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A new report has warned of a “clear decline in trust” in the Scottish government since devolution, with less than half of respondents saying it acts in the country’s best interests.

The Scottish Social Attitudes survey, published by the Scottish Centre for Social Research (ScotCen) on Thursday, found 47% of Scots trust the Scottish government to do what is right for Scotland.

The figure has decreased from 61% in 2019 and is down from 81% when devolution began in 1999.

The survey, 25 Years Of Devolution In Scotland: Public Attitudes And Reaction, also found 38% of respondents believe the government is good at listening to the public before making decisions, the lowest result since 2006.

The statistics on trust in the Scottish government are from research in 2023, with other data coming from 2024.

Satisfaction with the NHS has fallen to 22%, which ScotCen says is comparable with the rest of the UK.

This follows a 2023 finding in which 69% of people surveyed said they felt the standard of the health service had declined.

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ScotCen said this represents the lowest level of satisfaction and the highest perception of a decline in standards since the time series began in 1999.

In 2024, around two in five adults in Scotland (41%) said they were living comfortably or doing alright financially, while around one in four (24%) reported they were really struggling.

Most of those north of the border continued to identify as Scottish, though the 74% saying in 2024 that it was at least one of their identities was a reduction from 84% who said so in 1999.

Despite trust in the Scottish government having reduced, support for independence is at 47%, up from 27% in 1999.

Read more:
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Paul Bradshaw, director of ScotCen, said: “These latest results show a clear decline in trust in the Scottish government, alongside continued concern about public services and the economy.

“While Scots remain strongly attached to their Scottish identity, our data suggest that confidence in political institutions is under pressure, a finding that will be important for policymakers and the public alike.”

In an extract from the report’s conclusion, co-authors Sophie Birtwistle and Sir John Curtice wrote: “So far as public opinion is concerned, devolution has not turned out in the way that either its advocates or its critics anticipated when the Scottish parliament first met on 1 July 1999.

“On the one hand, it has not resulted in any long-term marked decline in Scots’ willingness to acknowledge a British identity or in any marked divergence of attitudes and values between Scotland and England.

“On the other hand, far from persuading Scots of the merits of being part of the UK, the decision to put the independence question to voters in 2014 occasioned a marked long-term increase in support for leaving the UK.

“Yet, at the same time, although support for independence may now be higher, it is still a long way from looking like a ‘settled will’ in the way that, by 1999, the idea of Scotland having its own parliament appeared to be.”

Deputy First Minister Kate Forbes said the “fresh start of independence” would help to “raise living standards, grow the economy, and shape a fairer, more prosperous future”.

She added: “The data suggests that trust in the Scottish government is on a level with governments elsewhere, but we are determined to do more.

“Much of this data was collected up to two years ago.

“Since then, the Scottish government has made considerable progress to deliver on the people of Scotland’s priorities – including abolishing peak rail fares, confirming plans to deliver winter heating support for pensioners and taking action to improve our NHS, including investing record funding of £21.7bn for health and social care this year.”

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Palestine Action ban must be explained, Labour peer tells Starmer

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Palestine Action ban must be explained, Labour peer tells Starmer

Ministers must do “much more” to explain why Palestine Action is a proscribed terrorist group, Harriet Harman has said.

Speaking to the Sky News Electoral Dysfunction podcast, the Labour peer said the government looked like it was just “arresting octogenarian vicars who are worried about the awful situation in Gaza”.

Baroness Harman, who was a Labour MP from 1982 to 2024, said the government had a “number of incredibly important duties” with regard to the war in Gaza – including protecting the Jewish community while also permitting free speech.

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She said that as well as ensuring the safety of Jewish venues, such as schools and synagogues, the government also needed to “try and create an atmosphere where the Jewish people should not feel that they are under threat and be asking themselves whether this is the right country for them to live in and be bringing up their families”.

Baroness Harman went on: “They also have to support and uphold the right to free speech and the right of protest. And people have felt so horrified.

“We all have about the devastating loss of life and suffering in Gaza. And so it’s right that people are allowed to protest.”

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A number of protests in support of Palestine Action have been organised in recent months following the group’s proscription under anti-terrorism laws in July, after members targeted RAF Brize Norton and damaged two military aircraft.

Protests against the British government's ban on Palestine Action
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Protests against the British government’s ban on Palestine Action

Last week, there were calls for the demonstrations to be halted following the attack on Heaton Park Synagogue in Manchester, in which two people were killed – but a number took place across the country, including in London.

The Labour peer said the organisers of such protests had a responsibility not to allow people to support a “terrorist organisation” but that the government also needed to do “much, more more” to explain why Palestine Action had been proscribed.

Read more:
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“At the moment, it just looks like the police are arresting octogenarian vicars who are worried about the awful situation in Gaza,” Baroness Harman said.

“So they’ve got to actually be much clearer in why Palestine Action is a terrorist group and that they’re justified in prescribing them and making them illegal.

“But also the police have got to police those marches in stopping them being about the spouting of hatred and inciting violence, with people talking about globalising the intifada, which basically means killing all Jewish people.

“And the police do actually have very wide-ranging powers, not just to arrest people, but to actually ban marches.

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Telegram’s Durov: We’re ‘running out of time to save the free internet’

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Telegram’s Durov: We’re ‘running out of time to save the free internet’

Telegram’s Durov: We’re ‘running out of time to save the free internet’

EU lawmakers have sought to introduce Chat Control, while the UK and Australia are on track for digital ID systems. Pavel Durov warns that these “dystopian” measures must be stopped.

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‘The time is now to stop Reform’ – Plaid Cymru calls on Labour voters to unite behind Welsh nationalists

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'The time is now to stop Reform' - Plaid Cymru calls on Labour voters to unite behind Welsh nationalists

One party has held court over Welsh politics for more than a century.

Welsh Labour MPs have been the largest group sent to Westminster in every general election since 1922 – and the party has been in government in the country for more than a quarter of a century.

But if the polls are accurate, Labour’s long-standing grip on politics in Wales is fading.

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Plaid Cymru and Reform UK are running almost neck and neck, while Labour trails significantly. A recent YouGov poll put Plaid Cymru on 30%, Reform UK on 29% and Labour at 14%.

Plaid Cymru, heading into its conference this weekend, can sense the mood for change in Wales – and intends to show it is ready for government.

Polling last month put Plaid Cymru and Reform UK almost neck and neck in Wales, with just one point between them - while Labour trails
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Polling last month put Plaid Cymru and Reform UK almost neck and neck in Wales, with just one point between them – while Labour trails

The party hopes to capitalise on disillusioned Labour voters feeling let down by their party under Sir Keir Starmer, and use this to tackle the rise of Reform – which is key to getting it into power.

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In his leader’s speech, Rhun ap Iorwerth is expected to position Plaid Cymru as Wales’s progressive force, and the only party capable of taking on Reform.

He will say: “We’re not here to act as Labour’s conscience. We are not here to repair Labour. We are here to replace them.

“If you’ve never voted for Plaid Cymru before, the time is now.

“The time is now to stop Reform and elect a government more radical, more ambitious, more impatient to bring about positive change than any which has gone before it. A government of progress and of progressive values.”

One in five Labour voters in Wales intend to back Plaid Cymru at the Senedd elections in 2026, according to YouGov. But almost a quarter of Labour voters remain undecided on who to endorse.

The topic of independence will no doubt be a contentious issue for voters who are angry about decisions made by Labour in Wales and Westminster, but do not want an independent Wales.

Plaid Cymru supporters outside the Senedd on 8 October
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Plaid Cymru supporters outside the Senedd on 8 October

Mr ap Iorwerth has ruled out an independence referendum if Plaid Cymru wins next year’s elections, signalling that he doesn’t want the campaign to centre on independence.

Throughout the conference, Plaid Cymru will position itself as ready to govern. But voters will expect clear plans for the NHS, education, and the economy. The question for the party, both during this conference and over the coming months, will be whether its proposals can win over Labour voters in its quest to beat Reform.

But Plaid Cymru’s challenge to Nigel Farage’s party faces a critical test sooner than May. Instead, its next battle will be in the Caerphilly Senedd by-election on 23 October.

Historically a Labour stronghold at both Senedd and Westminster levels, Caerphilly has consistently returned Labour representatives, with Plaid Cymru as the main opposition at Senedd elections.

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However, this election introduces a new dynamic, as Reform has emerged as a credible challenger, poised to disrupt the traditional two-party contest.

Coming second at this election won’t be a total loss for Plaid Cymru.

If it can come second at the by-election, it will prove the point Mr ap Iorwerth will be making at the conference in Swansea: that his party is the only credible anti-Reform vote.

The full list of candidates standing at the Caerphilly by-election:

  • Labour – Richard Tunnicliffe

  • Plaid Cymru – Lindsay Whittle

  • Reform UK – Llŷr Powell

  • Conservative – Gareth Potter

  • Green Party – Gareth Hughes

  • Gwlad – Anthony Cook

  • UKIP – Roger Quilliam

  • Liberal Democrats – Steve Aicheler

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