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We’ve made it to the final week of college football’s 2022 regular season.

The final week always brings rivalries to the forefront and this season age-old matchups will dictate what happens in the College Football Playoff field.

A spot is reserved in the CFP for the winner of The Game between Michigan and Ohio State once again. Since the Wolverines took down C.J. Stroud and the Buckeyes last season to earn a spot in the playoff, revenge will be on the minds of everyone in Columbus.

Another possible playoff spot is on the line Saturday night in L.A. as USC hosts Notre Dame. The Trojans are the Pac-12’s best chance at the CFP but first will have to get past a Fighting Irish team that has won five games in a row and aiming for a New Year’s Six bowl.

Clemson hosts South Carolina after the Gamecocks put together their best performance of the season against Tennessee last week while a low stakes Iron Bowl hits Alabama.

Tulane and Cincinnati meet with a spot in the American Athletic Conference title game up for grabs and Oregon and Oregon State clash in a ranked matchup.

These are the key storylines ahead of the final week of the regular season.


No. 3 Michigan (11-0) at No. 2 Ohio State (11-0) (Saturday, noon ET, Fox)

There have only been 11 other matchups between these two teams with both ranked in the top five and in five of those 11 games, the winner either went on to the playoff, a berth in the BCS national championship game or won the national championship.

To say the stakes are high is an understatement. Both teams know what’s on the line. Although there has been some trash talk and vitriol in the past, Michigan coach Jim Harbaugh is taking a different approach to this year’s game.

“We’re very grateful to be in this position to be playing in this game. Winner takes the East, winner takes all right there,” Harbaugh said. “So, strong opponent, and it’s the kind of situation that gives you the opportunity to display how strong our team is. There’s no need to hate, be grateful for the opponent. It’s like superheroes, it’s through a strong opponent you get to find out who you are.”

There might not be much bulletin board material this week for either team, but Ohio State has not forgotten the past. After Michigan won The Game last season, then offensive coordinator Josh Gattis said on the radio that Ohio State was more of a finesse team and not a tough team.

Ohio State coach Ryan Day said this isn’t the place or time to talk about what was said in the past, but tight end Cade Stover made it very clear, he is going to use those words as motivation.

“I really don’t give a s— what anyone outside this program says about our toughness,” Stover said Tuesday. “We know what we’ve got.”

Both teams are undefeated and have Heisman-caliber players, but both teams are also dealing with key injuries.

For Michigan, star running back Blake Corum was injured against Illinois, but told Detroit News reporter Angelique Chengelis that he should be good to go for the game. The Buckeyes have injuries in the backfield as well with Miyan Williams and TreVeyon Henderson both banged up, but freshman Dallan Hayden stepped in against Maryland and rushed for 146 yards and three touchdowns.

Neither coach had an update on their injuries, but neither seemed too concerned about their team or its health.

Day knows no matter who’s on the field, they will be motivated by the loss from last season and both teams will bring their best Saturday. Day said he didn’t want to put too much on his players regarding implications of this game, but he has reminded them of what they felt like after the loss to the Wolverines last season.

“I think you’re shaped by whatever’s happened in your past and we have scars and it motivated us all offseason,” Day said. “So, we’ve worked very hard to get to this moment right here, and now it’s time to go prepare the best we can and that’s what we’re going to focus on physically, mentally and emotionally to go play the hardest game we’ve ever played. And we’ll find out where we’re at on Saturday.” — Tom VanHaaren


No. 15 Notre Dame (8-3) at No. 6 USC (10-1) (Saturday, 7:30 p.m. ET, ABC/ESPN app)

Billed at the greatest intersectional rivalry in college football, USC and Notre Dame enter the contest with both teams ranked for the first time since 2017.

The Trojans, who moved up to No. 6 in Tuesday’s CFP rankings, have a realistic path to their first playoff appearance, but not if they can’t beat Notre Dame, which has won five straight since a stunning home loss to Stanford.

“Enjoy being in this moment, enjoy competing at this level,” USC coach Lincoln Riley said of his message to the players. “Our team gets excited to play teams like this, there is no question about it. It’s fun playing really good competition in cool venues with a lot of things on the line. That is so much fun, so embrace it.”

The Heisman Trophy could be on the line for USC quarterback Caleb Williams, who helped his candidacy with a career-best 470-yard passing performance last week at UCLA. Williams has accounted for 40 touchdowns (33 pass, 7 rush) in 11 games for USC, helping the nation’s No. 2 offense eclipse 40 points in five consecutive games.

But he hasn’t faced many defenses as talented and sound as Notre Dame’s, which ranks 16th nationally against the pass.

“They have good players at all levels,” Riley said. “They’ve built a talent base. When their backups come in, there are still a lot of talented guys on that field.”

Both teams have elite defensive ends. Notre Dame’s Isaiah Foskey has 5.5 sacks in his past five games and recently became the school’s career sacks leader (25). USC’s Tuli Tuipulotu is a national defensive player of the year candidate with 11.5 sacks, tying him for first nationally.

“He’s a powerful, athletic defensive end; he can beat you up physically and also use his athletic ability to get around you as an offensive lineman,” Notre Dame offensive coordinator Tommy Rees told ESPN. “They put him in really good spots, try to single him up. We’ve got to do our part to make sure we’re sound in our protections.”

Rees believes Notre Dame’s offensive line, which entered the season with lofty expectations but struggled early, is playing at a higher level than any group in the country. Notre Dame has effectively used running backs Audric Estime, Logan Diggs and Chris Tyree and eclipsed 220 rushing yards in four of the past five games.

USC ranks 96th nationally in yards allowed but has excelled in takeaways, leading the nation with 18 interceptions. The Trojans’ turnover margin — 25 takeaways, four giveaways — leads the FBS by a wide margin.

Rees, who went 2-1 against USC as Notre Dame’s starting quarterback, said decision-making from current QB Drew Pyne, and the Irish’s ability to protect him, will be key in limiting the mistakes that have doomed USC’s opponents. Pyne is averaging only 170.3 passing yards per game but has thrown 19 touchdowns and only five interceptions, avoiding any games with multiple picks this season.

“He’s 8-1 as the starting quarterback at Notre Dame, and he’s done a lot of good things to help our program win games,” Rees said. “Anyone else’s opinion or narrative is kind of nonsense to me. The job of the quarterback is to win football games. He’s extremely confident, and I’m excited for him to get a chance out there in L.A.”

After dropping eight straight to USC from 2002 through 2009, Notre Dame has won four in a row and eight of the teams’ past 11 meetings. — Adam Rittenberg


South Carolina (7-4) at No. 8 Clemson (11-1) (Saturday, noon ET, ABC/ESPN app)

The obvious question following South Carolina’s 63-38 win over then-No. 5 Tennessee last week, a game in which QB Spencer Rattler threw more touchdowns (six) than he had in seven prior SEC games combined (five), was what the heck happened?

Surely, South Carolina found a magic formula by rewriting the game plan, throwing out the playbook and replacing it with some sorcerer’s spells in order to follow up an entirely mediocre season with a stunning upset. A week earlier, the Gamecocks managed just 237 yards and six points in a loss to 6-5 Florida.

So, what’s the secret?

“We called a lot of the same stuff we have all year,” South Carolina coach Shane Beamer said. “If anything, there was less in the game plan. But [Rattler] played with a lot of confidence and he was very poised and knew where to go with the ball.”

South Carolina churned out a historical performance against a top-five team by simply doing what it’s always done — and just did it better than usual.

If that seems illogical, perhaps it’s best to step into the time machine and travel back to August 2021. Rattler was the QB at Oklahoma, a preseason Heisman favorite and a near unanimous pick to be the first overall pick in the 2022 NFL draft. The guy was unquestionably talented.

But then Rattler’s season went haywire, he was benched and eventually he transferred to South Carolina. His new home afforded only minimal respite, and he struggled to recreate the big numbers he’d posted in 2020 that had made him a scout’s dream.

Rather than assume Rattler was simply overrated or lost his touch, imagine when the pieces fit and it all clicked against Tennessee. Suddenly, the guy everyone loved 15 months ago was back.

“He made some throws you just can’t defend,” Clemson coach Dabo Swinney said. “You go back and look and some, there was that much” — Swinney holds two fingers separated by six inches — “that much room between a touchdown catch and an incompletion.”

If it seems like a long shot, just consider the QB Rattler will face in this week’s rivalry game against Clemson.

Back in August 2021, DJ Uiagalelei was a guy with real Heisman hopes, too, and with his big arm, he looked like an obvious NFL prospect. But like Rattler, his 2021 season went off the rails as Clemson tried to find the right supporting cast, Uiagalelei battled injuries and doubt and criticism became the soundtrack to a lost season.

Uiagalelei didn’t transfer like Rattler did. Instead, Swinney spent an offseason praising the QB. The result was a solid rebound season that, while far from Heisman-worthy, has kept the Tigers in the playoff hunt. Still, Uiagalelei sees the parallels.

“I don’t want to talk about anyone else’s journey,” Uiagalelei said, “but he’s done a great job of just sticking to being the person he is and playing his game and not listening to the outside noise.”

For both, the highs may have been a bit overvalued. But the lows — well, QBs have a way of being drug deep into the mire when things go bad.

“He gets that, but he’s been a fantastic teammate and a fantastic leader,” Beamer said of Rattler. “I told him the other day, and I think you can say the same thing about DJ — DJ’s the starting quarterback and he’s won 10 football games. With Spencer, too, he’s done a lot of positive things this year. It might not be the year he wanted statistically, but he’s won a lot of football games and done a lot of things for us as a program already.”

Perhaps Rattler and Uiagalelei will never live up to the expectations many had before the start of last season, but 2022 has been, unquestionably, a reminder that both are immensely talented.

“Both have had some ups and downs, but DJ’s really played well for us,” Swinney said. “He’s a winner, a great leader and an unbelievably committed guy. And Spencer, I’ve got a lot of respect for him as a player. He’s got all the tools.”

Rattler and Uiagalelei were both asked this week about their futures in college football. Both can return for 2023 with hopes of building on the steps forward they’ve taken this year. Or they could leave, try their luck in the NFL draft, hope to prove people wrong again at the next level.

There’s probably no simple answer for either one. The path isn’t nearly so clear as it might’ve seemed 15 months ago.

But Saturday’s Palmetto Bowl will allow at least one of them to add another chapter to their personal redemption stories.

“I wanted to come here and win a lot of big games,” Rattler said after Saturday’s win over Tennessee. “We’ve been doing that. And we’ve still got games to finish out.” — David Hale

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CFP selection committee chair Boo Corrigan explains why it has Clemson ranked behind Alabama.


Auburn (5-6) at No. 8 Alabama (9-2) (Saturday, 3:30 p.m. ET, CBS)

There’s no such thing as an inconsequential Iron Bowl. Just ask the folks who live in the state or the coaches and players who’ve been a part of one of college football’s fiercest rivalries.

But this Iron Bowl will take on a different feel Saturday. For one, it’s the first time since 2007 that the game hasn’t had direct College Football Playoff or BCS national championship game implications. Alabama has already lost two regular-season games and is out of the playoff chase. This is the first time Alabama has gone into this game with two regular-season losses since 2010.

It’s been a tumultuous season for Auburn, and the Tigers are just trying to become bowl-eligible. But it’s been a different Auburn team these past three games under interim coach and former star running back Cadillac Williams. Auburn, playing with renewed life, has won two straight games on the heels of a 39-33 overtime loss to Mississippi State under Williams, who took over when Bryan Harsin was fired on Oct. 31.

Auburn running back Tank Bigsby said Williams is coaching the whole team with the “same energy” that he coached the running backs before being named interim head coach.

“If you know Coach Cadillac, he didn’t change because he was the head coach,” Bigsby said.

One thing that has changed under Williams is an Auburn running game that has gone from sporadic to dynamic. The Tigers have rushed for more than 250 yards in each of their past three games and averaged 5.4 yards per rush. Auburn has had a 100-yard rusher in each of its three games under Williams, and Bigsby and Jarquez Hunter have each rushed for 100 yards in the past two games, wins over Western Kentucky and Texas A&M.

Alabama has been one of the toughest teams in the country to run the ball against this season, especially those teams that are one-dimensional. The Crimson Tide are tied for eighth nationally in rushing yards per attempt allowed (3.1). But in four different SEC games, they allowed more than 180 yards on the ground, and one of the things to watch in this game is whether or not Auburn quarterback Robby Ashford can loosen up the Alabama defense by having success running. LSU quarterback Jayden Daniels rushed for 95 yards, including a 25-yard touchdown run in overtime, in the Tigers’ 32-31 win.

The Crimson Tide won in four overtimes a year ago against the Tigers, and quarterback Bryce Young rallied the Tide from a 10-0 deficit. They drove 97 yards for a touchdown late in regulation to force the four overtimes and a 24-22 Alabama win. It’s a game that changed the trajectories of both teams. Alabama went on to win the SEC championship and play in the national championship game. Auburn and Harsin never really recovered, as Harsin was the subject of a university-directed investigation a little more than a month later before being fired in October.

And while there won’t be a national championship opportunity down the road for Alabama this season, nobody needs to explain the stakes to Nick Saban. As he’s said multiple times, if you don’t win this game, regardless of anything else you’ve accomplished, there’s always a but.

Of course, the backdrop to this game will center on the guy who won’t be coaching on either sideline. A lot of signs are pointing to Ole Miss‘ Lane Kiffin being named Auburn’s head coach as early as Sunday.

Just the thought of Saban and Kiffin in the same state is enough to spice up even the spiciest of rivalries. — Chris Low


No. 9 Oregon (9-2) at No. 23 Oregon State (8-3) (Saturday, 3:30 p.m. ET, ABC/ESPN app)

On some level, it feels like the Ducks are making a winded, but valiant sprint to the finish line. But if that’s the case — after a close loss to Washington and a close win against Utah — maybe the motivation of a regional rivalry game is exactly what Oregon needs to ensure it plays at least one more meaningful game in the Pac-12 championship. A win and the Ducks are in.

Oregon State will arrive just as motivated. The Beavers have quietly put together a fantastic season under head coach Jonathan Smith. Take the blowout loss to Utah in Salt Lake City away and they’ve lost their other two games by a combined six points. At 8-3, it will be easy for Oregon Stage to match the Ducks’ motivation despite not having a trip to the title game on the line. Since 2003, Oregon State has only won nine games in a regular season once.

And while the story for the Ducks this season has mostly been their offense, it’s their defense that comes into this game with some momentum. As Smith noted earlier this week, Oregon’s defense shut down a good offense in Utah last week during what was a tough, low-scoring affair.

“They’re explosive on offense, and we know we’re not going to win this game 3-0, or going into it we don’t think so,” Smith said. “But then you get into these games and each game is a little bit different.”

One of the anchors of that explosive Ducks’ offense led by quarterback Bo Nix has been starting center Alex Forsyth, who missed the Utah game due to a right shoulder injury. Oregon coach Dan Lanning did not shed much light on whether Forsyth would be able to play in this week’s game.

“It’s that time of year when you’re banged up and you’re hurting and it’s not Week 1 anymore,” Lanning said.

If Oregon is limping to the finish line, it feels like the Beavers are catching their stride, which will likely make this an even matchup. And what better way to cap off Smith’s turnaround of the program in Corvallis than with a signature win against Oregon State’s most hated rival. Potentially keeping them out of the Pac-12 championship? That would just be icing on top of the cake. — Paolo Uggetti


No. 19 Tulane (9-2) at No. 24 Cincinnati (9-2) (Friday, noon ET, ABC/ESPN app)

Cincinnati fans have been clamoring for a change at quarterback for a while now.

Well, they may get what they asked for at an interesting time — during the regular-season finale against Tulane with a trip to the American Athletic Conference championship game on the line.

So far, there’s been no decision on whether starting quarterback Ben Bryant will be ready after he suffered a foot injury during last week’s win at Temple. He left the game in the second half and returned to the sideline on crutches.

Following in Desmond Ridder‘s footsteps was never going to be easy, but Bryant has fallen short of expectations. For one, he’s not as skilled a runner as Ridder, checking in with minus-118 rushing yards this season. And while he’s been solid overall in the passing game (21 touchdowns, seven interceptions), he hasn’t been a true difference-maker, ranking seventh in the AAC in QBR (57.4) and fifth in yards (2,732).

So, naturally, fans have been wondering about his backup, Evan Prater, one of the most sought-after recruits in program history and a player who has the ability to run the football when called upon.

Before the Temple game, the former four-star prospect had played only sparingly, completing 6 of 8 pass attempts for 111 yards, no touchdowns and no interceptions. But, during that time, he carried the ball nine times for 89 yards and a touchdown.

Then, Prater came on against Temple and looked good, completing 12 of 17 passes for 127 yards, no touchdowns and no interceptions. He also ran nine times for 24 yards.

Afterward, Cincinnati coach Luke Fickell praised Prater, saying he did a good job of what he was asked to do. As the game progressed, Fickell said coaches gave him more opportunities.

“I thought he moved around the pocket really well and delivered some really good balls,” he said.

Against a stout Tulane secondary that gives up only 189.5 passing yards per game, Prater’s ability to mix things up as a runner could come in handy. UCF quarterback John Rhys Plumlee rushed for 176 yards against the Green Wave only a few weeks ago; Tulane is giving up an AAC-high 4.03 yards per rush to quarterbacks this season.

On Tuesday, Fickell didn’t tip his hand about who would start at quarterback. He said they’re “optimistic” about Bryant’s recovery but they won’t know his availability until closer to game time.

“If [Bryant is] able to do it, then you know what, we could go that direction,” he said. “But, we got to have preparations in both ways.” — Alex Scarborough


Clinching scenarios for Week 13

Spots already clinched

ACC: Clemson and North Carolina

Big 12: TCU

Pac-12: USC

SEC: Georgia and LSU

Conference USA: UTSA

MAC: Toledo and Ohio

Mountain West: Boise State and Fresno State

Sun Belt: Coastal Carolina

Big 12

Kansas State clinches with a win vs Kansas OR Texas loss vs Baylor. According to ESPN Analytics, there’s an 88% chance the Wildcats reach the Big 12 championship game.

•Texas clinches with a win vs Baylor AND Kansas State loss vs Kansas. There’s a 12% chance the Longhorns reach the Big 12 championship game, according to ESPN Analytics.

Big Ten

• The winner of Saturday’s Michigan-Ohio State game wins the East. According to ESPN Analytics, there’s a 71% chance the Buckeyes reach the Big Ten championship game (29% for the Wolverines).

• Iowa clinches the West with a win vs Nebraska OR losses by Illinois (at Northwestern) and Purdue (at Indiana). According to ESPN Analytics, there’s an 84% chance the Hawkeyes reach the Big Ten championship game.

• Purdue clinches the West with a win at Indiana AND Iowa loss to Nebraska. There’s a 12% chance the Boilermakers reach the Big Ten championship game, according to ESPN Analytics.

• Illinois clinches the West with a win at Northwestern AND losses by Iowa (vs Nebraska) and Purdue (at Indiana).

Pac-12

• Oregon clinches with a win at Oregon State OR Washington loss at Washington State. According to ESPN Analytics, there’s a 78% chance the Ducks reach the Pac-12 championship game.

Utah clinches with a win at Colorado AND losses by Oregon (at Oregon State), Washington State (vs Washington) and California (vs UCLA). According to ESPN Analytics, there’s a 15% chance the Utes reach the Pac-12 championship game.

• Washington clinches with a win at Washington State AND (1) losses by Oregon (at Oregon State) and Utah (at Colorado) or (2) losses by Oregon (at Oregon State) and UCLA (at California).

American

• The winner of the Tulane-Cincinnati game on Friday clinches a spot in the American championship game.

• UCF clinches a spot in the American championship game with a win at South Florida.

• Even with a loss, Tulane clinches a spot in the American championship game with a UCF loss at South Florida.

• Even with a loss, Cincinnati clinches a spot in the American championship game with losses by UCF (at South Florida) and Houston (vs Tulsa).

• If Houston wins and Cincinnati and UCF loses, the tie between the Bearcats and Cougars will be broken by composite computer rankings (Cincinnati is currently well ahead of Houston in those rankings)

Conference USA

North Texas clinches with a win vs Rice OR Western Kentucky loss at Florida Atlantic. According to ESPN Analytics, there’s a 91% chance the Mean Green reach the Conference USA championship game.

• Western Kentucky clinches with a win at Florida Atlantic AND North Texas loss vs Rice. According to ESPN Analytics, there’s a 9% chance the Hilltoppers reach the Conference USA championship game.

Sun Belt

Troy clinches the West with a win at Arkansas State OR South Alabama loss vs Old Dominion. There’s a 75% chance the Trojans reach the Sun Belt championship game, according to ESPN Analytics.

• South Alabama clinches the West with a win vs Old Dominion AND Troy loss at Arkansas State. According to ESPN Analytics, there’s a 25% chance the Jaguars reach the Sun Belt championship game.

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Conn Smythe Watch: Swayman, McDavid, Zibanejad among leaders for playoffs MVP

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Conn Smythe Watch: Swayman, McDavid, Zibanejad among leaders for playoffs MVP

Boston Bruins coach Jim Montgomery knows a thing or two about how quickly narratives can shift in the Stanley Cup playoffs.

“The first round is the wild, wild West. Always is,” he said after Boston won Game 7 against the Toronto Maple Leafs.

That goes for the race for the Conn Smythe Trophy, too. Every week, new heroes emerge in the race for playoff MVP, while previous front-runners fade to the background.

With the NHL postseason down to its final eight teams, here are the favorites, the players on the cusp and the candidates who have a little more ground to make up in the race.

This list was compiled through conversations with those around the league, including some who may be part of the 18-person panel of Professional Hockey Writers Association members who will eventually vote on the award.

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Keys to the offseason: What’s next for the Golden Knights, other eliminated teams?

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Keys to the offseason: What's next for the Golden Knights, other eliminated teams?

The 2023-24 NHL regular season was an entertaining one, with races for playoff position, point and goal leaders, and major trophies all coming down to the bitter end.

But not every fan base got to enjoy all of it so much.

With eliminations piling up, it’s time to look ahead to the offseason. Clubs that didn’t quite hit the mark this season will use the draft, free agency and trades in an effort to be more competitive in 2024-25.

Read on for a look at what went wrong for each eliminated team, along with a breakdown of its biggest keys this offseason and realistic expectations for next season. Note that more teams will be added to this story as they are eliminated.

Note: Profiles for the Atlantic and Metro teams were written by Kristen Shilton, while Ryan S. Clark analyzed the Central and Pacific teams. Stats are collected from sites such as Natural Stat Trick, Hockey Reference and Evolving Hockey. Projected cap space per Cap Friendly. Dates listed with each team are when the entry was published.

Jump to a team:
ANA | ARI | BUF | CGY
CHI | CBJ | DET | LA
MIN | MTL | NSH | NJ
NYI | OTT | PHI | PIT
SJ | SEA | STL | TB
TOR | VGK | WSH | WPG

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NFL experts debate the 2024 draft: Best picks and biggest head-scratchers

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NFL experts debate the 2024 draft: Best picks and biggest head-scratchers

The 2024 NFL draft brought record-breaking trends, including six quarterbacks picked in Round 1 for the first time since 1983 and eight offensive tackles taken in Round 1, which ties 2008 for the most ever. Now that more than a week has passed since the draft concluded, our NFL experts have had time to assess the class.

We asked our analysts and insiders to answer some of the draft’s biggest questions. We’ll begin with their favorite picks and the biggest head-scratching selections — some of which don’t involve quarterback Michael Penix Jr. going to the Atlanta Falcons in the top 10. We’ll continue to update this story with a new topic every day this week, including rookie classes our analysts believe will make the biggest impacts, Rookie of the Year picks, fantasy sleepers and bold predictions.

Who were the best picks in this class? Which were the most puzzling? Our experts dive in on the top takeaways:

Jump to a question:
Favorite picks | Biggest head-scratchers

Who was your favorite pick in the entire draft?

Stephania Bell, fantasy football analyst: Cornerback Quinyon Mitchell to the Philadelphia Eagles at No. 22. When a team fills a need with a standout prospect without breaking the bank to do it, it’s a winner. Mitchell is fast and agile and allowed no touchdowns in over 400 coverage snaps last season. He rose many draft boards in recent months … and yet, the Eagles were able to surprise the competition by snagging him here.

Matt Bowen, NFL analyst: Cornerback Mike Sainristil to the Washington Commanders at No. 50. A nickel corner with a playmaking mentality, Sainristil was one of my favorite defensive backs to study. He led Michigan’s defense last season with six interceptions and seven pass breakups. Look for him to play a disruptive role as a rookie in Dan Quinn’s defensive system.

Mike Clay, fantasy football analyst: Wide receiver Ladd McConkey to the Los Angeles Chargers at No. 34. The Chargers moved on from Keenan Allen, Mike Williams, Austin Ekeler and Gerald Everett during the offseason, a foursome responsible for 55% of the team’s targets over the past two seasons. Enter McConkey, who is an excellent fit as a potential Allen replacement in the short-to-intermediate area for quarterback Justin Herbert. Even in a run-heavy offense, McConkey, who came out of Georgia, has a path to massive volume right out of the gate.

Jeremy Fowler, national NFL writer: Wide receiver Malik Nabers to the New York Giants at No. 6. For all the hand-wringing about the Giants’ quarterback outlook, the truth is New York quarterbacks haven’t had a true top-10 receiver since Odell Beckham Jr. Nabers might have the highest ceiling of any offensive player in the draft. Several teams in the top 15 coveted him. Give quarterback Daniel Jones a chance with a guy of this caliber, and see what happens.

Matt Miller, NFL draft analyst: Wide receiver Rome Odunze to the Chicago Bears at No. 9. Let’s give the Bears credit for not overthinking and simply drafting great players. With a rookie quarterback added in Caleb Williams, selecting a go-to receiver for him to learn and grow with was brilliant. It also helps that the two trained together, building chemistry in the pre-draft process. Odunze was my No. 3 overall prospect, which means Chicago drafted two of my top three players in this class.

Eric Moody, fantasy and sports betting analyst: Offensive lineman Graham Barton to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at No. 26. As an ex-offensive lineman, it was a pleasure breaking down Barton’s film. He’s consistent and showcases maximum effort on every play without mental errors. Barton can play center, guard or tackle as a rookie, and I believe he’ll have a superior career to some of the names drafted ahead of him.

Jason Reid, senior Andscape writer: Quarterback Michael Penix Jr. to the Atlanta Falcons at No. 8. I understand everything about the Falcons’ commitment to quarterback Kirk Cousins, the salary cap implications and the potential for strife within the locker room. But if the Falcons are right about Penix, none of that will matter in the long run. If a team believes it has identified a potential transformational player at the most important position in sports, well, it has to go get him. It’s that simple.

Jordan Reid, NFL draft analyst: Edge rusher Dallas Turner to the Minnesota Vikings at No. 17. Minnesota hasn’t drafted an edge rusher in the first two rounds since 2005 (Erasmus James). The team needed to replenish its talent off of the edge after losing Danielle Hunter in free agency. While the team signed Jonathan Greenard and Andrew Van Ginkel during free agency, Turner provides a high upside as a pass-rusher in Brian Flores’ defense. Turner led Alabama with 10 sacks and 45 pressures last season.

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Fantasy projections for the 2024 rookie NFL pass catchers

Check out Mike Clay’s fantasy projections for Marvin Harrison Jr., Malik Nabers, Rome Odunze, Brock Bowers and Brian Thomas Jr.

Aaron Schatz, NFL writer: Wide receiver Adonai Mitchell to the Indianapolis Colts at No. 52. Analytics suggest there is no such thing as a “draft steal” because prospects drop from consensus for good reasons. That being said, Mitchell might have dropped due to off-field concerns, and Colts GM Chris Ballard spoke out against that. This was the No. 5 wide receiver in Playmaker Score but the No. 11 receiver off the board.

Mike Tannenbaum, NFL front office insider: Odunze. He has a legitimate chance to be the best receiver from this draft. Under the motto of “win for today and develop for tomorrow,” the Bears have Allen on a one-year deal, and Odunze has Terrell Owens‘ type of ability. Odunze had 1,640 receiving yards and 13 scores in 2023. This is ideal for Chicago.

Seth Walder, sports analytics writer: Defensive end Laiatu Latu to the Colts at No. 15. Because of medical concerns and the run on offense, the Colts managed to take the edge rusher who led FBS football in pressure rate in each of the past two seasons — yes, ahead of Will Anderson Jr. and Tyree Wilson in 2022 — at No. 15. The Colts might have landed a great one at a premium position in the middle of the first round.

Field Yates, NFL analyst: Odunze. The wideout falling to No. 9 was not a complete surprise, given the anticipated run on quarterbacks early, but it was also not a sure thing. The sixth-highest-rated player on my board could have been the first receiver taken in so many prior drafts, but the presence of Marvin Harrison Jr. and Nabers (the third- and fourth-rated players on my board) made him the third off the board in this class. But don’t be mistaken — Odunze will be an instant impact contributor as one the most polished prospects in the class.


Who was the biggest head-scratching pick of the draft?

Bell: Quarterback Michael Penix Jr. to the Atlanta Falcons at No. 8. It is hard to justify spending this first-round draft capital when the Falcons had declared their nine-figure love for Kirk Cousins weeks earlier. The team did fulfill defensive needs — its most glaring hole entering the draft — in later rounds, but will the strategy of having two QBs capable of starting create less tension in the locker room … or more?

Bowen: Penix. The Falcons built depth behind Cousins with this selection and set up their QB room for the future. However, I saw this as an opportunity for the Falcons to add an impactful defensive player to new coach Raheem Morris’ system, with outside linebacker Dallas Turner and defensive tackle Byron Murphy II still on the board at the time of Atlanta’s pick.

Fowler: Wide receiver Ricky Pearsall to the San Francisco 49ers at No. 31. I’m not about to doubt coach Kyle Shanahan’s eye for offensive skill players, and I love Pearsall as a player. But his place as WR6 in this draft was unexpected. Most teams I spoke to pegged him as a Day 2 pick. Considering the 49ers still have Deebo Samuel and Brandon Aiyuk on the roster, bolstering the offensive or defensive line seemed like a sensible play.

Liz Loza, fantasy and sports betting analyst: Tight end Brock Bowers to the Las Vegas Raiders at No. 13. I was stupefied by the Raiders’ selection of Bowers, and it’s not because of his talent level. He’s a potential generational talent with a do-it-all skill set who was expected to come off the board before the first half of the first round. However, Las Vegas spent an early second-round pick on Michael Mayer just a year ago and entered the draft with holes all along the offensive line. In the end, I suppose, the value Bowers presented was too great to pass on.

Moody: Quarterback Bo Nix to the Denver Broncos at No. 12. While he posted prolific numbers at Oregon during his final collegiate season, it’s worth noting that nearly 67% of his passes came within 9 yards of the line of scrimmage. Nix’s selection appears to reflect desperation on the part of a Sean Payton-led Broncos team in need of a quarterback upgrade. I felt like Denver could have traded down and still landed Nix.

Jason Reid: Offensive tackle Tyler Guyton to the Dallas Cowboys at No. 29. Look, I get that the Cowboys had a major need along their offensive line. And the fact that they moved to rebuild it in this draft makes sense. That established, Guyton, while possessing impressive physical tools, is a developmental player. There’s no sugarcoating that.

Jordan Reid: Defensive tackle Ruke Orhorhoro to the Falcons at No. 35. With Jer’Zhan Newton still on the board, it made more sense to take him there. Newton possesses more upside as a rusher and is an ideal interior defender who pairs perfectly with Grady Jarrett. Orhorhoro is unquestionably the better run-defender, but Newton’s combination of explosiveness and disruption would’ve made him the better pick.

Schatz: Penix. Look, I understand the importance of the quarterback position, leading to six quarterbacks chosen in this year’s top 12. You can talk me into the idea that Penix is a better prospect than J.J. McCarthy despite McCarthy doing better in my QBASE projections. But if all goes well, Penix is not going to take a snap in the NFL regular season until he’s 26 years old. The Penix pick isn’t that head-scratching; it’s the Penix pick in conjunction with the Cousins contract.

Walder: Defensive tackle Braden Fiske to the Los Angeles Rams at No. 39. This has little to do with the player and more to do with the circumstances of the pick. The Rams paid an obscene price to move up from No. 52, sacrificing a fifth-round pick and future second-rounder in the process — the most expensive Day 2 overpay in at least the past six drafts and a larger investment than their first-round pick (Jared Verse at No. 19), according to our draft pick valuations. And all this for a player who was at the beginning of his selection range, according to the Draft Day Predictor (in other words, this was a borderline reach).

Yates: Penix. I had a top-of-the-second-round grade on Penix, but quarterbacks always fly off the board earlier than the overall ranks indicate. This is about Atlanta investing in a player who will turn 24 on Wednesday at a position in which only one player will play after paying Cousins $100 million guaranteed in March. One of the great advantages of a quarterback on a rookie contract is the modest cost of his contract, which affords you the ability to spend elsewhere across the roster. The Falcons are not realizing that advantage with Cousins under contract and making $90 million over the first two seasons of Penix’s deal.

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