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Rishi Sunak has claimed his budget will deliver a stronger economy “fit for a new age of optimism”.

In comments released by the Treasury ahead of the chancellor’s address to MPs in the Commons on Wednesday, Mr Sunak said the budget will commence the “work of preparing for a new economy post-COVID”.

“An economy of higher wages, higher skills, and rising productivity. Of strong public services, vibrant communities and safer streets,” he said.

Chancellor Rishi Sunak works on his Budget speech. Pic: HM Treasury/Flickr
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Critics have said the wage increases announced by the chancellor will not be enough amid a cost of living crisis

“An economy fit for a new age of optimism. That is the stronger economy of the future.”

Much of the contents of the chancellor’s economic set piece are already known, following a raft of announcements in recent days.

Extra funding for the NHS, more money for local transport, an end to the public sector pay freeze and rises in the national living wage and minimum wage have all been pre-trailed.

Other measures announced already include:

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• £1.4bn to encourage foreign investment into UK businesses and attract overseas talent
• £700m to be spent mainly on the new post-Brexit borders and immigration system, as well as a new maritime patrol fleet
• £435m for victims services, crime prevention and the Crown Prosecution Service
• £560m for adult maths coaching to help increase numeracy
• A six-month extension to the COVID recovery loan scheme to June 2022

The announcements on pay, which will take effect in April, are the most high-profile so far.

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Sky’s Ed Conway previews the budget

However, critics have pointed out that the end of the Universal Credit uplift, an upcoming 1.25% rise in National Insurance and continuing cost of living pressures, including rising petrol prices and soaring energy bills, will mean that many of those who see their salaries bumped up will not be much better off in real terms, if at all.

Labour’s shadow chancellor Rachel Reeves said the chancellor has to “create a more resilient economy and take the pressure off working people” amid continuing cost of living pressures.

Setting out the party’s approach, she continued: “Labour would grow our economy, with our plan to buy, make and sell more in Britain, and a Climate Investment Pledge to create the jobs of the future.

“With costs growing and inflation rising, Labour would ease the burden on households, cutting VAT on domestic energy bills immediately for six months.

“And we would not raise taxes on working people and British businesses, while online giants get away without paying their fair share.”

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Minister: Chancellor is ‘keen to give a pay rise’

Meanwhile, the Liberal Democrats said Mr Sunak was treating education as an “afterthought”.

“Rishi Sunak is setting up our children to fail, while hammering families with tax hikes and a cost of living crisis,” party leader Sir Ed Davey said.

“We need an emergency children’s budget, with £15bn for schools catch-up funding as recommended by the government’s own adviser.

“Parents and children who have sacrificed so much during the pandemic deserve a fair deal.

“Instead this budget looks set to treat education and our children’s future as an afterthought.

“You can’t build a strong economy without investing in younger generations and allowing them to fulfil their potential.”

Ian Blackford, Westminster leader of the SNP, warned the chancellor he must not “short-change” Scotland, calling for a “multi-billion-pound Brexit Recovery Fund – to provide Scotland with compensation and to ensure proper financial support for struggling businesses and industries.”

“With Brexit playing a major role in the ongoing severe staffing shortages, rotting food in the fields, empty supermarket shelves, plunge in UK exports, and rising cost of goods and services, the chancellor must wake up and smell the coffee before that also ends up running out in our stores,” he said.

The series of pre-announcements ahead of the budget has angered Commons Speaker Sir Lindsay Hoyle, who allowed a second urgent question in as many days on Tuesday to compel ministers to appear before MPs to answer questions on the budget.

“I was disappointed to see more stories in the media today with apparently very well-briefed information about what will be in tomorrow’s budget,” the speaker told the Commons.

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Speaker angry at government ignoring Commons

Accusing ministers of treating parliament in a “discourteous manner”, Sir Lindsay added: “This house will not be taken for granted, it’s not right for everybody to be briefed, it’s not more important to go on the news in the morning, it’s more important to come here.

“Let us get the message across that these elected members represent this United Kingdom. It is not done through Sky TV.”

Follow budget coverage live on Sky News on Wednesday with the chancellor’s announcement from 12.30pm

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Ticket re-sales could be capped under crackdown on touts

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Ticket re-sales could be capped under crackdown on touts

The price of resale tickets could be capped under plans to stop the public being “fleeced” by professional touts, the government has announced.

The limit could range from the cost of the original ticket to a 30% uplift, with a consultation to be launched on the specifics of the measure.

Some in No 10 ‘a bit taken aback’ by response to Reeves’ policies

Restricting the number of tickets resellers can list to the maximum they are allowed to purchase on the primary market is another option being considered.

The proposed changes come after concert sales for artists including Taylor Swift were marred by professional touts reselling at heavily inflated prices.

Others have been caught out by a lack of transparency over the system of dynamic pricing, which left Oasis fans watching the cost of some standard tickets more than double from £148 to £355 as they waited in the queue.

Ministers have already promised a dynamic pricing review, with the latest measures aimed at stopping touts “hoarding tickets and reselling at heavily inflated prices”, the culture department said.

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There has long been concerns about rip-off ticket resales for events, with high-profile artists like Ed Sheeran pushing for more regulation.

According to analysis by the Competition and Markets Authority (CMA), typical mark-ups on tickets sold second hand are more than 50%, while investigations by Trading Standards have uncovered evidence of seats going for up to six times their original price.

Singer Ed Sheeran appears on NBC's "Today" show at Rockefeller Center in New York, U.S., June 6, 2023. REUTERS/Brendan McDermid
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Ed Sheeran has campaigned for a crackdown on touts. Pic: Reuters

Last year, Virgin Media O2 estimated that ticket touts cost music fans an extra £145 million per year.

The proposals announced today will apply to music concerts, as well as live sport and other events, delivering on a Labour manifesto commitment to make the system fairer.

DJ Fatboy Slim said it was “great to see money being put back into fans pockets instead of resellers” and he is “fully behind” the proposals.

Dame Caroline Dinenage, the chair of the Culture, Media and Sport Committee, said the proposals “would go some way to help address the perverse incentives that are punishing music fans”.

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However she urged ministers to go further and launch a fan-led review of music, to look at how the industry could better support struggling small venues and fledgling artists.

Other proposals under the ticket tout crackdown include new obligations so that resale platforms are legally responsible for the accuracy of what is advertised by third parties on their sites.

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‘Dynamic pricing’: What can be done?

Professional sellers often advertise false information about their identity or key details of the ticket, especially for events where the organiser has imposed restrictions on re-sales, a report by the CMA in 2021 found.

The watchdog has also raised concern about “speculative selling” – when touts advertise seats they haven’t yet bought, cash in on the proceeds upfront and hope to secure a ticket later to fulfil the order.

The government also wants to bring in stronger fines and a new licensing regime for re-sale platforms to increase enforcement of protections for consumers.

Trading Standards can already issue fines of up to £5,000 for ticketing rule breaches and the consultation will look into whether this cap should be increased.

Culture Secretary Lisa Nandy said: “The chance to see your favourite musicians or sports team live is something all of us enjoy and everyone deserves a fair shot at getting tickets – but for too long fans have had to endure the misery of touts hoovering up tickets for resale at vastly inflated prices.

“As part of our Plan for Change, we are taking action to strengthen consumer protections, stop fans getting ripped off and ensure money spent on tickets goes back into our incredible live events sector, instead of into the pockets of greedy touts.”

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What’s going on in the markets and should we be worried?

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What's going on in the markets and should we be worried?

The chancellor is under pressure because financial market moves have pushed up the cost of government borrowing, putting Rachel Reeves’ economic plans in peril.

So what’s going on, and should we be worried?

What is a bond?

UK Treasury bonds, known as gilts because they used to literally have gold edges, are the mechanism by which the state borrows money from investors.

They pay a fixed annual return, known as a coupon, to the lender over a fixed period – five, 10 and 30 years are common durations – and are traded on international markets, which means their value changes even as the return remains fixed.

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That means their true interest rate is measured by the ‘yield’, which is calculated by dividing the annual return by the current price. So when bond prices fall, the yield – the effective interest rate – goes up.

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And for the last three months, markets have been selling off UK bonds, pushing borrowing costs higher. This week the yield on 30-year gilts reached its highest level since 1998 at 5.37%, and 10-year gilts briefly hit a level last seen after the financial crisis, sparking jitters in markets and in Westminster.

Why are investors selling UK bonds?

Bond markets are influenced by many factors but the primary domestic pressure is the prospect of persistent inflation, with interest rates staying high for longer as a consequence.

Higher inflation reduces the purchasing power of the coupon, and higher interest rates make the bond less competitive because investors can now buy bonds paying a higher rate. Both of which apply in the UK.

Inflation remains higher than the Bank of England‘s 2% target and many large companies are warning of further price rises as tax and wage rises bite in the spring.

As a result, the Bank is now expected to cut rates only twice this year, as opposed to the four reductions priced in by markets as recently as November.

Nor is there much optimism that the economic growth promised by the chancellor will save the day in the short term, with business groups warning investment will be tempered by taxes.

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Sky News’ Ed Conway on the impact of increased long-term borrowing costs as they hit their highest level in the UK since 1998

Is the UK alone?

No. Bond markets are international and in recent months the primary influence has been rising borrowing costs in the US, triggered by Donald Trump’s re-election and the assumption that tariffs and other policies will be inflationary.

The UK is not immune from those forces, and other European nations including Germany and France, facing their own political gyrations, have seen costs rise too. (The US influence could yet increase if strong labour market figures on Friday reinforce the sense that rates will remain high).

But there are specific domestic factors, particularly the prospect of stagflation. The UK is also more reliant on overseas investors than other G7 nations, which means the markets really matter.

Why does it matter to Reeves?

The cost of borrowing affects not just the issuance of new debt but the price of maintaining existing loans, and it matters because these higher costs could erode the “headroom” Ms Reeves left herself in her budget.

Headroom is a measure of how much slack she has against her self-imposed fiscal rule, itself intended to reassure markets that the UK is a stable location for investment, to fund day-to-day spending entirely from tax revenue by 2029-30.

At the budget, she had just £9.9bn of headroom and some analysts estimate market pressure has eroded all but £1bn of that.

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At the end of March the Office for Budget Responsibility will provide an update on the fiscal position and market conditions could change before then, but if they don’t then Ms Reeves may have to rewrite her plans.

The Treasury this week described the fiscal rules as “non-negotiable”, which leaves a choice between raising taxes or, more likely, cutting costs to make the numbers add up.

Why does it matter to the rest of us?

Persistently higher rates could push up consumer debt costs, increasing the burden of mortgages and other loans. Beyond that, the state of the economy matters to all of us.

The underlying challenges – persistent inflation, stagnant growth, worse productivity, ailing public services – are fundamental, and Labour has promised to address them.

Investment in infrastructure and new industries, spurred by planning and financial market reform, are all promised as medium-term solutions to the structural challenges. But politics, like financial markets, is a short-term business, and Ms Reeves could do with some relief, starting with helpful inflation and growth figures due next week.

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RMT union boss Mick Lynch announces retirement

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RMT union boss Mick Lynch announces retirement

Mick Lynch, one of the UK’s most influential union leaders in recent history, has announced he is retiring.

Mr Lynch is stepping down from the helm of the RMT (Rail Maritime and Transport Workers) union aged 63.

He served as general secretary since 2021.

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Under his leadership, the union waged years of strike action over pay and conditions before accepting a deal with the new Labour government this summer.

The rail strikes by RMT members were part of the wave of industrial action that meant 2022 had the highest number of strike days since 1989.

Walkouts began in June 2022 and did not officially conclude until September 2024.

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“It has been a privilege to serve this union for over 30 years in all capacities, but now it is time for change,” Mr Lynch said.

He will remain in post until a successor is appointed in May, the RMT said.

Why’s he retiring?

No reason was given for his departure but Mr Lynch said there was a need for change and new workers to fight.

“There has never been a more urgent need for a strong union for all transport and energy workers of all grades, but we can only maintain and build a robust organisation for these workers if there is renewal and change,” he said.

“RMT will always need a new generation of workers to take up the fight for its members and for a fairer society for all”.

A career of organising

Mr Lynch first joined the RMT in 1993 after he began working for Eurostar. Before being elected secretary general at the top of the organisation he worked as the assistant general secretary for two terms and as the union’s national executive committee executive, also for two terms.

As a qualified electrician, Mr Lynch helped set up the Electrical and Plumbing Industries Union (EPIU) in 1988, before working for Eurostar and joining the RMT.

He had worked in construction and was blacklisted for joining a union.

“This union has been through a lot of struggles in recent years, and I believe that it has only made it stronger despite all the odds,” Mr Lynch said.

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