At the start of 2021, the UK coronavirus vaccine rollout was one of the fastest in the world.
While the European Union launched legal action over supply shortfalls and several member states battled widespread vaccine hesitancy, by 20 March, Britain was handing out more than 800,000 doses a day.
But now it has fallen to 13th in the rankings of percentage of population vaccinated, with just 63.8% double jabbed.
And EU countries such as Malta, Portugal, Spain, Ireland, and Belgium have now overtaken, as their rollouts gain momentum and the UK loses pace.
Here Sky News looks at why the UK COVID vaccine rollout appears to have slowed down.
Children not included in UK count so far
The government’s chief medical officers only agreed to start offering the vaccine to all 12 to 15-year-olds on 13 September.
This means that until that rollout begins, a significant part of the population will not appear in vaccination statistics, putting the UK behind other countries who have been immunising schoolchildren such as Portugal and Ireland.
Dr Al Edwards, of the University of Reading’s school of pharmacy, described the concept of the UK’s rollout being ‘behind’ as “artificial”.
“In the UK we started vaccinating the really vulnerable groups first and that has had a really significant effect,” he told Sky News.
“The benefit of vaccination is different for different age groups,” he said.
“So any country that can vaccinate their most vulnerable 30% will have huge benefits because that will help prevent serious disease and death.
“When you get to between 30 and 60% those benefits become marginal.
“And then when you get to around 80%, you are really just arguing about the benefits, because they have significantly diminished.”
Professor Andrew Preston, of the University of Bath’s department of biology and biochemistry, added that avoiding lockdowns and being able to live with the virus matters more than the numbers.
“The end game of the vaccine programme was never to vaccinate 100% of the population, it was to overcome the pandemic”, he told Sky News.
“Vaccinating children will boost the numbers, but it all depends on whether we can move back to a pre-COVID existence or not – whether that’s by vaccinating 20%, 40% or 60% of the population.
“We need to move away from just looking at the percentage vaccinated and instead at what we are actually achieving in terms of this moving towards being an endemic virus in future years.”
Tough restrictions on unvaccinated in Europe and elsewhere
Malta has vaccinated more of its population than any other country.
One of the reasons for this is its tough restrictions on those who are unvaccinated.
Since the beginning of July, people can only remove their face masks in public places if they’ve been double jabbed.
This can be proven by an official Maltese vaccine certificate or the EU ‘digital pass’.
Although France’s vaccine programme is still behind the UK’s, it has caught up significantly since the introduction of its ‘health pass’ in late July.
Its daily vaccination rate almost doubled in the weeks following, with nearly eight million getting their first dose in the first six weeks.
People now have to show a health pass to go to cafes, bars, restaurants, museums and other indoor spaces.
Similar digital passes have been introduced across Europe and beyond and have helped boost vaccination rates.
In the UK however, the government has rejected the idea of vaccine passports apart from in nightclubs and says it will only bring them in more widely if hospitalisations rise this winter.
“Other countries seem quite happy to use a more authoritarian system without batting an eyelid,” Professor Preston said.
“Italy, for example, have their green pass and it seems to be working, but here we have a very vocal minority defending those civil liberties.”
UK vaccine messaging is ‘wearing off’
Vaccine uptake in the UK is still lowest in the under-30s.
Only 48.9% of 18 to 24-year-olds and 51.8% of 25 to 29-year-olds had received two doses in England by 12 September.
Although they were last to be offered a jab, the government promised to have invited everyone over 18 to get their first by mid-July and shortened the gap between first and second from 12 to eight weeks.
Professor Sharifah Sekalala, an expert in public policy and global health at the University of Warwick, says the overall vaccine rollout has suffered from a lack of engagement with young people.
“Because of the way we banded ages at the beginning, and we reopened before they were vaccinated, people of university age feel as though their vaccinations are not as important as others,” she told Sky News.
“There has been very little consultation with them. They don’t see their GPs as much as the rest of the population, so very little community work has been done and we need to do more to address that,” she said.
Professor Sekalala also claims public messaging on the vaccine has slowed down in general, particularly with regards to underprivileged groups.
“If we’re comparing ourselves to Europe, we have massive social inequalities already, so more community work on vaccines is required,” she said.
“But it’s wearing off – it was very strong in the beginning – but now some people just think it’s all done because we’re not talking about it anymore.”
There are 1,210 completed homes which cannot be occupied because of delays in the work of the government’s building safety regulator, Sky News can reveal.
The safety inspection regime created in the wake of the Grenfell tragedy, which claimed 72 lives, is “not fit for purpose”, according to those who depend on its work.
Sky News has visited an empty block of 99 flats in west London where future residents – who have purchased the properties – have been unable to move in for over a year because of the lack of regulator approval.
New data obtained exclusively by Sky News through a Freedom of Information request shows the extent of the issue.
Image: An empty block of 99 flats in Acton, west London
As of 1 August, there is “no decision” on eight applications covering 1,210 completed new residential units. For sites yet to be built, there are 156 applications with no decision, covering 34,965 new residential units.
Sir Keir Starmer says economic growth is his top priority and the 1.5 million new homes target this parliament is a key part of this agenda. But two years after its creation, the government agency has come under fire for failing to fulfil vital functions in a timely manner.
After complaints, the regulator has already faced one overhaul, and will shortly move from part of the Health and Safety Executive (HSE) to become an arm’s length body which is part of Angela Rayner’s Ministry of Housing, Communities and Local Government. But developers say they are still struggling to get answers from the body.
Image: Sir Keir Starmer has made new homes a major priority. Pic: Jack Taylor/PA
Sky News has conducted an analysis of public data and found the backlog growing.
New buildings ought to be signed off within a 12-week period, but Sky News found the percentage of applications determined inside that window is falling – from 47% at the end of September last year, to 32% by the end of March.
In a statement, leading financial analyst S&P said delays by the regulator are pushing up building costs and making it harder to deliver the key government target.
Chris Williamson, chief business economist at S&P, said: “We have received anecdotal feedback from a few companies regarding the Building Safety Act, indicating that some may be experiencing challenges related to orders. This could contribute to an increase in costs within the construction sector, which is already facing financial pressures.”
In an apparent admission of the issues, the government told Sky News it is now in the process of recruiting over 100 new staff to strengthen capacity by the end of the year.
In a statement to Sky News, the building safety regulator (BSR) itself said it had been a complex task creating a new safety body post Grenfell, in such a short time, and improvements are already being made.
It said: “BSR is working closely with industry to deliver safer, higher-quality buildings while advancing a culture of excellence in building safety.”
Executives from the BSR will appear before a Commons Select Committee later today. It also points the finger at property developers for failing to submit paperwork correctly. The industry vehemently rejects the claim, saying there are few guidelines of what to submit and the BSR makes little attempt to clarify what it wants.
A bad sign
However, problems persist.
Sky News saw how in one newly built property in Acton, west London, the sign-off for a building by the BSR was delayed in part because a sign was two millimetres too small and all the signs had to be changed.
This has contributed to a 14-month delay in a green light for residents to move in.
According to the Federation of Master Builders and the Chartered Institute of Building, 38% of developers believe planning delays are the number one issue.
Developers have told Sky News the agency was meant to speed up approvals by ending a system where they have to bring in external consultants to approve the application, but this has not yet happened.
Jon Spring, the managing director of Fairview Homes, said: “We currently have three applications that are delayed within the BSR. The current dates we’re looking at, that they’ve given us, one is six months, one is nine months, and one is 12 months. Clearly extremely different to the original three months that the process is supposed to take.
“That makes forecasting for when we’re going to start on site very difficult. We have tens of millions of pounds tied up in the three sites that we’re waiting to develop. And inevitably, the holding costs of those are considerable and affect the viability of the project.”
Image: Jon Spring, managing director of Fairview Homes
Mr Spring said the delays could make building unviable.
“If you look at each of our projects have been delayed, if […] it’s going to take 25% longer to deliver that project, that means that our productivity is ultimately reduced by 25%. That would be the same for all developers and therefore the reduction in housing that’s been delivered will be considerable.”
Developers ‘won’t touch’ high-rises
Jamie Lester, an estate agent from Haus Properties, said: “The government are encouraging property developers to build, build, build, and just get on with it – I think that’s what Keir Starmer said.
“But when there are buildings like this that can’t be signed off for over a year and are costing property developers, in this instance, £100,000 a week, I don’t understand.
“The government won’t encourage property developers to build like this any more. I know many property developers who won’t touch high-rise buildings at the moment simply because the building safety regulator can’t get their act together and sign these buildings off.”
Image: Jamie Lester, estate agent from Haus Properties
‘High standards’
A spokesperson for the HSE said: “Protecting residents, making sure there is never another tragedy like Grenfell, has been our priority throughout this process. Setting up a new regulator has been complex, and huge progress has been made in a short time. The construction industry must meet standards that will keep residents safe in high-rise buildings.
“The recently announced innovation unit is the result of ongoing discussions between industry and BSR to uphold high standards. BSR is working closely with industry to deliver safer, higher-quality buildings while advancing a culture of excellence in building safety.”
‘It has turned out to be a disaster’
Some have blamed the government, not the regulator itself. The boss of one major house building company, who did not want to be named, said ministers aren’t willing to face up to reality.
“Regulation comes from the government and the regulator is implementing the rules,” they said. “Their mandate is nothing to do with housing supply so it’s up to ministers to balance that. All the house builders said this would be a disaster and funnily enough it has turned out to be a disaster.”
A government spokesman from the housing department said problems were already being tackled and safety was important: “We’ve announced a package of reforms to reduce delays, including a fast track process to speed up new build decisions.”
Facing criticism for being on the back foot after a summer of protest outside asylum hotels, they were keen to defend their record and get back on track – but is it too late?
It’s a clear nod to the political void Reform UK has seized on while the prime minister has been on holiday.
Last week, Nigel Farage unveiled his party’s mass deportation policy – though the issue of women and children still seems to be worked out.
But perhaps none of that matters as voters overwhelmingly believe Reform cares about this issue – and as Chris Philp, the shadow home secretary, pointed out on Monday, voters have lost confidence in the government somewhat to solve what many see as an immigration crisis on their doorstep.
So it’s clear the strategy has changed from the government.
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15:11
‘Substantial reforms are needed now’
Gone are the bold slogans of “smashing the gangs” and instead, detail and policy was given on Monday. It was nothing new, but more substance on what the government has done and where they want to move to. Even controversially, reassessing their relationship with the European Convention on Human Rights (ECHR).
The biggest update though, was on their one-in-one-out policy agreement with France, which will now set to start returns later this month.
It’s finally hit home for the government that the public want proof not just rhetoric, and they want to know crucially when they will start to see change.
But the fightback, the reset, whatever the government wants to call it, will only make a difference once that finally starts to work.
Police are asking for help with an unsolved case, 52 years after the murder of a schoolboy in Belfast.
Brian McDermott was 10 when he disappeared from Ormeau Park on Sunday 2 September 1973. His remains were recovered from the River Lagan almost a week later.
Detectives from the Police Service of Northern Ireland’s Legacy Investigation Branch have given a timeline of events as part of their appeal.
Brian left his home on Well Street in the lower Woodstock Road area of east Belfast at around 12.30pm and failed to return for his Sunday dinner.
Detectives said he was last seen playing alone in the playground between 1pm and 3pm that afternoon.
His remains were recovered in the water, close to the Belfast Boat Club.
Image: River Lagan, where the remains of schoolboy Brian McDermott were recovered. Pic: PSNI handout/PA
A PSNI spokesperson said: “We are acutely aware of the pain and suffering that Brian’s family continue to feel, and our thoughts very much remain with the family at this time.
“Despite the passage of time, this murder case has never been closed and I am hopeful that someone may be able to provide information, no matter how small, which may open a new line of inquiry, or add a new dimension to information already available.
“It is also possible that someone who did not volunteer information at the time may be willing to speak with police now. Legacy Investigation Branch Detectives will consider all investigative opportunities as part of the review into Brian’s murder.”