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close video Ron DeSantis is Republican’s early 2024 frontrunner: GOP pollster Lee Carter

GOP pollster Lee Carter discusses potential 2024 presidential candidates, telling ‘Cavuto: Coast to Coast’ you can always tell who’s leading by who gets attacked the most, and Gov. DeSantis is that guy.

Wall Street is starting to love Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis’s prospects in the 2024 presidential election so much that it is already eyeing stocks that will benefit, as well as those that could tank, if he wins the White House.

Strategas Research Partners, an economic and market advisory firm run by the well-known market analyst Jason Trennert, is among the firms gauging the market impact of a DeSantis presidency, with a client report titled "DeSantis Winners & Losers Baskets." 

The report, published last week, was obtained and reviewed by Fox Business. It bases its research primarily on DeSantis’s policy positions as governor of Florida. It is yet another indication that major financial players are betting that DeSantis runs for President in 2024, can beat former President Trump in the GOP primary, and beat Joe Biden in the general election. 



Republican gubernatorial candidate for Florida Ron DeSantis with his wife Casey DeSantis speaks during an election night watch party at the Convention Center in Tampa, Florida, on November 8, 2022. – Florida Governor Ron DeSantis, who has been tipped (Giorgio Viera/Getty Images / Getty Images)

It’s also a sign that Wall Street thinks there will be market implications with a DeSantis victory given his record as Florida governor. According to the report, stocks it identifies as DeSantis winners are already outperforming those it identifies as DeSantis losers.

DESANTIS WARNS OVER CHINA REAL ESTATE INVESTMENTS: 'GOBBLING UP LAND' NOT IN FLORIDA'S BEST INTEREST

The report added that DeSantis is a slight favorite in the betting odds to win the Republican primary against Trump. "After DeSantis’ landslide victory in Florida, client interest about a DeSantis candidacy has increased, particularly around company risks and opportunities," the report said. "This makes sense, with DeSantis having non-traditional Republican policies."

"We expect President Biden to announce his candidacy following his State of the Union on February 7th," the report stated. "Former President Trump was out campaigning this past weekend. Nikki Haley will likely announce her candidacy in two weeks, and Florida Governor Ron DeSantis is indicating he is likely to get in the race." 



Former U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations Nikki Haley makes a speech at the United Nations Headquarters in New York, United States on November 01, 2018. Nikki Haley is expected to throw her name in the hat for the Repbulican Presidential Nominatio (Atilgan Ozdil/Anadolu Agency/Getty Images / Getty Images)

Financial advisers who have read Strategas research urge caution about making big market bets based on the report. First, while certainly considering a presidential run, DeSantis has yet to declare. In recent weeks he has been meeting with enthusiastic financial industry fundraisers, who believe he can beat Joe Biden or any other Democrat, while Trump can’t. The former President remains mired in various scandals and his reputation tarnished by his role in the January 6 riots.

US President Donald Trump speaks during a retreat with Republican lawmakers at Camp David in Thurmont, Maryland, January 6, 2018. Former President Trump remains mired in controversy. (SAUL LOEB/AFP via Getty Images)

STUART VARNEY: FLORIDA’S GOV. RON DESANTIS LOOKS LIKE A FUTURE PRESIDENT

But as Fox Business has reported, DeSantis has told donors it’s not his preference to get embroiled in a nasty primary battle with Trump for the GOP nomination, raising some doubts he will challenge the former President in a primary. Trump is the only GOP candidate to formally announce his intentions, and has already been targeting DeSantis with his well-known vitriol.

Also, financial advisers say some of the report’s conclusions are nebulous. Energy company ConocoPhillips is a DeSantis "winner" because of the Florida governor’s support of drilling of "fossil fuels like natural gas and crude." DeSantis is likely to reduce regulations that have curtailed drilling. 

But oil company profits have been soaring amid restrictions the Biden Administration has placed on the industry and its embrace of Environmental Social Governance investment mandates that are designed to reduce carbon emissions by restricting supply. The result has been an increase in energy prices, profits and soaring energy-company stocks. Since Joe Biden took office in January 2021, shares of ConocoPhillips have more than doubled to $108 per share, far outperforming the Standard and Poor’s 500 index of large company stocks.

Moreover, DeSantis’s market-related policies may not deviate much from Trump who during his four years in office where the former President cut taxes, reduced regulations but also picked fights with big businesses like Amazon founder Jeff Bezos, who owns the Washington Post, and AT&T, which until recently owned the left-leaning CNN cable network. 

DeSantis has famously feuded with Disney over its attacks against a state law that bans teaching sex education to toddlers. Strategas places Disney among the 19 DeSantis "loser" stocks. 

That said, the four-page report is a sign that Wall Street increasingly believes DeSantis could win the White House in 2024, and that clients should begin planning their portfolios to benefit from his policies.

Likewise, they should avoid and "short" or bet against stocks that will face DeSantis related headwinds, or those Strategas includeed in its "DeSantis loser basket." These are companies that Strategas says adhere to "woke," corporate policies, like the aforementioned Disney. Other companies in that basket include "vaccine makers," those that embrace so-called Environmental Social Governance or ESG investment policies, and those with substantial operations in China.













Ticker Security Last Change Change % DIS THE WALT DISNEY CO. 111.65 +1.80 +1.64%

Recall how DeSantis took on Disney even though it was one of the state’s largest employers but lost a major tax subsidy because of its opposition to the sex-ed law by removing its favorable tax status in the state. Strategas says DeSantis will probably use the Disney template nationally against companies that adopt similarly left-wing policies including an embrace of so-called Environmental Social Governance or ESG investing. 

Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis speaks on Nov. 19, 2022, in Las Vegas. (AP Photo/John Locher / AP Newsroom)

ESG promotes the reduction in the carbon footprint of asset-managers’ portfolio companies and other progressive political stances. But these mandates have increasingly come under attack from GOP elected officials who say it has led to higher gas prices and pushes a left-wing political agenda.

As governor DeSantis has recently targeted BlackRock, the world’s largest asset manager that has been at the forefront of ESG, pulling $2 billion in state money that was being managed by the firm. Strategas sees additional national regulations curtailing ESG if DeSantis gets elected. Because ESG investments often charge higher management fees than other stock-picking methods, BlackRock becomes a "loser" as those new regulations could depress profits.



Ticker Security Last Change Change % BLK BLACKROCK INC. 740.96 -1.47 -0.20%

Also on the loser list is Amazon and Apple, two corporate whipping boys of the right because they’re seen as woke Silicon Valley enterprises that have stifled conservative speech. Aple, meanwhile, has substantial manufacturing ties to China. Companies with ties to China are seen as "losers" in the Strategas report, given the nation’s geo-political ambitions and its role in the Covid pandemic. 

Ticker Security Last Change Change % AMZN AMAZON.COM INC. 102.11 -0.07 -0.07%AAPL APPLE INC. 154.65 +2.92 +1.92%

Meta, the holding company for Facebook, makes the loser list as well for censoring conservative opinions. Drug makers Pfizer and Moderna become DeSantis losers as well; Strategas sees a DeSantis administration as far less draconian in terms of COVID vaccine mandates, thus these companies will see falling profit margins. His Justice Department may also pursue claims that the companies inflated their efficacy, the report says.

Ticker Security Last Change Change % META META PLATFORMS INC. 191.62 +5.56 +2.99%PFE PFIZER INC. 43.60 -0.17 -0.38%MRNA MODERNA INC. 171.06 +0.79 +0.46%

The 19 DeSantis winners are stocks in the border security, defense and energy sectors, Strategas said. "We expect DeSantis to be a strong proponent of fossil fuels, but he is not opposed to renewables," the report added. "Other areas where DeSantis could be a positive are financial companies that avoid ESG and could benefit from deregulation."

 Of the latter, the big bank JP Morgan run by CEO Jamie Dimon, who has publicly criticized ESG, makes the list of stocks that will win under a President DeSantis. Defense manufacturers Lockheed Martin and Raytheon Technologies are winners as well because DeSantis is seen as increasing the defense budget.


Ticker Security Last Change Change % JPM JPMORGAN CHASE & CO. 143.65 +1.72 +1.21%LMT LOCKHEED MARTIN CORP. 468.33 -1.03 -0.22%RTX RAYTHEON TECHNOLOGIES CORP. 97.87 +0.22 +0.23%CXW CORECIVIC INC. 10.19 +0.09 +0.89%SOFI SOFI TECHNOLOGIES 7.38 -0.03 -0.40%

A company named CoreCivic Inc., that owns and manages private prisons, could see its business expand dramatically — and its share prices soar — as DeSantis focuses on policies to secure the southern border from migrant surges and the company benefits from government contracting.

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SoFi Technologies makes money processing student loans. A possible lift to its business, Strategas says, will be the end of President Biden’s student-loan forgiveness program under DeSantis. That means more fees for processing those loans. Strategas also predicts that President Joe Biden will announce his plans to run again in 2024 after tonight's State of the Union speech.

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Coca-Cola brews up sale of high street coffee giant Costa

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Coca-Cola brews up sale of high street coffee giant Costa

The Coca-Cola Company is brewing up a sale of Costa, Britain’s biggest high street coffee chain, more than six years after acquiring the business in a move aimed at helping it reduce its reliance on sugary soft drinks.

Sky News can exclusively reveal that Coca-Cola is working with bankers to hold exploratory talks about a sale of Costa.

Initial talks have already been held with a small number of potential bidders, including private equity firms, City sources said on Saturday.

Lazard, the investment bank, is understood to have been engaged by Coca-Cola to review options for the business and gauge interest from prospective buyers.

Indicative offers are said to be due in the early part of the autumn, although one source cautioned that Coca-Cola could yet decide not to proceed with a sale.

Costa trades from more than 2,000 stores in the UK, and well over 3,000 globally, according to the latest available figures.

It has been reported to have a global workforce numbering 35,000, although Coca-Cola did not respond to several attempts to establish the precise number of outlets currently in operation, or its employee numbers.

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This weekend, analysts said that a sale could crystallise a multibillion pound loss on the £3.9bn sum Coca-Cola agreed to pay to buy Costa from Whitbread, the London-listed owner of the Premier Inn hotel chain, in 2018.

One suggested that Costa might now command a price tag of just £2bn in a sale process.

The disposal proceeds would, in any case, not be material to the Atlanta-based company, which had a market capitalisation at Friday’s closing share price of $304.2bn (£224.9bn).

At the time of the acquisition, Coca-Cola’s chief executive, James Quincey, said: “Costa gives Coca-Cola new capabilities and expertise in coffee, and our system can create opportunities to grow the Costa brand worldwide.

“Hot beverages is one of the few segments of the total beverage landscape where Coca-Cola does not have a global brand.

“Costa gives us access to this market with a strong coffee platform.”

However, accounts filed at Companies House for Costa show that in 2023 – the last year for which standalone results are available – the coffee chain recorded revenues of £1.22bn.

While this represented a 9% increase on the previous year, it was below the £1.3bn recorded in 2018, the final year before Coca-Cola took control of the business.

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Coca-Cola has been grappling with the weak performance of Costa for some time, with Mr Quincey saying on an earnings call last month: “We’re in the mode of reflecting on what we’ve learned, thinking about how we might want to find new avenues to grow in the coffee category while continuing to run the Costa business successfully.”

“It’s still a lot of money we put down, and we wanted that money to work as hard as possible.”

Costa’s 2022 accounts referred to the financial pressures it faced from “the economic environment and inflationary pressures”, resulting in it launching “a restructuring programme to address the scale of overheads and invest for growth”.

Filings show that despite its lacklustre performance, Costa has paid more than £250m in dividends to its owner since the acquisition.

The deal was intended to provide Coca-Cola with a global platform in a growing area of the beverages market.

Costa trades in dozens of countries, including India, Japan, Mexico and Poland, and operates a network of thousands of coffee vending machines internationally under the Costa Express brand.

The chain was founded in 1971 by Italian brothers Sergio and Bruno Costa.

It was sold to Whitbread for £19m in 1995, when it traded from fewer than 40 stores.

The business is now one of Britain’s biggest private sector employers, and has become a ubiquitous presence on high streets across the country.

Its main rivals include Starbucks, Caffe Nero and Pret a Manger – the last of which is being prepared for a stake sale and possible public market flotation.

It has also faced growing competition from more upmarket chains such as Gail’s, the bakeries group, which has also been exploring a sale.

Coca-Cola communications executives in the US and UK did not respond to a series of emails and calls from Sky News seeking comment on its plans for Costa.

A Lazard spokesperson declined to comment.

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Israel is accused of allowing famine to fester in Gaza and global condemnation is deafening

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Israel is accused of allowing famine to fester in Gaza and global condemnation is deafening

Tom Fletcher, speaking on behalf of the United Nations, did not mince his words.

Gaza was suffering from famine, the evidence was irrefutable and Israel had not just obstructed aid but had also used hunger as a weapon of war.

His anger seeped through every sentence, just as desperation is laced through the report from the Integrated Food Security Phase Classification (IPC).

Gaza latest: UK calls out Israel for ‘manmade catastrophe’

Conditions are expected to worsen, it says, even though the Gaza Strip has been classified as a level 5 famine. There is no level 6.

A child attempts to access food from a charity kitchen in Khan Younis. Pic: Reuters
Image:
A child attempts to access food from a charity kitchen in Khan Younis. Pic: Reuters

But it took only moments for the Israeli government to respond in terms that were just as strident. The report dismissed as wholly inaccurate, based on biased, inaccurate data and influenced not by fact, but by the whims of Hamas.

COGAT, the Israeli agency that oversees humanitarian efforts in Gaza, claimed the IPC had ignored its data and presented a “one-sided report”, before claiming that “hundreds of truckloads of aid are still awaiting collection by the UN and international organisations”.

What is so striking is that there is no grey area between these two versions.

In one, Israel has obstructed the delivery of aid and allowed hunger to turn into famine; in the other, it is Hamas that has caused the crisis by stealing aid and exploiting hunger as a political tool to try to win global sympathy.

People in Beit Lahia take sacks of flour from an aid convoy en route to Gaza City. Pic: AP
Image:
People in Beit Lahia take sacks of flour from an aid convoy en route to Gaza City. Pic: AP

Journalists are not allowed to enter Gaza, so we are reliant on the work of colleagues who live there.

But the images are striking – emaciated people holding begging bowls, people scrambling towards aid drops or clambering over trucks carrying bags of flour. And all around them, shattered buildings.

Aid is continuing to be dropped by air, but humanitarian groups say it is not enough. Pic: Reuters
Image:
Aid is continuing to be dropped by air, but humanitarian groups say it is not enough. Pic: Reuters

We heard from a man in his 70s, who used to weigh 70kg, but who has lost almost half his body weight.

“Now, because of malnutrition, my weight has dropped to just 40,” Hassan Abu Seble said. “I suffered both a stroke and a heart attack. They had to put in a stent to help me recover, and I thank God that my organs are still functioning.”

The Israeli government, and many across the country, will maintain that Hamas bears the responsibility for everything that has happened to Gazans – that it was the attack on 7 October, 2023, that was the sole precipitant for the suffering, death and hunger that has followed.

But from around much of the rest of the world, the condemnation is deafening, accusing Israel of allowing famine to fester.

The body of a child is carried from the scene of an Israeli military strike in Gaza City. Pic: AP
Image:
The body of a child is carried from the scene of an Israeli military strike in Gaza City. Pic: AP

David Lammy, Britain’s foreign secretary, said the Israeli government had caused a “man-made famine” by blocking the distribution of aid, and described that as a “moral outrage”.

The question, as so often before, is what that rhetoric leads to. And, so long as the United States doesn’t join the chorus of disapproval, does widespread global disapproval mean anything?

There is also a question now of Gaza’s future.

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In the Jewish quarter of Jerusalem’s Old City, we found a large sign that says “Make Gaza Jewish Again”. It is a slogan, and a sentiment, that is supported by plenty.

“Yes, of course I agree,” says one man as he walks past, carrying a large pack of drinks. It turns out that he used to live in a Jewish settlement in Gaza until it was shut by the Israeli government two decades ago, but he has never stopped believing that Gaza is rightly Israel’s property.

“The people there now – they should leave. They could go to Jordan, Lebanon, Egypt. It is our land. And yes, I would like to go back there.”

He did not believe there was a famine. “They have lots of food,” he told me.

Another man, Avraham, was more conciliatory, but insisted there had never been a country like Israel “that is fighting a war against a country but is also sending in so much humanitarian aid for the people”.

Gaza City is now the focal point of so much. Famine is spreading from this heart just as troops prepare to encircle the city. A ceasefire could come, but so could a huge military assault. And all the while, the hunger will get worse.

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Plans for huge new Chinese embassy delayed by government

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Plans for huge new Chinese embassy delayed by government

Approval of a huge new Chinese embassy in London has been delayed by the government over redacted areas on the embassy’s plans.

Beijing hasn’t fully explained why there are blacked-out areas in its planning application after housing minister Angela Rayner demanded an explanation earlier this month.

The government has now delayed its decision over whether construction can go ahead from 9 September to 21 October, saying it needed more time to consider the application.

The Chinese embassy in London expressed “serious concern” over the delay and said host countries have an “international obligation” to support the construction of diplomatic buildings.

“The Chinese side urges the UK side to fulfil its obligation and approve the planning application without delay,” said the embassy in a statement.

Site of planned Chinese embassy
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Site of planned Chinese embassy

Royal Mint Court, the site of the proposed embassy. File pic: PA
Image:
Royal Mint Court, the site of the proposed embassy. File pic: PA

DP9, the planning consultancy working for the Chinese government, said its client felt it would be inappropriate to provide full internal layout plans.

It added that additional drawings provided an acceptable level of detail, after the government asked why several areas were blacked out.

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Protests have been held outside the proposed site. File pic: Feb 2025, PA
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Protests have been held outside the proposed site. File pic: Feb 2025, PA

“The Applicant considers the level of detail shown on the unredacted plans is sufficient to identify the main uses,” said DP9 in a letter to the government.

“In these circumstances, we consider it is neither necessary nor appropriate to provide additional more detailed internal layout plans or details.”

The embassy, which would be the largest in Europe, is planned for the 216-year-old site of the old Royal Mint Court next to the Tower of London.

However, opposition from local residents, lawmakers and pro-democracy campaigners means planning approval has been delayed for the past three years.

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Earlier this month, the embassy described claims that the building could have “secret facilities” used to harm Britain’s
national security as “despicable slandering”.

However, the executive director of the Inter-Parliamentary Alliance on China, which has ties to a network of politicians critical of the country, called the explanations “far from satisfactory”.

Luke de Pulford, who is a long-standing critic of the embassy plans, said the “assurances amount to ‘trust me bro'”.

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