CNBC Daily Open: Trump has the last word on U.S. stocks

Published

2 months ago

October 15, 2025

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U.S. President Donald Trump speaks during a ceremony to posthumously award the Medal of Freedom to Charlie Kirk, in the Rose Garden patio at the White House in Washington, D.C., U.S., Oct. 14, 2025.

Kevin Lamarque | Reuters

U.S. stocks had a rocky day of trading, swinging from highs and lows like the quality of Game of Thrones across its eight seasons.

At its lowest during the session, the S&P 500 fell as much as 1.5%, but picked up and traded positive for most of the day after U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer gave an indication that China’s next trade move could influence the implementation of President Donald Trump’s tariffs.

The optimism in markets fizzled, however, when Trump said he was considering “terminating business with China having to do with Cooking Oil” and other forms of “retribution” because the country has stopped buying U.S. soybeans since May. Investors seemed to take that threat seriously, sending the S&P 500 down 0.2% for the day.

Developments elsewhere, however, were more positive. U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell suggested that the central bank might stop tightening monetary policy with regard to its bond holdings. Furthermore, big banks — bellwethers for economic activity — such as JPMorgan Chase, Citi and Goldman Sachs, beat earnings expectations, suggesting that fundamentals are still sound.

And while Oracle’s turn to AMD’s artificial intelligence chips — hence diversifying from Nvidia graphics processing units — might not be pleasant news for Jensen Huang, spreading out concentration risk could be a positive outcome for investors banking on AI to continue the market rally.

The question, then, is whether Trump will raze the AI-supported market with his tariffs — or if the Magnificent Seven kingdom will stand.

What you need to know today

Trump threatens China with cooking oil embargo. That’s in response to Beijing halting its purchases of U.S. soybeans since May. Whether 100% tariffs on China come into effect depends on how the country reacts, U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer said Tuesday.

Powell suggests the Fed might stop tightening policy. The U.S. central bank could cease reducing the size of its bond holdings, which would allow liquidity to be maintained in the economy, Powell said in a prepared speech Tuesday.

Oracle to deploy AMD artificial intelligence chips. Oracle will use 50,000 of AMD’s Instinct MI450 chips beginning in the second half of 2026, in a sign that companies are turning to Nvidia’s competitors for their processing needs.

U.S. stocks were mixed. On Tuesday, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite fell but recovered from session lows. The Dow Jones Industrial Average, however, closed in the green. The pan-European Stoxx 600 index dropped 0.37% and touched two-week lows in the session.

[PRO] An attractive European fixed income play. This niche area has “real value,” according to BlackRock’s James Turner, co-head of global fixed income in EMEA. In addition, it offers protection against the risk of interest rate fluctuations.

And finally…

U.S. President Donald Trump gestures as he poses next to a sign before a family photo at a world leaders’ summit on ending the Gaza war, amid a U.S.-brokered prisoner-hostage swap and ceasefire deal between Israel and Hamas, in Sharm el-Sheikh, Egypt, Oct. 13, 2025.

Suzanne Plunkett | Reuters

Trump says the war is over, but the path to peace in the Middle East is fragile

While most agree that U.S. President Donald Trump deserves credit for helping to bring an immediate end to the devastating war between Israel and Hamas, achieving a long-lasting peace is a different matter. Analysts note that detail is scant in Trump’s 20-point peace plan, meaning there are a number of grey areas and room for discontent and disagreement in the near and long-term.

This is particularly salient when it comes to both immediate matters in the peace proposal, such as the demilitarization of Hamas and withdrawal of Israeli forces from Gazan territory it currently controls, to perhaps the biggest bone of contention: a two-state solution for the Israelis and Palestinians.

— Holly Ellyatt

Technology

Okta shares fall as company declines to give guidance for next fiscal year

Published

1 hour ago

December 2, 2025

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Okta shares fall as company declines to give guidance for next fiscal year

Cheng Xin | Getty Images

Okta on Tuesday topped Wall Street’s third-quarter estimates and issued an upbeat outlook, but shares fell as the company did not provide guidance for fiscal 2027.

Shares of the identity management provider fell more than 3% in after-hours trading on Tuesday.

Here’s how the company did versus LSEG estimates:

Earnings per share: 82 cents adjusted vs. 76 cents expected
Revenue: $742 million vs. $730 million expected

Compared to previous third-quarter reports, Okta refrained from offering preliminary guidance for the upcoming fiscal year. Finance chief Brett Tighe cited seasonality in the fourth quarter, and said providing guidance would require “some conservatism.”

Okta released a capability that allows businesses to build AI agents and automate tasks during the third quarter.

CEO Todd McKinnon told CNBC that upside from AI agents haven’t been fully baked into results and could exceed Okta’s core total addressable market over the next five years.

“It’s not in the results yet, but we’re investing, and we’re capitalizing on the opportunity like it will be a big part of the future,” he said in a Tuesday interview.

Revenues increased almost 12% from $665 million in the year-ago period. Net income increased 169% to $43 million, or 24 cents per share, from $16 million, or breakeven, a year ago. Subscription revenues grew 11% to $724 million, ahead of a $715 million estimate.

For the current quarter, the cybersecurity company expects revenues between $748 million and $750 million and adjusted earnings of 84 cents to 85 cents per share. Analysts forecast $738 million in revenues and EPS of 84 cents for the fourth quarter.

Returning performance obligations, or the company’s subscription backlog, rose 17% from a year ago to $4.29 billion and surpassed a $4.17 billion estimate from StreetAccount.

This year has been a blockbuster period for cybersecurity companies, with major acquisition deals from the likes of Palo Alto Networks and Google and a raft of new initial public offerings from the sector.

Okta shares have gained about 4% this year.

WATCH: Earnings will drive small cap outperformance, says Bank of America’s Jill Carey Hall

Technology

Marvell to acquire Celestial AI for as much as $5.5 billion

Published

2 hours ago

December 2, 2025

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Marvell to acquire Celestial AI for as much as .5 billion

Marvell Technology Group Ltd. headquarters in Santa Clara, California, on Sept. 6, 2024.

David Paul Morris | Bloomberg | Getty Images

Semiconductor company Marvell on Tuesday announced that it will acquire Celestial AI for at least $3.25 billion in cash and stock.

The purchase price could increase to $5.5 billion if Celestial hits revenue milestones, Marvell said.

Marvell shares rose 13% in extended trading Tuesday as the company reported third-quarter earnings that beat expectations and said on the earnings call that it expected data center revenue to rise 25% next year.

The deal is an aggressive move for Marvell to acquire complimentary technology to its semiconductor networking business. The addition of Celestial could enable Marvell to sell more chips and parts to companies that are currently committing to spend hundreds of billions of dollars on infrastructure for AI.

Marvell stock is down 18% so far in 2025 even as semiconductor rivals like Broadcom have seen big valuation increases driven by excitement around artificial intelligence.

Celestial is a startup focused on developing optical interconnect hardware, which it calls a “photonic fabric,” to connect high-performance computers. Celestial was reportedly valued at $2.5 billion in March in a funding round, and Intel CEO Lip-Bu Tan joined the startup’s board in January.

Optical connections are becoming increasingly important because the most advanced AI systems need those parts tie together dozens or hundreds of chips so they can work as one to train and run the biggest large-language models.

Currently, many AI chip connections are done using copper wires, but newer systems are increasingly using optical connections because they can transfer more data faster and enable physically longer cables. Optical connections also cost more.

“This builds on our technology leadership, broadens our addressable market in scale-up connectivity, and accelerates our roadmap to deliver the industry’s most complete connectivity platform for AI and cloud customers,” Marvell CEO Matt Murphy said in a statement.

Marvell said that the first application of Celestial technology would be to connect a system based on “large XPUs,” which are custom AI chips usually made by the companies investing billions in AI infrastructure.

On Tuesday, the company said that it could even integrate Celestial’s optical technology into custom chips, and based on customer traction, the startup’s technology would soon be integrated into custom AI chips and related parts called switches.

Amazon Web Services Vice President Dave Brown said in a statement that Marvell’s acquisition of Celestial will “help further accelerate optical scale-up innovation for next-generation AI deployments.”

The maximum payout for the deal will be triggered if Celestial can record $2 billion in cumulative revenue by the end of fiscal 2029. The deal is expected to close early next year.

In its third-quarter earnings on Tuesday, Marvell earnings of 76 cents per share on $2.08 billion in sales, versus LSEG expectations of 73 cents on $2.07 billion in sales. Marvell said that it expects fourth-quarter revenue to be $2.2 billion, slightly higher than LSEG’s forecast of $2.18 billion.

WATCH: Nvidia GPUs to Google TPUs: Breaking down all the AI chips