Of all the conversations I had at All-Star weekend in Florida, one with Sidney Crosby stuck out. He told me, multiple times, that the league feels more competitive than it has ever been. In 18 years in the NHL, Crosby said he has never seen anything like it. Sure, Boston has run away with the top record in the league, but there are so many teams clustered behind the Bruins, and any team can win on any night, meaning it’s hard to determine the true favorites.
So as we approach the trade deadline (March 3) — compounded with a stagnant salary cap that has limited so many of the contenders — teams are being cautious on going all-in. Teams seemingly in the mix might end up trading away veterans. Teams arriving ahead of schedule or surging up the standings (see: New Jersey, Buffalo) are being cautious about giving up too much this year, knowing it’s more important for their franchises to build sustainably for the future. And we still aren’t sure which players are available, as some of the top pending unrestricted free agents, such as Patrick Kane and Jonathan Toews, have yet to announce their intentions. How it all shakes out will make for an intriguing lead-up to the deadline.
Here’s what I’m hearing about storylines to follow over the next month.
Latest on Dylan Larkin in Detroit
At All-Star weekend, Dylan Larkin lamented what he said was misinformation about his contract talks. “It just seems people are fishing and speculating,” Larkin said. “I don’t really want my business out there. I understand we’re in the spotlight and fans want to know. They deserve to know. But I think it’s not really the most truthful, you know?”
As the captain of the Red Wings, Larkin doesn’t want his situation to go public. He hates being a distraction to the team. He has handled the situation as well as he can, but it has to be frustrating. Because in talking to people close to Larkin, nobody really knows where this is going.
So without going into numbers, here’s what I can tell you about the dynamics going on behind the scenes:
Big picture, Red Wings GM Steve Yzerman has a price in mind for what he’s willing to pay for Larkin, and it’s not in line with what some other No. 1 centers around the league are making. Yzerman is sticking to that number. Larkin’s camp is arguing: What does it cost to replace Larkin? They feel strongly about his worth, and it’s more than Yzerman has been willing to budge. So we’re between a rock and a hard place.
The one thing I’ve heard consistently about Yzerman as a general manager is that he works slow. He grinds things out. He and Larkin’s camp haven’t talked in a few days. In that time, the Islanders offered Horvat the $8.5 million AAV. So when Larkin’s reps and Yzerman reconnect — likely sometime this week — they’ll see if that comp helps their case.
Ideally Yzerman wants to get this deal done before the March 3 deadline so he can plan other moves — and also ensure his 26-year-old captain doesn’t walk away this summer for nothing. Larkin has full control here with a no-trade clause in his deal. As of now, Larkin doesn’t have an appetite for moving, either at the deadline or this summer. He’s a hometown kid who has played his entire life in the state of Michigan. He takes pride in leading Detroit. But it’s becoming apparent other teams might be willing to give him more money on the open market. And if there isn’t progress, his agent can talk to other teams and broker a deal to where Larkin wants to go. But they are hopeful it doesn’t get to that. Based on how things are going, there’s a very good chance this doesn’t get resolved until the summer.
David Pastrnak close to getting paid?
On the David Pastrnak contract talks, I’ve been told the Bruins and their star winger are “financially very close.” Though Pastrnak admitted during All-Star weekend that there is no rush and he is focusing on hockey, this is tracking to get done this season, after some progress the past few weeks. It sounds like Pastrnak will get paid on level with the top stars in the league, and for more money than Boston’s front office was originally budgeting. I have heard that Pastrnak also wanted to be comfortable with the Bruins’ long-term vision so they can stay competitive in the next era after Patrice Bergeron, David Krejci and Brad Marchand are done.
To that end, it sounds like the Bruins have been very hesitant to give up a first-round pick or too many assets for rental players at this year’s deadline. They’ve been burned before, and need to build back up their prospect pool. The Bruins are looking to make depth additions for the playoff push, but ideally would pick up a player who fits into their long-term plans as well. Cost certainty is also a big priority for two other top Eastern Conference contenders: the New Jersey Devils and Carolina Hurricanes.
Islanders needed to overpay Bo Horvat
If Horvat’s eight-year, $8.5 million AAV extension reaffirmed anything, it’s the importance of market dynamics. Islanders GM Lou Lamoriello said it himself: “It’s too long and it’s too much money.” But the Islanders were desperate for a jolt. When I was in Long Island the week before the All-Star break, players were saying they didn’t believe the Islanders were as bad as their record suggested. They just were in a rut, struggling to score — Mathew Barzal told me he thought he should have three more goals and 15 more assists — and the power play was brutal. Lamoriello gave up significant assets to obtain Horvat, and needed to overpay to ensure it wasn’t for naught.
Market for Timo Meier
With Horvat moved, all eyes are on Timo Meier as the top forward available. He’s 26, and scoring at a career pace (0.55 goals per game through his first 51 games) at exactly the right time. Meier is a restricted free agent this summer (albeit with a $10 million qualifying offer). But teams around the league are hoping to negotiate a new contract with Meier’s camp in facilitating the trade, hoping they can get him in the $8 million to $9 million range. The Metro rival Devils and New York Rangers are both very interested, though cautious about getting into a bidding war, because they’re not alone in that interest. “Everyone is talking to San Jose about Timo Meier,” one Eastern Conference executive told me. “Everyone is monitoring it.”
Thatcher Demko on the move?
There has been a lot of speculation about Canucks goalie Thatcher Demko ahead of the trade deadline. Per sources, at least four teams have called Vancouver asking about Demko’s availability — and the Canucks haven’t said no to any of those teams. If Vancouver is serious about a rebuild, it could get a lot of assets for Demko, who is just 27 and under contract for three more years on a team-friendly $5 million per season.
The goalie hasn’t played since Dec. 1 because of a lower body injury, and he’s about a week and a half away from getting back on the ice. Should he get in a couple of good starts and look like the old, dominant Demko again, that interest would probably increase. So it’s a situation to monitor, but not necessarily one that’s imminent.
It’s not as hot of a goalie market as it was last year, though there will be teams looking for some assurance in net, especially if injuries pop up over the next few weeks. The two veterans most likely to be on the move are Cam Talbot out of Ottawa and James Reimer out of San Jose. The Canes have three NHL goalies, and given the emergence of Pyotr Kochetkov, they might be willing to move pending UFA Antti Raanta should the right offer emerge.
Kevin Hayes and latest on Flyers
One of the best stories of the weekend was Kevin Hayes, the 30-year-old forward making his first All-Star appearance in his ninth year of the league. Hayes’ late brother, Jimmy, always told Kevin he believed he was an All-Star.
“I never really thought that something like this would happen,” Kevin said. “He would always just say, ‘This is the year, it’s going to happen.’ I think he was just saying it to be a good guy.”
It was clearly an emotional weekend for Hayes, who shared the ice with his cousins, Matthew and Brady Tkachuk, as well as his former Boston College teammate, Johnny Gaudreau. A large contingent of the Hayes family was on hand, including Jimmy’s son, Beau, whose No. 1 goal of the weekend was meeting his favorite player, David Pastrnak, in the locker room.
The Flyers had practice Sunday afternoon in Voorhees, and I’m told Hayes switched flights to a 7 a.m. departure to rush back to make it. That’s an example of Hayes’ character, and the way he’s working hard to set an example for the new culture of the Flyers under John Tortorella. That type of discipline didn’t always exist on the team.
On Monday, Tortorella sent a letter to Flyers season-ticket holders, being transparent about where the team was in its journey. The key line: “I’m not going to lie to you — and I want to be clear about this — we’re not there yet. This year was the first step in building the future of the Flyers and restoring our reputation as one of the most respected teams in hockey.” That signals the Flyers are going to once again be sellers at this year’s deadline.
I have heard there are some teams interested in Hayes, who has three years remaining on his contract with an average annual value of $7.1 million, though the Flyers would undoubtedly need to retain some salary should they move him. The more likely Philly forward to get traded is James van Riemsdyk, a pending unrestricted free agent (who would also require some retention on his $7 million salary). And while the Flyers would like to move Ivan Provorov ($6.75 million, under contract through 2024-25), I was told by an Eastern Conference executive that there’s a lot more league-wide interest in Nick Seeler ($750,000, under contract through 2023-24) as a diamond-in-the-rough option on a budget contract. Philadelphia could be inclined to move the 29-year-old Seeler to open up spots for younger players in the final stretch.
Rivalry Week has already seen one upset that will affect a conference championship and College Football Playoff seeding. Could we see another one?
On Friday, Texasupset the Texas A&M Aggies to give A&M its first loss of the season and knock the Aggies out of the SEC championship game. Michigan is in a strikingly similar position. Ohio State is undefeated and No. 1 in the CFP rankings. It needs a win to set up a meeting with Indiana in next week’s Big Ten title game.
OSU has been largely unchallenged since defeating Texas in Week 1, and now it faces its biggest rival, which is hasn’t beaten in four years. Can the Wolverines pull another upset? It’s “The Game,” and we’re tracking the top moments and biggest plays:
Both Buckeyes stars have been limited in practice while dealing with lower-body injuries. The wide receivers are expected to be listed as questionable on the Big Ten availability report, but the expectation is they are available to play barring anything unforeseen in warmups.
Smith missed last week’s win over Rutgers after sustaining an injury against UCLA on Nov. 15, when he was seen with a limp leaving the field.
Tate hasn’t played since Nov. 1, as he was held out of the Purdue game on Nov. 8 after something bothered him in warmups and he was “a little tight,” coach Ryan Day said at the time.
Smith, a sophomore, is regarded as perhaps the country’s best all-around player. He has 69 catches for 902 yards and 10 touchdowns. Despite missing the Rutgers game, he is still tied for the Big Ten lead in touchdown receptions.
Tate has emerged as a game breaker for the Buckeyes and a projected NFL first-round pick. His 18.2 yards per catch leads the Big Ten. He has caught 39 passes for 711 yards and seven touchdowns.
They are the top targets for quarterback Julian Sayin, who is completing 79.4% of his passes with 27 touchdowns and four interceptions.
Ohio State is on a four-game losing streak against Michigan, including not scoring in the second half last year. Tate was Ohio State’s leading receiver in last year’s 13-10 loss with six receptions for 58 yards. Smith had five catches for 35 yards and a touchdown, which was his second-lowest output in the 2024 regular season.
Dave Wilson is a college football reporter. He previously worked at The Dallas Morning News, San Diego Union-Tribune and Las Vegas Sun.
AUSTIN, Texas — Shortly after vanquishing No. 3 Texas A&M in a heated rivalry game Friday, Steve Sarkisian made his case for No. 16 Texas as worthy of a spot in the College Football Playoff.
The 27-17 victory was Sarkisian’s third win over a top-10 team this season — following wins over No. 6 Oklahoma and No. 9 Vanderbilt — which he touted as a first since LSU did the same in 2019.
“I think we’re absolutely a playoff team,” Sarkisian said, noting that there were pundits who argued that Texas A&M was the top team in the country by strength of schedule metrics. “We just beat them by two scores. So to me, that’s a pretty impressive win, a pretty dominant win for our team that I don’t know how many other teams can say they have wins like that on their schedule.”
Texas (9-3) also lost on the road to No. 3 Ohio State in the season opener and at No. 5 Georgia two weeks ago, finishing the season 3-2 against top-10 teams. The 14-7 loss to the Buckeyes, Sarkisian said, is the true test of what the CFP committee values, saying if the Longhorns had scheduled a cupcake, they would be 10-2.
“We went on the road to Ohio State in Week 1 and lost to them in a one-score game,” Sarkisian said. “We outgained them by nearly 200 yards, and no one else has been close to a one-score game against them. But I think more importantly, it’s the message that what do we want to send to the head coaches and the athletic directors around the country? Do you want us not to schedule Ohio State? Because if we’re a 10-2 team right now, this isn’t a discussion. We’re in the playoff. But we were willing to go up there and play that game.”
Sarkisian, in his postgame, on-field interview with ESPN’s Molly McGrath, added that “it would be a disservice to our sport” if the Longhorns weren’t in the CFP field. Later, in his full media availability, he said it would be easy for coaches and athletic directors to shy away from that type of scheduling in the future if the Longhorns are punished for such a high-profile matchup in the opening week of the season.
Senior safety Michael Taaffe, who had an interception at the team’s 3-yard line against the Aggies in the fourth quarter, agreed with his coach’s logic.
“I don’t think the committee should punish us for giving college football what they want to see,” Taaffe said. “Nonconference game, No. 1 vs. No. 2 in Columbus, Ohio, a rematch of the Cotton Bowl from last year, one of the biggest games in all college football. Everybody was tuning in for that game, and I think college football is really happy that Texas played Ohio State in Week 1.”
According to ESPN Research, the five teams ranked from 11 to 15 in the CFP rankings are a combined 4-8 against ranked opponents.
Sarkisian acknowledged that the Longhorns would be in a much stronger position without an Oct. 4 road loss to Florida but said there is precedent for such a loss as recently as last season, when Notre Dame earned a playoff berth and played Ohio State in the CFP national championship.
“The team that played for the national championship last year lost to Northern Illinois at home,” Sarkisian said, referring to the Irish. “Yet they still were good enough to go play for a national title. So I have no doubt in my mind that the team we have in that locker room downstairs is a playoff football team and worthy of an opportunity to play for a national championship.”
Texas A&M led Texas 10-3 at halftime as the Longhorns had only 112 yards and Arch Manning was 7-for-22 for 51 passing yards. But once Texas’ running game got going — Quintrevion Wisner ran for 155 yards — Manning rallied the Longhorns, finishing with 179 passing yards and 53 more rushing. He sealed the win with a 35-yard touchdown run on third-and-3 with a little over seven minutes left, sending Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium into a frenzy.
The two halves were a microcosm of the season for Manning, in his first year as a starter, when he started slowly but turned into a true dual threat for Texas over the second half of the season.
“Nobody works harder. Nobody prepares more,” Sarkisian said of Manning. “I mean, the blitz packages that A&M has is elite. It’s NFL level. And this guy managed our protections at the line of scrimmage beautifully, did a fantastic job. So all in all, I think for him to cap it off with a touchdown run was a pretty cool moment.”
Manning said he believed Texas has improved vastly this season and is playing its best football. He was asked to make his pitch to the CFP committee and obliged.
“We’re a good team, bro,” Manning said. “We’ve played a lot of good teams. We’re only getting better, and if you let us in, we can beat anyone.”
And what would he make of this season if the Longhorns don’t get in?
“I think we’re going to make the playoffs,” Manning said. “I don’t know why we wouldn’t. I’m not going to worry about that.”