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A 12% rise in the energy price cap has taken effect amid warnings further increases are inevitable in the months ahead as wholesale costs surge in a time of “chaos” for the wider economy.

Labour, which has claimed a “winter of discontent” looms, accused the government of complacency over “the fuel crisis, energy costs crisis, and supply chain crisis” – factors all being blamed for adding to consumer and business costs.

The price cap shift will affect more than 15 million households stuck on so-called default tariffs – price plans for gas and electricity provision that are automatically charged to those who fail to switch or select fixed-rate deals.

The cap is rising by £139 to £1,277 while prepayment customers will see an increase of £153 to £1,309.

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Your energy bills might shoot up – here’s what to do

Ofgem, the industry regulator which is charged with making the cap fair for suppliers and customers alike, said at the time of its price cap review in August that the hike reflected a 50% increase in wholesale energy costs over the past six months.

However, industry experts have warned that another leap is likely to be imposed from April – when the next review is due to take effect – as wholesale gas costs for next-month delivery have only accelerated.

Figures from industry analytics firm ICIS this week showed an increase of more than 600% over 12 months.

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Contracts for delivery in March are currently at levels just below those for November.

The rocketing sums prompted senior economist at the Resolution Foundation, Jonny Marshall, to declare that “another big rise” in the price cap lay ahead.

“There is little respite in sight for energy bills going up and up and up,” he told Sky News.

The unprecedented and staggering pace of the increases as the weather turns have been blamed for the deluge of small energy company failures – 10 of them last month alone – as their business models leave them at the mercy of near-term price spikes.

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Ofgem: Soaring prices could be here to stay

The reasons for the record price levels are many and complex but can be largely put down to global supply issues as economies get back in gear following COVID-19 disruption.

A cold end to last winter in Europe left gas stocks lower than usual and competition for raw energy more widely has intensified globally with China, the world’s second-largest economy, experiencing blackouts.

In the UK, a lack of wind generation and even a fire in Kent last month have been blamed as contributing factors.

An aerial photo shows the damage after the electricity interconnector fire at Sellindge in Kent
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The electricity interconnector fire at Sellindge in Kent last month will keep it out of action for six months

The spike in power prices has forced attention on the impact on households amid warnings that higher energy bills will combine with the loss of government aid packages to leave millions of families facing hardship.

Data from the campaign group End Fuel Poverty Coalition suggested the rise in the price cap alone would see the numbers in fuel poverty in England rise to an estimated 4.1 million.

Fuel poverty 'hotspot' - 10 local authorities worst affected by fuel poverty. Source: End Fuel Poverty Coalition Index
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The 10 local authorities worst affected by fuel poverty. Source: End Fuel Poverty Coalition Index
Fuel poverty 'hotspot' - 10 local authorities least affected by fuel poverty. Source: End Fuel Poverty Coalition Index
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The 10 local authorities least affected by fuel poverty. Source: End Fuel Poverty Coalition Index

Its research identified Barking & Dagenham, Stoke-on-Trent, Newham, Shropshire, Herefordshire and King’s Lynn and West Norfolk as fuel poverty “coldspots”.

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Building resiliency into the UK energy market

A report by Citizens Advice on Thursday said the poorest households could lose £37.40 a week as energy company failures coincided with the end of the pandemic-driven £20 Universal Credit uplift and furlough scheme.

Consumer groups say the best way for energy customers to protect themselves from rising gas and electricity bills is to review their tariff and shop around but, given the scale of the wholesale price increases, some admit the price cap could prove the best defence in the short term as suppliers are forced to pay record sums in the current market.

The ability to afford the cost of a break or evening out is also shrinking as a temporary cut in VAT to help hospitality and tourism businesses recover from the pandemic has been partly withdrawn – rising from 5% to 12.5%.

All this as the economy battles a record worker shortage in the wake of Brexit with the 100,000 shortfall in HGV drivers raising costs in the supply chain and contributing to the current fuel delivery crisis that has seen many forecourts sucked dry by panic-buyers.

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Fuel crisis ‘is back under control’ says government

The Bank of England expects the rate of inflation to surge from its current level of 3.2% to beyond 4% by the end of the year – with governor Andrew Bailey admitting this week that the economy faced “hard yards” ahead.

Critics of the government have accused ministers of sleepwalking into the price crisis and demanded more intervention.

Labour declared that the new £500m household support fund for England, revealed on Thursday, was a “temporary and inadequate sticking plaster” as families grapple challenges on many fronts.

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Ministers have been warned they have just 10 days to sort out supply chain issues or face ruining Christmas for millions.

Shadow business secretary Ed Miliband said: “We are in desperate need of leadership to contain this chaos.

“It is Conservative complacency that has led to the fuel crisis, energy costs crisis, and supply chain crisis our country is experiencing, with ministers ignoring warnings from businesses and failing to plan ahead.”

He added: “Ministers are blaming the public and failing to acknowledge the scale of the problem.

“We need to make Brexit work, and that starts with addressing the huge shortfall of HGV drivers that is causing mayhem in our supply chains.”

A spokesperson from the Department for Business, Energy and Industrial Strategy said: “The energy price cap is shielding millions of customers from rising global gas prices. Even with today’s planned increase, the cap still saves households up to £100 a year and is in addition to wider support for vulnerable, elderly and low-income households.

“Earlier this week we announced a new £500m Household Support Fund which will help those in greatest need with the cost of essentials over the coming months – and families will continue to benefit from Winter Fuel Payments, Cold Weather Payments and the Warm Home Discount, which is being increased to £150 and extended to cover an extra 750,000 households.”

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For sale! Lloyds-backed estate agents Lomond goes on the market

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For sale! Lloyds-backed estate agents Lomond goes on the market

An estate agency group backed by the private equity arm of Lloyds Banking Group is being put up for sale in the latest sign of corporate activity in the sector.

Sky News understands that LDC has hired bankers from Clearwater International to oversee a sale of Lomond Group.

A process is expected to kick off in the coming months, and should value Lomond at well over £100m, according to industry sources.

Lomond Group was created from the merger of Lomond Capital and Linley & Simpson in 2021, a deal which established a business with 22,000 properties under management.

The company has a particularly prominent presence in cities such as Aberdeen, Birmingham and Leeds.

It trades under brands such as Thornley Groves, Braemore and John Shepherd.

The prospective auction comes as speculation grows about a potential bid for Foxtons, the London-listed estate agent.

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Foxtons was recently reported to have added bankers at Rothschild as financial advisers in anticipation of a bid.

A number of other chains are also expected to change hands in the coming months.

A spokesman for LDC declined to comment.

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Steel giant ArcelorMittal warns Gove over Kent planning verdict

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Steel giant ArcelorMittal warns Gove over Kent planning verdict

The world’s second-largest steel company has warned the government that a planning verdict due this week could lead to a key division quitting the UK.

Sky News has seen a letter sent by ArcelorMittal to Michael Gove, the levelling-up secretary, in which it says that a decision to allow the closure and redevelopment of part of Chatham Docks would have “seismic adverse consequences… [for] the British economy and multiple strategic industries”.

In the letter from Matthew Brooks, who runs ArcelorMittal’s construction solutions arm in the UK, the company urges Mr Gove to issue an urgent order to allow fuller government scrutiny of the redevelopment proposals ahead of Wednesday’s decision by Medway Council.

“This is highly time-sensitive – calling in the application after next Wednesday will not be possible,” Mr Brooks wrote.

He warned that if the proposals were approved, ArcelorMittal would “regrettably be left with no alternative but to leave Chatham Docks and, more than likely, cease operations in Britain, given the lack of suitable alternative sites”.

“This, too, would likely be the case for the majority of businesses at the Docks,” Mr Brooks wrote.

“This would have a significant impact on Britain’s manufacturing and construction industries, delay countless critical national infrastructure projects, come at a significant cost to the economy, and leave Britain vulnerable and exposed to the volatility of international supply chain shocks.”

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The application, submitted by Peel Waters, part of the industrial conglomerate Peel Group, would see the site used to build housing and commercial facilities in place of part of the docks.

It has already been recommended for approval by local planning officers, according to reports last week.

ArcelorMittal uses the site in Kent to transport materials produced by its construction materials arm.

If the application was approved, it warned, it would “spell the end of Chatham Docks and have a significant impact on the UK reinforcement industry, leading to serious, potentially irreversible long-term harm, with immediate consequences for the resilience and carbon intensity of the sector”.

ArcelorMittal, which has operations in more than 60 countries, is an integrated steel and mining company, serving the automotive, construction, household appliances and packaging industries.

The company, which is based in Luxembourg, is chaired by Lakshmi Mittal, the Indian businessman.

It is a significant supplier of steels in Britain, and has been involved in construction projects such as Wembley Stadium, Crossrail and the O2 arena in southeast London.

“Our concern is that Peel’s application to redevelop Chatham Docks is not only wrong for Britain but has proceeded with little scrutiny and a lack of public awareness,” Mr Gove was told in the letter.

“Many key stakeholders are therefore unaware of the consequences if it were to proceed.

“As the largest operator in the Docks, we of course believe that the application should be rejected.

“However, our sole request today is for an Article 31 holding direction so you can secure the time to assess whether to call in this application for consideration at the national level.”

According to ArcelorMittal, Chatham Docks – which it described as “a 400-year-old thriving commercial port with a proud naval heritage” – employs nearly 800 people and generates economic value equivalent to £112,000 per worker, which it argued was “considerably higher than the Medway average of £63,900”.

“This is in direct contrast to proposals put forward by Peel, whose economic proposition is unclear,” Mr Brooks wrote.

He added that the redevelopment plan would spell the end for £20m of new investment with the potential to create nearly 2,000 jobs.

“However, none of this can be realised while there is uncertainty about the future of our lease on Chatham Docks,” Mr Brooks warned, adding that £5m of investment had “already been delayed by Peel’s application”.

Peel Waters could not be reached for comment on Sunday.

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Ministers apply finishing touches to ‘Tell Sid’-style NatWest offer

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Ministers apply finishing touches to ‘Tell Sid’-style NatWest offer

Ordinary investors will be awarded ‘bonus’ shares in NatWest Group if they hold onto stock they acquire in the taxpayer-backed bank, under a plan expected to be finalised by ministers later this month.

Sky News has learnt key details of the options being explored by the Treasury for a multibillion pound retail offer of NatWest shares, including a likely £10,000 cap on applications from members of the public.

Jeremy Hunt, the chancellor, announced in last year’s autumn statement that he would explore a mass-market share sale “to create a new generation of retail investors”.

Since that point, further buybacks by the bank and stock sales by the government have reduced the taxpayer’s stake to around 28% – worth about £7bn at NatWest’s current valuation.

The retail offer will be launched alongside an institutional placing of shares in the bank which could in aggregate lead to the Treasury’s stake falling to as low as 10%, sources indicated this weekend.

If investor demand turns out to be greater than expected, the reduction could be even more substantial, they said.

That would put the government within striking distance of returning NatWest to full private ownership 16 years after the lender was rescued from the brink of collapse with £45.5bn of public money.

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This weekend, sources said that options under active consideration by Treasury officials included a minimum investment of £250, to encourage a wide participation in the retail offer.

A ceiling of £10,000 was “likely”, they said, mirroring a 2015 Treasury plan – which was subsequently abandoned – for a retail offering by the Treasury of Lloyds Banking Group shares.

The NatWest offer is also expected to award one bonus share for every ten bought by retail investors and retained for at least a year, the sources added, although they cautioned that final details such as the bonus share ratio and precise investment thresholds could still be amended by officials.

A modest discount to the bank’s prevailing share price will also be applied to encourage take-up.

People close to the decision-making process said that Mr Hunt and Rishi Sunak, the prime minister, were being kept closely informed on the plans.

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Depending upon market conditions, they said an announcement to launch the offer could come in late May or early June.

The green light will be subject to any political turbulence in the aftermath of this week’s local elections, they added.

Shares in NatWest have risen by more than 20% over the last year despite the turbulence surrounding the debanking row involving Nigel Farage, the former UKIP leader.

Dame Alison Rose, the bank’s former boss, stepped down last year after it emerged that she had spoken to a BBC journalist about the closure of Mr Farage’s accounts.

She has since been replaced by Paul Thwaite, whose transition from interim to permanent boss of NatWest was confirmed earlier this year.

NatWest also has a new chairman, Rick Haythornthwaite, who replaced Sir Howard Davies at its annual meeting last month.

Mr Farage, who has threatened to launch legal action against the bank, recently declared his fight with the lender “far from over”.

“For a retail NatWest share sale to work – as outlined by Jeremy Hunt in the Budget – investors must have confidence in the bank,” he said.

“My debanking row with them is far from over.

“They acted in a politically prejudiced way against me and then deliberately tried to cover it up.

“Until they provide full disclosure and apologise for their behaviour, why should any retail customer trust them?”

The government’s stake in NatWest has been steadily reduced during the last eight years from almost 85%.

Sky News revealed earlier this year that ministers had drafted in M&C Saatchi – the advertising agency founded by the brothers who helped propel Margaret Thatcher to power – to orchestrate a campaign to persuade millions of Britons to buy NatWest shares.

NatWest, which changed its name from Royal Bank of Scotland Group in an attempt to distance itself from its hubristic overexpansion, was rescued from outright collapse by an emergency bailout that Fred Goodwin, its then boss, likened to “a drive-by shooting”.

A spokesperson for NatWest said “decisions on the timing and mechanic of any offer are a matter for the Treasury”.

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