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Concessions on welfare are being discussed with rebel MPs ahead of a crunch vote next week, Sir Keir Starmer has confirmed.

The prime minister opened a statement about the NATO summit he has just returned from with a nod to the troubles he is facing at home.

Politics Live: PM offers olive branch to Labour rebels ahead of pivotal vote

Speaking in the Commons he said all colleagues want to get welfare reform right and “so do I”.

He added: “We want to see reform implemented with Labour values of fairness. That conversation will continue in the coming days.”

Sir Keir faces a difficult task as several MPs have told Sky News they are “sticking to their guns” after frantic calls from cabinet ministers on Wednesday failed to bring them on side.

One MP from the 2024 intake said: “Many are sticking to their guns. It’s now become more than welfare. They were too heavy with their calls this week and pressure on back benches.”

Another MP accused Number 10 and the prime minister of showing “utter contempt” towards the rebels’ concerns and said this “is only annoying people more”.

The Universal Credit and Personal Independence Payment Bill aims to shave £5bn off the welfare budget by 2030.

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Labour Party ‘agrees welfare needs reform’

This includes restricting eligibility for the personal independence payment (pip), the main disability payment in England, and limit the sickness-related element of universal credit.

The government’s own figures show 250,000 people could be pushed into poverty, including 50,000 children, because of the changes.

Ministers say this will be offset by plans to get more people into work, but while lots of MPs agree with that in principle they say it’s not clear how this will be achieved.

What are the rebels calling for?

More than 120 Labour MPs have signed a “reasoned amendment” arguing that disabled people have not been properly consulted and further scrutiny of the changes is needed.

The government initially stuck to its guns amid the growing disquiet.

But while outwardly confident, Sky News learnt that cabinet ministers were ringing MPs asking them to take their name off the amendment and warning of a potential leadership contest or general election if the government loses the vote on Tuesday.

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Government’s battle over welfare reforms explained

What concessions could be reached?

Ministers have since hinted at attempts to reach a compromise, but it’s not clear what sort of concessions would satisfy the bills’ critics.

Sky News understands there has been discussions about watering down the changes to pip.

Under current plans, people will need to score a minimum of four points in at least one activity to qualify for the daily living element instead of fewer points spread across a range of tasks, as is currently the case.

Ministers have discussed lowering the new criteria to three points, but one MP told Sky News this is “still unacceptable” as it would not greatly reduce the number of people set to lose out.

Read More:
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Another MP said they had not heard anything concrete on concessions yet, but added: “Frankly, personally, this has been so badly mishandled that short of pulling the bill and bringing it back later in the year following the impact assessment and with amendments, I don’t think my position will change going in to Tuesday at this point.”

Timeline for debate ‘unbelievable’

MPs are also annoyed that if the legislation clears the first hurdle it will then face only a few hours’ examination rather than days or weeks in front of a committee tasked with looking at the bill.

Lucy Powell, the leader of the House of Commons, has said following the second reading and vote on Tuesday 1 July, the bill’s remaining stages will take place in a Commons debate on 9 July.

She said the vote next week is for the principles to be considered, with the details to be “discussed and amended” at the next stages.

This appears to suggest the government is asking MPs to back the bill on Tuesday as a show of agreement on the principle of reform, with a promise that changes could be made later.

But it’s not clear whether this strategy will work given one of the rebels’ main concerns is that the bill is being rushed through.

One MP said: “The new line appears to be we all agree on the principle of reform so back at second reading and amend at remaining stages.

“One single day [for] all other stages of the bill is unbelievable.”

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US prosecutor intervenes in FTX-linked case, suggests resolution without trial

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US prosecutor intervenes in FTX-linked case, suggests resolution without trial

US prosecutor intervenes in FTX-linked case, suggests resolution without trial

The interim US Attorney for the Southern District of New York requested an exclusion so prosecutors and defense lawyers may discuss a “potential resolution” for Michelle Bond’s case.

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Keir Starmer is in a hot mess – and I’ve never seen anything like it

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Keir Starmer is in a hot mess - and I've never seen anything like it

Less than a year ago in Downing Street, the bunting was out, and Keir Starmer was walking into No 10 to a chorus of cheers after winning a landslide victory.

Now there’s such a rebellion from his own MPs, he’s being forced to climb down on his welfare reforms.

PM set to make serious concessions – politics latest

For a prime minister to face such a challenge so early in his premiership, with such a big majority, is simply unprecedented.

It is a humiliating blow to his authority from a parliamentary party that has felt ignored by Downing Street.

How has this happened?

The PM’s entire focus for the past 12 days has been on international diplomacy.

He’s gone from the G7 in Canada, trying to deal with Trump, trade deals, de-escalation; then Israel-Iran, he was at Chequers trying to deal with that crisis; and then he was straight to NATO.

You could forgive him for being pretty angry that those who should have been managing the shop back home have ended up in such an enormous blow-up with MPs. A PM needs to be able to trust his team when he’s dealing with international crisis.

As I understand it, a month ago up to 140 MPs signed a private letter to the whips warning they would not accept the welfare reforms.

The whips told No 10 – and No 10 it seems stuck their fingers in their ears and didn’t pay attention to it.

But this is really draining on the PM’s authority. Ultimately, he carries the can.

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Who will take the fall for welfare chaos?

What happens next?

As I understand it, he’s now looking at serious concessions in order to get his welfare bill passed on Tuesday.

No 10 are considering whether they drop the PIP changes for existing claimants, and the health element of universal credit for existing claimants too.

Speaking to me on the Electoral Dysfunction podcast, Labour peer and ex-minister Harriet Harman said she expects concessions to be enough to appease enough of the rebels.

It will leave the chancellor needing to look somewhere else to make billions of pounds of savings.

Read more:
What are the PM’s welfare reforms?

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‘I don’t know how I will survive’

It’s a hot mess, and it was avoidable. It has left very bad blood between the parliamentary party and No 10 and No 11. There’s a lot of ire directed at Rachel Reeves at the moment too.

For a PM to be facing such an overt challenge to his authority with a working majority of 165, less than a year into his leadership, having to U-turn because he’s facing defeat?

I’ve never seen anything like it.

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US judge denies Ripple, SEC joint request to reduce $125M penalty

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US judge denies Ripple, SEC joint request to reduce 5M penalty

US judge denies Ripple, SEC joint request to reduce 5M penalty

Judge Analisa Torres wrote that Ripple is still required to follow federal securities laws regardless of the SEC’s regulatory pivot.

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