South Africa’s economy at a pivotal point as outlook improves but political, energy risks remain
LONDON – South Africa’s President Cyril Ramaphosa speaks during a press conference in central London on November 24, 2022
JUSTIN TALLIS/AFP via Getty Images
South Africa’s long-awaited economic reforms have begun to improve the country’s outlook, but the age-old problems of political uncertainty and a failing power system still pose significant risks.
The Economic Reconstruction and Recovery Plan has been a key tenet of President Cyril Ramaphosa’s agenda since he succeeded Jacob Zuma as the country’s leader in 2018. But deep divisions within the ruling African National Congress (ANC) and his own cabinet have made for sluggish progress.
The suite of reforms — focused on energy security, infrastructure development, food security, job creation and the green transition — is designed to create a “sustainable, resilient and inclusive economy,” the government says.
And — some at least — appear to be working. S&P Global Ratings earlier this month affirmed its positive outlook on the country, saying that government measures to stimulate private sector activity could boost growth, and the measures had the potential to ease economic pressures.
“There is some hope in the public finances in South Africa, mainly due to the increase in government revenues as a result of higher commodity exports, and also due to the progress made in reducing debt and debt distress, and to ushering a public deficit,” Aleix Montana, Africa analyst at risk consultancy Verisk Maplecroft, told CNBC last week.
However, political frailties and persistent issues at a state-owned utility continue to pose present economic risks.
Ramaphosa faces a “perfect storm of inflation, electricity cuts and corruption accusations that will continue to deteriorate South Africa’s profile and to pose risk for investments in the country,” Montana said.
A report into an alleged corruption scandal surrounding Ramaphosa is set to be examined by the National Assembly on Dec. 6, just 10 days before the party conference of his ruling ANC (African National Congress).
Energy woes
Though Ramaphosa is expected to secure a second five-year term, Montana said he will have to improve his credibility on economic and anti-corruption reforms in order to continue pushing through his agenda. The economy also remains at risk from persistent disruptions at state-owned companies, such as power utility Eskom.
South Africans have faced rolling blackouts as Eskom — which has long been a thorn in the side of the country’s economy — contends with shortfalls in generation capacity due to equipment failures and diesel shortages.
The company has warned that power outages, known as “load-shedding,” will continue for the next six to 12 months, and recently said it had run out of funds to acquire the diesel needed to run auxiliary power plants that are deployed during periods of peak consumption or emergencies.
Montana said that in order to secure sustained economic growth, the South African government will need to prioritize energy sustainability.
“Energy will require financial assistance from international players, but they will also need to ensure that it doesn’t have a negative impact on South African society,” he said.
“Apart from financial challenges, a lot of citizens of South Africa are employed in Eskom or in the fossil fuels sector, so the government will need to ensure that in their plan, they mitigate this potential impact of transitioning from a fossil fuels-based economy to the implementation of renewables in order to sustain electricity stability.”
Asked about this issue on a recent state visit to the U.K., Ramaphosa told CNBC’s Arabile Gumede that the problems at Eskom started long before 2014, when former President Jacob Zuma appointed him to address the country’s energy problems.
“As we are generating electricity, power stations keep breaking — many of them are old — but we are trying with a new boat, the management that’s in place to address this problem,” Ramaphosa said.
“So the problems of Eskom were seeds that were planted many years ago, rather than in 2014, and because we’re dealing with huge, complicated and complex machinery, it’s not a one-day fix, it can never be as these are very complex processes.”
He added that the government was working to reduce load-shedding requirements and to “ensure that the money’s there,” noting that Eskom “used to be the best utility in the world.”
“Do I have confidence that we will solve these problems? Yes, I do. I do have enormous confidence that we will solve them,” he said.
“But I think it’s important to have an appreciation of where we’ve come from, and obviously, it is very easy to put all the blame on the president, to put all the blame on the government, and yet these problems have come way back from the past.”
‘Taming the monster’ of inflation
Along with the domestic issues unique to South Africa, the country also faces the same inflationary pressures that have plagued economies around the world over the past year.
Annual headline inflation rose to 7.6% in October, defying the South African Reserve Bank’s expectations for price pressures to ease. This prompted the bank’s Monetary Policy Committee to hike interest rates by an aggressive 75 basis points last week, taking the benchmark repo rate to 7%.
This marked the seventh consecutive meeting at which monetary policy had been tightened, and central bank Governor Lesetja Kganyago said in a press conference that it must “tame the monster of inflation.”
With prices rising much faster than the central bank’s 3-6% target, Kganyago noted that the SARB needs to see clear evidence that inflation has not just peaked, but begun to sustainably decline toward the midpoint of the range.
But further monetary tightening will place additional pressure on the economy.
“We think that inflation is unlikely to return within the target range (let alone the midpoint) in the coming months, keeping policymakers in tightening mode well into 2023,” said Virág Fórizs, emerging markets economist at Capital Economics.
She flagged that food inflation continues to increase, offsetting some of the effects of softening fuel price pressures, while core inflation is likely to remain high. Capital Economics expects inflation to hover around 7.5% annually until early 2023, before dropping markedly around the middle of the year.
Fórizs said the weakness of the economy is unlikely to prevent further rate hikes, with growth concerns playing second fiddle to inflation worries. South African GDP contracted by 0.7% in the second quarter.
“While the end of the tightening cycle is not yet in sight, we expect the pace of tightening to slow over the next MPC meetings,” she noted.
Three MPC members voted to hike rates by 75 basis points last week, while two voted for 50 basis points. It marked an apparent softening of approach by some who voted for a 100-basis-point rise at the previous meeting.
“All in all, we’ve penciled in 100bp of further increases in the repo rate, to 8.00%, by Q2 2023,” Fórizs said.
Indian ag and automaker Mahindra has launched a limited-run Batman Edition of its BE 6 Electric Origin SUV, calling it, “a production car that brings to life a rare fusion of cinematic heritage and modern luxury, inspired by Christopher Nolan’s critically acclaimed The Dark Knight Trilogy from Warner Bros. Pictures.”
And, you guys – the new Mahindra BE 6 is. So. Serious.
Someone at Mahindra is very taken with American culture it seems. After launching the Willys MB Jeep-inspired Mahindra Roxor a few years ago, the company followed it up by building a credible line of EVs co-developed with VW. Now, they’re building a limited edition of one of those EVs inspired by another American cultural icon.
“Batman is more than a pop-culture icon — he represents innovation, resilience, and an unyielding drive to push boundaries,” says Vikram Sharma, Senior Vice President, Warner Bros. Discovery Global Consumer Products, APAC. “This collaboration brings that spirit to the road in a bold, electric way. With this limited-edition range, fans in India can now experience the thrill of Batman every time they drive. It’s a collector’s statement on wheels.”
To separate the Batman Edition from the other Mahindra SUVs, its makers have festooned their EV with Dark Knight logos and branding, inside and out.
Batman Edition features
Exterior
- Custom Satin Black Colour premieres on the Batman Edition
- Custom Batman Decal on front doors
- R20 alloy wheels for an aggressive, athletic stance
- Alchemy Gold-painted suspension and brake callipers a bold, premium contrast to the Satin black body
- “BE 6 × The Dark Knight”, limited edition, rear badging
- The Bat emblem, as seen in The Dark Knight Trilogy, uniquely placed on:
- Hub caps
- Front quarter panels
- Rear bumper
- Windows & Rear Windshield
- Infinity Roof featuring The Dark Knight Trilogy Bat emblem
- Night Trail – Carpet lamps with The Dark Knight Trilogy Bat emblem logo projection
- ‘Batman Edition’ signature sticker on rear door cladding
Interior
- Brushed Alchemy Gold Batman Edition plaque on the dashboard with numbering
- Charcoal leather instrument panel (IP) with brushed gold halo around driver cockpit
- Suede and leather upholstery with gold sepia accent stitching and integrated The Dark Knight Trilogy Bat emblem for a rich, tactile experience
- Gold-accented steering wheel, In-Touch Controller, Electronic Parking Brake, custom key fob with Alchemy gold detailing
- The Dark Knight Trilogy Bat emblem embossed on:
- The “Boost” button
- Seats
- Interior labels
- Pinstripe graphic and The Dark Knight Trilogy Bat Emblem across the passenger dashboard panel
- Race car inspired open straps with Batman Edition Branding Batman Edition welcome animation on the infotainment display
- Custom Batman inspired exterior engine sounds
Despite all the Batman branding, the end result is almost tasteful. I could do without the custom Batman decal on the front quarter panels, but the rest of the mods are far less offensive. I even like the little “Bat Signal” puddle lights on the wing mirrors.
Mahindra Batman BE 6
As a car, the special edition Batman Mahindra is based on the top-shelf version of the BE 6, fitted with a 79 kWh battery good for 550 km (about 340 miles) of range according to its WLTP rating. That battery sends power to a rear-mounted 282 hp (210 kW / 286 PS) electric motor generating and 380 Nm (about 280 lb-ft) of torque that sends power to the rear wheels.
The BE6 also features a modern Level 2 ADAS tech and screens everywhere, including in the steering wheel hub – which seems like it might get particularly nasty in an airbag deployment (but no one asked me).
Pricing starts at ₹27.79 lakh (a little under $27,500, as I type this), and production will be limited to just 300 units. Order books are set to open 23AUG.
SOURCE | IMAGES: Mahindra.
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Electric bike and scooter safety is now part of the curriculum in some schools – and surprisingly, it’s happening in Florida.
Yes, Florida. The state that’s better known for keeping education out of schools, banning everything from books to the word “gay.” But now, a Central Florida nonprofit is stepping in to make sure students are at least learning how to ride responsibly.
The group Best Foot Forward for Pedestrian Safety has partnered with local police departments and Orange County Public Schools to bring e-bike and e-scooter safety programs directly into middle schools and high schools. The initiative is focused on addressing the growing number of crashes and injuries involving students riding electric two-wheelers.
The safety course covers basics like wearing helmets, obeying traffic laws, and making yourself visible to drivers — skills that are important for the many young riders who are increasingly taking to electric bikes as a form of independent transportation around their cities and neighborhoods. One of the main topics of the program is said to be speed management. The program addresses the importance of keeping speeds reasonable and the impacts of faster riding.
Like much of the US, Florida has seen a surge in e-bike and e-scooter popularity among kids and teens, especially in suburban and coastal areas. While many embrace them as a fun and fast way to get around, the sudden rise has also come with a worrying spike in injuries and deaths, prompting calls for improvements in both infrastructure and education.
With e-bike usage exploding across the US, more schools and communities are exploring steps to increase rider education. It’s a sign that America’s transportation habits are changing – and our education systems are beginning to catch up.
Electrek’s Take
I think programs like this are great because they teach kids things that they’d otherwise have to learn through trial and error. We don’t just hand cars to sixteen-year-olds and say, “figure it out.” So it follows that some form of organized rider education would be important as more youths take to e-bikes than ever before.
In cycling-intensive cities in Europe, all schools teach kids to ride bikes, often giving the kids some form of cute little cycling diploma to demonstrate that they’ve passed the course and can safely ride a bike.
But at the same time, this makes me wonder if we’re still missing the point. Responding to an increase in e-bike rider deaths with lessons about bicycle speed management is a bit like responding to mass shootings by lecturing innocent passersby about why they shouldn’t run into bullets.
Educating riders is always great and I’ll always support it. But in parallel, perhaps we should also be addressing the root cause of all of these tragics deaths. At the end of the day, most electric bike-related deaths aren’t a result of an e-bike rider doing too much fast riding; they’re a result of a car driver doing too much running over a cyclist.
via: Fox13
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That viral Tik Tok video showing a “self driving” Ford Mustang Mach-E scraping its way down the highway with a helpless passenger behind the steering wheel praying for his life? California Highway Patrol says the car wasn’t driving itself during the viral highway crash and arrested the driver on suspicion of driving under the influence.
If you have’t seen the video, posted by TikToker Marty Byrde, it shows a self-driving Ford Mustang Mach-E driving down the road, grinding itself against the highway’s concrete Jersey barriers, with the driver behind the wheel, seemingly helpless and afraid and trapped inside an out-of-control vehicle, apparently praying for his life.
There, in a single video, was everyone’s worst fear in an age of electric steering, brake-by-wire, and self-driving cars: a car that loses its mind, killing you and everyone you love and probably a busload of orphans for good measure. (!)
But, thankfully, that doesn’t seem to be what actually happened. At least, not according to the California Highway Patrol (CHP) in Redwood City.
In case it vanishes, the CHP press release does a good job of explaining the situation as it stands, while emphasizing that any short-form video content is going to lack potentially needed context before the public begins to panic about a Maximum Overdrive sort of scenario.
The preliminary investigation indicates the driver of a green Ford Mustang Mach E, crashed into a red Mitsubishi Mirage then collided with the right shoulder wall near the Holly Street overcrossing. Through our investigation, we determined the vehicle was not operating in autonomous mode and CHP officers arrested the driver on suspicion of driving under the influence, resulting in injuries to another.
While we understand public interest in such incidents, video clips may not capture the complete context or investigative process. The CHP conducts each investigation thoroughly, professionally, and in accordance with the law. We thank the community for its concern and remind motorist to report dangerous driving by calling 9-1-1.
The video was especially surprising given Ford’s BlueCruise excellent track record. The system is good enough, in fact, to have been named the top active driver assistance system (ADAS) by Consumer Reports, surpassing rivals such as GM’s Super Cruise and Tesla’s Autopilot in a comparison test of similar OEM ADAS systems.
The original Tik Toker who recorded the now viral video (I hate that phrase, too, but millions of people have seen it by now) reported that no one seemed hurt in the ensuing accident. Coupled with CHP’s confirmation that the Mach-E wasn’t driving itself during the accident, I’d say that walking out of a hands-free, highway speed crash is as good an endorsement as any … but in case you need another one, this one went 250,000 miles and still had 92% of its battery life left.
Ford is currently offering 0% interest financing for up to 72 months for well-qualified buyers, as well as $1,000 in retail bonus cash in some markets.
SOURCE | IMAGES: CHP, featured image from marty.byrde3.
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