
Way-too-early 2023 MLB Power Rankings: Who’s No. 1? How far down are the Yankees?!
More Videos
Published
3 years agoon
By
adminIt’s time for the offseason! Which means it’s time for our annual way-too-early 2023 power rankings.
The 2022 season came to an end on Saturday night in Houston, as the Astros won their second World Series title since 2017 after defeating the Phillies in Game 6. What do the next few months have in store for the victors of the Fall Classic?
Let’s take stock of where all 30 teams stand right now as we head into what should be an exciting and intriguing free agency — I mean, I hope a dude who hit 62 home runs and is a free agent gets you excited about this offseason.
2022 record: 106-56 (first in the AL West)
2022 final ranking: 2
With nearly the entire roster coming back for 2023, Houston’s incredible pitching depth makes the Astros a pretty easy call here. They allowed the fewest runs in a full season in the American League in the DH era (since 1973). Justin Verlander does have a $25 million player option, and even if he opts out and signs elsewhere, the Astros will still have the best pitching depth in the majors — especially with a full season from Lance McCullers Jr. and Hunter Brown, who copied Verlander’s delivery while growing up in Michigan, ready to step into a significant role.
The Astros even have some flexibility in the payroll to make a big addition. Given that Jose Altuve and Alex Bregman are free agents after 2024, maybe they’ll be looking for a long-term power bat. You know, perhaps even a certain New York Yankees outfielder …
2022 record: 101-61 (first in the NL East)
2022 final ranking: 4
The Astros weren’t quite a slam dunk for the top spot, however, as the Braves dominated the final four months of the regular season to capture their fifth straight division title. The emergence of center fielder Michael Harris II and starters Spencer Strider and Kyle Wright raised this team to another level. Now picture a lineup with Ronald Acuna Jr. completely healthy again if he rediscovers his power stroke — he hit just 15 home runs in 119 games this season — after 2021’s knee surgery. Shortstop Dansby Swanson heads into free agency after his best season, and if he doesn’t return, maybe the Braves turn to Vaughn Grissom, who impressed playing second base down the stretch.
Bottom line: With Austin Riley, Matt Olson, Acuna and now Harris and Strider all signed well into the future, the Braves are going to compete for National League pennants for a long time.
2022 record: 89-73
2022 final ranking: 10
This might be a little ambitious since the Padres have some holes to fill in the rotation and at first base, but consider:
-
They have three MVP-caliber talents in Manny Machado, Juan Soto and Fernando Tatis Jr., with Tatis now set to return from his PED suspension on April 20.
-
They have elite defenders up the middle in center fielder Trent Grisham and shortstop Ha-Seong Kim, which could push Tatis to the outfield.
-
Josh Hader, Robert Suarez, Luis Garcia and Nick Martinez are all back to anchor the bullpen, although maybe Martinez shifts to the rotation.
-
They should have about $20 million to spend to add a starter and/or a first baseman.
Yes, there are concerns: Soto didn’t hit for much power after the trade, Tatis’ wrist needs to be healthy and the 40-man position player depth is thin. But if Soto and Tatis play to what we’ve seen in the past? Watch out.
2022 record: 86-76 (third in AL East)
2022 final ranking: 9
They won 86 games (tied for 12th in the majors), they struggled to score runs all season and then scored just one run in 24 innings in the wild-card series loss to Cleveland. So why are they ranked so high here? Yes, pitching, pitching and more pitching … but also because of this little factoid: According to @ManGamesLostMLB, the Rays had the fourth-most missed games by injured players (behind the Reds, Nationals and Cubs). And many of those were key injuries.
For starters, they’ll add Tyler Glasnow, who returned in September from Tommy John surgery, to a rotation of Shane McClanahan, Drew Rasmussen and Jeffrey Springs — and those three quietly combined for a 2.61 ERA (although former top prospect Shane Baz will miss 2023 after his own Tommy John surgery). The offense has to improve and it will, starting with Brandon Lowe and Wander Franco, who combined for just 148 games and 14 home runs.
2022 record: 111-51
2022 final ranking: 1
Most wins in the NL since the 1906 Cubs. Highest run differential since the 1939 Yankees. Led the majors in both runs scored and fewest runs allowed. And then, a brutal four-game loss to the Padres in the division series that left Dodgers fans crying that it was their most painful postseason defeat yet. Of course, you don’t go from 111 wins to pumpkins overnight, but the Dodgers do have several key agents to replace or re-sign: Trea Turner, Clayton Kershaw, Tyler Anderson and Andrew Heaney — and Walker Buehler is out for the season. That’s 14.1 combined WAR and 76 starts.
Then there is the question of gearing up and doing it all over again. So far, that hasn’t been an issue for this group, but maybe one of these years they’ll slog through the first three months. They do have money to spend, with a current estimated payroll about $119 million less than 2022’s, according to FanGraphs’ Roster Resource (and that includes an estimated $18 million for Cody Bellinger, whom they could non-tender).
Of course, this ranking could go up by the time spring training rolls around and the Dodgers have signed Aaron Judge, Carlos Correa and Edwin Diaz.
2022 record: 87-75 (third in the NL East)
2022 final ranking: 11
Will the playoff run carry over into 2023? Maybe we’re giving too much emphasis to what happened in October, but this was certainly a better team under manager Rob Thomson than it was under former skipper Joe Girardi. All the core players return, although we’ll have to see if Bryce Harper needs Tommy John surgery to repair the injured elbow that limited him to DH duties.
Look for the Phillies to be aggressive once again in free agency. They could turn down the $17 million club option on Jean Segura, move Bryson Stott to second base and go after one of the big free-agent shortstops: Correa, Turner, Swanson and Xander Bogaerts. I like what Brandon Marsh will give them on defense in center field. And keep an eye on Andrew Painter, the team’s first-round pick in 2021 who cruised through three levels of the minors in 2022 and could join the rotation at some point in 2023 as a 20-year-old.
2022 record: 86-76 (second in the NL Central)
2022 final ranking: 13
In the end, the Brewers fell one game short of the Phillies for the final playoff spot, and you can’t help but wonder how that script plays out if they don’t trade Josh Hader. Still, the Brewers are in a good position, especially with Corbin Burnes and Brandon Woodruff heading the rotation. They hope to get more than 78 innings from Freddy Peralta, and young lefty Aaron Ashby has breakout potential after fanning 126 in 107 1/3 innings.
They also have an influx of young outfielders ready to make an impact in 2023: Garrett Mitchell (who already reached the majors), Joey Wiemer and Sal Frelick. The Brewers were second in the NL in home runs, so they play the modern power game, even though the Christian Yelich contract has turned into a financial drain. A big key for the upcoming season is finding the right bullpen depth behind closer Devin Williams.
2022 record: 92-70
2022 final ranking: 7
The Jays won 92 games, were second in the AL in runs and Alek Manoah and Kevin Gausman were a great one-two punch in the rotation, but the season still left an air of “we thought they would be better than this.” Maybe that’s because they went 16-3 against the Red Sox while struggling to score runs against the Yankees and Rays.
Their biggest obstacle moving forward is they’re paying Jose Berrios, Hyun Jin Ryu and Yusei Kikuchi a combined $46 million in 2023. That trio combined for a 5.26 ERA in 2022, with Ryu likely to miss most of next season after Tommy John surgery. Do the Jays count on better seasons from Berrios and Kikuchi or make an addition to the rotation? The offense and Manoah/Gausman might still make them the division favorites, and the payroll already sits at $215 million, but imagine this team with Carlos Rodon as the No. 3 starter.
2022 record: 93-69 (first in the NL Central)
2022 final ranking: 6
With 15 consecutive winning seasons, it’s hard to place the Cardinals much lower than this, even with concerns about the starting pitching — although it helps that Adam Wainwright announced that he will not be joining Yadier Molina and Albert Pujols in retirement.
The Cardinals will likely figure out a way to keep Nolan Arenado from exercising his opt-out clause. They also have a wave of young position players who have reached the majors — Nolan Gorman, Lars Nootbaar, Brendan Donovan, Alec Burleson, Ivan Herrera — or soon will, especially Jordan Walker, perhaps the best hitting prospect in the minors. Getting a bounce-back season from Tyler O’Neill is key, and Jack Flaherty is a wild card at this point, but adding another starter in free agency — or using the prospect depth for a trade — tops the to-do list.
2022 record: 90-72
2022 final ranking: 12
The Mariners finally ended their long playoff drought that stretched back to 2001, and Julio Rodriguez emerged as a star at age 21. They beat the Blue Jays in the wild-card series and played the Astros tough in the division series, despite being swept. What’s interesting is the perception that the Mariners were all pitching and no hitting, though T-Mobile Park kind of masks some of the team’s strengths.
They were eighth in the majors in wRC+ (weighed runs created) and 12th in ERA+, so the offense was arguably on the same level or better than the pitching staff. That said, given the depth in the rotation with full seasons ahead from Luis Castillo and George Kirby, as well as a deep bullpen, the Mariners will still be looking to add offense after watching that 18-inning loss to Houston. If they don’t re-sign Mitch Haniger, they’ll need an outfielder. They could also sign one of the shortstops and move J.P. Crawford to second base — although president of baseball operations Jerry Dipoto said the team intends to keep Crawford at shortstop.
11. New York Yankees
2022 record: 99-63
2022 final ranking: 5
Manager Brian Cashman has too much experience to overreact to yet another disappointing trip to the postseason that left the Yankees short of the World Series for the 13th consecutive season. However, this lineup without Judge looks old and potentially mediocre: Josh Donaldson will be 37, DJ LeMahieu 34, Giancarlo Stanton 33, Aaron Hicks 33 and Anthony Rizzo 33 (if he returns). The Yankees have some youth on the way in Oswaldo Cabrera, Oswald Peraza and Anthony Volpe, but on the pitching side, Jameson Taillon is a free agent and Frankie Montas wasn’t right after coming over from the A’s.
With Hal Steinbrenner refusing to spend at the Dodgers’ level, can the Yankees really construct a roster that would pay Judge, Stanton and Gerrit Cole a combined $102 million (with Judge at $34 million)? That’s a hefty price for three players. So don’t rule out the Yankees going to Plan B in the offseason.
2022 record: 92-70
2022 final ranking: 8
The Guardians brought some 1980s-style baseball to 2022: Slap and dash, with some great defense and a shutdown closer in Emmanuel Clase. It got them one win away from the American League Championship Series. Can they do it again? In the AL Central, absolutely. They have three clear positions where they can add offense:
-
Catcher, where they ranked 29th in the majors in OPS.
-
Designated hitter, where they ranked 29th with an unacceptable .587 OPS and just eight home runs.
-
Center field, where Myles Straw meant the Guardians ranked last in OPS.
Of course, they love Straw’s defense and have him signed through 2026, so let’s see if they address catcher and DH. The other big offseason question: Will they look to trade Shane Bieber, who will make more than $10 million in arbitration and has two seasons remaining of team control? Let’s hope not, but this is also how the Guardians operate.
2022 record: 101-61 (second in the NL East)
2022 final ranking: 3
No team will have a busier offseason than the Mets. Check out this list of potential free agents: Diaz, Brandon Nimmo, Jacob deGrom (opt out), Chris Bassitt (mutual option), Taijuan Walker (player option), Carlos Carrasco (team option) … plus Seth Lugo, Trevor May and Adam Ottavino. Whoa. The Mets basically have to rebuild or re-sign an entire pitching staff. Luckily, they have an owner who is willing to empty the checkbook in Steve Cohen. They do return a strong offensive foundation and they did win 101 games with Max Scherzer and deGrom making just 34 starts. They also have some interesting young position players ready to play: catcher Francisco Alvarez, third baseman Brett Baty and first baseman/third baseman Mark Vientos. But this offseason will be all about free agency and who the Mets get and how much they spend.
2022 record: 74-88 (fourth in the NL West)
2022 final ranking: 19
My sleeper team for 2023: the Diamondbacks, who could be really fun to watch, mostly because of an exciting young outfield. Top prospects Corbin Carroll and Alek Thomas made their debuts and Jake McCarthy had a surprising second half. All three are burners: Carroll ranked in the 100th percentile in speed, McCarthy in the 98th and Thomas in the 95th. Part-time outfielder/part-time catcher Daulton Varsho isn’t as fast as those three but has elite defensive metrics. That group is going to chase down everything in the gaps — and all of them hit left-handed, which is interesting as well. Zac Gallen quietly went 12-4 with a 2.54 ERA — including six straight scoreless starts — and matched Verlander for the lowest batting average allowed among starters at .186.
Arizona went 34-36 in the second half and outscored its opponents. I like the direction here, especially if the Diamondbacks can find some pitching depth — maybe that will be rookie Drey Jameson and Ryne Nelson, who both impressed in September call-ups.
2022 record: 83-79 (fourth in AL East)
2022 final ranking: 14
Baltimore had one of the most surprising, out-of-nowhere seasons in major league history, improving from 52 wins in 2021 to 83 in 2022. You have to love where the Orioles are headed: Adley Rutschman looks like a future MVP candidate, Gunnar Henderson might not be far behind and pitcher Grayson Rodriguez might be ready to help in 2023 — with 2022 No. 1 overall pick Jackson Holliday now one of the game’s top prospects. I do wonder if some of the pitching overachieved this season, especially a bullpen that ranked ninth in ERA but 21st in strikeout rate. The rotation was also just 21st in the majors in ERA with only Jordan Lyles topping 130 innings. Let’s hope the Orioles dip into free agency here to help balance out some likely regression.
2022 record: 81-81 (third in the NL West)
2022 final ranking: 15
Look, the Giants weren’t going to win 107 games again. Was regression to .500 predictable? Probably. The offense fell from second in the NL in runs to seventh and the pitching/defense from second in runs allowed to ninth. While the mix-and-match offense didn’t repeat the same magic tricks it performed in 2021, the good news is the Giants have cleared a lot of payroll, which will allow them to go after a couple of big pieces — most notably, Judge, who grew up a couple of hours from San Francisco. More important than geography, the Giants have the money and the need to sign Judge. Of course, Oracle Park isn’t the best fit, but if he does leave the Yankees, the Giants might be the leading contender to sign him. Carlos Correa is also a possible fit (Brandon Crawford is signed for one more year), unless they think top prospect Marco Luciano is on track to replace Crawford in 2024. They’ll also need to replace Rodon in the rotation and there is a general concern about what was the second-oldest lineup in the majors this season.
2022 record: 81-81 (second in the AL Central)
2022 final ranking: 16
There are excuses to consider — Luis Robert, Tim Anderson and Eloy Jimenez all missed significant time with injuries — but the disappointing season was mostly the result of too many subpar performances on a roster that didn’t have quality depth to survive a few injuries.
On the bright side, four-fifths of the rotation returns with Dylan Cease perhaps the preseason AL Cy Young favorite after going 14-8 with a 2.20 ERA and 227 strikeouts in 184 innings. Lucas Giolito (4.90 ERA) needs to figure out what went wrong, and Michael Kopech has to pitch deeper into games after averaging less than five innings per start. The lineup still needs some left-handed balance, and Yoan Moncada needs to bounce back (although his big 2019 season looks more and more like a juiced-ball fluke). The biggest problem, however, might be owner Jerry Reinsdorf and his unwillingness to spend a few extra pennies to, you know, try to win the World Series.
2022 record: 74-88 (third in the NL Central)
2022 final ranking: 22
Where are the Cubs right now? Good question. They had a plus-55 run differential against the lowly Reds and Pirates and minus-129 against everyone else, so consider that a point of reference.
Will the Cubs spend money this offseason? Who knows. Are pitchers Justin Steele (3.18 ERA) and Keegan Thompson (3.76 ERA) the real deal? Who knows. Is Christopher Morel the hitter we saw in the first half (.814 OPS) or the second half (.645 OPS)? Who knows. Will the Cubs go after one of the free-agent shortstops or stay with Nico Hoerner, who had excellent defensive metrics? Who knows. With Willson Contreras heading into free agency, who is the catcher for 2023? Who knows.
The Cubs’ payroll in 2022 was about $63 million less than in 2019. The estimated payroll heading into the offseason is about $147 million — about $90 million less (with Jason Heyward‘s $22 million finally coming off the books after 2023). Let’s see how aggressive they get.
2022 record: 65-97 (fifth in AL Central)
2022 final ranking: 25
Yes, there’s reason to be optimistic about the Royals, mostly because of the young core of rookie position players that came up in 2022: Bobby Witt Jr., Vinnie Pasquantino, MJ Melendez and Nick Pratto all have 30-homer potential. Drew Waters and Nate Eaton can at least pick it in the outfield.
Dayton Moore — GM since May of 2006 — is out and J.J. Picollo, his top lieutenant, takes over. Now it’s time to clear out the underachieving veterans such as Hunter Dozier and Ryan O’Hearn to play the kids full-time. I love the potential for this young lineup. The pitching, however, is another matter, since outside of Brady Singer, the young starters struggled. We’ll see if Picollo can figure out the pitching side of things.
2022 record: 73-89 (third in AL West)
2022 final ranking: 20
What a weird, wild, sad season — from Joe Maddon’s bases-loaded intentional walk (and eventual firing as manager) to Shohei Ohtani‘s all-around brilliance to Mike Trout‘s quiet monster season (40 home runs in 119 games) to owner Arte Moreno’s declaration that he will sell the team.
Moreno purchased the team for $180 million in 2003; Forbes valued the franchise at $2.2 billion in March. It’s not that he didn’t spend money — although the Angels refused to ever go beyond the luxury tax — it’s just how poorly he spent the money when he did, from Albert Pujols to Josh Hamilton to Justin Upton to Anthony Rendon. Sure, there is some bad luck in there, but the Angels now have the longest playoff drought in the majors — and face the prospect this offseason of whether to trade Ohtani. That seems unlikely — but if the Angels are out of it at the trade deadline, they might have to sense that Ohtani would appear guaranteed to bolt elsewhere in 2024.
2022 record: 78-84 record (third in the AL Central)
2022 final ranking: 18
They went 33-24 against the Royals, Tigers and White Sox — and 45-60 against everybody else. It was an especially disappointing season because the weak AL Central was there for the taking. The team that set a major league record with 307 home runs in 2019 was just seventh in the AL in 2022. The rotation was just 27th in innings pitched, and the bullpen wasn’t dominant enough (15th in ERA) to pick up the slack. Carlos Correa will leave after his one year in Minnesota, so now the Twins need a shortstop. Some of the top prospects haven’t taken off, whether due to injury (Royce Lewis) or performance (Austin Martin), Byron Buxton isn’t on the field often enough to be the team’s best player, and they could use a staff ace. It would be nice if the Pohlad brothers would pump the payroll a little higher considering the Twins haven’t been in the top half of payroll at any point in the past decade.
2022 record: 68-94 (fourth in the AL West)
2022 final ranking: 21
Ownership is growing impatient, given the firing in August of longtime executive Jon Daniels (with GM and former pitcher Chris Young taking over the top role). To be fair, a 15-35 record in one-run games means the team underperformed its Pythagorean record (77-85).
Texas hired Bruce Bochy with the expectation to win now. We’ll see about that. Corey Seager and Marcus Semien were more good than great in their first seasons, although I guess you can’t complain about 59 home runs from your middle infield (especially since Semien didn’t hit his first until the team’s 45th game). This team still needs starting pitching — and that’s with Martin Perez, the team’s best starter, heading to free agency — so that could make the Rangers one of the favorites to land deGrom.
2022 record: 78-84 (fifth in the AL East)
2022 final ranking: 17
It’s hard to know what to make of the Red Sox right now with two last-place finishes sandwiched around a playoff trip in 2021. Xander Bogaerts was their best player in 2022, and he’s expected to opt out of his player option and head into free agency. Boston can slide Trevor Story over to shortstop, although his arm strength is an issue, so maybe the Red Sox will sign another of the free-agent shortstops (or a stopgap until top prospect Marcelo Mayer is ready).
Their top two pitchers via WAR were Michael Wacha and John Schreiber, which is not a path to success, as the Red Sox finished 22nd in the majors in rotation ERA and 26th in bullpen ERA. Wacha, Nathan Eovaldi and Rich Hill are all free agents, which is 69 starts to figure out. The hope is 30 of those will come from Chris Sale, who made just two starts in 2022 after suffering a stress fracture in his rib cage, a broken pinkie and then a fractured wrist in a bicycle accident.
Some veterans like Alex Verdugo and Enrique Hernandez are capable of better seasons, and the Red Sox have money to spend, but this feels like a roster in disarray.
2022 record: 69-93 (fourth in the NL East)
2022 final ranking: 23
The Marlins’ last winning record in a full season came back in 2009. Since 2010, they have the worst record in the majors. Where are the signs of improvement? Not counting the pandemic-shortened season when Miami did make the playoffs, the Marlins have averaged a 64-98 record since 2018. Nothing sums up the plight of this franchise more than the offseason signings of Avisail Garcia and Jorge Soler for a combined $89 million (and the fourth- and sixth-largest free-agent contracts in franchise history). The two veterans combined for minus-0.7 WAR. And then you have Trevor Rogers, who had a great rookie season in 2021 and regressed to a 5.47 ERA. Outfielder JJ Bleday came up and hit .167. One step forward, two steps backward. Hey, at least Sandy Alcantara is awesome.
2022 record: 60-102 (fifth in the AL West)
2022 final ranking: 29
Billy Beane has been through rebuilds, but never before had the A’s lost 102 games under him. It was the worst season in Oakland since the infamous 1979 club lost 108 and averaged less than 4,000 fans per game. This team wasn’t much more watchable — at least the 1979 A’s had rookie Rickey Henderson. Like a lot of clubs, the A’s struggled big-time on offense: They had six players with at least 100 at-bats who hit under .200 and 13 under .225. Yuck. The starting rotation led the AL in home runs allowed, despite playing in a pitchers’ park. Lefties Ken Waldichuk and JP Sears, acquired from the Yankees in the Frankie Montas trade, dominated the minors and will be given shots in the rotation. The A’s need them to develop into quality starters, but the franchise’s inability or unwillingness to spend money means the offense will probably struggle once again.
2022 record: 62-100 (tied for fourth in the NL Central)
2022 final ranking: 28
The Pirates followed up a 101-loss season with 100 losses, so you can say they improved — or you can point out it was their first back-to-back 100-loss seasons since 1954, which is saying something considering the Pirates have had just four winning seasons out of the past 30. A lot of the hope in Pittsburgh rests on the mercurial talents of Oneil Cruz, who displayed dazzling raw power, arm strength and speed, but also a terrifying strikeout rate and questionable range at shortstop. The biggest offseason question is whether the Pirates will trade away center fielder Bryan Reynolds.
2022 record: 68-94 (fifth in the NL West)
2022 final ranking: 24
Hey, let’s just let owner Dick Monfort speak for the 2022 season: “Our road record was abysmal, our defense was not what we are accustomed to, our situational hitting was disappointing, and our pitching was inconsistent,” he wrote in a letter to fans. “Excuses serve no purpose, and we are committed to devoting all our efforts this offseason to improving this team for 2023.” The problem is the Rockies don’t seem to realize they’re not good and are happy enough signing Kris Bryant and thinking that’s all they need to do. Imagine if they did something creative: Sign Aaron Judge! Let him hit 72 home runs at Coors Field! Instead, it will be more of the same, followed by another inevitable Monfort letter apologizing for another bad season.
2022 record: 62-100 (tied for fourth in the NL Central)
2022 final ranking: 26
They started out 3-22, tied for the worst 25-game start in the wild-card era (since 1995). They finished 59-78 … and, well, that’s still bad. There were a lot of bad teams in 2022. Too many. That’s for another discussion. As for the Reds, they’re in the early stages of a teardown and rebuild — not that they’re tearing down from much success, the high point being a playoff berth during the COVID-shortened 2020 season. I like Hunter Greene‘s potential — he had a 1.02 ERA over his final six starts, although those were sandwiched around a shoulder injury. Nick Lodolo also has top-end potential in the rotation. But the team’s best position player in 2022 was Triple-A vagabond Brandon Drury, who ended the season with the Padres. Really, it seems like owner Bob Castellini is just counting down the days until after the 2023 season when he can buy out Joey Votto‘s last season (sorry, Joey!) and Mike Moustakas — and be in position to run perhaps the lowest payroll in the league. Enjoy, Reds fans!
2022 record: 66-96 (fourth in the AL Central)
2022 final ranking: 27
Well, that was ugly. Javier Baez led the team with just 17 home runs. The offense posted the worst wRC+ in the majors and scored the fewest runs. Tarik Skubal led the Tigers with just 21 starts and closer Gregory Soto lost 11 games. Preseason Rookie of the Year candidate Spencer Torkelson hit his way back to Triple-A and finished with minus-1.3 WAR. Casey Mize underwent Tommy John surgery. Owner Chris Ilitch fired general manager Al Avila in August. I’m trying to find something positive to say here, but it’s hard. Good luck to Scott Harris, who comes over from the Giants to run baseball operations.
2022 record: 55-107 (fifth in the NL East)
2022 final ranking: 30
This is the easiest call on the board. The Nationals had the majors’ worst record, the worst run differential and are also in the process of being sold. The big league roster is devoid of frontline talent and depth and there is no reason to spend in free agency. Oh, and they play in a loaded division. Even the young players who are supposed to be the foundation for the future struggled: Starter Josiah Gray allowed both the most home runs and walks in the NL, and shortstop CJ Abrams had a .276 OBP with no home runs in 163 plate appearances with Nationals (drawing just one walk). The Juan Soto trade added a couple of intriguing outfield prospects in James Wood and Robert Hassell III, who perhaps gets a look in 2023. The Nats are a good bet to lose 100 again — and, remember, the top six choices in the draft are now done via lottery, so they’re not even guaranteed the top overall pick in 2023 (or 2024).
You may like
Sports
‘No average freshman’: Why Michigan has already rallied behind Bryce Underwood
Published
1 hour agoon
September 4, 2025By
admin
-
Jake TrotterSep 4, 2025, 07:00 AM ET
Close- Jake Trotter is a senior writer at ESPN. Trotter covers college football. He also writes about other college sports, including men’s and women’s basketball. Trotter resides in the Cleveland area with his wife and three kids and is a fan of his hometown Oklahoma City Thunder. He covered the Cleveland Browns and NFL for ESPN for five years, moving back to college football in 2024. Previously, Trotter worked for the Middletown (Ohio) Journal, Austin American-Statesman and Oklahoman newspapers before joining ESPN in 2011. He’s a 2004 graduate of Washington and Lee University. You can reach out to Trotter at jake.trotter@espn.com and follow him on X at @Jake_Trotter.
BELLEVILLE, Mich. — Before flipping his commitment from LSU to Michigan, prized quarterback recruit Bryce Underwood had a question for Wolverines coach Sherrone Moore: How late could he stay in the football facility?
Moore told him 24/7 — then he had to take it back.
This spring, Moore got word that Underwood was still throwing passes at 2 a.m. on the indoor practice field. He had to toss him out.
“You gotta sleep,” Moore told him.
Underwood turned 18 only two weeks ago. Yet even as a teenager, he’s already giving the No. 15 Wolverines hope they can return to the College Football Playoff after a one-year hiatus.
This Saturday, Underwood leads Michigan into a top-20 clash at Oklahoma (7:30 p.m. ET, ABC). Sooners coach Brent Venables compared Underwood to former Clemson star Trevor Lawrence, who in 2018 became the first true freshman quarterback to win a national championship since Oklahoma’s Jamelle Holieway in 1985.
In 2021, Lawrence also became the No. 1 pick in the NFL draft.
“Quick, decisive, accurate, poised, tough, consistent — there’s a reason [Underwood] was the No. 1 [recruit] in America,” said Venables, Clemson’s defensive coordinator when Lawrence played there. “And he’s got a maturity and a work ethic and leadership ability to go along with that.”
During a scintillating debut — a 34-17 win over New Mexico — Underwood threw for 251 yards, more than any Michigan quarterback tallied in a game last season.
The 6-foot-4, 230-pound true freshman, who added 15 pounds of muscle over the summer, even threw a key block for running back Justice Haynes on a 5-yard touchdown run.
Still, Underwood gave his performance a mere C+, noting he had “a lot of things” to work on.
“He’s always been a grinder,” said Donovan Dooley, who has coached Underwood since he was 8 years old. “He chases perfection.”
Even into the night.
Former Belleville High School football coach Jermain Crowell said Underwood used to stop by his house at night to borrow the stadium keys to throw. Underwood eventually got his own keys, and the school athletic director would turn the lights on until he was finished.
“If you drove by the school late and the lights were on, you’d be like, that’s probably Bryce,” said Mychal Darty, a security guard and assistant basketball coach at Belleville.
Underwood has had that same work ethic for as long as anyone can remember.
His dad, Jay, who played youth football for Dooley’s parents, introduced his son to the passing coach a decade ago. Dooley, founder of Quarterback University, asked Underwood what he planned to do if football didn’t pan out.
“What’s plan B?” Dooley quizzed him. “And he said, ‘Plan A.'”
By then, Underwood was already dominating little league football. Donald Tabron II, a blue-chip quarterback recruit for the class of 2028 from Detroit, recalled watching Underwood hurdling smaller defenders at 10 years old.
“He was a monster even back then,” Tabron said. “He was a man child.”
Tabron and Trae Taylor III, a 2027 ESPN 300 quarterback recruit committed to Nebraska, trained under Dooley with Underwood in recent years. Late-night workouts with Underwood weren’t uncommon.
“We’ve gone out and gotten work in at midnight until early in the morning,” Taylor said. “Bryce has always been like that.”
At Belleville, Underwood went 50-4 with two state championships, while winning 38 straight games.
After practices, Underwood regularly kept a rotation of receivers and running backs with him to continue running routes.
“He’s the hardest working kid I’ve ever seen,” said Calvin Norman, who took over for Crowell as Belleville’s head coach for Underwood’s junior season. “We’d have a three-hour practice, and he’d be out there running another practice. That’s part of the reason why the other players were getting so good.”
Underwood pushed his teammates as hard as he pushed himself. Over his four years, he never lost a single conditioning sprint. Belleville wide receiver Charles Britton III made it his mission last year to finally dethrone him.
“I tried to beat him every single day,” said Britton, now a junior. “And I failed every day.”
During last year’s playoffs, the Belleville coaches tried to end a practice early after a sluggish effort. But Underwood made everyone stay on the field for another 15 minutes so they could finish on a better note.
In the offseason, when the football team wasn’t working out, Underwood would ask Darty if he could lift weights with the basketball team. And when nobody was lifting weights that day, he would just ask if he could get into the weight room on his own.
“He definitely took his craft seriously,” Darty said.
Because of how much time he spent at the school, Underwood grew close with Darty, who was also the sideline get-back coach for the football team. Before leaving for Michigan, Underwood coordinated with a local dealership to surprise Darty with a new Chevy Equinox.
“Just knowing that I meant something like that to someone who’s going to affect more people than I ever could was very humbling,” Darty said. “I never expected anything like that.”
But Darty recalls a moment that touched him even more.
Underwood remained committed to LSU through his final season. But as speculation grew that he might flip to Michigan, Belleville’s playoff games became a spectacle, with Ann Arbor only a 20-minute drive down the road.
When Belleville was eliminated from the regional final before a crowd of almost 8,000, the school arranged for Underwood to have an escort to a police car. As police ushered him off the field, a boy with a homemade Underwood jersey missed his opportunity to get an autograph.
But while waiting in the police car, Underwood hailed one of the officers to go grab the shirt so he could sign it. Then he had the officer grab the phone of the boy’s mother so he could take a selfie for him.
“Just think, that is your toughest high school moment, your high school career is done,” Darty said. “But you take that time to show this kid some attention. The people who witnessed that were like, ‘I’m rooting for you forever.'”
Nobody around Belleville, including Darty, knew for sure if Underwood would actually flip his commitment and sign with the hometown Wolverines.
A few days later, after school, Darty saw Underwood in the hallway flash a sly smile to Belleville safety Elijah Dotson, who had just flipped from Pitt to the Wolverines. Darty turned to another security guard and said, “I think it’s happening.”
Not long after, Underwood switched his commitment to the Wolverines, giving them their coveted quarterback of the future. It was also one of the most seismic recruiting flips of college football’s NIL era.
Moore told Underwood he wouldn’t be given the starting job. He’d have to earn it. Underwood responded he wouldn’t have it any other way.
Michigan’s players realized Underwood was different long before his first snap. Linebacker Ernest Hausmann and defensive end Derrick Moore took notice of how Underwood would be the first on the field during spring ball, just going over the plays by himself.
“He’s not no average freshman,” Moore said. “He does everything like a pro.”
That won over the team long before he was named the starter.
“Bryce is as good as advertised,” Hausmann said. “Mature beyond his years. And he’s fit right in.”
Sports
Passan’s early MLB free agency intel: Tucker, Schwarber and the potential $200 million ace you’ve never heard of
Published
1 hour agoon
September 4, 2025By
admin
Every Major League Baseball offseason comes with its own unique brand of intrigue, and this year it is concern that the fear of a lockout and potentially prolonged labor stoppage in 2026-27 could bleed into the free agent market a year early.
In the winter of 2020-21, the last offseason that preceded a collective bargaining agreement expiration, free agent spending plunged precipitously, alarming players. It was a down class, sure, and COVID-related concerns remained palpable, yes, but players nevertheless saw it as a reminder that labor issues can infiltrate all areas of all markets at all times.
The class of 2025-26 is perfectly OK. It has a no-doubt multi-hundred-million-dollar anchor in Kyle Tucker, an MVP-caliber slugger in Kyle Schwarber, a do-everything infielder in Alex Bregman (if he opts out), a number of interesting starting pitchers (without an obvious headliner), solid relief arms and plenty of depth.
Does the group have enough to reach the $3 billion spending threshold that has been exceeded in each of the past four winters, though? The answer to that could very well depend on three names unfamiliar to most domestic baseball fans.
The Japanese revolution in MLB is not slowing down, and another impressive group is expected to come stateside for the 2026 season. Right-hander Tatsuya Imai and a pair of slugging third basemen — Munetaka Murakami and Kazuma Okamoto — hope to play in MLB, according to sources, though their doing so depends on their Nippon Professional Baseball teams’ willingness to enter them into the posting system that serves as a conduit to the big leagues for those NPB players who have yet to play the nine years necessary for international free agency.
Imai, 27, is the most anonymous of the group — and, according to scouts who have watched him pitch this year, perhaps the most intriguing. His talent belies his wispy 5-foot-11, 154-pound frame. He is the hardest-throwing starter in Japan, with a fastball that sits at 95 mph and tops out at 99, and with a vicious slider, a changeup, a splitter, a curveball and a sinker he picked up this season, Imai has the sort of pitch mix that teams covet.
Imai’s numbers this year are silly: a 1.50 ERA with 159 strikeouts, 37 walks and just four home runs allowed in 143⅔ innings pitched. And although the dead ball in Japan certainly factors in, the quality of Imai’s stuff supports his otherworldliness. The big league success of Yoshinobu Yamamoto and Shota Imanaga — each an inch shorter than Imai — has also helped allay fears of diminutive starters who have pervaded baseball for decades. Upward of 20 major league scouts were at his start Tuesday, when he punched out 10 in a two-hit shutout.
With Imai flashing excellent control for the first time in his career, it would make sense for the Saitama Seibu Lions to reap a hefty posting fee by allowing him to come to the majors now. Imai won’t get the $325 million the Dodgers gave Yamamoto, but the combination of his age, performance and premier offerings have front office officials offering gaudy predictions. One suggested Imai could get upward of $200 million, though others balked at that number. A second source said he thinks Imai will receive a $150 million contract. Another said something like Patrick Corbin‘s 2018 contract with the Washington Nationals — six years, $140 million. The lowest number, among the dozen officials and scouts surveyed, was $80 million, which, with the desire for starting pitching and the number of years Imai should get because he’ll be the youngest one on the market, feels light.
The markets for Murakami and Okamoto aren’t quite as defined. Murakami wanted to come to MLB last year but was not 25 years old and thus would have been subject to signing as an international amateur free agent, with a ceiling of around a $10 million payday. Now 25, he will likely be posted by the Yakult Swallows and has been scouted in person this season by New York Mets president of baseball operations David Stearns and San Diego Padres president of baseball operations A.J. Preller, the latter of whom saw Murakami whack three home runs for the Yakult Swallows on Saturday (and was later at Imai’s gem, too).
In limited playing time this season due to injury, the 6-foot-2, 213-pound Murakami has displayed his prodigious left-handed power. In a league where there’s a home run every 60 plate appearances, Murakami has hit 15 in 138 — one every 9.2 times up. Three years ago, Murakami smashed 56 homers, surpassing Sadaharu Oh’s single-season home run record that had stood since 1964. For all the questions about Murakami’s game — he strikes out too much and he might need to shift to first base or a corner outfield spot — the power is transoceanic.
Should Murakami continue his late-season power surge, the ceiling on his deal is even higher than Imai’s. The last MLB player to reach free agency at 25 was Alex Rodriguez. Age matters significantly, and the prospect of getting any player’s age 26 to 29 seasons is tantalizing — particularly one of Murakami’s caliber.
The 29-year-old Okamoto has been NPB’s most consistent power hitter since joining the Yomiuri Giants full-time in 2018. While a left elbow injury sustained in a collision playing first base — where, like Murakami, he could wind up — sidelined him for 3½ months, Okamoto is leading NPB with a .314 batting average with nearly as many walks (21) as strikeouts (23) and 11 home runs in 201 plate appearances. He is regarded by evaluators as the biggest question mark to make the leap, and he’s in line for a shorter-term deal than the others, but a contract for $50 million-plus is plenty realistic, especially with a September that proves his elbow healed.
Here are 10 other storylines to follow heading into the winter:
1. How much does Kyle Tucker get?
Tucker’s roller-coaster season has whipsawed predictions of his ultimate contract all over the place. Coming into the season, Tucker, who will be 29 in January, looked like a $350-400 million player because of his incredible consistency and all-around production. When Tucker is healthy, he hits, runs and fields at an exceptional level — a rare combination of skills. When you added in a hot start (his OPS was .931 at the end of June), matching Vladimir Guerrero Jr.’s $500 million deal didn’t look unreasonable.
Then came July. Tucker disappeared. He was trying to play through a broken finger, and in his first 26 games after the All-Star break, his OPS was .572 — lower than his slugging percentage alone last season. The Cubs gave Tucker three games off, and the breather did him some good. Even with that bad stretch, only once in his career has he posted an OPS+ higher than this season, and that was last year, when he missed half the season.
Tucker’s best comparable might be Mookie Betts, not because of the similarities of their games but rather the level at which they produce while maintaining minuscule strikeout rates. Few players are as good at any of the three facets of the game as Tucker, let alone all three. Betts is the most obvious, and he signed a 12-year, $365 million deal that started in his age-28 season.
So, yeah, the number is going to be big — likely in the $400 million range. The Philadelphia Phillies could desperately use a big corner outfield bat, particularly if the next player on this list takes his talents elsewhere. The San Francisco Giants need a complement to Rafael Devers in the middle of the lineup. Others, including the Cubs, will be in the mix. The market will find Tucker, as it eventually does with the best players in every class.
2. What will teams pay for a DH?
Kyle Schwarber will begin next season as a 33-year-old designated hitter, which is not the sort of résumé that often — ever, actually — leads to a free agent windfall. To which Phillies fans, in unison, would reply: He’s different.
And they’re right. Schwarber is. He leads the National League in home runs and RBIs. He’s third in MLB in weighted on-base average behind Aaron Judge and Shohei Ohtani, his two compatriots atop pretty much every measurable offensive category that matters. He plays every day — literally all 139 of the Phillies’ games — and in late and close situations this year is OPSing 1.244, nearly 100 points higher than the next-best hitter, Ohtani. Beyond that, Schwarber is regarded as the stickiest of glue guys, a font of knowledge whose interpersonal acuity makes him invaluable in a clubhouse.
Because of all he brings, Schwarber is going to get paid. Like, paid paid. Teams will scoff because of the age, the strikeouts, the positional inflexibility. But Schwarber’s total package will ultimately push some of them off such concerns and trigger a bidding war. If he wants, he can get at least four years. The salary, at that term, should be at least $30 million a year. And although remaining in Philadelphia makes the most sense, enough teams have holes at DH — looking at you, Texas, San Diego, Atlanta, Houston, Detroit, Cincinnati — that no amount of labor unrest will cause Schwarber’s market to dry up.
3. Does Alex Bregman stay or go?
Bregman signed a three-year, $120 million contract with the Boston Red Sox on the eve of spring training, and the fit has been exceptional. Bregman has taken over the Red Sox’s clubhouse and become their unquestioned leader: a baseball rat whose wisdom is exceeded by his willingness to help his teammates find the best versions of themselves. It’s rare to find a player who has such a wide base of knowledge and the ability to teach it, too.
Because his deal included opt-outs after each of the first two seasons, Bregman could be playing elsewhere in 2026. Barring an injury or catastrophic slump, he will opt out and join Tucker and Schwarber in a clear top tier among this winter’s free agents.
Boston recognizes what it would be losing were Bregman to embark elsewhere. The excellent at-bats. The glove at third base. The relationships with Roman Anthony, Marcelo Mayer and Kristian Campbell he forged during spring training. The attitude. The focus. The feeling that in this next incarnation of the Red Sox, he belongs somewhere in the middle.
Complicating matters for the Red Sox, though, are the teams in need of better production at third that might be willing to spend for what Bregman provides. The Phillies. The Yankees. The Tigers. And it will take more than three years this time even though he’ll be going into his age-32 season. After one of the more lucrative pillow contracts ever, Bregman is bound to get the five-year-plus deal at an average annual value of $35 million-plus that eluded him last winter.
4. Who else will choose to be a free agent?
Here is a baker’s dozen decisions players must make within five days of the end of the World Series and the early lean on them:
Pete Alonso, Mets, first baseman: This one’s a no-brainer. Alonso got $30 million to play this year and will forgo $24 million next year after his fourth career 30-homer, 100-RBI season.
Will he opt out: Yes.
Edwin Diaz, Mets, closer: Díaz has two years and $37 million left on his deal, but with a 1.87 ERA and 4.5-to-1 strikeout-to-walk ratio, he’s headed for free agency, barring the Mets doing what they did three years ago when they re-signed him before he hit the open market.
Will he opt out: Yes, unless he re-ups first.
Cody Bellinger, Yankees, outfielder: At 30, Bellinger will be one of the best bats on the market when he turns down his $25 million player option (which includes a $5 million buyout). He’s on pace to put up his most home runs and RBIs since his 2019 NL MVP campaign and will seek nine figures this winter.
Will he opt out: Yes.
Robert Suarez, Padres, closer: The 34-year-old right-hander is not going to get the sort of long-term contract Díaz receives but looking for greater riches than the two years and $16 million he’s due on his current deal makes plenty of sense.
Will he opt out: Yes.
Shane Bieber, Blue Jays, right-handed starter: Being traded to Toronto allowed Bieber a hall pass from the qualifying offer, which is enough to take his $4 million buyout and turn down a $16 million option — provided he remains healthy for the rest of the season.
Will he opt out: Yes.
Jack Flaherty, Tigers, right-handed starter: While Flaherty’s 4.74 ERA is unsightly, he has struck out 169 in 142⅓ innings, enough for him to consider turning down $20 million and seeking a greater guarantee in free agency.
Will he opt out: Yes.
Trevor Story, Red Sox, shortstop: The lack of shortstop depth in the class makes it tempting, but the combination of what Story is owed (two years, $55 million) and his age (33 next year) is too risky to give up, even after a strong comeback season.
Will he opt out: No — probably.
Tyler O’Neill, Orioles, outfielder: In his first year with Baltimore, O’Neill has played 43 games and put up precisely 0.0 wins above replacement. With two years and $33 million left on his deal, this is an easy decision.
Will he opt out: No.
Joc Pederson, Rangers, DH: Regardless of his recent surge, Pederson won’t find $18.5 million anywhere on the free agent market.
Will he opt out: No.
Lourdes Gurriel Jr., Diamondbacks, outfielder: Even before tearing an ACL on Monday, Gurriel was not declining his $18 million player option.
Will he opt out: No.
Ha-Seong Kim, Braves, shortstop: The Braves claimed Kim off waivers from the Rays earlier this week and, in the process, might have solved their short-term shortstop problem. As good as Kim can be when healthy, he wasn’t this year, and picking up a $16 million player option before hitting free agency again makes the most sense.
Will he opt out: No.
Frankie Montas, Mets, right-handed starter: Montas will miss the rest of this year — and perhaps all of next year — after tearing his ulnar collateral ligament. He will make $17 million rehabbing.
Will he opt out: No.
A.J. Minter, Mets, left-handed reliever: Minter threw 11 innings before a season-ending lat injury. And as good as those 11 innings were, they weren’t good enough to pass up $11 million for next season.
Will he opt out: No.
5. What about the players with club options?
Teams love club options. And this list shows why. More often than not, the options — especially for top players — wound up getting exercised.
Likely to be picked up by the team:
Shota Imanaga, Cubs, three years, $57 million
Luis Robert Jr., White Sox, $20 million
Chris Sale, Braves, $18 million
Salvador Perez, Royals, $13.5 million
Brandon Lowe, Rays, $11.5 million
Max Muncy, Dodgers, $10 million
Jose Alvarado, Phillies, $9 million
Freddy Peralta, Brewers, $8 million
Ozzie Albies, Braves, $7 million
Pete Fairbanks, Rays, $7 million
Pierce Johnson, Braves, $7 million
Ramon Laureano, Padres, $6.5 million
Andrew Muñoz, Mariners, $6 million
Tyler Kinley, Braves, $5 million
Tim Hill, Yankees, $3 million
Borderline:
Colin Rea, Cubs, $6 million
Brent Suter, Reds, $3 million
Unlikely to be picked up:
Andrew Kittredge, Cubs, $9 million
Scott Barlow, Reds, $6.5 million
John Means, Guardians, $6 million
Kyle Hart, Padres, $5 million
Jonathan Loaisiga, Yankees, $5 million
Tom Murphy, Giants, $4 million
Jose Urquidy, Tigers, $4 million
6. Which starting pitchers are going to get paid?
It begins with Framber Valdez, who, since he joined Houston’s rotation full time in 2020, holds the following ranks among the 61 pitchers who averaged at least 100 innings a season:
Wins: 1st
Ground ball rate: 1st
Home run rate: 2nd
Innings pitched: 5th
ERA: 8th
FIP: 10th
The incident Tuesday with catcher César Salazar — in which Valdez hit the rookie in the chest with a 93-mph sinker in what both later blamed miscommunication of the pitch called — did not go unnoticed by front offices. Multiple officials noted that when pitchers and catchers get crossed up, the pitcher typically looks at the catcher and expresses concern. As Salazar glared toward the mound, wondering what had happened, Valdez’s back was turned.
It is also one data point, and while such an event can burrow it’s way into front offices’ minds, Valdez’s stuff is so good, his numbers so consistent — his highest full-season ERA is 3.45, his lowest 2.82 — and his playoff resume so long, even at 32 he’ll find multiple suitors willing to offer nine figures.
The other starting pitcher options include:
Dylan Cease, Padres, right-hander: The stuff remains elite, and front offices adore him despite a 4.71 ERA. He’ll be 30 going into next season and is likely to be saddled with a qualifying offer, so he’s a candidate for a shorter-term deal with multiple opt-outs unless a team falls in love and hands him a bag.
Michael King, Padres, right-hander: After an injury-riddled season, all it would take is a handful of good starts in September for King to remind teams he was the best-performing pitcher of the bunch over the past two years when he was healthy.
Ranger Suárez, Padres, left-hander: Velocity excepted, Suárez is good at everything. He throws six pitches, has cut his walk rate to a career low, strikes out hitters, is on pace for a career high in innings and, at 30, in a market with a paucity of lefties, is primed to cash in.
Merrill Kelly, Rangers, right-hander: It’s not powerful, but Kelly’s game is pretty. The pitch mix, the command — it all has allowed him the opportunity, at 37 in October, to cash in on a multiyear deal this winter. Bonus: It’s without the pesky qualifying offer because he was traded midseason.
Zac Gallen, D-backs, right-hander: He has been better lately — perhaps good enough to get tagged with a qualifying offer. Could he accept it and then hit the free agent market at 31 after 2026? Or is this one of the many cases in which labor-stoppage fear prompts a free agent to seek something longer term now?
Lucas Giolito, Red Sox, right-hander: Giolito has a $14 million club option that unquestionably will be picked up — but with 14⅔ more innings, it converts to a $19 million mutual option, which Giolito will reject in favor of the multiyear contract he has more than earned.
7. How good are the relief pitchers?
Beyond Diaz and Suárez, Boston closer Aroldis Chapman looked primed for a multiyear deal before he agreed to a one-year, $13 million contract with an option for 2027 with the Red Sox over the weekend. Though it took the best-performing reliever of 2025 off the market, plenty of others remain. Among those available:
Ryan Helsley, Mets, right-hander: In one month with the Mets, he has erased his entire WAR total from the previous four. Helsley’s stuff will get him a fine deal — he will get multiple years at eight figures per — but not nearly as fine as he would have liked it to be.
Devin Williams, Yankees, right-hander: After entering this season primed to threaten Diaz’s record deal, Williams has struggled with the Yankees and is looking at a one-year make-good deal. Working in his favor: a 2.85 FIP that suggests better things to come.
Luke Weaver, Yankees, right-hander: He’s a closer for half the teams in baseball. And he’s going to get paid like it this winter. Weaver just needs to keep his home run rate down.
Kyle Finnegan, Tigers, right-hander: Since joining Detroit at the deadline, Finnegan hasn’t allowed a run in 14⅓ innings, has struck out 19 and allowed just three hits and three walks. He’s setting himself up for a nice payday and is hopeful the groin issue that kept him from entering Wednesday’s game isn’t serious.
Drew Pomeranz, Cubs left-hander: Pitching in the big leagues for the first time in four years, Pomeranz allowed just two earned runs for the Chicago Cubs in his first 25⅔ innings. Since the All-Star break, he has given up nine in 13⅔. Some regression was expected, but Pomeranz’s offseason fortunes will depend on his performance in September and October.
Brad Keller, Cubs, right-hander: Another Cubs reclamation project, Keller, a longtime starter, turned in the best season of his career out of the bullpen. The best part: At 30, he’s one of the younger relievers available.
Tyler Rogers, Mets, right-hander: The sidearmer entered this season with a 2.93 ERA and has fared more than a full run better this season with the Giants and Mets. He’s probably not a closer, but he’s exactly the sort of pitcher who thrives facing the middle of the order. Nos. 3, 4 and 5 hitters are batting .213 with 17 strikeouts, one walk and four extra-base hits against Rogers this year.
Taylor Rogers, Cubs, left-hander: The veteran closer — and twin brother of Tyler — has a season that makes no sense. With a 34-to-19 strikeout-to-walk ratio in Cincinnati, Taylor managed to post a 2.45 ERA in 40 games. For the Cubs since the deadline, he has struck out 16, walked two and wound up with a 6.75 ERA.
Raisel Iglesias, Braves, right-hander: The 35-year-old has salvaged his season with a good second half after the home run ball clipped him too often in the first half. Iglesias has allowed just one homer in his past 21 innings after yielding six in his first 20⅓.
Kirby Yates, Dodgers, right-hander: The Dodgers nearly doubled Yates’ career-best single-season salary to pair him with Tanner Scott as a two-headed, late-inning duo. It has been as scary as a puppy. And yet teams will happily take Yates and his 46 strikeouts in 35⅓ innings.
Michael Kopech, Dodgers, right-hander: Kopech could make himself plenty of money with a strong September and October. And considering the state of the Dodgers’ bullpen, there’s ample opportunity for him to capture high-leverage innings.
Kenley Jansen, Angels, right-hander: Old reliable, Jansen is in line for his first sub-3.00 ERA since 2021. And although for the first time in his 16-year career he’s going to fall short of double-digit strikeouts per nine innings, Jansen’s effectiveness remains.
Hoby Milner, Rangers, left-hander: The 34-year-old Milner sits around 87 mph with his sinker, and it’s damn near unhittable. As much as his ERAs in 2023 (1.82) and 2024 (4.73) were outliers, Milner is putting up his fourth straight year of a 3.16-or-better FIP. The only others to do that? Milner’s Texas teammate Chris Martin, Williams and Emmanuel Clase, whose career status is uncertain amid an MLB gambling investigation.
Gregory Soto, Mets, left-hander: Among all left-handed relievers with at least 49⅔ innings, only Chapman throws harder than him. Nobody ever will mistake Soto for a control artist, but the stuff is playing, and even if another opportunity to close doesn’t come along, he can carve out a nice career in the middle.
8. How will the industry value Bo Bichette?
After last year’s uncharacteristic cratering, the real Bo Bichette has returned. And we say real because over his first five seasons in the major leagues, Bichette posted a .307/.352/.477. slash line, and this year it’s .310/.354/.478. That sandwiches him between Bobby Witt Jr. and Trea Turner in terms of wOBA among shortstops with at least 130 games. It’s a tremendous platform season for any free agent.
So why are there questions about Bichette’s value? Every publicly available defensive metric has him as the worst defensive shortstop in baseball. Same goes for three teams surveyed independently. And considering top shortstops tend to get more than $250 million in free agency, position — and the ability to stay at a premium one — can be the difference between joining that echelon and falling short.
Despite those concerns, there are some real positives: Bichette is only 27 years old, not 28 until March, the youngest of all the free agents. He’s in his prime with years left to spare. He’s a consistent .300-plus hitter. He goes to all fields. He’s got power. His problem with lateral mobility could easily be solved by a move to third base — though it remains to be seen if he would want to change positions — and his bat would be good enough to play there, too.
Whatever position Bichette mans, wherever he plays, he is a hitter in an era with far too few. Maybe he’s not a $300 million player. But if Turner is worth $300 million and Xander Bogaerts is worth $280 million and both were at least two years older than Bichette when they did sign, surely the market won’t leave him high and dry.
9. Which other infielders will have the most fruitful winters?
For all the consternation about what second baseman Gleyber Torres was and wasn’t with the New York Yankees, what he has been with the Tigers is a completely different version. There were signs of this kind of player in 2020, but the season was truncated, and never again, until now, has he shown such elite plate discipline. Torres is getting on base at a .364 clip — and his expected numbers (which reflect the sort of data teams value) rank sixth in the AL, behind only Judge, Corey Seager, Ben Rice, George Springer and Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
Torres will start next season at 29, a year older than first baseman Josh Naylor, who’s among the youngest players in the class. The age, while genuinely alluring, is not the only thing in Naylor’s favor. He continues to be who he has always been: a bat-to-ball savant with enough power to stick at first. His 23 stolen bases this season are exceptional for a player of Naylor’s build, and although he is prone to slumps — he has been in one of late — by the end of the season his numbers always look around the same. And that’s productive.
Then there’s the matter of Naylor’s Mariners teammate Eugenio Suárez, who at one point led the National League in home runs. Suárez is 34, and after a disaster of a first few weeks in Seattle, he has climbed back to around a league-average bat with the Mariners. He’s a beloved clubhouse figure, and with the prices and desired length of contracts for Bregman, the Japanese corner infielders and even Bichette high, Suárez could be the sort who winds up with a strong deal from a lower-revenue team willing to overpay on a shorter term.
Others who play on the dirt worth monitoring: Phillies catcher J.T. Realmuto, Brewers first baseman Rhys Hoskins, Cubs super-utility man Willi Castro and one more, who has one of the most fascinating free agent cases in years.
10. Why did it take you this long to mention the three-time batting champion?
Padres infielder Luis Arraez is one of the most intriguing free agents in years because he is exceptional at a few things, mediocre at everything else and has no obvious comparable player this century. On the good side: Nobody strikes out as infrequently as Arraez, who has just 17 punchouts in 587 plate appearances. Because he puts the ball in play so much, Arraez tends to have a high batting average, too. He won three consecutive batting titles before slumping to .285 this season.
On the other hand, Arraez, one of the younger players in the class at 28, has minimal power, is a below-average defender, can’t run and doesn’t walk. If it weren’t for the extreme bat-to-ball skills, Arraez would not be in the big leagues.
Arraez’s free agency isn’t exactly the litmus test for the value of batting average in modern baseball, but it’s a reasonable signal amid plenty of noise. Batting average matters. Plenty. It doesn’t matter as much as on-base percentage — which, until this year, Arraez had at a .372 clip — or slugging percentage. (Teams tolerate low-average, high-slug players and eagerly avoid high-average, low-slug sorts.) But it matters, and when compounded with the paucity of strikeouts, it’s an asset to whichever team signs him. The question of how much they’ll pay him remains open.
Sports
Chapman, appealing ban, hits 2 HRs vs. Rockies
Published
1 hour agoon
September 4, 2025By
admin
-
ESPN News Services
Sep 3, 2025, 06:57 PM ET
DENVER — San Francisco Giants third baseman Matt Chapman is appealing a one-game suspension handed down Wednesday by Major League Baseball along with an undisclosed fine after he made contact with Colorado Rockies pitcher Kyle Freeland in a game a night earlier.
Chapman, Freeland and Giants shortstop Willy Adames were ejected following the first-inning fracas during San Francisco’s 7-4 win Tuesday night at Coors Field.
Chapman’s suspension had been set to be served Wednesday night as the series resumed but will wait until the appeal process is complete. In the second inning Wednesday, Chapman homered off German Marquez to put the Giants ahead 1-0. He then connected for a three-run shot in the sixth for a 9-5 lead, after manager Bob Melvin was ejected in the bottom of the fifth for arguing balls and strikes. San Francisco went on to win again, 10-8.
“The moment I talked to Matt, he wanted to play today regardless, so it was an easy call,” Melvin said postgame. “And thank goodness he played.”
Freeland, Adames and Rafael Devers also were fined for their involvement in what became a benches-clearing incident that started after Devers hit a towering two-run homer in the first inning and admired it before beginning his slow trot.
“Look, we didn’t feel like we started it. It is what it is, deal with it going forward. We’ll see what happens in the appeal. The other ones were fines,” Melvin said before the game. “You knew something was going to happen. We were hoping there weren’t suspensions. Ended up being one, and it’s on appeal, so see where that goes.”
Devers crushed a sweeper over the right-field wall and then Freeland took exception with Devers’ celebration, prompting both players to shout at each other.
“He watched it for a while, longer than Kyle liked. Kyle took offense to it, felt disrespected. I back him 100% on that,” Rockies manager Warren Schaeffer said Wednesday. “He didn’t like it. Had to say a few words to him, went after him a little bit, benches cleared. Sometimes that stuff happens in baseball. … In today’s game, a lot of people think let the kids play. But that kind of goes out the window when you have a competitor who takes offense to something happening, especially in his own ballpark. I back him. Hopefully it’s over with, but it’s a moment in time that I’m glad it’s done.”
Several players charged toward the infield, and MLB said Chapman was disciplined for “pushing” Freeland. Adames also was in the middle of the scrum.
The Associated Press contributed to this report.
Trending
-
Sports3 years ago
‘Storybook stuff’: Inside the night Bryce Harper sent the Phillies to the World Series
-
Sports1 year ago
Story injured on diving stop, exits Red Sox game
-
Sports2 years ago
Game 1 of WS least-watched in recorded history
-
Sports2 years ago
MLB Rank 2023: Ranking baseball’s top 100 players
-
Sports4 years ago
Team Europe easily wins 4th straight Laver Cup
-
Sports2 years ago
Button battles heat exhaustion in NASCAR debut
-
Environment2 years ago
Japan and South Korea have a lot at stake in a free and open South China Sea
-
Environment11 months ago
Here are the best electric bikes you can buy at every price level in October 2024