We drive down a dusty street in the northern suburbs of Bucharest.
The surface is rough and cracked; there are nails sticking up that have been bent over by the traffic. Weeds grow through the pavement and a parking area is strewn with rubbish.
Along one side of the road, you can see what seems to be a small warehouse, with a door marked out for the security guard. It’s a fairly ugly building from the outside.
But it’s not a warehouse anymore. This is the home of the Tate brothers, a short distance from the runway of the city’s airport, backing onto what looks like scrubland. Peer through the bars on the gate, though, and you see a very different world.
Image: Tate’s home is behind a security gate
Image: Luxury cars can be seen on the land owned by Andrew Tate
There is a looming statue in the front yard, a swimming pool, the word “Tate” picked out in large scrolled writing on two walls, and, most notably, four expensive cars parked by the far wall. A Porsche, a BMW, an Aston Martin and a Rolls-Royce.
Two of them have British personal plates that start with T8, for Tate. I later check and discover that one of them is many months late for its MoT.
This is the house that has been featured in various short films made by Andrew Tate, celebrating his opulent lifestyle. Now, it is quiet.
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Andrew Tate arrives at Romanian court
There are several security men wandering around, presumably to keep an eye on the expensive cars and to ensure that nobody breaks into a house that is now, famously, unoccupied but, just as famously, full of expensive decoration.
We ring the bell, but nobody answers. The house, and its contents, have now been seized by the Romanian government as part of its prosecution of the brothers. Should they ultimately be found guilty then all these things can be sold off to pay for costs and compensation.
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It is here that the Tates are alleged to have orchestrated their plan to lure women to Romania and then coerce them into working on pornographic webcams.
It’s also here that Andrew Tate set up base for his Hustlers University business, which has been described as both a pyramid-selling scheme and a machine to bolster his own online presence.
Neighbours told us that they had seen plenty of coming and going from the house. One described the Tates using a Romanian word that roughly translates as “wheeler-dealers”.
Another said that they had been unpopular during the summer, when they revved their cars at night, while the rest of the block was trying to sleep with their windows open.
Others, though, pointedly made no comment. I spoke to plenty of people in the area, and very few wanted to talk about their notorious neighbours, even in passing. Allegations involving the words “organised crime” often tend to do that.
Image: Andrew Tate leaves after appearing at the Court of Appeal, in Bucharest, Romania
When they were arrested, the allegations seemed extraordinary. The brothers are not simply accused of breaking the law, but of being involved in truly heinous acts.
Somehow, despite the ghastly precedents of recent years, it still seems disconcerting to find high-profile characters being linked to such terrible acts. Crimes that we should record, they deny.
But now that the dust has settled, the case feels more real and tangible. The wheels of justice are turning and, to prove that, we moved from their house to the looming Court of Appeal in the middle of Bucharest.
And it was there that the Tate brothers lost an appeal against their own detention, as well as the seizure of their assets.
During a hearing that went on for more than five hours, and which was held in private, they both spoke, along with two other defendants, Alexandra Luana Radu and Georgiana Naghel.
But it was to no effect. Their lawyer argued that there was little evidence against them, and that there was no reason to think they would flee the country. Instead, the two judges, both women, upheld the original decision to hold them in custody for 30 days until the end of January.
It’s very likely that the prosecution will seek to extend that detention in the weeks to come. Nobody expects this case, full of complexities and controversy, to come to court very soon.
And in the meantime, in that drab street in Voluntari, the curious Tate residence will stand empty. A testament to an empire that has, at least for the time being, ground to a halt.
It has been an extraordinary few hours which may well set the tone for a hugely consequential week ahead.
In the time that it took me to fly from London to Saudi Arabia, where President Donald Trump will begin a pivotal Middle East tour this week, a flurry of news has emerged on a range of key global challenges.
• On the Ukraine war: President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has said he is prepared to meet Russian President Vladimir Putin in Istanbul – this announcement came minutes after Trump urged Zelenskyy to agree to the meeting.
• On the China-US trade war: The White House says the two countries have agreed to a “trade deal”. China said the talks, in Geneva, were “candid, in-depth and constructive”.
All three of these developments represent dramatic shifts in three separate challenges and hint at the remarkable influence the US president is having globally.
This sets the ground for what could be a truly consequential week for Trump’s presidency and his ability to effect change.
On Ukraine, Putin held a late-night news conference at the Kremlin on Saturday at which he made the surprise proposal of talks with Zelenskyy in Istanbul this Thursday.
But he rejected European and US calls for an immediate ceasefire.
The move was widely interpreted as a delay tactic.
Trump then issued a social media post urging Zelenskyy to accept the Russian proposal; effectively to call Putin’s bluff.
The American president wrote: “President Putin of Russia doesn’t want to have a Cease Fire Agreement with Ukraine, but rather wants to meet on Thursday, in Turkey, to negotiate a possible end to the BLOODBATH. Ukraine should agree to this, IMMEDIATELY. At least they will be able to determine whether or not a deal is possible, and if it is not, European leaders, and the U.S., will know where everything stands, and can proceed accordingly! I’m starting to doubt that Ukraine will make a deal with Putin, who’s too busy celebrating the Victory of World War ll, which could not have been won (not even close!) without the United States of America. HAVE THE MEETING, NOW!!!”
“We await a full and lasting ceasefire, starting from tomorrow, to provide the necessary basis for diplomacy. There is no point in prolonging the killings. And I will be waiting for Putin in Türkiye on Thursday. Personally. I hope that this time the Russians will not look for excuses,” Zelenskyy wrote on X.
The prospect of Putin and Zelenskyy together in Istanbul on Thursday is remarkable.
It raises the possibility that Trump would want to be there too.
Image: President Volodymyr Zelenskyy welcomes other world leaders to Kyiv. Pic: Presidential Office of Ukraine/dpa/AP Images
Israel’s war in Gaza
On Gaza, it’s been announced that US envoy Steve Witkoff will arrive in Israel on Monday to finalise details for the release of Idan Alexander, an Israeli-American hostage being held by Hamas.
The development comes after it was confirmed that Mr Witkoff has been holding discussions with Israel, Qatar and Egypt and, through them, with Hamas.
The talks focused on a possible Gaza hostage deal and larger peace discussions for a ceasefire.
Meanwhile, officials from the United States and China have been holding talks in Geneva, Switzerland, to resolve their trade war, which was instigated by Trump’s tariffs against China.
Late on Sunday evening, the White House released a statement claiming that a trade deal had been struck.
In a written statement, titled “U.S. Announces China Trade Deal in Geneva”, treasury secretary Scott Bessent said: “I’m happy to report that we made substantial progress between the United States and China in the very important trade talks… We will be giving details tomorrow, but I can tell you that the talks were productive. We had the vice premier, two vice ministers, who were integrally involved, Ambassador Jamieson, and myself. And I spoke to President Trump, as did Ambassador Jamieson, last night, and he is fully informed of what is going on. So, there will be a complete briefing tomorrow morning.”
Beijing Global Times newspaper quoted the Chinese vice premier as saying that the talks were candid, in-depth and constructive.
However, the Chinese fell short of calling it a trade deal.
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In a separate development, US media reports say that Qatar is preparing to gift Trump a Boeing 747 from its royal fleet, which he would use as a replacement for the existing and aging Air Force One plane.
The Qatari government says no deal has been finalised, but the development is already causing controversy because of the optics of accepting gifts of this value.
Of all the fronts in Donald Trump’s trade war, none was as dramatic and economically threatening as the sky-high tariffs he imposed on China.
There are a couple of reasons: first, because China is and was the single biggest importer of goods into the US and, second, because of the sheer height of the tariffs imposed by the White House in recent months.
In short, tariffs of over 100% were tantamount to a total embargo on goods coming from the United States’ main trading partner. That would have had enormous economic implications, not just for the US but every other country around the world (these are the world’s biggest and second-biggest economies, after all).
So the truce announced on Monday by treasury secretary Scott Bessent is undoubtedly a very big deal indeed.
In short, China will still face an extra 30% tariffs (the 20% levies cast as punishment for China’s involvement in fentanyl imports and the 10% “floor” set on “Liberation Day”) on top of the residual 10% average from the Biden era.
But the rest of the extra tariffs will be paused for 90 days. China, in turn, has suspended its own retaliatory tariffs on the US.
The market has responded as you would probably have expected, with share prices leaping in relief. But that raises a question: is the trade war now over? Now that the two sides have blinked, can globalisation continue more or less as it had before?
That, it turns out, is a trickier and more complex question than it might first seem.
Image: Pic: AP
For one thing, even if one were to assume this is a permanent truce rather than a suspended one, it still leaves tariffs considerably higher than they were only last year. And China faces tariffs far higher than most other countries (tot up the existing ones and the Trump era ones and China faces average tariffs of around 40%, while the average for most countries is between 8% and 14%, according to Capital Economics).
In other words, the US is still implementing an economic policy designed to increase the cost of doing business with China, even if it no longer attempts to prevent it altogether. The fact that last week’s trade agreement with the UK contains clauses seemingly designed to encourage it to raise trade barriers against China for reasons of “security” only reinforces this suspicion. The trade war is still simmering, even if it’s no longer as hot as it was a few days ago.
And more broadly, the deeper impact of the trade rollercoaster in recent months is unlikely to disappear altogether. Companies remain more nervous about investing in factories and expansions in the face of such deep economic instability. No-one is entirely sure the White House won’t just U-turn once again.
That being said, it’s hard not to escape the conclusion that the US president has blinked in this trade war. In the face of a potential recession, he has pulled back from the scariest and most damaging of his tariffs, earlier and to a greater extent than many had expected.
That was in response to the opening gambit made on Saturday by Ukraine and its European allies.
Image: Sir Keir Starmer, Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Emmanuel Macron among world leaders in Kyiv. Pic: AP
Britain’s Sir Keir Starmer said they were “calling Putin out”, that if he was really serious about peace, he should agree to a 30-day unconditional ceasefire starting on Monday.
And they thought they had Donald Trump’s backing until he made his move.
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Kremlin: ‘We don’t share Starmer’s view’
Late Sunday, he drove a cart and horses through claims of western unity, coming down on Putin’s side.
Ukraine, he said, should submit to the Russian leader’s suggestion of talks.
“Ukraine should agree to this – immediately”, he posted. Then: “I’m starting to doubt that Ukraine will make a deal with Putin…”
So much for the Coalition of the Willing having Putin where they wanted him.
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11:51
Are Putin’s call for peace talks genuine?
Trump let him off the hook.
All eyes were then on President Zelenskyy, who has now in turn dramatically raised the stakes.
He will go to Istanbul, he said, and wait there for Vladimir Putin.
The fast-paced diplomacy aside, the last twenty-four hours have brought Europe closer to a moment of truth.
They thought they had Donald Trump’s support, and yet even with 30 nations demanding an unconditional ceasefire, the US president seemed, in the end, to side with the Russian leader.
He has helped Putin get out of a hole.
Yet again, Trump could not be counted on to pressure Vladimir Putin to end this war.
If America is no longer a reliable partner over Ukraine, Europe may need to go it alone, whatever the cost.