Andy Burnham would beat Sir Keir Starmer among Labour members by two to one if there were a leadership contest today, an exclusive poll for Sky News reveals.
A poll of 704 Labour members taken a week ago by YouGov found that 62% would back Mr Burnham, and 29% would back Sir Keir. Just 9% don’t know or would not vote.
Mr Burnham has claimed some Labour MPs are asking him to stand for the leadership, and has used this conference to set out his stall, though there is not an obvious route for him to return to Parliament.
If returned to the Commons, he would have to resign as Manchester Metro Mayor, with a Reform UK replacement in prime position to win the mayoralty.
The poll reveals that around a third of Labour members polled no longer think that Sir Keir is a good prime minister, and would rather he did not fight the next election. Some 33% say he is doing a bad job, compared with 63% who think he is doing a good job.
Even more – 37% – say Sir Keir should not take the party into the next election, while 53% say he should and 10% don’t know. People are more likely to say that Labour is doing a good job than Sir Keir.
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The mayor of Greater Manchester gives no comment to Sky News as he walks to a fringe meeting at the Labour conference in Liverpool.
Mr Burnham is the favourite to succeed him by a long distance – the top pick of 54% of members.
Next is Angela Rayner, the now-sacked deputy leader (10%), then Health Secretary Wes Streeting on 7%. Ex-leader, now energy secretary, Ed Miliband and foreign secretary Yvette Cooper are on 6%, and new home secretary Shabana Mahmood is on 2%.
Mr Burnham comfortably beats all in a final round of voting, according to the poll.
In the event that Mr Burnham was unable to stand, YouGov polled a number of head-to-head races. Wes Streeting beats Shabana Mahmood and Ed Miliband, but would lose to Angela Rayner and Yvette Cooper. Ms Mahmood would lose to Mr Miliband and Ms Cooper. And Ms Cooper would beat Mr Miliband.
The poll also examined attitudes to the deputy leadership contest.
The poll found 35% would back Lucy Powell and 28% would back Bridget Phillipson, while 30% do not know and 5% will not vote. Excluding ‘don’t know’, this suggests Ms Powell is ahead of Ms Phillipson with 56% to 44% – a closer margin than some other pollsters.
Broadly, members who back Ms Powell are less likely to support Sir Keir.
The poll makes tough reading for Angela Rayner – 60% said she was right to resign, against 34% who said it was the wrong decision.
A Royal Navy patrol ship has intercepted two Russian vessels off the UK coast, the Ministry of Defence has said.
It comes after Defence Secretary John Healey announced last Wednesday that lasers from Russian spy ship the Yantar were directed at RAF pilots tracking it, in an attempt to disrupt the monitoring.
The MoD said on Sunday that in a “round-the-clock shadowing operation”, the Royal Navy ship HMS Severn has intercepted Russian warship RFN Stoikiy and tanker Yelnya off the UK coast in the past fortnight.
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Russian ship ‘directed lasers at our pilots’
The Russian vessels sailed through the Dover Strait and westward through the English Channel, the MoD said.
HMS Severn later handed over monitoring duties to a NATO ally off the coast of Brittany, France, it said, but continued to watch from a distance and remained ready to respond to any unexpected activity.
The ministry added that the UK’s armed forces are on patrol “from the English Channel to the High North” amid increased Russian activity threatening UK waters.
At a news conference in Downing Street on Wednesday, Mr Healey said the spy ship was on the edge of British waters north of Scotland, having entered wider UK waters over the last few weeks.
He said it was the second time this year the Yantar had been deployed off the UK coast and he claimed it was “designed for gathering intelligence and mapping our undersea cables”.
Image: HMS Severn tracking of Russian corvette RFN Stoikiy and tanker Yelnya off the UK coast. Pic: MoD
Mr Healey said the ship had “directed lasers” at pilots of a P-8 surveillance aircraft monitoring its activities – a Russian action he deemed “deeply dangerous”.
In a clear message to Russian President Vladimir Putin, the defence secretary said: “We see you. We know what you are doing. And we are ready.”
The ministry said while tracking the Yantar, Royal Navy frigate HMS Somerset and other civilian ships in the area “experienced GPS jamming in a further demonstration of unprofessional behaviour, intended to be disruptive and a nuisance”.
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What is Russian spy ship up to?
Russia’s UK embassy dismissed the accusations and insisted the Yantar is a research ship in international waters.
The defence secretary also repeated government plans to increase defence spending and work with NATO allies to bolster European security.
And he stressed how plans to buy weapons and build arms factories will create jobs and economic growth.
Image: HMS Somerset flanking Russian ship the Yantar near UK waters on 22 January 2025. File pic: Royal Navy/PA
A report by a group of MPs, also released on Wednesday, underlined the scale of the challenge the UK faces.
It accused the government of lacking a national plan to defend itself from attack.
The Defence Select Committee also warned that Mr Healey, the prime minister and the rest of the cabinet are moving at a “glacial” pace to fix the issue and are failing to launch a “national conversation on defence and security” – something Sir Keir Starmer had promised last year.
Image: Russian ship the Yantar transiting through the English Channel. File pic: MoD
The UK has seen a 30% increase in Russian vessels threatening UK waters in the past two years, according to the MoD.
But the ministry maintained the UK has a wide range of military options at its disposal to keep UK waters safe.
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Three RAF P-8 Poseidon aircraft have deployed to Keflavik Air Base in Iceland in the largest overseas deployment of the RAF P-8 fleet so far, the MoD said.
They are conducting surveillance operations as part of NATO’s collective defence, patrolling for Russian ships and submarines in the North Atlantic and Arctic.
The operations come just weeks after HMS Duncan tracked the movements of Russian destroyer Vice Admiral Kulakov, and frigate HMS Iron Duke was dispatched to monitor Russian Kilo-class submarine Novorossiysk.
West Midlands Police has defended the ban on Maccabi Tel Aviv fans attending an Aston Villa match after it was claimed that false intelligence was used.
Supporters of the Israeli club were barred from the Europa League fixture at Villa Park on 6 November.
West Midlands Police chief superintendent Tom Joyce told Sky News before the game that a “section” of Maccabi’s fanbase engaged in “quite significant levels of hooliganism”.
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‘Hooliganism’ blamed for Maccabi Tel Aviv ban
According to The Sunday Times, West Midlands Police claimed in a confidential dossier that when Maccabi played Ajax in Amsterdam last year, Israeli fans threw “innocent members of the public into the river”, and added that between 500 and 600 supporters had “intentionally targeted Muslim communities”.
The report also said 5,000 Dutch police officers had been deployed in response.
However, the Netherlands’ national police force has questioned the claims, reportedly describing information cited by its British officers as “not true” and in some instances obviously inaccurate.
Sebastiaan Meijer, a spokesman for the Amsterdam division, told The Sunday Times that he was “surprised” by allegations in the West Midlands Police report, which had linked 200 travelling supporters to the Israel Defence Forces (IDF).
Mr Meijer denied that his force had such intelligence, adding that the claim was meaningless given the country had a policy of conscription.
Also, Mr Meijer said that Amsterdam’s force “does not recognise” the claim in the British report, attributed to Dutch law enforcement, that Israelis were “highly organised, skilled fighters with a serious desire and will to fight with police and opposing groups”.
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Heavy police presence for Aston Villa v Maccabi Tel Aviv
The Dutch police added that the only known case of a fan being in the river appeared to involve a Maccabi supporter. While being filmed, he was told he could leave the water on the condition that he said “Free Palestine”.
In an interview with Sky News before the game, West Midlands Police referenced disorder when Maccabi played Ajax in Amsterdam last November.
Mr Joyce said ahead of the Villa Park match: “We’ve had examples where a section of Maccabi fans were targeting people not involved in football matches, and certainly we had an incident in Amsterdam last year which has informed some of our decision-making.
“So it is exclusively a decision we made on the basis of the behaviour of a sub-section of Maccabi fans, but all the reaction that could occur obviously formed part of that as well.”
Image: Pro-Israel supporters are led away from Villa Park before a Europa League tie on 6 November. Pic: PA
Maccabi’s visit to Birmingham came amid heightened tensions due to Israel’s war on Hamas in Gaza.
A safety advisory group (SAG) recommended that Maccabi fans should be banned from attending the fixture on the advice of the police. The ban drew criticism, and Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer said it was the “wrong decision”.
Image: Mounted police outside Villa Park for the game. Pic: PA
West Midland Police’s statement in full
Following The Sunday Times report, West Midlands Police stood by its “information and intelligence”, adding that the “Maccabi Fanatics… posed a credible threat to safety”.
In a statement to Sky News, the force said: “West Midlands Police’s evaluation was based primarily on information and intelligence and had public safety at its heart.
“We assessed the fixture between Ajax and Maccabi Tel Aviv in Amsterdam as having involved significant public disorder.
“We met with Dutch police on 1 October, where information relating to that 2024 fixture was shared with us.
“Informed by information and intelligence, we concluded that Maccabi Tel Aviv supporters – specifically the subgroup known as the Maccabi Fanatics – posed a credible threat to public safety.
“The submission made to the SAG safety advisory group was based on information and intelligence which helped shape understanding of the risks.
“West Midlands Police commissioned a peer review, which was conducted by UKFPU [United Kingdom Policing Unit], the NPCC [National Police Chiefs’ Council] and subject matter experts.
“This review, carried out on 20 October, fully endorsed the force’s approach and decision-making.
“We are satisfied that the policing strategy and operational plan was effective, proportionate, and maintained the city’s reputation as a safe and welcoming place for everyone.”
The watch, which had remained in the couple’s family, was sold at Henry Aldridge & Son Auctioneers in Devizes, Wiltshire.
The £1.78m for the item is the highest amount ever paid for Titanic memorabilia, according to the company.
A letter written by Mrs Straus on Titanic stationery and posted while onboard the ship fetched £100,000.
The previous record was set last year when another gold pocket watch presented to the captain of a boat that rescued over 700 passengers from the liner sold for £1.56m.