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Sundar Pichai, chief executive officer of Alphabet Inc., during a visit to the Google for Startups campus in Warsaw, Poland, on Thursday, Feb. 13, 2025. The EU has established a reputation globally for its aggressive regulation of major technology companies, including the likes of Apple and Google over antitrust concerns. Photographer: Damian Lemanski/Bloomberg via Getty Images

Damian Lemanski | Bloomberg | Getty Images

Perplexity AI’s bid on Tuesday to buy Google’s Chrome browser for $34.5 billion represents a dramatic moment for the internet search giant, a week before it celebrates the 20th anniversary of its IPO.

Even if analysts aren’t taking the offer very seriously, Perplexity’s move marks a turning point. It’s the first time an outside party has made such a public and specific effort to strip out a key piece of Google, which is currently awaiting a judge’s decision on whether it must take significant divestiture steps following a ruling last year that the company has held a monopoly in its core search market.

The ruling was widely viewed as the most important antitrust decision in the tech industry since the case against Microsoft more than two decades ago. The U.S. Department of Justice, which filed the landmark case against Google in 2020, indicated after its victory in court that it was considering a possible breakup of Google as an antitrust remedy.

Soon after that, the DOJ explicitly called for Google to divest Chrome to create a more equal playing field for search competitors. As is, Google bundles search and other services into Chrome and preinstalls the browser on Chromebooks. Google Legal Chief Kent Walker said in response to the DOJ that its “approach would result in unprecedented government overreach” and would harm the country’s effort to maintain economic and tech leadership.

With the remedies decision expected this month, investors have a lot to consider regarding the future value of Google and parent Alphabet. The company is shelling out tens of billions of dollars a year on artificial intelligence infrastructure and AI services while facing the risk that consumers will be spending a lot less time on traditional search as ChatGPT and other AI-powered alternatives provide new ways to access information.

But while Alphabet still counts on search-related ads for the majority of its revenue, the company has been diversifying over the past decade. October will mark 10 years since the creation of Alphabet as a holding company, with Google as its prime subsidiary.

“This new structure will allow us to keep tremendous focus on the extraordinary opportunities we have inside of Google,” co-founder Larry Page said in a blog post at the time.

Page moved from CEO of Google to become chief executive of Alphabet, promoting Sundar Pichai, who had been a senior vice president in charge of internet businesses, to run Google. Four years later, Pichai replaced Page as Alphabet CEO.

On Pichai’s watch, Alphabet’s market cap has jumped more than 150% to $2.5 trillion. With an increasingly dominant position on the internet, Pichai and team have had to continue looking for growth areas, particularly in AI, while simultaneously fending off an aggressive set of regulators in the U.S. and Europe.

Analysts have taken the opportunity to place estimated values on Alphabet’s various businesses, partly in the event that the company is ever forced into drastic measures. Some have even suggested it could be a good thing for shareholders.

“We believe the only way forward for Alphabet is a complete breakup that would allow investors to own the business they actually want,” analysts at D.A. Davidson have written in a series of notes this year.

Alphabet didn’t respond to a request for comment.

Here’s a breakdown of how some analysts value Alphabet’s top non-search assets:

Chrome

Perplexity offers $34.5 billion for Google Chrome

The browser is key to Alphabet’s ad business, which uses data from Chrome to help with targeted advertisements. Google originally launched Chrome in 2008 as an effort to “add value for users and, at the same time, help drive innovation on the web.”

Perplexity’s offer doesn’t stack up to analyst estimates, but it’s still much higher than Perplexity’s own valuation, which reached $18 billion in July. Perplexity, which is best known for its AI-powered search engine that gives users simple answers to inquiries, said investors are on board to foot the bill. However, the company didn’t name the prospective backers.

Barclays analysts called the possibility of a Chrome divestiture a “black swan” risk, warning of a potential 15% to 25% drop in Alphabet’s stock should it occur. They estimate that Chrome drives around 35% of Google’s search revenue.

If a deal for Chrome is on the table, analysts at Raymond James value the browser at $50 billion, based on 2.25 billion users and Google’s revenue share agreements with phone manufacturers that preinstall Chrome on devices.

That’s inline with where Gabriel Weinberg, CEO of rival search company DuckDuckGo, values Chrome. Weinberg, who testified in the antitrust trial, said in April that Chrome could be sold for up to $50 billion if a spinout was required. Weinberg said his estimate was based on “back-of-the-envelope” math, looking at Chrome’s user base.

Bob O’Donnell of market research firm TECHnalysis Research, cautioned that Chrome is “not directly monetizable,” because it serves as a gateway and that it’s “not clear how you measure that from a pure revenue-generating perspective.”

Google Cloud

A person takes a photo of the Google Cloud logo, during the 2025 Mobile World Congress (MWC) in Barcelona, Spain, March 4, 2025. 

Albert Gea | Reuters

Google’s cloud unit, which is third in the cloud infrastructure market behind Amazon Web Services and Microsoft Azure, is one of Alphabet’s key growth engines and its biggest business outside of digital advertising.

Google began its big push into the market about a decade ago, even though it officially launched what was called the Google Cloud Platform (GCP) in 2011. The unit was rebranded as just Google Cloud in 2016.

Like AWS and Azure, Google Cloud generates revenue from businesses ranging from startups to large enterprises that run workloads on the company’s servers. Additionally, customers pay for products like Google Workspace, the company’s suite of productivity apps and collaboration tools.

In 2020, Google began breaking out its cloud business in financial statements, starting with revenue. In the fourth quarter of 2020, the first time Google included profit metrics for the unit, it recorded an operating loss of $1.24 billion.

The business turned profitable in 2023, and is now generating healthy margins. In the second quarter of 2025, Google reported an operating profit for the cloud business of $2.8 billion on revenue of $13.6 billion. Demand is so high that the company’s cloud services now have a backlog, a measure of future committed revenue, of $106 billion, CFO Anat Ashkenazi said on the earnings call.

In March, Google agreed to acquire cloud security vendor Wiz for $32 billion, the company’s largest deal ever.

Analysts at Wedbush Securities value Google’s cloud at $602 billion, while TD Cowen in May put the number at about $549 billion. For Raymond James, the valuation is $579 billion.

D.A. Davidson analysts, who have the highest ascribed valuation at $682 billion, and TD Cowen analysts note that while Google still trails AWS and Azure, it’s growing faster than Amazon’s cloud business and has the potential for a premium valuation. That’s based on its AI infrastructure, strong data analytics stack, and ability to capture more enterprise business.

It would be “one of the best standalone software stocks,” D.A. Davidson analysts wrote in July.

YouTube

A Youtube podcast microphone is seen at the Variety Podcasting Brunch Presented By YouTube at Austin Proper Hotel in Austin, Texas, on March 8, 2025.

Mat Hayward | Variety | Getty Images

Google’s $1.65 billion purchase of YouTube in 2006 is generally viewed as one of the best acquisitions ever by an internet company, alongside Facebook’s $1 billion deal for Instagram in 2012.

YouTube is the largest video site on the web and a big part of Google’s ad business. In the second quarter, YouTube ad revenue increased 13% to $9.8 billion, accounting for 14% of Google’s total ad sales.

Valuation estimates vary tremendously.

Dubbing it the “new king of all media,” MoffettNathanson values YouTube at between $475 billion and $550 billion, arguing that it’s larger and more powerful than any other player in Hollywood. At the top end of that range, YouTube would be worth about 22% of all of Alphabet.

YouTube recently overtook Netflix, which has a market cap of $515 billion, as the top streaming platform in terms of audience engagement.

TD Cowen analysts ascribe a much lower valuation at $271 billion. The firm notes that it’s one of six Google products with more than 2 billion monthly users, along with search, Google Maps, Gmail, Android and Chrome. Raymond James says YouTube is worth $306 billion.

For 2024, YouTube was the second-largest media company by revenue at $54.2 billion, trailing only Disney. The platform earns revenue from advertising and subscriptions.

The TD Cowen analysts said in May that they expect ad revenue to climb about 14% this year, and they expect the unit to maintain a double-digit growth rate. There’s also a fast-growing subscription side that includes YouTube TV, music and NFL Sunday ticket.

Waymo

Waymo begins testing self-driving cars with human drivers in New York and Philadelphia

Alphabet’s self-driving car company, Waymo, is by far its most high-profile success so far outside of Google.

Waymo currently operates the largest commercial autonomous ride-hailing fleet in the U.S., with more than 1,500 cars and over 100 million fully driverless miles logged. Rivals like Tesla and Amazon’s Zoox are still mostly at the testing phase in limited markets.

When Alphabet was formed as Google’s parent company, it created an “Other Bets” category to include businesses that it liked to call “moonshots,” a term that had already made its way into Google lexicon.

“We won’t become complacent, relying solely on small tweaks as the years wear on,” the company wrote in its 2014 annual report, describing its moonshot projects.

Waymo was spun out of Google in 2016 to join Other Bets, which on the whole is still losing billions of dollars a year. In the second quarter, Alphabet recorded a loss for the category of $1.2 billion on $373 million in revenue.

In its most recent funding round in November, Waymo was valued at $45 billion. The transaction included outside investors Andreessen Horowitz, Tiger Global, Silver Lake, Fidelity and T. Rowe Price. 

Some analysts see the unit worth many multiples of that now. D.A. Davidson analysts estimated the valuation at $200 billion or more earlier this month. Oppenheimer assigned a base case valuation of $300 billion, on the assumption that it generates $102 billion in adjusted earnings by 2040.

Raymond James values Waymo at $150 billion, with a prediction that rides per week will reach 1.4 million in 2027 and climb to 5.8 million by 2030. TD Cowen estimated Waymo’s enterprise mid-point value at $60 billion.

Waymo says it now conducts more than 250,000 paid weekly trips in the markets where it operates commercially, including Atlanta, Austin, Los Angeles, Phoenix and San Francisco. The company said it would be expanding to Philadelphia, Dallas and elsewhere.

WATCH: Alphabet’s 10-year anniversary comes as DOJ decision looms

Alphabet’s 10-year anniversary comes as DOJ decision looms, breakup chatter builds

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Over $50 billion in under 24 hours: Why Big Tech is doubling down on investing in India

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Over  billion in under 24 hours: Why Big Tech is doubling down on investing in India

A slogan related to Artificial Intelligence (AI) is displayed on a screen in Intel pavilion, during the 54th annual meeting of the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland, January 16, 2024. 

Denis Balibouse | Reuters

Big Tech is doubling down on investing billions in India, drawn by its abundance of resources for building data centers, a large talent and digital user pool, and market opportunity.

In under 24 hours, Microsoft and Amazon pledged more than $50 billion toward India’s cloud and AI infrastructure, while Intel on Monday announced plans to make chips in the country to capitalize on its growing PC demand and speedy AI adoption.

While India trails the U.S. and China in the race to develop a native AI foundational model, and lacks a large domestic AI infrastructure company, it wants to leverage its expertise in the information technology sector to create and deploy AI applications at enterprise level, also offering Big Tech companies a huge opportunity.

Having a model or computing is not enough for any enterprise to use AI effectively, and it requires companies making application layer and a large talent pool to deploy them, S. Krishnan, secretary at India’s Ministry of Electronics and Information Technology, told CNBC.

Stanford University ranks India among the top four countries along with the U.S., China and the UK in the global and national AI vibrancy ranking. GitHub, a community of developers, has ranked India at the top with the global share of 24% of all projects.

India’s opportunity lies more in “developing applications” which will be used to drive revenues for AI companies, Krishnan said.

On Tuesday, Microsoft announced $17.5 billion in investment in the country, spread over 4 years, aimed at expanding hyperscale infrastructure, embedding AI into national platforms, and advancing workforce readiness.

“This scale of capex gives Microsoft first‑mover advantage in GPU‑rich data centers while making Azure the preferred platform for India’s AI workloads, as well as deepening alignment with the government’s AI public infrastructure push,” said Tarun Pathak, research Director at Counterpoint Research. 

Amazon on Wednesday announced plans to invest over $35 billion, on top of the $40 billion it has already invested in the country.

Over the past few months, AI and tech majors such as OpenAI, Google, and Perplexity have offered their tools for free to millions in India, with Google also firming up its plans to invest $15 billion toward building data center capacity for a new AI hub in southern India.

“India combines a huge digital user base, rapidly growing cloud and AI demand, and a high-talent IT ecosystem that can build and consume AI at scale, making it more than just a market for users and instead a core engineering and deployment hub,” Pathak said.

Data center opportunity

India has several advantages when it comes to building data centers. Markets such as Japan, Australia, China and Singapore in the Asia Pacific region have matured. Singapore, one of the oldest data center hubs in the region, has limited room to deploy large-scale data centers due to land availability issues.

India has abundant space for large-scale data center developments. When compared with data center hubs in Europe, power costs in India are relatively low. Coupled with India’s growing renewable energy capacity — critical for power-hungry data centers — and the economics begin to look compelling.

Local demand, fueled by the rise of e-commerce — a major driver of data center growth in recent years — and potential new rules for storing social media data, strengthens the case.

Put simply: India is entering a sweet spot where global cloud providers, AI players, and domestic digitalization all converge to create one of the world’s hottest data center markets.

“India is a pivotal market and one of the fastest‑growing regions for AI spending in Asia Pacific,” said Deepika Giri, associate vice president and head of research, big data & AI, at International Data Corporation.

“A major gap, and therefore a significant opportunity, lies in the shortage of suitable compute infrastructure for running AI models,” she added. Big Tech is looking to capitalize on the infrastructure opportunity in India by investing heavily in the cloud and data center space.

Global companies are expanding capacities closer to service bases in IT cities such as Bangalore, Hyderabad and Pune from traditional centers like Mumbai and Chennai which are closer to landing cables, as they build data centers in India for the world, Krishnan said.

— CNBC’s Dylan Butts, Amitoj Singh contributed to this report. 

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Nvidia supplier SK Hynix eyes U.S. listing as it expands on the AI boom

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Nvidia supplier SK Hynix eyes U.S. listing as it expands on the AI boom

Illustration of the SK Hynix company logo seen displayed on a smartphone screen.

Sopa Images | Lightrocket | Getty Images

South Korea’s SK Hynix on Wednesday confirmed that it is weighing a U.S. listing as the memory chipmaker’s valuation soars on global demand for artificial intelligence hardware.

The company at the center of the AI infrastructure boom said in a regulatory filing that it was “reviewing various measures to enhance corporate value, including a U.S. stock market listing utilizing treasury shares,” while noting that no final decision has been made.

A U.S. listing would give American investors direct access to SK Hynix shares, which have surged nearly 230% so far this year in trading in Seoul on the back of strong AI demand. 

The Korea Exchange on Tuesday asked SK Hynix to address a Korea Economic Daily report that the company had received proposals to list about 2.4% of its shares as American depositary receipts (ADRs) backed by treasury stock.

ADRs are tradable certificates issued by U.S. banks that represent shares in a foreign company. While they tend to trade with lower liquidity than a full U.S. listing, which can deter some investors, ADRs use existing shares rather than new stock, preserving value for existing shareholders.

SK Hynix holds treasury shares equivalent to about 2.4% of its issued stock, according to the company’s investor relations website.

Shares of SK Hynix rose 4% on Wednesday following its statement, before paring gains on Thursday, trading over 2% lower.

The company has cemented its lead in high-bandwidth memory chips, which are used in Nvidia’s AI processors. 

A U.S. listing could help narrow valuation gaps between the company and U.S.-listed memory rival Micron Technology, as well as Samsung Electronics

SK Hynix has also been committing significant capital at home and abroad to expand its supply capacity, as it races to keep up with growing AI demand. 

The firm has committed nearly $4 billion to an advanced packaging fab in Indiana, aligning with Washington’s aim to expand domestic chip production. 

SK Hynix is also set to benefit from the government’s growing support of the local semiconductor industry. 

South Korea is considering building a 4.5 trillion won ($3.06 billion) foundry, funded by state and private capital to nurture local chipmakers amid growing demand for AI chips, according to a Reuters report on Wednesday. 

The report added that South Korean President Lee Jae Myung met with executives from chipmakers, including Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix, on the same day to discuss plans to maintain the country’s lead in memory chips and support its local chip manufacturing.

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CNBC Daily Open: Investors find cheer amid Fed’s hawkish cut

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CNBC Daily Open: Investors find cheer amid Fed's hawkish cut

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell reacts while speaking during a press conference following the Federal Open Markets Committee meeting at the Federal Reserve on Dec. 10, 2025 in Washington, DC.

Chip Somodevilla | Getty Images

It ended up being a “hawkish cut,” as expected. Still, investors managed to find a few gifts tucked between the lumps of coal.

Even though the U.S. Federal Reserve lowered interest rates on Wednesday stateside, two regional bank presidents — Jeffrey Schmid of Kansas City and Austan Goolsbee of Chicago — wanted rates to stand pat.

Their cautioned was echoed in the Fed’s “dot plot” of rate projection, which showed officials penciling in just one cut in 2026 and another for 2027.

Even the Fed’s rate statement was repurposed from the December 2024 meeting, which ushered in a nine-month period without cuts until September this year.

Why, then, did U.S. markets rise after the meeting?

The biggest surprise was the Fed’s announcement that it would begin purchasing $40 billion in Treasury bills, starting Friday. That move increases the money supply in the economy. In other words, it’s a stealthy way to ease conditions, which helps support financial markets.

Next, Chair Jerome Powell dismissed speculation about future hikes.

“I don’t think that a rate hike … is anybody’s base case at this point,” Powell said. “I’m not hearing that.”

Fed officials also see the U.S economy as remaining resilient. Collectively, they increased their forecast for economic expansion in 2026 to 2.3% from an earlier estimate of 1.8% in September.

“We have an extraordinary economy,” said Powell.

And the markets may be setting up for an extraordinary finish to the year.

“The last interest rate decision of 2025 has essentially paved the way for a Santa Claus rally to end the year, and the S&P 500 is poised to exceed the 7,000 milestone in the next few weeks,” said José Torres, senior economist at Interactive Brokers.

For investors, that would count as a very decent Christmas surprise.

— CNBC’s Jeff Cox contributed to this report.

What you need to know today

And finally…

U.S. President Donald Trump delivers remarks on the U.S. economy and affordability at the Mount Airy Casino Resort in Mount Pocono, Pennsylvania, U.S. Dec. 9, 2025.

Jonathan Ernst | Reuters

Trump slams European leaders as ‘weak’ — just as they’re trying to impress him

U.S. President Donald Trump has once again provoked outrage among his European allies, describing them as “weak” in an interview with Politico published Tuesday. Criticizing the region’s response to the war in Ukraine, Trump said: “I think they don’t know what to do.”

That comment will be jarring for Europe after its efforts to support Ukraine — efforts which Trump has frequently downplayed. Instead, Europe has had to watch on as U.S. officials have held talks with their Russian and Ukrainian counterparts on a draft peace plan for Ukraine, without a seat at the table. 

— Holly Ellyatt

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