Image: Ash Regan, Humza Yousaf and Kate Forbes at a leadership debate in Inverness earlier this month
Finance Secretary Kate Forbes, Health Secretary Humza Yousaf and former community safety minister Ash Regan are all in the running for the top job.
Whoever becomes the new SNP leader and first minister will face a number of difficult challenges as they take office.
Here are five of the key priorities that are expected to be at the top of their agenda.
Image: Scottish independence supporters at an All Under One Banner march in Glasgow last year
Defining a clear plan for independence
The campaign for Scottish independence did not stop following the results of the 2014 referendum.
The SNP leadership candidates each believe they can lead Scotland to independence but are yet to define a clear route to indyref2.
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A special conference due to be held earlier this month to discuss plans was postponed following Ms Sturgeon’s resignation.
Ms Sturgeon’s preference was to treat the next general election, which will be held no later than 24 January 2025, as a de facto referendum.
The new leader will not be obligated to follow the same course and an alternative could be to treat the next Holyrood election, due in 2026, as a de facto referendum.
Independence supporters will be keen to hear what the new first minister’s plans are to overcome the block, while those who wish to remain part of the UK will be hoping for another decade of fruitless campaigning.
Image: Protesters took to the streets after the UK government blocked the Gender Recognition Reform (Scotland) Bill
How to progress with gender recognition reforms
The Gender Recognition Reform (Scotland) Bill has been a contentious issue within the SNP.
In October last year, Ms Regan quit as community safety minister shortly before MSPs began debating the first stage of the bill. A total of seven SNP MSPs broke the whip to vote against the bill, which would make it easier for trans people to obtain a gender recognition certificate.
It then became a constitutional dispute in January when the UK government took the unprecedented step of using section 35 of the Scotland Act to block the bill from receiving royal assent and becoming law.
The new first minister may wish to challenge the intervention in court. The bill could also be dropped altogether or amended to satisfy the UK government.
Mr Yousaf has stated it would be “responsible” to drop a potential legal challenge if the lord advocate believed the Scottish government would lose.
Ms Regan believes any court challenge would fail, while Ms Forbes has previously pledged to amend the legislation to ensure it cannot be blocked again.
Whatever the decision, there will be displeasure from certain camps and allies of the party.
Image: Campaigner Peter Krykant laying a wreath outside the Scottish parliament to mark International Overdose Awareness Day in 2021
Tackling Scotland’s drug deaths shame
Drug misuse continues to blight Scotland’s neighbourhoods.
Official data released last year showed there were 1,330 deaths in 2021 due to drug misuse.
It was the first time in eight years the figure had decreased, but Scotland continues to have the highest drug death rate recorded by any country in Europe.
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28:59
Sky’s Beth Rigby was joined by Nicola Sturgeon earlier this month
The Scottish government has been attempting to increase access to rehabilitation and support for problematic drug use, including opening two family rehab centres.
An additional £250m has also been invested to tackle the “drug deaths emergency”.
The new first minister is being called to back the Scottish Conservatives’ Right to Recovery Bill and see it through parliament.
The proposed legislation would enshrine in law the right of those struggling with addiction to access their preferred method of treatment, unless ruled harmful by a clinician.
Image: Wendy Duncan said Scotland is an ‘EU leader when it comes to drug deaths’
When Sky News visited Scotland’s “Yes” towns and cities to see if the hunger for indyref2 remained, one woman said tackling drug-related deaths should be high on the agenda.
Wendy Duncan, 80, told us that the campaign for independence was a “waste of money and a waste of time”.
She added: “We’re an EU leader when it comes to drug deaths. It’s a scandal and the government should be concentrating on those types of things in Scotland.”
Image: One woman told Sky News that ‘everything is going up in price, except wages’. File pic
Alleviating the cost of living crisis
The country barely emerged from the COVID pandemic before it plunged into a cost of living crisis.
Households are having to spend more on food and general bills and have seen their energy costs soar.
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2:10
Inflation takes surprise leap with food and booze costs to blame
Businesses have also been hit. The chip shop industry is just one of many that has been battered recently with the price of fish, cooking oil and energy skyrocketing.
As one Glasgow woman told Sky News: “Everything is going up in price, except wages. The new first minister should make sure the minimum wage goes up.”
Image: Jean Whyte said she fears for those living off benefits and those not in work
In Dundee, Jean Whyte, 66, said she fears for those living off benefits and those not in work.
Ms Whyte said: “[My partner and I] are lucky that we have a wee bit of money behind us. But we used to donate to a food bank every two weeks – that’s now once a month or every six weeks.
“I have heard that a lot of people who used to donate to food banks are now using them.”
Image: Although a pay deal has been accepted, union bosses say this ‘will not solve’ the NHS Scotland staffing crisis
Turning the NHS around
Scotland’s NHS is yet to recover from an extremely difficult winter which saw A&E waiting times reach record levels.
Although A&E performance has improved since the start of the year, key treatment time targets were again missed earlier this month.
NHS 24 staffing has been increased to help cope with the demand and up to £8m is being provided to health boards to alleviate pressure from delayed discharge.
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Patients are said to be “waiting too long for routine operations” and staff are working under “unacceptably stressful conditions”.
Image: Margaret Maguire and Catherine McGroggan said Scotland was ‘suffering’
In West Dunbartonshire, Margaret Maguire and Catherine McGroggan told Sky News that the country was “suffering”.
Ms McGroggan, 73, claimed the Scottish government continues to blame a lot of the NHS’s struggles on the pandemic.
She stated: “That was two years ago, and people are still struggling to get an appointment with a doctor. I’m not online so how is someone on the phone supposed to see my hands if I’ve got an issue with them?”
Ms Maguire, 75, added: “They are playing on the pandemic too much.”
Other issues that will be high up on the agenda
The bottle deposit return scheme
The dualling of the A9
The future of Scotland’s oil and gas industry
The National Care Service
Lowering the poverty-related attainment gap in schools
Explaining how they plan to tackle what they described as illegal migration, Nigel Farage and his Reform UK colleague Zia Yusuf were happy to disclose some of the finer details – how much money migrants would be offered to leave and what punishments they would receive if they returned.
But the bigger picture was less clear.
How would Reform win a Commons majority, at least another 320 seats, in four years’ time – or sooner if, as Mr Farage implied, Labour was forced to call an early election?
How would his party win an election at all if, as its leader suggested, other parties began to adopt his policies?
Highly detailed legislation would be needed – what Mr Farage calls his Illegal Migration (Mass Deportation) Bill.
But Reform would not have a majority in the House of Lords and, given the responsibilities of the upper house to scrutinise legislation in detail, it could take a year or more from the date of an election for his bill to become law.
• The United Nations refugee convention of 1951, extended in 1967, which says people who have a well-founded fear of persecution must not be sent back to a country where they face serious threats to their life or freedom
• The United Nations convention against torture, whose signatories agree not expel, return or extradite anyone to a country where there are substantial grounds to believe the returned person would be in danger of being tortured
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13:31
Farage sets out migration plan
According to the policy document, derogation from these treaties is “justified under the Vienna Convention doctrine of state necessity”.
That’s odd, because there’s no mention of necessity in the Vienna Convention on the law of treaties – and because member states can already “denounce” (leave) the three treaties by giving notice.
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It would take up to a year – but so would the legislation. Only six months’ notice would be needed to leave the European Convention on Human Rights, another of Reform’s objectives.
Mr Farage acknowledged that other European states were having to cope with an influx of migrants. Why weren’t those countries trying to give up their international obligations?
His answer was to blame UK judges for applying the law. Once his legislation had been passed, Mr Farage promised, there would be nothing the courts could do to stop people being deported to countries that would take them. His British Bill of Rights would make that clear.
Courts will certainly give effect to the will of parliament as expressed in legislation. But the meaning of that legislation is for the judiciary to decide. Did parliament really intend to send migrants back to countries where they are likely to face torture or death, the judges may be asking themselves in the years to come.
They will answer questions such as that by examining the common law that Mr Farage so much admires – the wisdom expressed in past decisions that have not been superseded by legislation. He cannot be confident that the courts will see the problem in quite the same way that he does.
Six people are believed to have been injured after dog attacks in Leicestershire, police have said.
Officers received two calls regarding dog attacks in the area of Beveridge Lane, Bardon Hill, on Thursday morning – one at 6.30am and the other at 7.44am.
LeicestershirePolice said that in the first call to police, a person reported seeing a man being attacked by two dogs.
Upon arrival, no dogs were located, but a victim was identified.
Later, in the second call to the force, three people were reported to have been bitten in the same location.
Two dogs – confirmed to be Caucasian shepherds – were then discovered after firearms officers, a police dog and its handler were deployed.
The force added that both dogs were safely removed and are now being held in secure kennels.
In an update on Tuesday, officers said that two further people had come forward to report they were bitten by a dog in the same location at the time, bringing the total to six.
If you want a dissection of whether the £10bn cost of Reform UK’s new deportation policy is an underestimate, the analysis that follows is going to disappoint.
Likewise, if you are here to hear chapter and verse about the unacknowledged difficulties in striking international migrant returns agreements – which are at the heart of Nigel Farage’s latest plan – or a piece that dwells on how he seemed to hand over questions of substance and detail to a colleague, again, prepare to be let down.
Like a magician’s prestige, if you laser focus on the policy specifics of Tuesday’s Farage small boat plan – outlined in a vast hangar outside Oxford, striking for its scale and echo – you risk misunderstanding the real trick, and Reform’s objective for the day.
For Farage has been around long enough in British politics that we should acknowledge upfront how he pulls the wool over his opponents’ eyes, and hence why he seems to wrongfoot them so regularly.
The intent was not to present proposals that will turn into policy reality in 2029.
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Nor was it about converting voters in any great number to Reform – if you warmed to Farage before, you might like him a bit more after this, in your view, straight-talking press conference.
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2:29
Farage’s deportation plan: Analysed
If you detested him, you will likely feel that more strongly and draw comparisons with Enoch Powell. I suspect he will be unbothered by either.
Instead, his announcement was about two things: seizing the agenda (ensuring more coverage of an issue redolent of the failure of the two biggest parties in British politics); and then putting both those other parties on the spot.
Success or failure for Farage, in other words, will come in how the Labour and Tory parties respectively respond in the coming days. Look what he’s done to the Tories.
The real policy meat of his speech comes in the Farage promise to rip up the post-Second World War settlement for refugees, drawn up with fresh memories of persecuted hordes fleeing the Nazis.
Along with an exit from the European Convention on Human Rights, the Reform UK leader would pause Britain’s membership of the 1951 Refugee Convention, the UN Convention Against Torture, and the Council of Europe Anti-Trafficking Convention.
The pause of British membership of these treaties and conventions may even turn out to be temporary, he said.
“We do think there is hope that the 1951 Refugee Convention of the UN can be revisited and redefined for the modern world,” he said.
But action, he argues, is needed now because the 1951 UN Refugee Convention obliges signatories to settle anyone with a “well-founded fear” of persecution.
That, critics say, has become the “founding charter” of today’s people-smuggling industry and allows traffickers the right to offer a legal guarantee that if their clients make it to shore they’re covered – and boast this works in 98% of cases for the Sudanese and Syrians, and 87% for Eritreans – the recently updated approval rates. A big moment for a major party.
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2:21
Farage questioned over deportation plans
Yet this is almost – but not quite – the Conservative position. On 6 June this year, Kemi Badenoch gave a speech saying she was minded to pull out of the European Convention of Human Rights, and had commissioned a review led by Lord Woolfson to examine whether and how ECHR withdrawal, and pulling out of the the Refugee Convention and the European Convention Against Trafficking, might help.
So she added: “I won’t commit my party to leaving the ECHR or other treaties without a clear plan to do so and without a full understanding of all the consequences.
“We saw that holding a referendum without a plan to get Brexit done, led to years of wrangling and endless arguments until we got it sorted in 2019. We cannot go through that again.
“I want us to fully understand and debate what the unintended consequences of that decision might be and understand what issues will still remain unresolved even if we leave.
“It is very important for our country that we get this right. We must look before we leap.”
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In other words, what Reform UK did was steal a march on a likely Tory decision at conference.
Farage has eaten Badenoch’s homework. And she has been left accusing him of being a copycat of a policy she hadn’t quite adopted.
Then there is Labour. They accept the ends of Farage’s argument, but not, it seems, the means.
Home Secretary Yvette Cooper is reviewing parts of the European Convention on Human Rights – Article 3 (which prohibits torture, inhuman, or degrading treatment or punishment) and Article 8 (which protects the right to a family life).
But that hasn’t emerged yet, and will not, at its maximalist outcome, recommend the UK withdrawal from the convention.
And will Labour strategists really want the spectre of ministers having to repeatedly argue in favour of ECHR membership in interviews, given that is likely to be the position of two of their biggest opponents? Another conundrum for Labour, which has Farage as the author.
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2:36
From Saturday: Police clash with protesters
Then there is the question of language for both Labour and the Tories. Dare they go as far as Reform UK and adopt a tone more aggressive than anything seen in recent years – one which talks of “invasions” and “fighting age males” and sending people back to “where they came from”?
Will both political parties hold that line that this language, in their view, goes too far?
Tuesday’s speech was less about voters, more about Westminster politics as we enter political season. All done at an hour-long press conference that gave Farage a platform. Can the other party leaders now look like they’re ignoring him and wrestle back the microphone? Or can they not help themselves and respond in kind?