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A transition to renewable sources of energy will prompt a surge in demand for base metals in the coming years, Wood Mackenzie has predicted.

In a report published Monday, analysts at the energy consultancy said that as governments fulfil commitments to limit global warming, a growing reliance on solar power would boost demand for several non-ferrous metals.

Three metals in particular were named by Wood Mackenzie as commodities to watch: aluminum, copper and zinc.

The report’s authors outlined three possible scenarios for the metals, with demand growth for each depending on the success of international efforts to limit global warming.

Under the Paris Agreement — a landmark deal adopted in 2015 and signed by 196 countries — nations agreed to a framework to prevent global temperatures from rising by any more than 2 degrees Celsius compared to pre-industrial levels, although the treaty aims to prevent global temperature rises exceeding 1.5 degrees Celsius.

Aluminum

Wood Mackenzie’s base case scenario assumes that by the end of the century, temperatures will have risen by 2.8 to 3 degrees Celsius from pre-industrial times.

In this situation, aluminum demand from the solar power sector would rise from 2.4 million tons in 2020 to 4.6 million tons in 2040.

Typically, aluminum is used in solar panel frames and their structural parts, Kamil Wlazly, a senior research analyst at Wood Mackenzie, noted.

If the global temperature rise was kept between 1.5 and 2 degrees Celsius, however, it would mean that aluminum demand for solar power had reached between 8.5 million tons and 10 million tons a year by 2040, the analysts said.

In the most optimistic climate scenario, where renewable sources of energy were embraced more readily to cap warming at 1.5 degrees Celsius, demand from the solar sector would account for 12.6% of total global aluminum consumption by 2040 — up from 3% in 2020.

Copper

Demand for copper — used in high and low voltage transmission cables and thermal solar collectors — is also set for “notable gains” as solar energy becomes more mainstream, Wood Mackenzie said.

The report’s base case scenario predicted that demand for copper arising from solar power generation would rise from 0.4 million tons in 2020 to 0.7 million tons a year by 2040.

Copper consumption in the solar sector would increase to 1.3 million tons by 2040 if global warming was capped at 2 degrees Celsius. 

If temperature rises could be limited to 1.5 degrees Celsius, the industry’s consumption of the red metal was expected to jump to 1.6 million tons a year within the next two decades, the report claimed.

Zinc

Meanwhile, analysts noted that only zinc coatings could offer cheap, long-lasting corrosion protection, with the metal used in solar panels’ structural parts.

Currently, solar power installations account for around 0.4 million tons of annual global zinc consumption, Wood Mackenzie said.

If global temperatures were on track to rise by 2.8 to 3 degrees Celsius by the end of this century, this number was projected to grow to 0.8 million tons by 2040.

With temperature rises limited to 2 degrees Celsius, zinc consumption would increase to 1.7 million tons a year by 2040. If warming was successfully limited to 1.5 degrees Celsius, zinc consumption in the solar sector would rise to 2.1 million tons a year by 2040, analysts predicted.

Wood Mackenzie’s predictions for the three metals were only around demand coming from the solar power industry, and did not speculate on total global demand.

Wlazly pointed out in Wood Mackenzie’s note on Monday that falling production costs and efficiency gains had lowered the price of solar power around the world.

“As a result, solar has become cheaper than any other technology in many parts of the U.S. and several other countries across the globe,” he said. “As costs continue to fall, solar’s share of power supply will rise and begin to displace other forms of generation. This presents a huge opportunity for the base metals sector.”

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Elon Musk says Tesla (TSLA) shorts are going to be ‘obliterated’, but there’s a big if

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Elon Musk says Tesla (TSLA) shorts are going to be 'obliterated', but there's a big if

Elon Musk claims that Tesla (TSLA) shorts, people betting against the company’s stock, are going to be ‘obliterated, ‘ but there’s a big if to his prediction.

‘Shorts’ is a term used to refer to people betting against the stock of a company. They have long played a significant role in Tesla’s history on the stock market, and CEO Elon Musk has frequently commented on the situation, going so far as to predict their downfall and criticize them at every opportunity.

Throughout the years, Tesla was often topping the list of the most shorted stocks on the NASDAQ. As the automaker became profitable, shorts started to take losses and lose interest.

However, people who shorted Tesla made a lot of money earlier this year after shorting the stock following a rally over Trump’s election and Musk’s relationship with Trump.

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Tesla’s stock has since recovered, and now, the short position on Tesla has stabilized at around 2.6% of the float, which is historically fairly regular and far from previous highs.

Nonetheless, CEO Elon Musk decided to take a jab at them today by claiming that they will be “obliterated” if they don’t sell their positions “before Tesla reaches autonomy at scale”:

“If they don’t exit their short position before Tesla reaches autonomy at scale, they will be obliterated.”

The operating phrase here is clearly: “before Tesla reaches autonomy at scale.”

Musk has been promising that Tesla will reach autonomy at scale by the end of every year for the last 6 years, and it has never happened.

The CEO’s latest timeline is that “autonomy will start positively contributing to Tesla around the second half of 2026.”

In the meantime, Tesla’s “Robotaxi” in Austin is still supervised by a Tesla employee in each vehicle, “Robotaxi” in California is just a ride-hailing service with employees in the driver’s seat, and Tesla’s “Full Self-Driving Supervised” in consumer cars has barely improved since Tesla launched v13 last year.

Electrek’s Take

I think Tesla shareholders hoping for a short squeeze should manage their expectations. With only 2.6% of the float and about a day to cover, any short squeeze would have a minimal impact.

However, I think Elon is probably right. If Tesla reaches autonomy at scale on his timeline, Tesla’s stock would shoot up, but there are huge caveats to this prediction.

Firstly, if you believe Elon’s latest timeline for the second half of next year, there are several significant events that are expected to occur at Tesla before then.

With the tax credit set to expire in the US and increasing competition in Europe and China, Tesla is expected to face several tough quarters after Q3. Elon himself admitted it during the last earnings call.

We are not just talking about Tesla continuing its earnings decline, which has been a clear trend for two years now, but we are talking about Tesla likely losing money, starting in Q1 2026. I don’t think shareholders and the market are ready for that.

Tesla’s liability regarding its failed autonomy promises and crashes is also increasing with more lawsuits advancing through the legal process every week.

In short, Tesla’s stock could take a significant hit over the next 12 months due to its declining EV business and increased liabilities.

Secondly, that’s assuming Elon’s latest autonomy prediction comes true, which has historically been a bad bet.

So Tesla’s fundamentals are about to crash, based on Elon’s own comment, but shorts will get “obliterated” if Elon’s historically terrible autonomy prediction finally comes true. Sounds like a big if to me.

That said, I wouldn’t necessarily recommend shorting Tesla’s stock based on this. The stock is clearly manipulated and trades primarily based on Elon Musk’s lies.

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Huffy’s latest cruiser e-bike costs just $299 – but what’s the catch?

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Huffy’s latest cruiser e-bike costs just 9 – but what’s the catch?

Huffy, the classic bicycle brand that became a staple of so many childhoods, is selling its Coastal Cruiser e‑bike for an enticing $299.

That sale price is marked down from an MSRP of $899 – which is much closer to what you’d expect to pay for something like this.

On the surface, $299 is pretty remarkable value. For less than most basic electric scooters (or even most decent pedal bikes), you’re getting a 26‑inch wheel electric cruiser with a 36V battery with a claimed 40-mile (64 km) range, a 350W rear‑hub motor, front and rear disc brakes, a comfort saddle, LCD display, and an LED headlight, all with free shipping. At 53 pounds (24 kg), that’s actually lighter than most electric cruisers out there.

But before you think you’ve stumbled on some too‑good‑to‑be‑true deal, it’s worth asking: why is it so cheap?

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First, caveats aside, Class 2 e‑bike compliance means it’s limited to 20 mph (32 km/h), so there’s no classic ‘Murican high-speed Class 3 riding here. You do get a throttle, but it’s 20 mph unless you’re going downhill. And if you do prefer Class 1 compliance, the right side thumb throttle looks easy enough to remove.

Then there’s the parts spec. While workable, the loadout is far from premium: mechanical disc brakes, single‑speed drivetrain, and no suspension. It’s clearly built for casual beachside or neighborhood cruising, not serious hills or daily commuting. At least Huffy does say it comes with an anti-corrosion coating, which should be good for seaside communities with salty air.

There is no word on the brand of the battery or motor, and there is no discussion of potential UL certification or other safety compliance for the battery or electrical system.

Then there’s the question of availability: Huffy is known for heavy discounting and frequent clearance moves. This may simply be them clearing out stock – possibly from overstock or just clearing warehouse space for new models. And while their 10-year warranty sounds generous, check the fine print: It’s only the frames that get the 10 years, while smaller components and the electrical system come with a six-month warranty.

Still, at $299, even a stripped-down, no-frills electric bike is tempting. For riders who just want a comfortable, simple, leisurely ride, like something for a relaxing cruise on the boardwalk to finish out the summer, this might be a compelling entry point. But go in expecting more of a relaxing cruiser than a performance commuter.

Electrek’s Take

I was pretty surprised to see this pop into my inbox, especially since past major sales from big bike companies are usually still twice this price.

Huffy’s Coastal Cruiser e-bike at $299 is definitely an attention-grabber, and maybe a bargain, but it’s worth a second look before assuming it’s a steal. As always, consider what you need in terms of power, range, quality, and long-term reliability. I’ve written before about the hidden cost of cheap e-bikes, and it’s something to keep in mind.

To be honest, I’m thinking of snagging one at this price, though almost more out of a sense of morbid curiosity for what $299 gets you (and I can hope that an article and video on the topic will come close to covering the outlay – an advantage not afforded to most people). It wouldn’t be the first time I’ve bought an ultra-low-cost e-bike just to see what I get.

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MASSIVE Skydweller solar drone flies for days on end without recharging

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MASSIVE Skydweller solar drone flies for days on end without recharging

With a 236-foot wingspan that’s wider than a 747’s, the battery and solar-powered Skydweller Aero drone is pushing the boundaries of aviation. And, after back-to-back three-day flights without recharging, it’s pushing the boundaries of energy efficiency, too, begging the question: is perpetual aviation really here?

In the thick and humid pre-dawn air of a thin ribbon of airstrip just north of Interstate 10 on Mississippi’s Gulf Coast, the Skydweller Aero crew set about proving that its massive unmanned drone, which promised to fly, without fuel, and virtually forever, could deliver.

Three-days later, the Skydweller came down, as planned. The crew checked it, inspected its 17,000 solar cells, gave it the all-clear, then took off again.

Forever flight


747-Sized Drone Flies For Three Days On Solar Power Alone
Skydweller solar plane; via Skydweller Aero.

“It always takes a little longer than you think, but we’re getting there,” says Robert Miller, CEO and co-founder of the perpetual solar flight startup. “Every 12 months we see a quantum step in where we’re headed.”

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Skydweller’s most recent three-day tests were conducted by the Naval Air Warfare Center Aircraft Division (NAWCAD). Fitting, as the Navy is one of the drone’s most likely customers.

The US military is believed to be interested in what an aircraft like Skydweller could bring to its operations in Southern Command (SOUTHCOM), which encompasses Mexico, Latin America, and nearby waters. With its 800 lb. payload capacity, it’s to see how a Skydweller drone could be loaded up with all manner of sensors, cameras, or radio receivers and sweep a given area constantly, providing an eagle-eyed view to support drug enforcement or rescue missions. And a Mark 82 bomb (if you’re into that sort of thing).

Skydweller Aero makes it clear, however, that the company isn’t out to become just a defense contractor. They have civilian ambitions for their aircraft, as well, and mention the possibilities of sensor suites for weather research, astronomy, law enforcement, and remote outpost support, as well as the possibility of serving as something like a “low orbit” Starlink satellite.

You can watch the Skydweller’s initial flight test from last summer, below, then let us know what you think the big drone’s primary use case will be (bombs) in the comments.

Skydweller Aero flight test


SOURCE | IMAGES: Skydweller Aero, via Jalopnik, NOLA.


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