NHL Power Rankings: Every team’s current pace vs. preseason projections
The 2025-26 NHL season turned one month old on Friday.
It’s way too early to draw firm conclusions, right?
Forget it. For this edition of the Power Rankings, we’ll be taking a look at the preseason over/under point totals compared to each team’s current points pace. Which teams are the furthest off their projections — in each direction?
How we rank: A panel of ESPN hockey commentators, analysts, reporters and editors sends in a 1-32 poll based on the games through Wednesday, which generates our list.
Note: Previous ranking for each team refers to the previous edition, published Oct. 31. Points percentages are through Thursday’s games.
Previous ranking: 1
Points percentage: 75%
Preseason O/U: 103.5
Current points pace: 123
One of seven teams with a triple-digit over/under in the preseason, the Avs are currently well ahead of that projection, with just one loss in regulation through 14 games.
Next seven days: @ EDM (Nov. 8), @ VAN (Nov. 9), vs. ANA (Nov. 11), vs. BUF (Nov. 13)
Previous ranking: 5
Points percentage: 71.4%
Preseason O/U: 90.5
Current points pace: 117.1
A surprise entrant in the 2025 Stanley Cup playoffs, the Habs weren’t expected to be nearly this dominant in 2025-26. And yet, here we are.
Next seven days: vs. UTA (Nov. 8), vs. LA (Nov. 11), vs. DAL (Nov. 13)
Previous ranking: 6
Points percentage: 69.2%
Preseason O/U: 97.5
Current points pace: 113.5
The sportsbooks expected the Jets to be well off their Presidents’ Trophy-winning pace of 116 from last season, but so far they are pushing the Avs atop the Central Division.
Next seven days: @ SJ (Nov. 7), @ ANA (Nov. 9), @ VAN (Nov. 11), @ SEA (Nov. 13)
Previous ranking: 2
Points percentage: 71.4%
Preseason O/U: 99.5
Current points pace: 117.1
A 2025 playoff team, the Devils were expected to be back in that situation again this coming spring — and so far, they’re ahead of last season’s pace.
Next seven days: vs. PIT (Nov. 8), vs. NYI (Nov. 10), @ CHI (Nov. 12)
Previous ranking: 3
Points percentage: 65.4%
Preseason O/U: 104.5
Current points pace: 107.2
One of the great Western powers continues to roll along, with Jack Eichel looking every bit the part of a leading Hart Trophy candidate.
Next seven days: vs. ANA (Nov. 8), vs. FLA (Nov. 10), vs. NYI (Nov. 13)
Previous ranking: 4
Points percentage: 64.3%
Preseason O/U: 92.5
Current points pace: 105.4
Is Salt Lake City ready to host playoff hockey? The Mammoth appear to be trending in that direction, with one of the NHL’s most impressive young cores.
Next seven days: @ MTL (Nov. 8), @ OTT (Nov. 9), vs. BUF (Nov. 12)
Previous ranking: 9
Points percentage: 69.2%
Preseason O/U: 105.5
Current points pace: 113.5
Finishing a season in triple digits in standings points is nothing new for the Canes, and they are on track to pull off the feat again by the end of this season.
Next seven days: vs. BUF (Nov. 8), @ TOR (Nov. 9), vs. WSH (Nov. 11)
Previous ranking: 20
Points percentage: 73.1%
Preseason O/U: 83.5
Current points pace: 119.8
An article from the season’s first week pondered whether the Ducks had built the next great Western power. Through the season’s first month, the answer is a resounding “yes!”
Next seven days: @ VGK (Nov. 8), vs. WPG (Nov. 9), @ COL (Nov. 11), @ DET (Nov. 13)
Previous ranking: 8
Points percentage: 64.3%
Preseason O/U: 84.5
Current points pace: 105.4
Is the “Yzerplan” finally coming to fruition, returning the Red Wings to their rightful place in the postseason?
Next seven days: vs. NYR (Nov. 7), vs. CHI (Nov. 9), vs. ANA (Nov. 13)
Previous ranking: 7
Points percentage: 66.7%
Preseason O/U: 77.5
Current points pace: 109.3
Much of the Penguins-oriented chatter this preseason revolved around whether Sidney Crosby would be traded to a contender. Well, apparently he’s already on a contender.
Next seven days: @ NJ (Nov. 8), vs. LA (Nov. 9)
Previous ranking: 11
Points percentage: 60.7%
Preseason O/U: 103.5
Current points pace: 99.6
The prognosticators expected an elite performance out of the Stars, and they’re getting near a 100-point pace so far. The big question is for the spring: Can this team finally get over the conference finals hump?
Next seven days: @ NSH (Nov. 8), vs. SEA (Nov. 9), @ OTT (Nov. 11), @ MTL (Nov. 13)
Previous ranking: 15
Points percentage: 60.7%
Preseason O/U: 99.5
Current points pace: 99.6
Hey, sometimes the sportsbooks nail their projections! The question now is where that points pace gets the Leafs in the postseason mix.
Next seven days: vs. BOS (Nov. 8), vs. CAR (Nov. 9), @ BOS (Nov. 11), vs. LA (Nov. 13)
Previous ranking: 10
Points percentage: 53.6%
Preseason O/U: 96.5
Current points pace: 87.9
Much like the Jets, the Capitals were expected to take a step back — and as of now, they certainly have.
Next seven days: @ TB (Nov. 8), @ CAR (Nov. 11), @ FLA (Nov. 13)
Previous ranking: 12
Points percentage: 61.5%
Preseason O/U: 78.5
Current points pace: 100.9
Aside from one playoff appearance (2023), the Kraken had been treading water — a stark contrast to the fearsome sea beast that serves as their moniker. New coach Lane Lambert seems to have gotten them pointed back in the right direction.
Next seven days: @ STL (Nov. 8), @ DAL (Nov. 9), vs. CBJ (Nov. 11), vs. WPG (Nov. 13)
Previous ranking: 16
Points percentage: 60.7%
Preseason O/U: 83.5
Current points pace: 99.6
After a simmering build the past two seasons, have the Flyers arrived as legitimate playoff contenders in Year 1 of the Rick Tocchet era?
Next seven days: vs. OTT (Nov. 8), vs. EDM (Nov. 12)
Previous ranking: 18
Points percentage: 53.3%
Preseason O/U: 98.5
Current points pace: 87.5
The final season of legendary Kings center Anze Kopitar‘s career hasn’t gotten off to the start many expected.
Next seven days: @ PIT (Nov. 9), @ MTL (Nov. 11), @ TOR (Nov. 13)
Previous ranking: 21
Points percentage: 57.1%
Preseason O/U: 101.5
Current points pace: 93.7
Just one win in the first seven games put the Lightning in a pretty deep hole; a subsequent five-game winning streak helped them dig out. Which is the real version of this team?
Next seven days: vs. WSH (Nov. 8), vs. NYR (Nov. 12)
Previous ranking: 13
Points percentage: 53.3%
Preseason O/U: 103.5
Current points pace: 87.5
Throughout the summer and most of the preseason, many surmised that a lingering lack of a contract beyond 2025-26 for Connor McDavid would be a distraction hanging over the Oilers this season. McDavid inked his extension on the eve of the campaign, and yet the Oilers have sputtered out of the gates.
Next seven days: vs. COL (Nov. 8), vs. CBJ (Nov. 10), @ PHI (Nov. 12), @ CBJ (Nov. 13)
Previous ranking: 19
Points percentage: 53.9%
Preseason O/U: 84.5
Current points pace: 88.3
After the Blue Jackets were in the mix for a playoff spot up until the final weeks of the 2024-25 season, there was some belief that they’d get over the hump and back into the postseason this time around. They still might, but not at this pace.
Next seven days: @ VAN (Nov. 8), @ EDM (Nov. 10), @ SEA (Nov. 11), vs. EDM (Nov. 13)
Previous ranking: 29
Points percentage: 56.3%
Preseason O/U: 80.5
Current points pace: 92.3
The Bruins are in a period of transition, as they wait for 2025 lottery pick James Hagens to take over as their franchise center. So far, they’ve been a bit better than most expected.
Next seven days: @ TOR (Nov. 8), vs. TOR (Nov. 11), @ OTT (Nov. 13)
Previous ranking: 14
Points percentage: 53.6%
Preseason O/U: 67.5
Current points pace: 87.9
Speaking of better than expected … have the Blackhawks finally arrived as legitimate contenders? It’s probably too soon to go that far in describing Connor Bedard, Frank Nazar & Co., but the pieces are definitely in place for a serious run in the next few seasons.
Next seven days: @ CGY (Nov. 7), @ DET (Nov. 9), vs. NJ (Nov. 12)
Previous ranking: 22
Points percentage: 53.6%
Preseason O/U: 95.5
Current points pace: 87.9
An injury to captain Brady Tkachuk appeared to take the wind out of the Senators’ sails a bit. His return — likely sometime after American Thanksgiving — can’t come soon enough.
Next seven days: @ PHI (Nov. 8), vs. UTA (Nov. 9), vs. DAL (Nov. 11), vs. BOS (Nov. 13)
Previous ranking: 27
Points percentage: 53.9%
Preseason O/U: 84.5
Current points pace: 88.3
Thanks to what is becoming a historic rookie season for 2025 first pick Matthew Schaefer, the Isles are creeping into the must-watch category.
Next seven days: vs. MIN (Nov. 7), @ NYR (Nov. 8), @ NJ (Nov. 10), @ VGK (Nov. 13)
Previous ranking: 17
Points percentage: 53.6%
Preseason O/U: 106.5
Current points pace: 87.9
With Aleksander Barkov out for the regular season and Matthew Tkachuk out until sometime in December, it’s not surprising that the back-to-back champs have taken a (hopefully temporary) step backward.
Next seven days: @ SJ (Nov. 8), @ VGK (Nov. 10), vs. WSH (Nov. 13)
Previous ranking: 24
Points percentage: 50%
Preseason O/U: 83.5
Current points pace: 82
At some point, one presumes, the Sabres will end the longest playoff drought in North American professional sports. But one presumes this will not be the year it happens.
Next seven days: @ CAR (Nov. 8), @ UTA (Nov. 12), @ COL (Nov. 13)
Previous ranking: 23
Points percentage: 50%
Preseason O/U: 95.5
Current points pace: 82
The Rangers have continually tinkered with their personnel over the past 12 months — including trading away Jacob Trouba, Chris Kreider and K’Andre Miller; acquiring J.T. Miller; and hiring Mike Sullivan as head coach. The new concoction hasn’t yielded better results yet.
Next seven days: @ DET (Nov. 7), vs. NYI (Nov. 8), vs. NSH (Nov. 10), @ TB (Nov. 12)
Previous ranking: 25
Points percentage: 46.7%
Preseason O/U: 90.5
Current points pace: 76.5
The Canucks missed the playoffs by six points in 2024-25 — and are way off that pace so far in 2025-26.
Next seven days: vs. CBJ (Nov. 8), vs. COL (Nov. 9), vs. WPG (Nov. 11)
Previous ranking: 26
Points percentage: 43.8%
Preseason O/U: 86.5
Current points pace: 71.8
The big winners of 2024 free agency were one of the NHL’s biggest flops last season, finishing with 68 points. They’re currently a bit ahead of that pace but certainly not threatening for a playoff spot one month in.
Next seven days: vs. DAL (Nov. 8), @ NYR (Nov. 10)
Previous ranking: 30
Points percentage: 43.3%
Preseason O/U: 94.5
Current points pace: 71.1
The Wild are scoring 2.80 goals this season, which is 22nd in the NHL. The Wild are allowing 3.67 goals per game, which is 29th (or fourth worst). That combo has not led to great results, as you might have guessed.
Next seven days: @ NYI (Nov. 7), vs. CGY (Nov. 9), vs. SJ (Nov. 11)
Previous ranking: 31
Points percentage: 46.4%
Preseason O/U: 70.5
Current points pace: 76.1
Last season’s fun bad team, the Sharks are … maybe not that bad anymore? Potential Canadian Olympian Macklin Celebrini, age 19, has 21 points through 14 games, good for a share of the league scoring lead.
Next seven days: vs. WPG (Nov. 7), vs. FLA (Nov. 8), @ MIN (Nov. 11), @ CGY (Nov. 13)
Previous ranking: 28
Points percentage: 40%
Preseason O/U: 92.5
Current points pace: 65.6
Aside from Jordan Binnington‘s puck-stealing antics, there hasn’t been much to be excited about when it comes to the 2025-26 Blues. Then again, we’re old enough to remember what happened the last time this team got off to a really bad start.
Next seven days: vs. SEA (Nov. 8), vs. CGY (Nov. 11)
Previous ranking: 32
Points percentage: 33.3%
Preseason O/U: 83.5
Current points pace: 54.7
Perhaps the 2024-25 season — when the Flames missed the playoffs because of a standings tiebreaker — was an aberration. Could the Flames again prioritize the future like they did during the 2024 trade season?
Next seven days: vs. CHI (Nov. 7), @ MIN (Nov. 9), @ STL (Nov. 11), vs. SJ (Nov. 13)
Looking at the points race one month into the season gave us a glimpse into the future — even if for one fleeting moment.
Upon gazing at the very mountaintop of goals and assists prior to Saturday night’s games, one wouldn’t see the familiar names of Connor McDavid (21 points, tied for third), Jack Eichel (also 21, after leading for much of the season), Nathan MacKinnon (20 points, tied for eighth) or even Leon Draisaitl (17 points).
It was Macklin Celebrini‘s 23 points in first, and Connor Bedard in second with 22. According to ESPN Research, Celebrini and Bedard are the only players both 20 or younger to rank top two in points (tied or outright) through that stage of season or later (230 GP) in NHL history.
I found it poetic that in a week where hockey fans celebrated what could be one of the last meetings between two of the greatest rivals in NHL history — Sidney Crosby and Alex Ovechkin — we see perhaps the next big hockey rivalry emerging atop the leaderboard in the 20-year-old Bedard and the 19-year-old Celebrini. Like Crosby and Ovechkin, who were selected first overall a year apart (2005 and 2004), Bedard (2023) and Celebrini (2024) are also sequential first overall picks.
Bedard had Crosby-like hype entering the league. Unlike Crosby, Bedard won the Calder Trophy his rookie season. But entering the 2025-26 season, there was already some chatter about whether Celebrini is better than Bedard right now.
That chatter is thawing in favor of the excitement that is surely growing in seeing future NHL superstars cement their status right before our eyes. Even if the “rivalry” might not be as intense as the heyday of Ovi vs. Sid — until the two meet in the playoffs once or twice — Bedard vs. Celebrini can at the very least be a battle of skill and flash that both clearly possess.
Will they remain atop the points race for the entire season? Maybe not. McDavid (still the best player in the NHL), MacKinnon and the rest of the usual suspects will certainly have a lot to say about that. But, even if it’s for this one fleeting weekend, it’s fun to have a taste of the NHL’s long-term future.
Jump ahead:
Games of the week
What I loved this weekend
Hart Trophy candidates
Social post of the week
Stick taps
Biggest games of the week
I’m going to keep an eye on the New York Rangers this week. So far, they have this wild “Amazon on the road, Temu at home” record to start the season: 7-1-1 away from Madison Square Garden … and 0-6-1 at the “World’s Most Famous Arena,” with five of those losses being shutouts. That home shutout mark ties their single-season record … in the first seven games!
The Rangers host the Nashville Predators on Monday and Detroit Red Wings on Sunday, with two road games — Tampa Bay Lightning and Columbus Blue Jackets — sandwiched in between.
This week could either be more of the same or a change of pace for the Broadway Blueshirts. And it’s fascinating to watch unfold.
Tuesday, 9:30 p.m. ET | TNT
The Ducks are 10-3-1 and lead the Pacific Division. They are 8-1-1 in their past 10 games and have the No. 2 goal differential in the Western Conference at +14.
Their first meeting of the season with a stacked Avalanche team — first in the Central, with the West’s best goal differential at +21 — will be a solid test.
Saturday, 7 p.m. ET | ESPN+
I’m curious about this game, which is also a 2006 Stanley Cup Final rematch — with Rod Brind’Amour, the captain of the champion Hurricanes, now behind the bench.
Brind’Amour’s style of hockey typically results in few goals for the opposition; the Canes are allowing the eighth-fewest goals per game this season. How will that fare in this tough test against McDavid, Draisaitl & Co.?
Other key matchups this week
Thursday, 7 p.m. | ESPN+
Thursday, 7 p.m. | ESPN+
Thursday, 10 p.m. | ESPN+
Saturday, 5 p.m. | ESPN+
What I loved this weekend
As an avid puck collector, I want to throw some flowers to the Philadelphia Flyers and their assortment in the team store. While attending their Star Wars Day on Saturday, I ventured into the shop and saw a cornucopia of landmarks, legends and game pucks.
The mark of a good collectors’ puck is uniqueness and quality. The 3D printing on pretty much all of the pucks was a value add, and the different materials (metal vs. rhinestone, for example) offered great variety.
Gritty even had his own puck, complete with googly eyes and an orange beard. Creative.
If you’re a Flyers fan and you walk past this, you’re probably picking up a puck or two.
Hart Trophy candidates if the season ended today
It might be the only week I can do this …
Congratulations Connor Bedard and Macklin Celebrini, you are Hart Trophy finalists if the award was handed out on Nov. 10, 2025!
If the Capitals were in a playoff position, I would easily give the third spot to Logan Thompson (.930 save percentage, only 16 goals allowed in 10 games despite a 6-4-0 record). William Nylander has 21 points — including a league-leading 18 at even strength — and is a plus-8. Alas, he also falls prey to the “your team is not in the postseason right now” fate.
You know which team is firmly in that playoff position as we head to the all-important American Thanksgiving cutoff? The Avs. And they just dismantled the Oilers over the weekend 9-1. Nathan MacKinnon had two goals and two assists in that game alone and took over the league lead in points — which is very rude after I made the whole point about Celebrini and Bedard above. He gets the nod as my third pick.
Honorable mention: Leo Carlsson. Uncle Leo is on an absolute tear so far this season. He had 45 points last season and already has more than half of that (23) through 14 games; he’s riding a nine-game point streak, I believe we call that a heater! He’s going to be a finalist on this list a few times coming up, I’d bet.
Social media post of the weekend
NJ Devil is one of the best mascots in sports, full stop. Speaking with Devils fans, they would point to his tireless work in the community, creating core memories for kids at Devils home games and keeping the vibes high during those games as the main reasons for the honor.
But I will add the fact that his social media game is tight; he’s routinely collaborating with influencers such as Kickball Dad and Frank the Tank. On Saturday, NJ got help from current AEW wrestler Claudio Castagnoli to put a Penguins fan through a table:
Castagnoli, a native of Switzerland, caught up with his fellow countrymen Timo Meier, Jonas Siegenthaler and Devils captain Nico Hischier, who presented him with a Jersey jersey:
Stick taps
You might know the story of Logan Coyle, a 9-year-old boy who is battling cancer and put out a call earlier this year for mascots to send him videos of encouragement.
Hundreds of mascots from across all sports, including hockey, flooded Logan with videos, gifts and visits.
The New York Islanders were among the first to do so, with Sparky visiting Logan in his hospital room.
Logan battled through another setback this week but fought hard and is now back home. Mascots continue to send him all the good vibes, and in recent weeks, Logan has been strong enough to attend games and meet some of them in person! I know that one of his favorites, NJ Devil, is waiting to roll out the red carpet at The Rock when he’s ready.
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