About a year-and-a-half before Election Day 2024,the political landscapecontinues to be a bit of a mystery, with only two major candidates announcing their White House runs. A new poll shows the race remains close between threepotentialfrontrunners.
Trump, Haley Announce 2024 Runs: Former President Donald Trump became the first of three expected frontrunners for the 2024 presidential election to officially announce he was running for office again.
Recently, Nikki Haley also announced plans to run for the GOP nomination, setting up a potential Republican showdown between Trump, Haley and Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis.
How Democrats, Republicans Are Lining Up: A new poll from NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist shows support for President Joe Biden growing among Democrat voters and Republicans wanting someone other than Donald Trump to be the nominee.
When asked if the Democrats have a better chance of winning in 2024 withBiden as the nominee, 50% of those polled who identify as Democrat-leaning said yes. The option for someone else to be the Democratic nominee was selected by 45% of Democrats.
The results of the poll have flipped since November 2022, when 54% of Democrats wanted someone else to be the partys nominee for the best chance to win the 2024 election compared to 38% who selected Biden.
Republican-leaning respondents polled were asked if they thought the party had the best chance to win the 2024 presidential election with Trump as the nominee or someone else. Of those polled, 42% said the Republicans had the best chance of winning if Trump was nominated.
The majority, at 54%, chose the option of having someone else as the GOP nominee for the best chance to win the 2024 election.
The poll is in line with results from November 2022 that saw 54% of those polled stating that Trump gave the party the best chance of winning in 2024. Trumps 42% vote of confidence is higher than the 35% he received in November for the same question.
The midterm elections are barely in our rearview mirror, and the jockeying for position in the 2024 presidential cycle has begun. Although for the Democrats, President Biden has improved his pole position, Marist institute for Public Opinion Director Lee M. Miringoff said.
Related Link: Exclusive: Benzinga Poll Unveils How US Favors Biden Vs Trump Vs DeSantis, How Opinions Shifted Since 2020
How Harris, DeSantis, Others Rank: While Biden has not officially announced his intention to seek re-election in the 2024 election, it is widely expected.
Outside of Biden, Democraict voters are most familiar with current Vice President Kamala Harris.
Harris has a 63% favorable opinion in the poll, compared to 21% having an unfavorable opinion and 16% unsure of their opinion or never have heard of her.
Secretary of Transportation Pete Buttigieggets a favorability rating of 63% from Democraticvoterscompared to 12% having an unfavorable opinion and 25% unsure of their opinion or not familiar with him.
Michigan Gov.Gretchen Whitmer has a 42% favorable rating and 9% unfavorable rating. The near majority at 49% have not heard of Whitmer or are unsure how to rate herahead of a potential presidential run.
On the Republican side, Florida's DeSantis scores high with voters. DeSantis has a favorability rating of 66%compared to an 11% unfavorable rating and 23% who are unsure of or not familiar with the governor. These results are in line with scores in July 2022.
Former Vice President Mike Pence has a 51% favorability rating and 30% unfavorable rating, along with 19% of Republican voters unsure of their opinion or unfamiliar with Pence. The former vice president had a 59% favorable rating in July 2022.
Haley, who recently announced her presidential run, scores a favorability rating of 41% and an unfavorable rating of 12%. Forty-six percent of respondents wereunfamiliar with the former South Carolina governor her or unsure of their rating.
Why Its Important: The improvement in support forBiden comes after his State of the Union address earlier this month.
Bidens approval rating in the poll comes in at 46% overall, higher than the 43% reported last month and the presidents highest approval rating since March 2022.
Bidens approval rating is 86% among Democrats, 36% among Independent voters and 15% among Republican voters.
Until another candidate emerges, Biden is likely to see strong support, and it could grow as time goes on and the 2024 election gets closer without a major challenger.
Trumps favorability rating among Republican voters hit its lowest point since his presidency in the fall of 2016 in the latest poll. Among Republican voters, Trump has a favorability rating of 68%, down from 79% in November.
A majority of Republicans would prefer to turn the page on Trump, but a potentially crowded field could ultimately benefit the former president, Miringoff said.
Benzinga previously reported in January that polls among Republican voters with only Trump and DeSantis as options saw DeSantis holding a 48% to 43% lead. Polls with three or more candidates showed Trump in the lead, with 41% to 37% of the vote.
Haley entering the mix makes three likely leading candidates for the GOP side and could sway the primary contestin Trumps favor.
The latest poll shows that DeSantis is more well-liked among Republican-leaning independents, which could be a change of pace.
Read Next: Exclusive: How Would People Vote in Biden Vs Trump And Biden Vs DeSantis Matchups
In the courtyard of a farmhouse now home to soldiers of the Ukrainian army’s 47th mechanised brigade, I’m introduced to a weary-looking unit by their commander Captain Oleksandr “Sasha” Shyrshyn.
We are about 10km from the border with Russia, and beyond it lies the Kursk region Ukraine invaded in the summer – and where this battalion is now fighting.
The 47th is a crack fighting assault unit.
They’ve been brought to this area from the fierce battles in the country’s eastern Donbas region to bolster Ukrainian forces already here.
Captain Shyrshyn explains that among the many shortages the military has to deal with, the lack of infantry is becoming a critical problem.
Sasha is just 30 years old, but he is worldly-wise. He used to run an organisation helping children in the country’s east before donning his uniform and going to war.
He is famous in Ukraine and is regarded as one of the country’s top field commanders, who isn’t afraid to express his views on the war and how it’s being waged.
His nom de guerre is ‘Genius’, a nickname given to him by his men.
‘Don’t worry, it’s not a minefield’
Sasha invited me to see one of the American Bradley fighting vehicles his unit uses.
We walk down a muddy lane before he says it’s best to go cross-country.
“We can go that way, don’t worry it’s not a minefield,” he jokes.
He leads us across a muddy field and into a forest where the vehicle is hidden from Russian surveillance drones that try to hunt both American vehicles and commanders.
Sasha shows me a picture of the house they had been staying in only days before – it was now completely destroyed after a missile strike.
Fortunately, neither he, nor any of his men, were there at the time.
“They target commanders,” he says with a smirk.
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It takes me a moment or two to realise we are only a few steps away from the Bradley, dug in and well hidden beneath the trees.
Sasha tells me the Bradley is the finest vehicle he has ever used.
A vehicle so good, he says, it’s keeping the Ukrainian army going in the face of Russia’s overwhelming numbers of soldiers.
He explains: “Almost all our work on the battlefield is cooperation infantry with the Bradley. So we use it for evacuations, for moving people from one place to another, as well as for fire-covering.
“This vehicle is very safe and has very good characteristics.”
Billions of dollars in military aid has been given to Ukraine by the United States, and this vehicle is one of the most valuable assets the US has provided.
Ukraine is running low on men to fight, and the weaponry it has is not enough, especially if it can’t fire long-range missiles into Russia itself – which it is currently not allowed to do.
Sasha says: “We have a lack of weapons, we have a lack of artillery, we have a lack of infantry, and as the world doesn’t care about justice, and they don’t want to finish the war by our win, they are afraid of Russia.
“I’m sorry but they’re scared, they’re scared, and it’s not the right way.”
Like pretty much everyone in Ukraine, Sasha is waiting to see what the US election result will mean for his country.
He is sceptical about a deal with Russia.
“Our enemy only understands the language of power. And you cannot finish the war in 24 hours, or during the year without hard decisions, without a fight, so it’s impossible. It’s just talking without results,” he tells me.
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These men expect the fierce battles inside Kursk to intensify in the coming days.
Indeed, alongside the main supply route into Kursk, workers are already building new defensive positions – unfurling miles of razor wire and digging bunkers for the Ukrainian army if it finds itself in retreat.
Sasha and his men are realistic about support fatigue from the outside world but will keep fighting to the last if they have to.
“I understand this is only our problem, it’s only our issue, and we have to fight this battle, like we have to defend ourselves, it’s our responsibility,” Sasha said.
But he points out everyone should realise just how critical this moment in time is.
“If we look at it widely, we have to understand that us losing will be not only our problem, but it will be for all the world.”
Stuart Ramsay reports from northeastern Ukraine with camera operator Toby Nash, and producers Dominique Van Heerden, Azad Safarov, and Nick Davenport.
The adverse weather could lead to total insured losses of more than €4bn (£3.33bn), according to credit rating agency Morningstar DBRS.
Much of the claims are expected to be covered by the Spanish government’s insurance pool, the agency said, but insurance premiums are likely to increase.
A man accused of being a major supplier of the boats and engines used by cross-Channel people smugglers to bring migrants to the UK has been arrested.
The Turkish national, 44, was held at Amsterdam’s Schiphol Airport on Wednesday and faces extradition to Belgium to face human smuggling charges, the National Crime Agency (NCA) said.
He is suspected of supplying the engines and boats used by traffickers to bring migrants across the Channel.
The equipment was shipped from Turkey and stored in Germany before being brought to northern France when needed.
NCA director general Rob Jones hailed the arrest as an “important milestone” in one of its most “significant investigations into organised immigration crime”.
“We suspect that this individual is a major supplier of boats and engines to the smugglers operating in Belgium and northern France,” he said.
“The types of vessels and engines we see used in making these crossings are highly dangerous and completely unfit for open water.
“At least 50 people are known to have died this year as a result. There is no legitimate use for them.”
More than 32,000 migrants have arrived in the UK so far this year after crossing the Channel.
Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer described the arrest as a “significant piece of the jigsaw” in tackling Channel crossings, but added: “I’m not pretending it’s the silver bullet.”
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He vowed the government would “treat people smugglers like terrorists” as he announced an extra £75m for his border security command during a speech at the Interpol general assembly in Glasgow last week.
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Home Secretary Yvette Cooper said: “We will relentlessly pursue the criminal smuggling gangs making millions out of small boat crossings that undermine our border security and put lives at risk.
“This major investigation shows how important it is for our crime fighting agencies to be working hand in glove with our international partners to get results.”
The NCA said it is leading around 70 ongoing investigations into networks or people “in the top tier” of organised immigration crime or people trafficking and stressed the importance of working with its counterparts in Europe.
A spokesperson for the public prosecutor’s office of West Flanders said: “International cooperation is crucial in the fight against human smuggling, and the arrest of this suspect through close cooperation with our UK and Dutch partners demonstrates our ongoing commitment to partnership working.
“Human smuggling criminals do not respect national borders, and we will relentlessly pursue these criminals through working internationally.”