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Republican lawmakers are wary of their party’s propensity for self-inflicted wounds and are hoping for more discipline heading into the next election cycle.  

Leading Republicans think that the House GOP’s raucous reception of President Biden at last week’s State of the Union played into the president’s hands and that the proposal by Sen. Rick Scott (R-Fla.) to sunset all federal legislation after five years is a political gift to Democrats.  

Some Republicans on Capitol Hill are dismayed that Scott hasn’t disavowed his 12-point plan to “Rescue America,” despite repeated Democratic attacks, and they are disappointed by lapses in message discipline, such as Sen. Ron Johnson’s (R-Wis.) call for annual votes on Medicare and Social Security, which he described as “a legal Ponzi scheme.”  

Johnson says that doesn’t mean he wants to cut Social Security, but some of his colleagues worry that Republicans are already giving Democrats too much ammo heading into the 2024 election.  

“I think Republicans have got to be wise in how we talk about these issues,” said Senate Minority Whip John Thune (R-S.D.).

Some Republicans, like Sen. John Thune (R-S.D.), have urged other members of their party to be cautious in how they approach the issue of Social Security. (Greg Nash)

Biden’s job approval rating has been mired in the low 40s for much of his first term in office, but Democrats still managed to expand their Senate majority and exceed expectations in the battle for the House last year.  

Many Republicans believe the Democrats’ strong showing in the midterms had more to do with their own party’s mistakes than the popularity of Biden’s agenda.  

Biden seized on Scott’s 12-point plan at his State of the Union speech, telling the nation that “some Republicans want Medicare and Social Security to sunset every five years.”   

And Senate Majority Leader Charles Schumer (D-N.Y.) on Monday pointed to Johnson’s recent comments to advance Biden’s claim.   

“Almost as if to prove President Biden correct, Sen. Johnson of Wisconsin reacted to the State of the Union by going on radio and calling for annual votes on Social Security, calling it a ‘Ponzi scheme,’” Schumer said on the Senate floor.  

Schumer also pointed out that the House Republican Study Committee released a budget proposal last year that raised the Social Security retirement age and cut some benefits to certain recipients.  

Sen. Chuck Schumer (D-N.Y.) slammed Sen. Ron Johnson (R-Wis.) for describing Social Security as a “Ponzi scheme.” (AP Photo/Jose Luis Magana)

Johnson on Wednesday defended his comments by arguing that future Social Security recipients aren’t going to get what they put into the trust fund given the nation’s mounting debt.  

“It’s not a sustainable system,” he said of Social Security, noting that the number of workers paying into the system to support retirees has dwindled. “A Ponzi scheme is you take from investors. You don’t invest it. You spend it. And you pay off early investors. The later investors get hosed.” 

But members of the Senate Republican leadership team don’t see any point in talking about Medicare and Social Security reforms when they don’t think Democrats have any good-faith desire to reform those programs and instead will just use GOP proposals to play offense in next year’s election.  

Sen. John Cornyn (R-Texas) said Biden “loves that, doesn’t he?” referring to Biden hammering Republicans over Scott’s plan.  

“What it’s showing is that Biden has no interest in saving Social Security or Medicare from insolvency,” he said. “He’s just going to use it purely as a political pinata.” 

Cornyn later said Democrats are using Scott’s plan as “a diversion” to shift public attention away from the nation’s serious debt problem.  

Sen. John Cornyn (R-Texas) is among the GOP members who do not see advantages to continuing to speak about Social Security and Medicare, noting that, Biden “loves that, doesn’t he?” (Greg Nash)

Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) on Tuesday tried to quash once and for all Democratic claims that Republicans want to use the expiring debt limit as leverage to cut benefits for seniors.  

“It continues to come up. The president was talking about it in the State of the Union,” McConnell told reporters this week. “So let me say it one more time. There is no agenda on the part of Senate Republicans to revisit Medicare or Social Security. Period.” 

Sen. Shelley Moore Capito (R-W.Va.) pointed out that Speaker Kevin McCarthy (R-Calif.) said last week that Medicare and Social Security cuts are “off the table” and fellow Republicans need to get the message.   

Capito, the chairwoman of the Senate Republican Policy Committee, said GOP senators discussed “trying to keep on [a] unified message as much as we can.” 

“With the Speaker and our leader, the two Republican leaders, being on the same page, that’s going to drive the message of the day,” she said, referring to McCarthy’s and McConnell’s pledges not to cut Medicare or Social Security.  

“Members are going to disagree,” she said, acknowledging differing views on strategy within the GOP conference.  

But she argued that party leaders are smart to stay away from what has become the “third rail” of politics — specifically Medicare and Social Security cuts — in the debt limit discussions with the White House.  

“I’m unified with the message that we need to stay away from these things to solve some fiscal problems,” she said.  

Some Republican senators say they weren’t thrilled with the jeering and raucous reception Biden received from House Republicans at last week’s State of the Union address, which appeared to play into the president’s hands in front of a national television audience.  

Some Republicans have expressed dismay over the raucous response Biden received at his State of the Union address, where he addressed Republicans’ reported plans for Social Security and Medicare. (Greg Nash)

Schumer said the contrast between Biden and “these guys screaming and yelling” and “just calling names” is “going to serve the president so well.” 

Veteran journalist Chris Wallace said GOP lawmakers who heckled Biden “literally played into his hands.” 

Later, when he was asked about Wallace’s observation that Republicans might have unwittingly made the president look good, Sen. Thom Tillis (R-N.C.) replied, “That may be fair.”  

He said that Republicans should stick to “reasonable and enduring policy” proposals instead of made-for-television antics that give Democrats a chance to change to subject to the behavior of Republican personalities.  

“I think we’re missing an opportunity to differentiate,” he said. “Focus on policy. If you get that done, it will age well.” 

Another Republican senator who requested anonymity to comment on House colleagues said that decorum is good for the party’s brand.  

“We ought to be polite and respectful to each other. This is not theater. It’s governing,” the senator said, commenting on the unruly reactions to Biden’s speech last week. “It’s damaging to the politics. It appeals to a handful of people and turns off a whole bunch more.”  

Looking ahead to next year’s election, Senate Republicans say they need to do a better job of helping ensure the most electable candidates advance to the general election, something they believe did not happen last year in Arizona, Georgia, New Hampshire and Pennsylvania, where Democrats won.  

At a one-day retreat last week, GOP lawmakers discussed the need for the National Republican Senatorial Committee to get more involved in the candidate vetting and selection process in 2024.  Trump warns Scott on Social Security, Medicare: ‘THERE WILL BE NO CUTS’ Haley calls for generational change when asked about differences with Trump

“I think it’s more a matter of interacting with the states to make sure that they understand this is all about winning the finals, not the semifinals,” Tillis said.  

Capito said the retreat was “forward thinking.”  

“Candidate recruitment is a repeating message, making sure we get candidates that win the primary that can win the general,” she said. 

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China poses ‘real national security threats’ to UK, Starmer warns

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China poses 'real national security threats' to UK, Starmer warns

Sir Keir Starmer has warned China poses “real national security threats to the United Kingdom”.

But the prime minister also described China as a “nation of immense scale, ambition and ingenuity” and a “defining force in technology, trade and global governance”.

“The UK needs a China policy that recognises this reality,” he added in a speech at the Guildhall in London.

“Instead, for years we have blown hot and cold.

“So our response will not be driven by fear, nor softened by illusion. It will be grounded in strength, clarity and sober realism.”

Prime Minister Keir Starmer giving his speech. Pic: Reuters
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Prime Minister Keir Starmer giving his speech. Pic: Reuters

Describing the absence of engagement with China – the world’s second-biggest economy – as “staggering” and “a dereliction of duty”, Sir Keir said: “This is not a question of balancing economic and security considerations. We don’t trade off security in one area, for a bit more economic access somewhere else.

“Protecting our security is non-negotiable – our first duty. But by taking tough steps to keep us secure, we enable ourselves to cooperate in other areas.”

Sir Keir’s remarks come after MPs and parliamentarians were warned last month of new attempts to spy on them by China.

And they follow the collapse of a prosecution of two people suspected of spying on behalf of China.

That case led to controversy over how the government under Labour responded to the Crown Prosecution Service’s requests for evidence.

Speech at the annual Lady Mayor's Banquet. Pic: Reuters
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Speech at the annual Lady Mayor’s Banquet. Pic: Reuters

At the time, Sir Keir sought to blame the previous Conservative government for the issues, which centred on whether China could be designated an “enemy” under First World War-era legislation.

Meanwhile, Sky News understands the prime minister is set to approve plans for a controversial Chinese “super embassy” in central London.

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A final decision on the planning application for the former Royal Mint site near the Tower of London is due on 10 December, after numerous previous delays.

Sir Keir is also understood to be preparing for a likely visit to China in the new year.

Since he was elected last year, Sir Keir has been active on the world stage, trumpeting deals with the US, India and the EU and leading the “coalition of the willing” in support of Ukraine.

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PM preparing for likely China visit

But he has also faced criticism from his opponents, who accuse him of spending too much time out of the UK attending international summits rather than focusing on domestic issues.

Sir Keir offered a defence of his approach, describing it as “the biggest shift in British foreign policy since Brexit” and “a decisive move to face outward again”.

While saying he would “always respect” the Brexit vote as a “fair, democratic expression”, he said the way the UK’s departure from the EU had been “sold and delivered” was “simply wrong”.

He said: “Wild promises were made to the British people and not fulfilled. We are still dealing with the consequences today.”

In his speech on Monday, the prime minister accused opposition politicians of offering a “corrosive, inward-looking attitude” on international affairs.

Sir Keir Starmer. Pic: Reuters
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Sir Keir Starmer. Pic: Reuters

Taking aim at those who advocate leaving the European Convention on Human Rights or NATO, he said they offered “grievance rather than hope” and “a declinist vision of a lesser Britain”.

Sir Keir said: “Moreover, it is a fatal misreading of the moment, ducking the fundamental challenge posed by a chaotic world – a world which is more dangerous and unstable than at any point for a generation, where international events reach directly into our lives, whether we like it or not.”

He added: “In these times, we deliver for Britain by looking outward with renewed purpose and pride, not by shrinking back. In these times, internationalism is patriotism.”

Responding to the prime minister’s speech, shadow foreign secretary Dame Priti Patel said: “From China’s continued flouting of economic rules to transnational repression of Hong Kongers in Britain, Starmer’s ‘reset’ with Beijing is a naive one-way street, which puts Britain at risk while Beijing gets everything it wants.

“Starmer continues to kowtow to China and is captivated by half-baked promises of trade.

“Coming just days after the latest Chinese plot to interfere in our democracy was exposed, his love letter to the Chinese Communist Party is a desperate ploy to generate economic growth following his budget of lies and is completely ill-judged.

“While China poses a clear threat to Britain, China continues to back Iran and Russia, and plots to undermine our institutions. Keir Starmer has become Beijing’s useful idiot in Britain.”

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OBR chief Richard Hughes resigns after budget leak investigation

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OBR chief Richard Hughes resigns after budget leak investigation

The chairman of the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) has resigned after an investigation into the leak of last week’s budget criticised the watchdog’s leadership.

Richard Hughes stepped down following the publication of a report into the early release of Rachel Reeves’s fiscal event.

The OBR’s official forecast, which revealed the contents of the record-breaking tax rise budget, was accessed at 11.35am last Wednesday, about an hour before the chancellor stood up to deliver it.

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Rachel Reeves said she only found out about the leak when she was in the House of Commons
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Rachel Reeves said she only found out about the leak when she was in the House of Commons

In a letter to Ms Reeves and the chairwoman of the Commons Treasury Committee Dame Meg Hillier, Mr Hughes said he was quitting to allow the OBR to “quickly move on from this regrettable incident”.

He said he took “full responsibility” for “the shortcomings identified in the report”.

Mr Hughes said: “By implementing the recommendations in this report, I am certain the OBR can quickly regain and restore the confidence and esteem that it has earned through 15 years of rigorous, independent economic analysis.”

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An investigation ordered by the independent fiscal forecaster soon after the budget called the leak “the worst failure in the 15-year history of the OBR” and strongly criticised the watchdog’s processes for protecting sensitive information.

The probe found there was “nothing to suggest” the premature access was the result of “hostile cyber activity by foreign actors or cyber criminals, or of connivance by anyone working for the OBR”.

“Nor was it simply a matter of pressing the publication button on a locally managed website too early,” the report stated.

It concluded that “configuration errors” led to “a failure to ensure the protections which hide documents from public view immediately before publication were in place”.

“The ultimate responsibility for the circumstances in which this vulnerability occurred and was then exposed rests, over the years, with the leadership of the OBR,” the investigation said.

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Did Rachel Reeves mislead the nation with her budget?

Kemi Badenoch claimed that Ms Reeves was trying to use Mr Hughes as a “human shield”.

The Conservative leader said on social media: “More serious questions for the chancellor as she tries to make Richard Hughes her human shield.

“Her actions have turned this into a full blown political crisis for the government. If [Prime Minister] Keir Starmer had a backbone, he would have sacked Reeves long ago.”

Mr Hughes had been under pressure to explain the leak, which he immediately apologised for, and ordered the investigation.

It is also led by Professor David Miles and Tom Josephs, with Baroness Sarah Hogg and Dame Susan Rice as non-executive members.

There are 52 permanent staff, who are civil servants, with six of those working on the strategy, operations and communications team.

The report acknowledged the leak “changed the pattern of budget day to the chancellor’s disadvantage”.

Read more:
The budget’s key points
‘Of course I didn’t’ lie about budget forecasts – Reeves

OBR’s budget leak timeline on 26 November

5.10am: OBR website host emailed staff to confirm server modification to accommodate higher website traffic when the forecast is released

5.16am: A request was made to access the forecast document’s web address, but the PDF had not been uploaded yet. Between this time and 11.30am there were 44 unsuccessful requests to the URL from seven unique IP addresses

9am onwards: The web developer set up webpages in draft form in the content management system, creating IDS for all the downloads to be used across the website

11.02am: PDF documents were emailed to the web developer, including the forecast

11.03am-11.35am: The web developer began uploading documents to the draft area of the OBR website – which was understood by all involved not to be publicly accessible

11.35am: The first successful request to the document’s URL was made. This IP address had made 32 unsuccessful attempts at that URL that morning. There were 43 successful requests between this time and 12.07pm, from 32 unique IP addresses

11.41am: A Reuters news alert is the first evidence of the forecast being available publicly

11.43am: The OBR was first made aware by a non-Reuters journalist that Reuters was flashing forecast details. OBR staff, not knowing the URL was accessible even if known or guessed, found no evidence via webpages going live accidentally

11.50am onwards: Images and facts from the forecast began appearing widely online from many people

11.52am: Senior OBR and Treasury officials had a phone call to discuss the breach. Treasury staff made OBR staff aware of the URL

11.53am: OBR staff and the web developer tried to pull the PDF from the website, and to pull the entire website, but struggled to initially due to the website being overloaded with traffic

11.58am: A Reuters journalist emailed the OBR confirming they had published details and asked for a comment

12.07pm: The forecast PDF was renamed by the web developer, but it still appeared on the internet archive via search engines

12.08pm: The PDF was removed from the website’s content management system, taking it offline. The OBR chair and staff drafted a statement setting out what had happened and confirming its website was the source of the error

12.15pm: the statement was posted on the OBR’s website and on X

12.34pm: Chancellor’s budget statement began

1.38pm: The chancellor’s statement ended and the forecast and supporting documents were pushed live

It revealed the OBR’s spring statement 2025 was also accessed ahead of time, but said the likely explanation “is benign”.

And it said last week’s budget forecast document had multiple attempts to access it before it was inadvertently made accessible online.

The investigation partly blamed the Treasury and the Cabinet Office, as the OBR’s IT services were moved on to the Treasury’s shared systems in 2023 to “align more closely with Treasury security arrangements”, particularly around the sharing of sensitive budget information between the OBR and Treasury.

It said the Treasury should pay “greater attention” when setting the OBR’s budget, currently £6.4m, to the need for adequate support.

The investigation said there was pressure on the small team involved to ensure the full economic and fiscal outlook was published when the chancellor sat down after giving her budget, so a pre-publication “facility” was used.

But this commonly used device created a “potential vulnerability if not configured properly” and had not received the same amount of attention by the OBR as it had placed on security of communications with the Treasury “during the long period of run-up to the budget”.

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Starmer says he did not mislead the public

An outside web developer, who has helped the OBR team since it came into existence 15 years ago, assists the internal team and manages content and uploads at times of pressure, including the release of the budget forecast.

The report said the risks of this approach have increased over the years as technologies have developed and online threats have risen.

“With hindsight, it is clear that over the years this arrangement should have been regularly reexamined and assessed by the management of the OBR,” the report said.

It recommended the process for publishing forecasts should “immediately” be removed from the OBR’s locally managed website, which is a WordPress website, and published as part of a government website.

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