in the next half-dozen picks or so. The Red Sox were also heavy on Kilen out of high school, or I could see them being swayed by Gage Wood’s outstanding close to the college season.
Gage Wood, RHP, Arkansas
Top 150 rank: 21
I was high on Wood’s upside early on, having him go to the Cubs at the next pick in the last mock I did. After his historic MCWS performance, I think the consensus is he belongs in this general area, maybe as high as Nos. 12 or 13, but probably gone by 20 or 24. Wood, for the right team, could be rushed to the upper level of the minors for a potential big league look in relief as a way to limit his innings but also develop his pitchability against better hitters. Minnesota is mostly tied to college players here, and that’s who should be going in this range, though they’re also in on prep third baseman Xavier Neyens.
Wehiwa Aloy, SS, Arkansas
Top 150 rank: 14
Aloy could go a half-dozen picks higher or even a bit lower than this, as the college bats in this tier are seemingly in a different order for every team. Wood still makes sense here, too, especially as a potential quick mover, along with other power bats such as Jace LaViolette, Xavier Neyens, Andrew Fischer, Josh Hammond and Tate Southisene.
Marek Houston, SS, Wake Forest
Top 150 rank: 15
The Diamondbacks tend to look for contact-oriented types who fit at up-the-middle positions with their high picks. College players Caden Bodine, Houston and Kilen, as well as high schoolers Slater de Brun, Daniel Pierce and Kayson Cunningham all fit here and at their next pick, No. 29.
Jace LaViolette, CF, Texas A&M
Top 150 rank: 9
Many think LaViolette’s slide would end here given Baltimore’s history of taking power-and-patience types with some defensive value. Xavier Neyens is also commonly connected to the Orioles here, among other position players being named at the picks in this range. But a number of those high school players could get floated to Baltimore’s next picks at 30 and 31.
Caden Bodine, C, Coastal Carolina
Top 150 rank: 35
Bodine’s range starts in the middle of the round with numbers-oriented teams being on him most due to his contact rates and framing prowess, both attributes that Milwaukee emphasizes. Lots of contact-oriented bats are tied here, such as Kilen, Houston, Slater de Brun and Daniel Pierce. I could also see this being a possible floor for Wood.
Xavier Neyens, 3B, Mount Vernon HS (Washington)
Top 150 rank: 19
Houston has been tied to a number of the standout athletic testers in the prep class such as Neyens, Tate Southisene, Josh Hammond and Sean Gamble. I could also see this being a floor for power-oriented college bats such as LaViolette and Aloy, with some overlap between the Astros’ targets and which player the Orioles take at No. 19.
Tyler Bremner, RHP, UC Santa Barbara
Top 150 rank: 28
Bremner has been a bit disappointing this season but has now fallen enough that he’s a strong value for a team to get in the 20s with a number of landing spots throughout the comp round. I think this Braves pick will be a nice landing spot for college talent with Houston, Wood and Bodine also mentioned here.
Josh Hammond, 3B, Wesleyan Christian HS (North Carolina)
Top 150 rank: 18
Hammond has a number of potential landing spots starting around No. 10 and ending somewhere in the mid-20s. Given Hammond’s two-way exploits, there are parallels here with Austin Riley, a player Royals scouting director Brian Bridges drafted while with Atlanta. I’d expect prep pitching and/or a prep shortstop (lots of names are mentioned, especially given Kansas City’s history) at their next few picks.
Andrew Fischer, 3B, Tennessee
Top 150 rank: 53
Fischer is rising due to his strong performance in the SEC this year, and while he’s likely still behind Irish, he might be sneaking up on LaViolette with a chance to go in the top 20 picks. I think Detroit is looking to pair a college player with a high school player between this pick and its next (34) and will be looking mostly at left-handed hitters. As you can guess, that means a lot of different players have been tied to these two picks. Slater de Brun, Cam Cannarella, Jaden Fauske and Kayson Cunningham come up the most.
Slater de Brun, CF, Summit HS (Oregon)
Top 150 rank: 16
De Brun is believed to be in play for Arizona at No. 18 but otherwise probably lands somewhere in the 20s. The Padres are tied to a number of high school players here — Dax Kilby, Quentin Young, Kruz Schoolcraft and Matthew Fisher, among others — but also seem to be in on some college players such as Ethan Conrad and Bremner. I’d predict they go with a high schooler, especially given their history.
Sean Gamble, 2B, IMG Academy (Florida)
Top 150 rank: 23
The Phillies are considering some high school players with upside, as you’d expect, and if the board plays out this way, Gamble, Daniel Pierce or Kayson Cunningham all fit. There’s a good shot they would look to pair this pick with a prep arm at their next pick.
Tate Southisene, SS, Basic HS (Nevada)
Top 150 rank: 22
I think the Guardians will be in on what’s left of the upside prep position player crop along with being opportunistic if a college player such as Fischer, Wood, Bodine or Bremner falls this far.
Prospect promotion incentive picks
28. Kansas City Royals: Daniel Pierce, SS, Mill Creek HS (Georgia)
Compensation picks
29. Arizona Diamondbacks: Kayson Cunningham, SS, Johnson HS (Texas)
30. Baltimore Orioles: Cam Cannarella, CF, Clemson
31. Baltimore Orioles: Dax Kilby, SS, Newnan HS (Georgia)
32. Milwaukee Brewers: Jaden Fauske, OF, Nazareth Academy HS (Illinois)
Competitive balance picks
33. Boston Red Sox: Luke Stevenson, C, North Carolina
34. Detroit Tigers: Aaron Watson, RHP, Trinity Christian HS (Florida)
35. Seattle Mariners: Ethan Conrad, RF, Wake Forest
36. Minnesota Twins: Charles Davalan, LF, Arkansas
37. Tampa Bay Rays: Anthony Eyanson, RHP, LSU
These three teams had their first-round picks moved down 10 slots due to exceeding the second surcharge threshold of the competitive balance tax. We’ll include them so all 30 teams have a projected pick.
Devin Taylor, LF, Indiana
Top 150 rank: 57
Taylor has a lot of interest in the comp round and doesn’t have an enormous upside, but he could be quick moving with 55-grade hit and power grades.
J.B. Middleton, RHP, Southern Miss
Top 150 rank: 50
Middleton has a lot of interest from a late-first-round to an early-second-round pick as a power arm with starter feel and gaudy numbers this spring. He’s similar as a prospect to two top picks in last year’s draft, college righties Ben Hess and Bryce Cunningham.
Quentin Young, SS, Oaks Christian HS (CA)
Top 150 rank: 101
Young, nephew of Dmitri and Delmon Young, is tied to the Dodgers and Padres and has lots of late momentum despite his high whiff rates in the spring and last summer. That’s due to his gargantuan upside as a 6-foot-6 infielder with plus-plus raw power that might be 80-grade one day; he’ll be moving up in the update of my top 150 rankings. The Dodgers also have the 41st pick, and while I have them tied to a number of arms, I landed on Louisville’s Patrick Forbes.
Sports
Rays in talks to sell team to Florida developer
Published
46 mins agoon
June 18, 2025By
admin
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Field Level Media
Jun 18, 2025, 01:27 PM ET
Tampa Bay Rays principal owner Stu Sternberg is in “advanced talks” to sell the franchise to a group led by a Florida-based residential developer.
Patrick Zalupski, a home builder in Jacksonville, has been identified as the potential lead buyer in a deal that values the team at about $1.7 billion. He already has executed a letter of intent to purchase the team, per Sportico, which first reported the talks.
Sternberg bought the Rays in 2004 for $200 million.
The team acknowledged the discussions in a statement, saying “The Tampa Bay Rays announced that the team has recently commenced exclusive discussions with a group led by Patrick Zalupski, Bill Cosgrove, Ken Babby and prominent Tampa Bay investors concerning a possible sale of the team. Neither the Rays nor the group will have further comment during the discussions.”
A year ago, Sternberg had a deal in place to build a new stadium in the Historic Gas Plant District, a reimagined recreational, retail and residential district in St. Petersburg, to replace Tropicana Field. However, after Hurricane Milton shredded the roof of the stadium last October, forcing the Rays into temporary quarters, Sternberg’s commitment has been less than resolute, saying the team would have to bear excess costs that were not in the budget.
In March, MLB commissioner Rob Manfred and some other owners began to privately push Sternberg to sell the franchise, The Athletic reported.
Zalupski is the president and CEO of Dream Finders Homes, founded in December 2008. He also is a member of the board of trustees at the University of Florida.
It is unclear what Zalupski’s group, if it ultimately goes through with the purchase and is approved by MLB owners, would do for a permanent stadium.
The Rays are currently playing at George M. Steinbrenner Field in Tampa, located at the site of the New York Yankees‘ spring training facility and home of their Single-A Tampa Tarpons.
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