Royal Mail workers are beginning a 48-hour strike that the retail sector warns could cripple the Black Friday discount shopping season.
The strike action is being taken nationwide by 115,000 staff represented by the Communication Workers Union (CWU).
University lecturers and teaching staff are also walking out on the first of three days of strikes – affecting an estimated 2.5 million students.
Around 70,000 members of the University and College Union (UCU) will strike today and Friday, and again next Wednesday, in a dispute over pay, pensions and contracts.
The union has warned of escalated action in the new year if the row is not resolved.
Scotland’s first national schools strike since the 1980s is also taking place over pay – with today’s one-day action by members of the Educational Institute of Scotland (EIS) expected to shut the majority of schools across the country.
The Royal Mail action is the latest stoppage in a long-running, and increasingly bitter, dispute over pay and the company’s modernisation plans.
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The CWU rejected Royal Mail’s “best and final” offer on Wednesday.
The walkouts are deliberately timed to coincide with the core pre-Christmas shopping season – a crucial earnings generator for Royal Mail – as strikes will also hit 30 November and 1 December, affecting Cyber Monday deliveries.
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More strikes are planned for 9, 11, 14, 15, 23 and 24 of December.
Retail intelligence firm Springboard has forecast a busy few days ahead as cash-strapped shoppers look to bag some bargains in the midst of the cost of living crisis.
It predicted that visits to retail venues on Black Friday will be 12.8% higher than on Black Friday 2021.
Fears of disrupted deliveries could force more bargain hunters towards stores rather than online shops.
The eBay marketplace said a survey of its small business members showed that half saw the impact of the Royal Mail walkout as “disastrous” for demand.
Image: An eBay survey found 89% of sellers expected a negative impact on sales
eBay’s UK general manager, Murray Lambell, warned: “The UK boasts one of the world’s most sophisticated ecommerce economies, with small businesses thriving by scaling up their retail operations online.
“But industrial action risks creating chaos at the worst time for businesses and families.
“Astronomical energy prices, rising interest rates, and the blowback from political unrest has made it incredibly challenging for small businesses to operate right now.
“Adding industrial action, which is causing widespread disruption to deliveries and sales, at the most important time of year for trading, risks being the nail in the coffin for many small businesses.”
Michelle Ovens, founder of Small Business Britain, said: “Small businesses are under incredible pressure right now, with every area of business under strain and cash-flow a huge problem.
“The widespread disruption caused by postal strikes will jeopardise a core sales channel for many small businesses during the critical peak period, when every sale counts.
“We need to be doing all we can to support these businesses to recover and grow, and minimise obstacles where possible, not place them under further duress.”
On the bigger picture, Andrew Opie, director of food and sustainability at the British Retail Consortium, said: “Retailers will be working closely with their delivery providers on contingency plans to ensure customers can get the goods they need, especially on Black Friday and the run up to Christmas which is so important to consumers and retail businesses during this very difficult year.”
The CWU argues that Royal Mail’s proposals mean it is fighting for the very survival of the company as we know it.
It claims the terms on offer would turn Royal Mail into a “gig economy-style parcel courier, reliant on casual labour”.
Royal Mail says it must modernise to survive.
It has sought to be excused its requirement for letter deliveries on Saturdays and wants to be able to deliver more profitable parcels seven days a week.
It says the strikes to date have cost it £100m.
Royal Mail’s parent firm IDS says that without a deal, it could carve the UK operation from IDS and has threatened thousands of job losses on top of 6,000 already out for consultation.
The union conducted a vote of no confidence in Royal Mail chief executive Simon Thompson this week.
He said of the company’s offer on Wednesday: “Talks have lasted for seven months and we have made numerous improvements and two pay offers, which would now see up to a 9% pay increase over 18 months alongside a host of other enhancements. This is our best and final offer.
“Negotiations involve give and take, but it appears that the CWU’s approach is to just take. We want to reach a deal, but time is running out for the CWU to change their position and avoid further damaging strike action tomorrow.”
CWU general secretary Dave Ward responded: “We are disappointed that instead of reaching a compromise to avoid major disruption, Royal Mail have chosen to pursue such an aggressive strategy.
“We will not accept that 115,000 Royal Mail workers – the people who kept us connected during the pandemic, and made millions in profit for bosses and shareholders – take such a devastating blow to their livelihoods.
“We urge every member of the public to stand with their postie, and back them like never before.”
British taxpayers are set to swallow a loss of just over £10bn on the 2008 rescue of Royal Bank of Scotland (RBS) as the government prepares to confirm that it has offloaded its last-remaining shares in the lender as soon as next week.
Sky News can reveal the ultimate cost to the UK of saving RBS – now NatWest Group – from insolvency is expected to come in at about £10.2bn once the proceeds of share sales, dividends and fees associated with the stake are aggregated.
The final bill will draw a line under one of the most notorious bank bailouts ever orchestrated, and comes nearly 17 years after the then chancellor, Lord Darling, conducted what RBS’s boss at the time, Fred Goodwin, labelled “a drive-by shooting”.
Insiders believe a statement confirming the final shares have been sold could come in the latter part of next week, although there is a chance that timetable could be extended by a number of days.
The chancellor, Rachel Reeves, is likely to make a statement about the milestone, although insiders say the Treasury and the bank are keen to simply mark the occasion by thanking British taxpayers for their protracted support.
A stock exchange filing disclosing that taxpayers’ stake had fallen below 1% was made last week, down from over 80% in the years after the £45.5bn bailout.
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The stake now stands at 0.26%, meaning the final shares could be offloaded as early as the middle of next week, depending upon demand.
Total proceeds from a government trading plan launched in 2021 to drip-feed NatWest stock into the market have so far reached £12.8bn.
Based on the bank’s current share price, the remaining shares should fetch in the region of £400m, taking the figure to £13.2bn.
In addition, institutional share sales and direct buybacks by NatWest of government-held stock have yielded a further £11.5bn.
Dividend payments to the Treasury during its ownership have totalled £4.9bn, while fees and other payments have generated another £5.6bn.
In aggregate, that means total proceeds from NatWest since 2008 are expected to hit £35.3bn.
Under Rick Haythornthwaite and Paul Thwaite, now the bank’s chairman and chief executive respectively, NatWest is now focused on driving growth across its business.
It recently tabled an £11bn bid to buy Santander UK, according to the Financial Times, although no talks are ongoing.
Mr Thwaite replaced Dame Alison Rose, who left amid the crisis sparked by the debanking scandal involving Nigel Farage, the Reform UK leader.
Sky News recently revealed that the bank and Mr Farage had reached an undisclosed settlement.
During the first five years of NatWest’s period in majority state ownership, the bank was run by Sir Stephen Hester, now the chairman of easyJet.
Sir Stephen stepped down amid tensions with the then chancellor, George Osborne, about how RBS – as it then was – should be run.
Lloyds Banking Group was also in partial state ownership for years, although taxpayers reaped a net gain of about £900m from that period.
Other lenders nationalised during the crisis included Bradford & Bingley, the bulk of which was sold to Santander UK, and Northern Rock, part of which was sold to Virgin Money – which in turn has been acquired by Nationwide.
NatWest declined to comment on Friday, while the Treasury has been contacted for comment.
Households on the energy price cap will see a 7% reduction in their average annual payments from 1 July, the industry regulator has announced while urging households to seek out the “better deals out there”.
The default cap – which is reviewed every three months – will see a typical household using gas and electricity and paying by Direct Debit stump up an average annual £1,720, Ofgem said.
That is down from the current April-June figure of £1,849 and reflects a reduction in wholesale gas prices.
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Cost of living impacts families
Ofgem also confirmed further bill savings through a £19 average cut, from July, in standing charges for households paying by both direct debit and prepayment, following an operating cost and debt allowances review.
The price cap does not limit total bills because householders still pay for the amount of energy they consume.
The watchdog’s announcements were made just days after fresh forecasts suggested that bills linked to the cap could come down further from both October and January, given recent wholesale market price trends.
Industry data specialist Cornwall Insight estimated on Friday that the price cap was currently on course to rise only slightly in October – by less than £1 a month.
Wholesale gas costs last winter had been relatively stable until a cold snap hit much of Europe in January and early February, driving up demand at a time of weaker stocks.
Other risk factors ahead include extended EU gas storage rules and global conflicts, not least the continuing Russia-Ukraine war that sparked the 2022 energy price spike and cost of living crisis in the first place.
Tim Jarvis, director general of markets at Ofgem, said: “A fall in the price cap will be welcome news for consumers, and reflects a reduction in the international price of wholesale gas. However, we’re acutely aware that prices remain high, and some continue to struggle with the cost of energy.
“The first thing I want to remind people is that you don’t have to pay the price cap – there are better deals out there, so it’s important to shop around, and talk to your existing supplier about the best deal they can offer you. And changing your payment method to direct debit or smart pay as you go can save you up to £136.”
Ofgem said that a minority of homes, 35%, were on a fixed rate deal.
Price comparison sites lined up after the price cap announcement to urge households still on the default tariff to investigate a switch.
Tom Lyon, director at Compare the Market said: “If anyone is worried about potentially higher energy bills later this year, they could consider locking in a fixed rate deal now.
“Fixed rate deals also protect you from price hikes if the oil and gas markets are volatile. Beyond your energy bills, it’s important to search and compare other household bills, such as your car insurance, credit cards, or broadband, to see if you can make savings.”
A £500m deal to end the two-year ownership impasse at the Daily Telegraph has been agreed “in principle”, it has been announced.
A consortium led by US firm Redbird Capital was set to take control of Telegraph Media Group (TMG), with state-backed Abu Dhabi investment vehicle IMI among the investors.
The pair’s original joint venture, known as RedBird IMI, had originally agreed to buy the Telegraph titles in 2023.
But prospects for a deal were held up by the previous Conservative government’s subsequent ban on foreign state ownership of UK newspapers.
The row centred on the involvement of IMI’s owner Sheikh Mansour bin Zayed Al Nahyan, who is the owner of Manchester City FC but also the vice president of the United Arab Emirates.
The ban was based on fears around editorial independence.
However, the rules were relaxed earlier this month by the current government, which said a foreign state-controlled holding of up to 15% was acceptable.
It is understood that UK-based media investors are among the proposed owners within the consortium.
Sky News reported on Monday that the Daily Mail’s owner had been in talks over involvement.
Image: Daily Mail owner Lord Rothermere
The Telegraph newspaper itself reported that regulatory hurdles remained – a factor that could yet scupper completion of the deal.
Anna Jones, TMG chief executive, said: “Telegraph Media Group is an award-winning news media organisation, with exceptional journalism at its heart, supported by leading commercial expertise, a commitment to innovation and a laser focus on data to drive strategy.
“RedBird Capital Partners have exciting growth plans that build on our success – and will unlock our full potential across the breadth of our business.”
RedBird, whose other UK interests include a 10% stake in the US group behind Liverpool FC, said its growth strategy would include “capital investment in digital operations, subscriptions and journalism”.
Its statement continued: “RedBird will build on the strong financial foundations established by the current management team and will work with them to grow the brand internationally, with a focus on the United States where RedBird has a strong strategic presence across news, media and sports.
“Together, RedBird and TMG senior leadership will work to develop new content verticals in areas such as travel and events to maximise the commercial opportunities from a growing international and mass affluent subscriber base.”
Redbird founder Gerry Cardinale added: “This transaction marks the start of a new era for The Telegraph as we look to grow the brand in the UK and internationally, invest in its technology and expand its subscriber base.
“We believe that the UK is a great place to invest, and this acquisition is an important part of RedBird’s growing portfolio of media and entertainment companies in the UK.”