Wales should “learn” from the SNP’s successes in Scotland, according to the man who could well be the next first minister of Wales.
Plaid Cymru leader Rhun ap Iorwerth told Sky News: “I believe that we will not be able to fully release our potential until we’re an independent nation.”
He admitted “not everybody agrees” but believes there should be a discussion about how to “edge things forwards” on independence.
The party leader has ruled out a referendum in his first term but says support for Welsh independence is growing among young voters.
Mr ap Iorwerth, whose party is neck and neck with Reform UK and Labour in the polls to lead the Welsh Parliament next year, says his party takes “very, very seriously the positive impact” the SNP has had in Scotland.
Image: Rhun ap Iorwerth with SNP leader and Scotland’s former first minister. Pic: SNP
It comes as a government minister admitted there are “major” questions about how fairly Wales is funded compared with Scotland.
Stephen Kinnock, the Labour MP for Aberafan Maesteg, told Sky News he and other Welsh MPs are looking for a reassessment of the funding formula.
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He said the Barnett formula, which decides the allocation of much of the funding from the treasury to devolved nations, works “much better” for Scotland and the industrial heritage and age demographics in Wales mean the nation has been historically underserved.
Image: Labour MP Stephen Kinnock wants to change the funding formula for Wales
Since Mr Kinnock spoke to Sky News, Wales was awarded £5bn in revenue and capital over three years, largely for rail infrastructure, in the spending review.
However, some Welsh Labour MPs fear the growing nationalist tide could mirror Scotland’s 2007 shift.
Lessons “have not been learned” from Scotland, Labour Member of the Welsh Parliament Lee Waters said.
Speaking to the Labour List website, he warned: “The control of the party machinery by London HQ, and the disdain of Westminster MPs towards their devolved counterparts were features now and then.”
Mr Waters sounded the alarm for Welsh Labour, adding: “Scottish Labour paid the price for it in 2007. The SNP seized on its chance to form a minority government and used it to build a generation of dominance. Plaid Cymru aim to do the same.”
Does Wales get treated unfairly?
It’s a question that could propel Reform UK or Plaid Cymru to power in Wales this time next year – a seismic political shift in a nation dominated by Welsh Labour since devolution began.
The closure of the blast furnaces at Port Talbot, the end of virgin steelmaking in this country, drew comparisons with the government’s intervention at Scunthorpe in Lincolnshire. Why was an English steelmaking site saved and not a Welsh one?
The answer, as Wales MP and government minister Stephen Kinnock tells me, is not straightforward.
The owners of Scunthorpe were “actively sabotaging the blast furnaces”, and Labour were not in power in Westminster when decisions about Port Talbot were being made.
“You have to set the bar really high when you’re going to, as a government, go in and seize the assets of a private company,” he said.
But Port Talbot has become symbolic of something bigger, and it’s not just about steel.
Last month, a new railway line between Oxford and Cambridge was classed as an England and Wales project, meaning Wales does not get a share of funding, and earlier this year Wales’ first minister said the allocation of HS2 funding was “unfair” for Wales.
But Welsh Labour’s Eluned Morgan may not have done enough to distance herself from the national party.
Jac Larner from Wales’ Governance Centre at Cardiff University says her emphasis on the close relationship between Welsh and UK Labour echoes the message from Scottish Labour before their vote collapsed. It makes it “easier for voters to punish both” he said.
Launching his party’s so-called contract with voters in Merthyr Tydfil, Nigel Farage said Wales has been “let down”.
The Reform UK leaders’ progress in Wales has been notable, but as has that of a lesser known party leader, Plaid Cymru’s Rhun ap Iorwerth.
Can Wales’ nationalist party echo the SNP’s success in Scotland? Both parties are fishing in the same waters for disillusioned Labour voters. Both have a real shot at power in Wales.
Reform UK are also tapping into a mood of discontent in Wales.
Leader Nigel Farage has put re-industrialisation at the centre of his pitch and even pledged to reopen Port Talbot’s steel blast furnaces.
In last year’s general election, Reform UK came second in 13 of the 32 Welsh constituencies.
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1:37
Farage’s coal pledge in Wales explained
Those close to Mr Farage suggest he sees the Welsh elections next year as an important stepping stone in his ambitions to get to 10 Downing Street.
Asked about Reform UK, the Plaid Cymru leader said he sees it as his “duty” to keep the party out of power in Wales.
Mr ap Iorwerth said Mr Farage’s party “have no particular interest in developing policy for Wales”.
There are 1,210 completed homes which cannot be occupied because of delays in the work of the government’s building safety regulator, Sky News can reveal.
The safety inspection regime created in the wake of the Grenfell tragedy, which claimed 72 lives, is “not fit for purpose”, according to those who depend on its work.
Sky News has visited an empty block of 99 flats in west London where future residents – who have purchased the properties – have been unable to move in for over a year because of the lack of regulator approval.
New data obtained exclusively by Sky News through a Freedom of Information request shows the extent of the issue.
Image: An empty block of 99 flats in Acton, west London
As of 1 August, there is “no decision” on eight applications covering 1,210 completed new residential units. For sites yet to be built, there are 156 applications with no decision, covering 34,965 new residential units.
Sir Keir Starmer says economic growth is his top priority and the 1.5 million new homes target this parliament is a key part of this agenda. But two years after its creation, the government agency has come under fire for failing to fulfil vital functions in a timely manner.
After complaints, the regulator has already faced one overhaul, and will shortly move from part of the Health and Safety Executive (HSE) to become an arm’s length body which is part of Angela Rayner’s Ministry of Housing, Communities and Local Government. But developers say they are still struggling to get answers from the body.
Image: Sir Keir Starmer has made new homes a major priority. Pic: Jack Taylor/PA
Sky News has conducted an analysis of public data and found the backlog growing.
New buildings ought to be signed off within a 12-week period, but Sky News found the percentage of applications determined inside that window is falling – from 47% at the end of September last year, to 32% by the end of March.
In a statement, leading financial analyst S&P said delays by the regulator are pushing up building costs and making it harder to deliver the key government target.
Chris Williamson, chief business economist at S&P, said: “We have received anecdotal feedback from a few companies regarding the Building Safety Act, indicating that some may be experiencing challenges related to orders. This could contribute to an increase in costs within the construction sector, which is already facing financial pressures.”
In an apparent admission of the issues, the government told Sky News it is now in the process of recruiting over 100 new staff to strengthen capacity by the end of the year.
In a statement to Sky News, the building safety regulator (BSR) itself said it had been a complex task creating a new safety body post Grenfell, in such a short time, and improvements are already being made.
It said: “BSR is working closely with industry to deliver safer, higher-quality buildings while advancing a culture of excellence in building safety.”
Executives from the BSR will appear before a Commons Select Committee later today. It also points the finger at property developers for failing to submit paperwork correctly. The industry vehemently rejects the claim, saying there are few guidelines of what to submit and the BSR makes little attempt to clarify what it wants.
A bad sign
However, problems persist.
Sky News saw how in one newly built property in Acton, west London, the sign-off for a building by the BSR was delayed in part because a sign was two millimetres too small and all the signs had to be changed.
This has contributed to a 14-month delay in a green light for residents to move in.
According to the Federation of Master Builders and the Chartered Institute of Building, 38% of developers believe planning delays are the number one issue.
Developers have told Sky News the agency was meant to speed up approvals by ending a system where they have to bring in external consultants to approve the application, but this has not yet happened.
Jon Spring, the managing director of Fairview Homes, said: “We currently have three applications that are delayed within the BSR. The current dates we’re looking at, that they’ve given us, one is six months, one is nine months, and one is 12 months. Clearly extremely different to the original three months that the process is supposed to take.
“That makes forecasting for when we’re going to start on site very difficult. We have tens of millions of pounds tied up in the three sites that we’re waiting to develop. And inevitably, the holding costs of those are considerable and affect the viability of the project.”
Image: Jon Spring, managing director of Fairview Homes
Mr Spring said the delays could make building unviable.
“If you look at each of our projects have been delayed, if […] it’s going to take 25% longer to deliver that project, that means that our productivity is ultimately reduced by 25%. That would be the same for all developers and therefore the reduction in housing that’s been delivered will be considerable.”
Developers ‘won’t touch’ high-rises
Jamie Lester, an estate agent from Haus Properties, said: “The government are encouraging property developers to build, build, build, and just get on with it – I think that’s what Keir Starmer said.
“But when there are buildings like this that can’t be signed off for over a year and are costing property developers, in this instance, £100,000 a week, I don’t understand.
“The government won’t encourage property developers to build like this any more. I know many property developers who won’t touch high-rise buildings at the moment simply because the building safety regulator can’t get their act together and sign these buildings off.”
Image: Jamie Lester, estate agent from Haus Properties
‘High standards’
A spokesperson for the HSE said: “Protecting residents, making sure there is never another tragedy like Grenfell, has been our priority throughout this process. Setting up a new regulator has been complex, and huge progress has been made in a short time. The construction industry must meet standards that will keep residents safe in high-rise buildings.
“The recently announced innovation unit is the result of ongoing discussions between industry and BSR to uphold high standards. BSR is working closely with industry to deliver safer, higher-quality buildings while advancing a culture of excellence in building safety.”
‘It has turned out to be a disaster’
Some have blamed the government, not the regulator itself. The boss of one major house building company, who did not want to be named, said ministers aren’t willing to face up to reality.
“Regulation comes from the government and the regulator is implementing the rules,” they said. “Their mandate is nothing to do with housing supply so it’s up to ministers to balance that. All the house builders said this would be a disaster and funnily enough it has turned out to be a disaster.”
A government spokesman from the housing department said problems were already being tackled and safety was important: “We’ve announced a package of reforms to reduce delays, including a fast track process to speed up new build decisions.”
Facing criticism for being on the back foot after a summer of protest outside asylum hotels, they were keen to defend their record and get back on track – but is it too late?
It’s a clear nod to the political void Reform UK has seized on while the prime minister has been on holiday.
Last week, Nigel Farage unveiled his party’s mass deportation policy – though the issue of women and children still seems to be worked out.
But perhaps none of that matters as voters overwhelmingly believe Reform cares about this issue – and as Chris Philp, the shadow home secretary, pointed out on Monday, voters have lost confidence in the government somewhat to solve what many see as an immigration crisis on their doorstep.
So it’s clear the strategy has changed from the government.
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15:11
‘Substantial reforms are needed now’
Gone are the bold slogans of “smashing the gangs” and instead, detail and policy was given on Monday. It was nothing new, but more substance on what the government has done and where they want to move to. Even controversially, reassessing their relationship with the European Convention on Human Rights (ECHR).
The biggest update though, was on their one-in-one-out policy agreement with France, which will now set to start returns later this month.
It’s finally hit home for the government that the public want proof not just rhetoric, and they want to know crucially when they will start to see change.
But the fightback, the reset, whatever the government wants to call it, will only make a difference once that finally starts to work.
Police are asking for help with an unsolved case, 52 years after the murder of a schoolboy in Belfast.
Brian McDermott was 10 when he disappeared from Ormeau Park on Sunday 2 September 1973. His remains were recovered from the River Lagan almost a week later.
Detectives from the Police Service of Northern Ireland’s Legacy Investigation Branch have given a timeline of events as part of their appeal.
Brian left his home on Well Street in the lower Woodstock Road area of east Belfast at around 12.30pm and failed to return for his Sunday dinner.
Detectives said he was last seen playing alone in the playground between 1pm and 3pm that afternoon.
His remains were recovered in the water, close to the Belfast Boat Club.
Image: River Lagan, where the remains of schoolboy Brian McDermott were recovered. Pic: PSNI handout/PA
A PSNI spokesperson said: “We are acutely aware of the pain and suffering that Brian’s family continue to feel, and our thoughts very much remain with the family at this time.
“Despite the passage of time, this murder case has never been closed and I am hopeful that someone may be able to provide information, no matter how small, which may open a new line of inquiry, or add a new dimension to information already available.
“It is also possible that someone who did not volunteer information at the time may be willing to speak with police now. Legacy Investigation Branch Detectives will consider all investigative opportunities as part of the review into Brian’s murder.”