With lawmakers in a stalemate about the debt ceiling, CNBC’s Jim Cramer said Monday to put faith in defensive stocks like health care, discount stores, and natural gas.
Cramer looked to the 2011 debt ceiling crisis for guidance, noting that even though history seems to be repeating itself, it’s not as simple as finding what rallied after that deal was finalized.
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“You don’t want losers that turn into winners at this point. You want winners that stayed winners right through the worst of the debt ceiling talks,” Cramer said. “If the talks break down this time, you can bet the focus will be on uncertainty, credit concerns and the possibility of a recession, just like we were worried about a recession in 2011.”
Cramer recommended Oneok, a natural gas pipeline company, which just announced a merger with Magellan Midstream Petroleum for $19 billion. Although Oneok was down more than 5% at Monday’s close in the wake of the merger, Cramer considers the deal a “match made in heaven.” He cited Oneok’s success in 2011 when shares performed well through the debt limit uncertainty.
In the way of consumer-focused defensive stocks, Cramer pointed to Chipotle as a safe bet. The restaurant chain recently reported a successful quarter and its stock did well in 2011.
“Chipotle trades erratically at times, but the best time to buy it is when you have the most current information and right now that information is fresher than an al pastor,” Cramer said.
He suggested keeping an eye on clothing discounters Ross Stores and TJX, both of which are set to release earnings reports later this week.
Cramer also recommended Biogen and Eli Lilly, pharmaceutical companies making significant headway with drugs to fight Alzheimer’s disease. But Cramer said he feels Eli Lilly has a slight edge because of its popular weight loss and diabetes medicine, Mounjaro, which he dubbed a “wonder drug.”
“I wish I were less skeptical of a theoretical debt ceiling deal falling apart or coming together less than perfectly,” Cramer said. “Take these current negotiations with what we know from the history of 2011 and you’ll be ready for whatever this moment throws at you. Odds are it won’t be good.”
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NIO executives shared details of the Chinese automaker’s third EV brand, Firefly, as well as what the new marque will call its first model. The news comes about one month before Firefly officially launches in China during its parent company’s 10th annual NIO Day event.
Firefly is a new affordable boutique EV brand spun out by Chinese automaker NIO. We’ve been awaiting the marque’s official launch for years after NIO divulged plans for two new all-electric sub-brands in the works. The first was codenamed “Alps” and was scheduled to launch in mid-2024 in China and Europe.
Even with tariffs being imposed on Chinese-built EVs entering the EU, NIO conveyed confidence in its new Firefly marque as the automaker’s co-founder and president Qin Lihong shared that the new models will be priced between RMB 100,000 ($13,800) and RMB 200,000 ($27,500).
Up until now, we’ve only seen camouflaged images of what a Firefly BEV might look like as we await the anticipated launch, which we learned is coming on December 21, 2024, during the automaker’s tenth annual NIO Day event.
Today, however, we’ve learned the name of the first Firefly model and when NIO expects to begin delivering it to customers.
NIO’s first Firefly EV model will adopt the same name
Following the posting of NIO’s Q3 2024 financial results, the automaker’s executives completed an earnings call, which offered some new details about the Firefly EV brand. The company confirmed that NIO’s third EV brand will adopt the Firefly codename used internally in the past years.
Furthermore, NIO confirmed the first EV model under the new brand will be called the Firefly as well, describing the new marque as a symbol of NIO’s innovation and sophistication, but in a smaller package.
NIO also said its Firefly EVs will exceed customer expectations in design, safety, space, intelligence, and energy efficiency. Additionally, NIO executives shared plans for a new product cycle that will include deliveries under both its Onvo and Firefly brands, enabling faster global growth.
Per NIO, the Firefly EV from Firefly will begin deliveries in China in the first half of 2025, with future expansions to other markets to follow. We will get our first look at the new model and (hopefully) learn what it will cost during NIO’s tenth annual NIO Day event on December 21. The company is already teasing the event, which usually includes new product debuts and other exciting developments. Per the NIO Weibo page:
Today, the prelude to NIO’s 10th anniversary and NIO Day 2024 has officially begun. With the theme of ‘Together & Further,’ we will continue to share with you the ten-year story of NIO and its users. At this year’s NIO Day, NIO’s third brand ‘FIREFLY Firefly’ will also be officially released, and will continue to adopt the ‘rechargeable, replaceable and upgradeable’ pure electric technology route.
That last part could be read as reassurance that NIO’s new EV sub-brand will continue to focus on BEVs only, despite previous reports that the Chinese automaker is working on an extended-range hybrid. NIO has publicly denied those reports. All eyes will be on NIO Day 2024 next month. Check back in with Electrek for a full recap.
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Gary Wang, a former executive of bankrupt cryptocurrency exchange FTX, who testified against founder Sam Bankman-Fried, attends his sentencing on fraud charges at the United States District Court in Manhattan in New York City, U.S., November 20, 2024.
Brendan Mcdermid | Reuters
Gary Wang, co-founder and ex-technology chief of FTX, was sentenced Wednesday to time served and three years of supervised release on each of the four counts he pled guilty to, becoming the fifth and final ex-employee of the collapsed crypto exchange to be punished. Wang was also ordered to forfeit $11 billion, the same as the other co-defendants.
Wang, who took the stand in the trial against his former boss Sam Bankman-Fried, faced a maximum sentence of 50 years for the four criminal counts he pleaded guilty to, including conspiracy to commit wire fraud, wire fraud, conspiracy to commit commodities fraud and conspiracy to commit securities fraud.
After FTX’s former engineering chief Nishad Singh successfully avoided prison time when he was sentenced by Judge Lewis Kaplan last month, Wang was seeking the same sentence citing his nearly immediate cooperation with the government.
When given the opportunity to address the court, Wang said he was deeply sorry to all the customers and investors in FTX.
“I took the easy path, the cowardly path, instead of doing the right thing,” Wang said in a short address to the court, as he clutched a single printed piece of paper that he never referenced from the podium.
“I will spend the rest of my life trying to make amends,” he added.
Wang’s parents, as well as his wife, who is expecting their first child, were in court to support him.
Attorneys for Wang say he didn’t have full visibility on the crimes, unlike the other cooperating witnesses, and didn’t know that FTX’s sister hedge fund Alameda Research was taking customer money until after the scheme was underway.
The government was also seeking leniency for Wang.
Assistant U.S. Attorney Nicolas Roos described Wang as the easiest cooperating witness he had ever worked with, and he credited Wang for essentially deciphering half of the case for the Government by meticulously unpacking the complicated code used by FTX that allowed for the customer money to be taken off the exchange.
In the sentencing submission, prosecutors added that since testifying against the former FTX CEO, Wang has “put his extraordinary computer programing skills to use in detecting potential fraud in the stock and cryptocurrency markets,” and has built an interface that the government has started using for detecting potential fraud by publicly traded companies.
In addition, “Wang has also been working on a tool for detection of potential illegal activity in cryptocurrency markets, which in the event Wang is sentenced to a period of time served, the Government understands he will complete as part of his ongoing cooperation.”
Roos also noted that Wang was the first FTX employee to walk through the government’s door but the last to be sentenced, as the FTX criminal proceedings come to a close.
In March, Bankman-Fried was sentenced to 25 years in prison and ordered to pay $11 billion — the harshest punishment from Judge Kaplan.
Alameda’s ex-CEO Caroline Ellison, who was the star witness in Bankman-Fried’s prosecution and his ex-girlfriend, was sentenced to two years in prison for her role in the crime. And Ryan Salame, another former top lieutenant of Bankman-Fried, was sentenced to seven and a half years in prison in May — beyond the upper limit recommended by prosecutors.
All FTX former executives have faced sentencing before Judge Kaplan. The no-nonsense 78-year-old judge is a veteran of the Southern District of New York and has presided over some of the biggest cases to roll through the courthouse at 500 Pearl Street in downtown Manhattan.
“I’ve never seen anything quite like what happened here,” Kaplan said of Wang’s cooperation. “You’re entitled to a lot of credit.”
Ford is slashing another 4,000 jobs in Europe as it struggles to keep pace with the market’s shift to electric vehicles (EVs). The American automaker said a “highly disruptive” EV market and new competition are causing significant losses in the region. Ford’s announcement comes as China’s leading EV maker, BYD, is quickly catching up in global deliveries.
Ford is cutting more jobs in Europe amid EV struggles
“Ford has been in Europe for more than 100 years,” the company’s European vice president for Transportation and Partnerships, Dave Johnston, said on Wednesday.
As the market shifts to EVs and new competition arises, Ford is fighting for its share. The company has incurred “significant losses” in recent years amid a “highly disruptive” influx of new EV challengers.
Ford plans to cut another 4,000 jobs in Europe by the end of 2027 as part of its restructuring. The company blamed the “weak economic situation” and “lower-than-expected” demand for electric cars.
The planned cuts will primarily affect Germany, but some will also affect the UK. Ford said in a press release that other European markets will see “minimal reductions. “
Ford is also slowing the output of its new electric Explorer and Capri, both of which were built at its revamped Cologne EV plant in Germany.
Last week, German newspaper Kölner Stadt-Anzeiger (via Automobilwoche) reported that the plant’s employees would be put on short-term work hours. A Ford spokesperson confirmed the move, citing a “rapidly deteriorating” EV market.
Ford confirmed the plans on Wednesday, saying it will result in short-term working days at the Cologne plant in the first quarter of 2025.
An urgent call to action
In a letter to the German government, Ford’s CFO, John Lawler, reiterated the company’s commitment to Europe and the 2035 emissions target. However, he also issued an urgent call to action for all stakeholders to work together to advance the transition. Lawler added:
What we lack in Europe and Germany is an unmistakable, clear policy agenda to advance e-mobility, such as public investments in charging infrastructure, meaningful incentives to help consumers make the shift to electrified vehicles, improving cost competitiveness for manufacturers, and greater flexibility in meeting CO2 compliance targets.
Despite the restructuring, Ford still wants to be a player in Europe. The next generation of Ford vehicles in Europe will be “software-defined” with a “differentiated” design.
The company will focus on its commercial Ford Pro business while competing in select passenger vehicle segments to drive profit growth.
Ford invested $2 billion into its Cologne plant to prepare it for EV production. After the first electric Explorer rolled off the assembly line in June, Ford added its second EV, the new Capri, just last month.
The American automaker has drastically downsized leadership in Germany this year. Earlier this month, Ford lost two of its most experienced leadership team members. It’s now down to two directors from nine earlier this year.
Electrek’s Take
Ford’s restructuring in Europe comes as EV leaders, like China’s BYD, continue gaining ground in the global auto market.
After dominating its home market, BYD and other Chinese EV makers are looking overseas to drive growth.
BYD is already a leading EV brand in key regions like Southeast Asia and Central and South America, but it expects sales to accelerate in the next few months. The EV giant opened its first manufacturing plant in Thailand earlier this year, and more are planned for Hungary, Brazil, Mexico, Pakistan, and Turkey.
According to Bloomberg, BYD is rapidly approaching Ford in global deliveries. Although BYD is best known for its low-cost EVs, like the Seagull, which starts at under $10,000 (69,800 yuan) in China, it’s quickly expanding into new segments like pickup trucks, mid-size SUVs, and luxury models.
Ford’s CEO Jim Farley warned rivals earlier this year that if they fail to keep up with the Chinese, “20% to 30% of your revenue is at risk.”
“As the CEO of a company that had trouble competing with the Japanese and the South Koreans, we have to fix this problem,” Farley said.
While Ford’s Model e EV unit is on track to lose between $5 billion and $5.5 billion this year, BYD just reported a record $1.6 billion (RMB 11.6 billion) in Q3 net income amid surging EV sales. October was BYD’s eighth straight record sales month, with over 500,000 passenger vehicles sold for the first time.
Ford is betting on smaller, more affordable EVs to turn things around with its new low-cost platform. The first EV model powered by the platform, a new electric truck, is due out in 2027.
Can Ford turn things around? Or will it be too little too late? Let us know your thoughts in the comments below.
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