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When Sir Keir Starmer became Labour leader in 2020, few ever believed he would become prime minister.

The party was reeling from its worst performance at the ballot box since 1935, riven by internal divisions, under fire over its record of tackling antisemitism and facing a seemingly unassailable Boris Johnson atop an 80-seat majority.

Sir Keir was billed as the Neil Kinnock of 21st-century Labour: the man who would do the hard yards of rehabilitation to get Labour back into the running for whoever came next.

But an extraordinary set of events changed all of that: a global COVID pandemic, the largely self-inflicted collapse of the Johnson administration, and the debacle of Liz Truss’s 44 days in office.

All the political capital won at the ballot box in 2019 has long been spent, and the Sunak government is now in huge deficit.

Labour, ahead in the polls for the past 15 months, is now 28 points ahead, according to latest YouGov polling. Rishi Sunak may have calmed the chaos. But he isn’t closing the gap.

The Tories are in despair. As one former cabinet minister ruefully remarked to me: “Oppositions don’t win elections, governments lose them, and we are f*****.”

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Sir Keir, who said back in 2020 when he became Labour leader that he had a mountain to climb to turn things around before the next general election in 2024, now has the summit in sight.

Gifted the climbing kit by his political adversaries, he now wants to use the rest of this year to build his own case with voters who might have fallen out of love with the Conservatives but are still unsure about him.

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‘Tide is turning on SNP and Tories’

‘Five missions’ to answer the big question from voters

Recent polling suggests that when voters are asked what Sir Keir’s Labour stand for, the most common answer is “don’t know”.

But today, Sir Keir is aiming to begin to answer that question during a major speech in Manchester.

He will outline the five “missions” that will form the backbone of his 2024 manifesto. His themes are the economy, climate change, the NHS, skills, and law and order.

The actual policies are being closely guarded – but senior Labour sources are promising that Sir Keir will offer up measurable goals and timelines for achieving those around economic growth and climate change today.

Five point plans and pledge cards are nothing new. At the beginning of the year, Rishi Sunak set out his five promises to voters for the remainder of his term in office – to grow the economy in 2023, halve inflation, cut debt, stop small boats, and cut NHS waiting lists.

In the run up to the 1997 general election, Tony Blair had a pledge card with five very specific policies he would deliver: from cutting cut class sizes to 30 to promising not to raise income tax rates.

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Sir Keir Starmer meets Ukraine’s president

‘More about blue-sky thinking than real-life retail politics’

But this speech is not about that, say senior Labour sources. Sir Keir’s missions will be different to specific pledges. “They are about long-term objectives,” a senior Labour figure said.

“They will be the chapters in the manifesto.

“We’ll then have specific pledges about how we deliver the mission.”

If the mission is, say, a commitment to high economic growth, the pledges that will follow set out how to accomplish that mission.

So today will be more about blue-sky thinking than real-life retail politics. Those around Sir Keir insist that this is not a knee-jerk reaction to Mr Sunak’s own mission statement for the next 18 months – also five points – but rather a framework for governing.

It is, if you like, going back to his theme of ending “sticking plaster politics” and trying to expand on what he means when he talks about a Labour government embarking on a “decade of national renewal”.

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Labour leader says NHS must change

Big thoughts clash with pressing needs

But Labour politicians who are canvassing on doorsteps are hearing about the very real problems of a monthly pay packet that won’t cover the bills, being unable to see a doctor, or being affected by anti-social behaviour. Big thoughts are perhaps not what they want when dealing with pressing needs.

Today is being billed by the Labour leader’s team as a key staging post on Labour’s journey to get voters to really look at the party again. To win the next general election, Labour will need a big chunk of Tory and SNP voters to switch back.

“We can’t afford to let government lose, we need to win,” is how one candidate put it to me – and they are looking to Sir Keir to give them real policies to sell on the doorstep.

That Sir Keir is even in this position should be considered a victory of sorts. Having a serious shot at government was a pipedream rather than a real prospect when he won the Labour leadership race back in 2020, and his mission speech is a key staging post in that journey as the Labour leader sets out his stall.

Sir Keir might be in ascendancy but he knows he still has to seal the deal – and how these missions land could prove crucial.

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Pirates firing machine guns and rocket-propelled grenades board tanker off Somalia coast

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Pirates firing machine guns and rocket-propelled grenades board tanker off Somalia coast

Pirates firing machine guns and rocket-propelled grenades have boarded a tanker off the coast of Somalia.

Greek shipping company Latsco Marine Management confirmed its vessel, Hellas Aphrodite, had been attacked in the early hours of Thursday.

The tanker, which was carrying fuel, was en route from India to South Africa when a “security incident” took place, the firm said.

“All 24 crew are safe and accounted for and we remain in close contact with them,” it added in a statement.

The crew members took shelter in the ship’s “citadel”, or fortified safe room, and remain there, an official from maritime security company Diaplous said.

The United Kingdom Maritime Trade Operations (UKMTO) agency issued an alert to warn ships in the area.

It located the vessel 560 nautical miles southeast of Eyl, Somalia, in the Indian Ocean. Eyl became famous in the mid-2000s as the centre of a string of piracy attacks.

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“The Master of a vessel has reported being approached by one small craft on its stern. The small craft fired small arms and RPGs [rocket-propelled grenades] towards the vessel,” UKMTO said in a statement.

EU forces move in on tanker

The European Union’s Operation Atalanta, a counter-piracy mission around the Horn of Africa, said one of its assets was “close to the incident” and “ready to take the appropriate actions”.

That EU force has responded to other recent pirate attacks in the area and had issued a recent alert that a pirate group was operating off Somalia and assaults were “almost certain” to happen.

Private security firm Ambrey has claimed that Somali pirates were operating from an Iranian fishing boat they had seized and had opened fire on the tanker.

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Pirate gangs resume attacks

Thursday’s attack comes after another vessel, the Cayman Islands-flagged Stolt Sagaland, found itself targeted in a suspected pirate attack that included both its armed security force and the attackers shooting at each other, the EU force said.

The vessel’s operator Stolt-Nielsen confirmed there was an attempted attack, early on 3 November, which was unsuccessful.

Somali pirate gangs have been relatively inactive in recent years. In May 2024, suspected pirates boarded the Liberian-flagged vessel Basilisk. EU naval forces later rescued the 17 crew members.

Meanwhile, the last hijacking took place in December 2023, when the Maltese-flagged Ruen was taken by assailants to the Somali coast before Indian naval forces freed the crew and arrested the attackers.

Hellas Aphrodite was en route from Sikka, India, to Durban, South Africa.

The Malta-flagged tanker is described as an oil/chemical tanker, 183m long and 32m wide, which was built in 2016, according to vesselfinder.com.

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2025 set to be among hottest years on record, UN scientists warn

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2025 set to be among hottest years on record, UN scientists warn

This year will likely be the second or third warmest ever on record globally, as an “unprecedented streak” of high temperatures persists, UN scientists have warned.

It comes as climate talks between world leaders get under way in Brazil.

Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer and Prince William addressed other nations in the Amazonian city of Belem, including Brazil‘s president Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva and officials from Jamaica, which is still reeling from the devastating Hurricane Melissa.

Global average surface temperatures in January to August 2025 were 1.42C above pre-industrial times, before humans started burning fossil fuels at scale, the UN’s World Meteorological Organisation has said.

The Amazon rainforest around COP30 is threatened by climate change and mining, which also raises cash for the state of Para. Pic: Reuters
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The Amazon rainforest around COP30 is threatened by climate change and mining, which also raises cash for the state of Para. Pic: Reuters

The level is closing in on the target set in the landmark Paris Agreement, struck at COP21 in 2015, which aimed to limit global warming to “well below” 2C and ideally 1.5C.

That means just 10 years later, it is already looking “virtually impossible” to stick to the Paris goal without at least temporarily overshooting it, the WMO said.

Under this heat, the UK experienced its hottest summer on record, two million people in Pakistan were evacuated from deadly floods and parts of the Amazon rainforest are so dry that once rare wildfires now spread easily.

More on Cop30

Hilde Heine, president of the coral atoll country of the Marshall Islands in the Pacific, said the “widespread mortality of coral reefs [is] now seemingly inevitable” and the Amazon is “likely not far behind in suffering a similar fate”.

WMO chief Celeste Saulo stressed it would be “still entirely possible and essential” to bring temperatures down to the 1.5C goal again.

That 1.5C limit is “not just a figure” but a “lifeline for Pacific communities and climate-vulnerable nations” grappling with rising and warming seas, said Shiva Gounden, head of Pacific at Greenpeace Australia Pacific.

“The legal, moral, and political responsibility for climate action has never been stronger, and the ambition leaders take to Belem will define its success.”

Read more from Sky News:
Earth’s lungs are collapsing – is net zero dead?
Few places explain world’s refugee crisis as well as this

A climate change protester. File pic: AP
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A climate change protester. File pic: AP

Who’s staying away?

The leaders are in town over the course of two days, before the COP30 climate summit begins on Monday.

But only about 60 are due to attend, compared with more than double the number in some previous years.

The heads of the world’s three largest drivers of climate change, China, the US and India, are all staying at home.

Although many missing leaders will still send officials to the negotiations, diplomats here in Belem are worried that governments are distracted by cost-of-living woes and boosting defence.

They also fear US President Donald Trump will seek to water down any deals from afar by threatening countries that agree to anything too ambitious.

Leaders ‘denying reality’

Mariana Menezes, a Brazilian mother caught up in the devastating floods in Rio Grande do Sul last year, said: “We see world leaders denying reality and making plans to expand fossil fuels.

“These people, who once enjoyed full lives with unforgettable summers and long walks outdoors in their youth, are condemning future generations to lives of pollution and disasters.”

The WMO’s annual State of the Climate reports found that the past 11 years – from the Paris Agreement year of 2015 to 2025 – have each been in the top 11 warmest on record.

And the past three years have been the three warmest years in the record, stretching back 176 years.

In his speech, Sir Keir admitted that the “consensus is gone” on climate change – that cross-party unity on the science has splintered at home and globally.

He made an economic case for net zero, saying the green transition would create jobs and lower household bills.

But despite attacks on climate policies from the Conservatives and Reform, Britons are still concerned about and believe in climate change, and are still buying in to green technology like electric vehicles and heat pumps, Sky News has found.

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US soldiers given food bank advice and could go without pay amid government shutdown

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US soldiers given food bank advice and could go without pay amid government shutdown

US soldiers in Germany may not receive their November pay and have been given food bank advice as a government shutdown entered a record 37th day.

Around 37,000 US soldiers stationed in the country face uncertainty over November salary payments.

The Pentagon has warned US troops may not receive mid-month wages despite last-minute funding for October.

US treasury secretary Scott Bessent told CBS News: “I think we’ll be able to pay them beginning in November, but by 15 November our troops and service members who are willing to risk their lives aren’t going to be able to get paid.”

The US army also published guidance on its website directing soldiers in Germany to emergency social benefits, loans, and food sharing organisations including Tafel Deutschland – the umbrella organisation of more than 970 food banks in the country – as well as the app Too Good To Go.

Some of the information was later removed from the web page of the garrison in Bavaria, but some of the listings for services for those affected by the shutdown remained on a separate document.

Read more: What impact is the shutdown having?

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Cuts to flights

The US federal government shutdown became the longest in history on Wednesday – with Sean Duffy, the transportation secretary, announcing he was ordering a 10% cut in flights at 40 major US airports from Friday.

Tens of thousands of flights have been delayed because of widespread air traffic control shortages, with the shutdown forcing 13,000 air traffic controllers and 50,000 Transportation Security Administration agents to work without pay.

Airlines have said at least 3.2 million travellers have already been impacted by air traffic control shortages.

Travellers waiting in long airport security lines in Houston on 3 November. Pic: AP
Image:
Travellers waiting in long airport security lines in Houston on 3 November. Pic: AP

“Our job is to make sure we make the hard decisions to continue to keep the airspace safe,” said Mr Duffy.

“When we see pressures building in these 40 markets, we just can’t ignore it,” said Bryan Bedford, head of the Federal Aviation Administration.

“We can take action today to prevent things from deteriorating so the system is extremely safe today, will be extremely safe tomorrow.”

The government did not name the 40 sites affected, but the cuts are expected to hit the busiest airports, including those serving New York City, Washington DC, Chicago, Atlanta, Los Angeles and Dallas.

This would reduce as many as 1,800 flights and more than 268,000 airline seats, according to aviation analytics firm Cirium.

Read more from Sky News:
JD Vance’s reaction to a big 24 hours in US politics is telling
Tesla shareholders may be about to do something never seen

Shutdown longest in history

The shutdown, which started on 1 October, has been triggered by politicians failing to pass new funding bills as a stand-off between the Democrats and Republicans over healthcare spending continues.

It has now eclipsed the 35-day federal closure in late 2018 and early 2019 during Donald Trump’s first term – disrupting the lives of millions of Americans as all non-essential parts of government are frozen.

Republicans hold a 53-47 majority in the Senate. But 60 votes are needed to pass any funding bill.

The Trump administration has sought to ramp up the pressure on Democrats to end the shutdown and has increasingly raised the spectre of dramatic aviation disruptions to force them to vote to reopen the government.

However, Democrats contend Republicans are to blame for refusing to negotiate over key health care subsidies.

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