China invasion of Taiwan would cause major blow to high-tech supply chain, warns boss of semiconductors firm
If China invaded Taiwan there would be major impacts across the global high-tech supply chain “in weeks”, according to the chief executive of one of the most important companies involved in making vital semiconductor chips.
Speaking exclusively to Sky News, Doris Hsu, CEO of Taiwan-based GlobalWafers, also said customers have “a lot of concerns” about China’s intentions in Taiwan and it’s one of the reasons the firm had opted to locate its new plant in Texas.
Increased tension across the Taiwan Strait has led to concerns that companies will look to protect themselves by withdrawing from the self-governing island that China sees as its own and direct longer-term investments elsewhere.
Taiwan is a vital global player in technological development and manufacturing, particularly semiconductors.
Semiconductors are the vital microchips described as the “brain” in modern electronics; they power everything from planes and appliances to cars and smartphones.
Taiwan manufactures around 90% of the world’s most advanced semiconductors and around 50% of the broader market, much of them made by global leader TSMC.
Any disruption to this would be catastrophic to global supply chains.
GlobalWafers manufactures silicon wafers, one of the crucial parts in semiconductors. It is the world’s third-largest supplier of this component and one of TSMC’s most important suppliers.
Doris Hsu says ‘risk management’ is one of the reasons the new factory was built in Texas
“Some of our customers do have quite a lot of concern about the overall security in Taiwan,” says Ms Hsu. “They want us to be more diversified.”
“In 20 years we have never been asked so frequently as we have recently, so many customers saying ‘Hey Doris, what if anything goes wrong? What’s your contingency plan?'”
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How could a China-Taiwan war hurt the economy?
Speaking about the company’s new $5bn (£4bn) chip plant in Texas, she said one of the reasons for the decision was “contingency or risk management”.
While GlobalWafers is already a very globalised company, with 18 operations across nine countries, the threat of future instability is having an impact on decision making.
“I have been in this industry for over 20 years,” she says.
“In last 20 years, I have had to care more about the business, economic issues, the engineering stuff. What about IP [intellectual property]? What about your leadership or technology? But now I have to think about global political-related issues!”
‘Attack would affect $2trn of trade’
Semiconductors are just one of the areas where Taiwan punches hugely above its weight. Despite its small size, it is the world’s 16th-largest trading economy.
Research organisation the Rhodium Group has estimated that any form of attack or blockade to Taiwan would impact $2trn of economic activity, before taking into account any sanctions or secondary impacts.
GlobalWafers makes silicon wafers, a vital part in semiconductors
There have been concerns that some firms, burnt perhaps by experiences in Russia, would look to move some operations away from the island.
Brompton Bikes, the British bicycle manufacturer, is just one firm that has indicated it will do this.
But experts say there is no mass exodus, more a gentle drip of long-term investment decisions going elsewhere.
“Most companies are not thinking actually about pulling out or relocation – but expansion,” explains Kirsty Tzun-Tzu Hsu, director of the Taiwan ASEAN Studies Center at Chung-Hua Institution of Economic Research.
“They are expanding their supply or supply chain from Taiwan to other countries or other regions, so that they may have someplace to back up if Taiwan cannot produce as quickly or as according to the expected timeframe.”
China is one of many nations also reliant on Taiwan’s high-tech sector and this has been cited by some experts as a reason an invasion may not happen.
World
Body of missing rabbi Zvi Kogan found in UAE – as Israeli PM says he was murdered in ‘antisemitic terror incident’
The COP29 climate talks have reached a last ditch deal on cash for developing countries, pulling the summit back from the brink of collapse after a group of countries stormed out of a negotiating room earlier.
The slew of deals finally signed off in the small hours of Sunday morning in Azerbaijan includes one that proved hardest of all – one about money.
Eventually the more than 190 countries in Baku agreed a target for richer polluting countries such as the UK, EU and Japan to drum up $300bn a year by 2035 to help poorer nations both curb and adapt to climate change.
It is a far cry from the $1.3trn experts say is needed, and from the $500bn that vulnerable countries like Uganda had said they would be willing to accept.
But in the end they were forced to, knowing they could not afford to live without it, nor wait until next year to try again, when a Donald Trump presidency would make things even harder.
Bolivia’s lead negotiator Diego Pacheco called it an “insult”, while the Marshall Islands’ Tina Stege said it was “not nearly enough, but it’s a start”.
UN climate chief Simon Stiell said: “This new finance goal is an insurance policy for humanity, amid worsening climate impacts hitting every country.
“No country got everything they wanted, and we leave Baku with a mountain of work still to do. So this is no time for victory laps.”
The funding deal was clinched more than 24 hours into overtime, and against what felt like all the odds.
The talks were rocked from the start by the incoming presidency of climate denier Mr Trump, the moment Argentina’s team were recalled back to Buenos Aires by their right-wing president and a controversial letter that sent shockwaves through the United Nations.
Pic: AP
The fraught two weeks of negotiations pitted the anger of developing countries who are footing the bill for more dangerous weather that they did little to cause, against the tight public finances of rich countries.
A relieved Juan Carlos Monterrey Gomez, climate envoy for Panama, said there is “light at the end of the tunnel”.
Just hours ago, the talks almost fell apart as furious vulnerable nations stormed out of negotiations in frustration over that elusive funding goal.
They were also angry with oil and gas producing countries, who stood accused of trying to dilute aspects of the deal on cutting fossil fuels.
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Climate-vulnerable nations storm out of talks
The UN talks work on consensus, meaning everyone has to agree for a deal to fly.
A row over how to follow up on last year’s pledge to “transition away from fossil fuels” was left unresolved and punted into next year, following objections from Chile and Switzerland for being too weak.
A draft deal simply “reaffirmed” the commitment but did not dial up the pressure in the way the UK, EU, island states and many others here wanted.
Saudi Arabia fought the hardest against any step forward on cutting fossil fuels, the primary cause of climate change that is intensifying floods, drought and fires around the world.
Governments did manage to strike a deal on carbon markets at COP29, which has been 10 years in the making and will allow countries to trade emissions cuts.
‘Not everything we wanted’
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The UK’s energy secretary, Ed Miliband, said the deal is “not everything we or others wanted”, but described it as a “step forward”.
“It’s a deal that will drive forward the clean energy transition, which is essential for jobs and growth in Britain and for protecting us all against the worsening climate crisis,” he added.
“Today’s agreement sends the signal that the clean energy transition is unstoppable.
“It is the biggest economic opportunity of the 21st century and through our championing of it we can help crowd in private investment.”
Protesters at the summit in Baku. Pic: AP
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The Azerbaijan team leading COP29 said: “Every hour of the day, we have pulled people together. Every inch of the way, we have pushed for the highest common denominator.
“We have faced geopolitical headwinds and made every effort to be an honest broker for all sides.”
At least 20 people have been killed and 66 injured in Israeli strikes on central Beirut, Lebanese authorities have said.
Lebanon‘s health ministry said the death toll could rise as emergency workers dig through the rubble looking for survivors. DNA tests are being used to identify the victims, the ministry added.
The attack destroyed an eight-storey residential building and badly damaged several others around it in the Basta neighbourhood at 4am (2am UK time) on Saturday.
The central Basta neighbourhood in Beirut
The Israeli military did not warn residents to evacuate before the attack and has not commented on the casualties.
At least four bombs were dropped in the attack – the fourth targeting the city centre this week.
A separate drone strike in the southern port city of Tyre this morning killed two people and injured three, according to the state-run National News Agency.
The victims were Palestinian refugees from the nearby al Rashidieh camp who were out fishing, according to Mohammed Bikai, spokesperson for the Fatah Palestinian faction in the Tyre area.
Israel’s military warned residents today in parts of Beirut’s southern suburbs that they were near Hezbollah facilities, which the army would target in the near future. The warning, posted on X, told people to evacuate at least 500 metres away.
The army said that over the past day it had conducted intelligence-based strikes on Hezbollah targets in Dahiyeh, in Beirut’s southern suburbs, where Hezbollah has a strong presence. It said it hit several command centres and weapons storage facilities.
Pic: AP
Israel has killed several Hezbollah leaders in air strikes on the capital’s southern suburbs.
Heavy fighting between Israel and Hezbollah is ongoing in southern Lebanon, as Israeli forces push deeper into the country since launching a major offensive in September.
According to the Lebanese health ministry, at least 3,670 people have been killed in Israeli attacks there, with more than 15,400 wounded.
It has displaced about 1.2 million people – a quarter of Lebanon’s population – while Israel says about 90 soldiers and nearly 50 civilians have been killed in northern Israel.
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‘Dozens’ of Palestinians killed in Israeli airstrike
Meanwhile, six people, including three children and two women, were killed in the southern Gazan city of Khan Younis.
Some 44,176 Palestinians have been killed since the start of Israel’s military campaign in Gaza, according to the Gaza health ministry.
The ministry does not distinguish between civilians and combatants in its count, but it has said that more than half of the fatalities are women and children.
The war began when Hamas-led militants stormed into southern Israel on 7 October 2023, killing some 1,200 people and taking another 250 hostage.
US envoy Amos Hochstein was in the region this week to try to end more than 13 months of fighting between Israel and Hezbollah, ignited last October by the war in Gaza.
Mr Hochstein indicated progress had been made after meetings in Beirut on Tuesday and Wednesday, before going to meet Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and defence minister Israel Katz.
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