Britain is at risk of forgetting “how to do things for ourselves”, the home secretary will warn, as she increases pressure on Rishi Sunak to cut net migration.
The home secretary will use a speech at the National Conservatism Conference today to call for the Conservatives to renew their 2019 manifesto commitment, which promised “fewer lower-skilled migrants” and that “overall (migrant) numbers will come down”.
Ms Braverman is expected to tell the conference: “I voted and campaigned for Brexit because I wanted Britain to control migration, so that we all have a say on what works for our country.
“High-skilled workers support economic growth. Fact.
“But we need to get overall immigration numbers down, and we mustn’t forget how to do things for ourselves.
“There is no good reason why we can’t train up enough HGV drivers, butchers, or fruit pickers.
“Brexit enables us to build a high-skilled, high wage economy that is less dependent on low-skilled foreign labour.
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“That was our 2019 manifesto pledge and what we must deliver.”
Ministers braced for migration figures
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It comes as ministers are reportedly braced for official figures expected to show net migration of between 650,000 and 997,000.
This would be more than the previous peak of 504,000 in the year to June 2022.
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Ms Braverman will say: “It’s not xenophobic to say that mass and rapid migration is unsustainable in terms of housing supply, service, and community relations.
“Nor is it bigoted to say that too many people come here illegally and claim asylum, and we have insufficient accommodation for them.”
‘It’s not racist for anyone to want to control our borders’
She will also use the speech to insist that there is nothing wrong with someone from an ethnic minority background – like herself – making such arguments.
“I’m not embarrassed to say that I love Britain – no true conservative is. It’s not racist for anyone, ethnic minority or otherwise, to want to control our borders.
“I reject the left’s argument that it is hypocritical for someone from an ethnic minority to know these facts, to speak these truths.
“My parents came here through legal and controlled migration. They spoke the language. They threw themselves into the community, embraced British values.
“When they arrived, they signed up to be part of our shared project because the UK meant something to them. Integration was part of the quid pro quo.”
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Migration bill ‘morally unacceptable’
Row increases pressure on Sunak
The row over immigration will increase pressure on Prime Minister Rishi Sunak, who recently saw his party lose nearly 1,000 councillors at local elections.
His government’s plan to deal with the increasing number of migrant boats coming from France has also been criticised in recent days, after the Archbishop of Canterbury labelled it “morally unacceptable and politically impractical”.
The Illegal Migration Bill aims to ensure that people arriving in the UK without permission will be detained and swiftly removed, either to their home country or to a third country such as Rwanda.
Ford has announced plans to cut 4,000 jobs across Europe – including 800 in the UK.
The car manufacturer said the cuts were needed as part of plans to bolster its competitiveness amid the stuttering drive to an all-electric vehicle (EV) future that has hit sales.
Ford said the cuts would take place over the next three years.
The bulk of the job losses would be in Germany, the company said, with 2,900 roles under threat there.
Most of those affected across Europe would be in administrative and support functions and product development, it added, with some manufacturing jobs hit too.
Ford was clear that its UK power unit plants at Dagenham and Halewood would not be affected.
It was aiming to achieve all the job losses through voluntary means by the end of 2027.
The announcement was made as EV sales across Europe face strong competition from China, a continued squeeze on household incomes and concerns among buyers around electric car ownership.
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Ford said the restructuring aimed to create a “more cost-competitive structure and ensure the long-term sustainability” of the business amid “lower-than-expected demand” for its electric products.
Dave Johnston, Ford’s European vice president for transformation and partnerships, said: “We are proud of our new product portfolio for Europe and committed to building a thriving business in Europe for generations to come.
“It is critical to take difficult but decisive action to ensure Ford’s future competitiveness in Europe,” he said.
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Starmer pledges 81% emissions cut by 2035
Ford said it was seeking a greater partnership with governments and others over the difficulties being encountered in the transformation.
Manufacturers face stiff targets to halt sales of petrol and diesel-powered vehicles under efforts to combat climate change.
Some were meeting the Transport Secretary Louise Haigh on Wednesday to discuss the gradual toughening of rules for EV sales in the UK.
Firms face fines if electric cars fail to make up a percentage of their overall sales – a figure that stands at 22% for 2024.
Collectively, that target is widely tipped to be missed this year and companies argue that sceptical consumers and businesses need incentives to make the change.
Worries include the cost of the vehicles themselves despite widespread discounting to help drive interest, vehicle ranges and significant holes in the public charging network.
While the rule for 2024 requires manufacturers to ensure that at least 22% of new cars sold are zero emission, it rises to 80% by 2030 and 100% by 2035.
The carmakers face a fine of £15,000 for each non zero-emission vehicle sold that exceeds the annual percentage target.
Germany’s car industry accounts for about 5% of its economy.
VW is among other manufacturers there also making cuts to bolster competitiveness.
Household gas and electricity bills rose last month as the energy price cap brought the cost of a typical annual bill up to an extra £12 a month.
Inflation wasn’t higher because there were falls in live music and theatre ticket prices and continued drops in raw materials due to cheaper oil.
What about interest rates?
Today’s data may affect the likelihood of the Bank of England cutting interest rates next month.
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Before the inflation figure was announced, there was a 78.3% chance of no change – and a 21.7% chance that the cost of borrowing would fall by 0.25 percentage points.
After the announcement that changed to 84% chance of no cut.
Also on the up was another important measure of inflation watched by the Bank – core inflation, which measures price rises but excludes food and energy costs as they’re liable to sharply fall or rise.
Core rose to 3.3%, more than the forecast 3.1% expected by economists polled by Reuters.
Services inflation also came in above forecast and higher than a month ago at 5%.
Political reaction
Responding to the figures the chief secretary to the treasury, Darren Jones, said:
“We know that families across Britain are still struggling with the cost of living. That is why the budget last month focused on fixing the foundation of our economy so we can deliver change.”
“But we know there is more to do. That is why the government is focused on economic growth and investment so we can make every part of the country better off.”
The shadow chancellor Mel Stride said:
“It’s higher inflation and lower growth under Labour.”
“What is worrying about today’s announcement is that inflation is running ahead of expectations and official forecasts state these figures are not expected to improve. Labour’s budget will push up inflation and mortgage rates.”
A woman casually walks into a convenience store and starts filling a bread crate with goods from one of the aisles.
A shop assistant tries to stop her, but she shrugs him off, undeterred. With the crate now full of items, she leaves without paying.
It is a scenario that is played out day in and day out across Britain, as retailers warn the surge in shoplifting is now “out of control”.
I’m sitting in the security office of a busy city centre shop and I’m watching as a schoolboy walks in and helps himself to a sandwich, stuffing it into his jacket.
Watching with me is shop worker Anton Mavroianu who positions himself by the main entrance waiting for the youngster to leave.
When the boy does leave, Anton demands the item back. Instead of being frozen with fear that he’s been caught, the boy laughs and walks off.
“All we can do is try to stop them,” Anton tells me. “But this is just another day for us.”
A few weeks earlier, when Anton tried to stop a shoplifter who had stolen from the store, the man pulled out a knife and tried to attack him.
This terrifying incident is an example of the very real threat posed to shop workers as they try to stem the tide of brazen thefts.
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Shoplifting offences recorded by police in England and Wales have risen to the highest level in 20 years.
The British Retail Consortium (BRC) also reports that theft-related losses cost the retail sector millions each year, adding strain to an industry already grappling with post-pandemic recovery and economic uncertainty.
For small businesses, which lack the resources of larger chains, persistent theft can threaten their very survival.
Ricky Dougall owns a chain of convenience stores and says shoplifting cost his business around £100,000 last year.
“Shoplifting is a huge problem and it is what stops us from growing the business.
“People come in and help themselves like they own the place and when you call the police, most of the time, they don’t turn up.”
Mr Dougall says part of the problem is how this type of crime is classified.
Sentencing guidelines for thefts of under £200, so-called “low level shoplifting”, were relaxed in 2016. That is being blamed for the surge in cases.
An exclusive Sky News and Association of Convenience Stores survey shows that 80% of shopkeepers reported a retail crime within a week in October.
The poll also found 94% of shopkeepers say that in their experience, shoplifting has got worse over the last year, with 83% not confident that the police will take action against the perpetrators of retail crime on their premises.
Paul Cheema from the Association of Convenience Stores says retailers are looking to government to support them.
“I would say officials do not give a s*** about us retailers,” he tells me. “The losses are too big and I don’t think we can sustain that anymore.
“I would urge Keir Starmer to come and meet us and see up close the challenges that we are facing.”
Retailers have responded by investing heavily in security measures, from advanced surveillance systems to hiring more security staff.
But these investments come at a cost, often passed down to consumers through higher prices.
I get chatting to Matt Roberts, head of retail in the store I am in. He worries about shoplifting, but he worries about the staff more.
He says: “I would imagine they dread coming to work because they’re always on tenterhooks wondering whether something is going to happen today, whether they are going to have to try and confront someone.
“It’s a horrible feeling. It’s out of control and we need help.”
The government has acknowledged the urgency of the issue. Home secretary-led discussions with retail associations and law enforcement are under way to craft a comprehensive strategy.
In the King’s Speech, the government outlined details of a Crime and Policing Bill, which promised to “introduce stronger measures to tackle low level shoplifting”, as well as introducing a separate offence for assaulting a shop worker.