There are about 250 million feature phone users in India, and many of them still use 2G phones and only for voice calls, according to the International Data Corporation
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The world may be moving on to super-fast internet speeds on 5G or even 6G, but masses in rural India are still stuck in the 2G era.
All that could change with a new $12 phone from Reliance Jio this week.
The telecommunications arm of Indian conglomerate Reliance Industries, has opened the door for more people to gain access to the internet through the launch of its new internet-enabled phone with a 4G mobile network. Feature phones are essentially non-smartphones that have a push-button keypad and a small non-touch display.
Reliance Jio’s new feature phone aims to reduce the mobile connectivity gap between rural and urban India by giving non-smartphone users a cheaper alternative to switch from 2G to 4G mobile networks.
“There are still 250 million mobile phone users in India who remain trapped in the 2G era, unable to tap into basic features of the internet at a time when the world stands at the cusp of a 5G revolution,” Reliance Jio’s Chairman Akash Ambani said in a press release.
5G refers to the next-generation mobile networks that offer data at very high speeds, and are needed to support advanced technologies like driverless cars and virtual reality.
The new phone, named Jio Bharat, serves as an entry-level phone for first time internet users that would just rely on the basic functions without being convoluted by the endless number of applications that can be found on a smartphone, Varun Mishra, senior analyst at Counterpoint Research, said.
India is already the world’s second-largest smartphone market and is likely to add 300 million new internet users, making it the fastest country to provide internet services to those who remain unconnected, Mishra said.
“With a familiar form factor and internet connectivity, this device can help users experience key services like digital payments, content, and more for the first time through Jio’s ecosystem,” Mishra told CNBC. “However, screen size can limit the experience a bit, but still good for first-time internet users.”
Customer retention
Jio has an upper hand against its competitors in the telco service space, such as Vodafone Idea — a partnership between Aditya Birla Group and Vodafone Group — as well as Bhati Airtelas and BSNL.
Apart from selling the phone at an extremely low price point, monthly plans from Jio are also very affordable — and the other telco companies could even start losing customers, Mishra highlighted.
Reliance Jio claims that their monthly plans are 30% cheaper than other telcos, and offer customers seven times more data.
Paying $1.50 will get users unlimited voice calls and 14 gigabytes of data, compared to almost $3 for other voice calls and just 2 gigabytes of data from other operators, Reliance Jio’s press statement claimed.
This is Jio’s tactic to attract more feature phone users to sign a plan with them even though they only offer 4G and 5G mobile network services, according to Navkendar Singh of the International Data Corporation (IDC).
Reliance Jio has rolled out 5G services in 406 cities in India.
Nurphoto | Nurphoto | Getty Images
There are about 250 million feature phone users in India, and many of them still use 2G phones and only for voice calls, according to Mishra.
Reliance Jio attracts these consumers and take them away from “legacy operators” by offering more “palatable” price plans, Singh told CNBC in a phone interview.
“From what we understand, the main objective for Jio is to get more customers on the Jio platform and the Jio network, and they can then start cross-selling the services,” he said, explaining that customers can also tap on Jio’s payment and streaming services.
Additionally, Singh highlighted that Reliance Jio hopes first-time internet users who purchase the Jio Bharat will eventually upgrade to more advanced phones down the road.
“Right now, Jio gets revenue of about $1.50 to $2 a month, and when customers subsequently upgrade their phones in three or four years time, they would choose more advanced feature phones or low cost smartphones at some point in time,” he added.
Price war with other telcos?
Analysts who spoke to CNBC also agree that despite Jio’s cost-friendly plans, other telco companies are unlikely to significantly drop their prices.
“There’s been an ongoing tussle between Jio and other telcos in India,” said Nikhil Batra, research director of IDC.
“Lowering prices across the board will not be a viable option, but it will be a challenge for [other telcos] to create new customer experiences and product bundles to increase customer stickiness,” Batra said.
According to data from Macquarie Research, Jio currently has the biggest subscriber market share in Delhi (34%), Mumbai (35%), and Kolkata (42%), compared to Vodafone Idea,Bharti Airtel and BSNL.
However, other telcos could still benefit from those in India who continue to choose phones that do not let them surf the internet.
Macquarie data also showed that in rural areas such as Bihar, Jammu and Kashmir, and Himachal Pradesh, Bharti Airtel holds a larger market share than Jio.
India’s 5G rollout
India has the world’s second largest telecom industry with a subscriber base of 1.17 billion people as of September 2022, data from IDC showed. The growth trajectory of the sector is just going to get higher from here, the market intelligence firm said.
“The industry’s growth over the past few years has been primarily driven by lower tariffs, availability of affordable smartphones, launch of telecom services by Reliance Jio, expansion of 4G coverage, and higher data consumption by subscribers,” Batra said.
More consumers are also expected to purchase smartphones that have a 5G mobile network.
About 52 million 5G-enabled phones were purchased in 2022, an increase from 26 million the previous year, IDC data showed.
“India’s 5G rollout has been much quicker and smoother and is well on course to reach pan-India by Jio by the end of the year. Jio and Airtel already have 5G services, and Vodafone Idea and BSNL are expected to join in rolling out 5G by 2024,” Counterpoint Research’s Mishra said.
Men talk on their mobile phones in front of an iphone 14 advertisement, in Kolkata on September 27, 2022.
Nurphoto | Nurphoto | Getty Images
Counterpoint Research estimates there are nearly 85 million users of 5G capable smartphones in India, and 5G handsets had captured 32% of market share in 2022. Over 50% of smartphones shipped in April 2023 had 5G capabilities as well.
However, this is largely supply driven, Batra said. That’s because “brands are able to bring in more 5G devices due to the better supplies achieved by 5G roll out and demand for 5G phones in other countries such as China and Korea.”
“Consumers in India have not really demanded a 5G device until now, their purchases being driven by the availability as almost all smartphone models are priced around $300 and are 5G capable,” he added.
Despite regulation and telecom infrastructure challenges, “India will be a major market for 5G by 2026 and will dominate the 5G net additions just as China starts to mature and decelerate,” Batra said.
Technology is playing a much bigger role these days and “we can expect India to further accelerate and set an example,” he said citing the example of banking and Unified Payments Interface as an example.
“India leapfrogged the majority of developed nations in making digital payments convenient, accessible, and widely accepted, irrespective of merchant sizes,” he added.
Earnings season next week goes into overdrive as more than 150 companies in the S & P 500 report their quarterly results. Most of the “Magnificent Seven” tech firms are among them. With Tesla already out and Nvidia not out until Nov. 19, that leaves Alphabet and Club names Amazon , Apple , Meta Platforms , and Microsoft . In total, 10 companies in the portfolio are on next week’s list. Here is where Jim Cramer stands on each. Tuesday Corning reports its third-quarter earnings before Tuesday’s open. The specialty glass maker is our newest stock in the portfolio. We started a small position a couple of weeks ago to give us some room to buy on a pullback. Jim expects the company’s results are “going to be blowout” fueled by surging sales in its optical communication enterprise business tied to growing AI demand. “If you don’t have a position in Corning, you probably want to put some on before and after,” Jim said. Wednesday Boeing delivers its third-quarter results before Wednesday’s open. We’re looking out for what the non-cash charge will be for the 777x program, the company’s next-generation, long-haul jet. The aerospace giant will be raising its production of the 737 Max, making room for more deliveries and stronger free cash flow. The management team should be “talking about a series of orders,” coming in, Jim said, adding that “if you don’t have any Boeing, it’s not too late to buy.” Starbucks reports its fiscal fourth quarter after Wednesday’s closing bell. Jim believes this will be the “last bad quarter” for the coffee giant, which is still in the midst of a turnaround headed by CEO Brian Niccol, who did wonders when he led Chipotle . Jim interviewed Niccol last week and came away optimistic about the company’s trajectory in 2026. Meta is out Wednesday evening with third-quarter earnings. The social media giant is “getting a lot of advertising business, doing a lot of things very right,” Jim said. The mega cap tech giant has been at the forefront of the most talked about theme this year – and likely next — which companies will be among the AI winners. Microsoft reports its fiscal 2026 first quarter, also after the close Wednesday. Jim sees upside to the numbers, citing the Windows refresh driven by personal computer shipments and its cloud business Azure, which is “going quite well” and likely taking share in the cloud computing market. Thursday Bristol Myers Squibb reports its third quarter before the opening bell Thursday. Jim thinks the biopharmaceutical company’s results “will disappoint.” We invested in the company for the promise of Cobenfy, a prescription used to treat schizophrenia. Unfortunately, a major drug trial for a new indication went poorly. Barring any positive Cobenfy news, our thesis must be reassessed. Bristol Myers shares have lost 22% year to date. Drugmaker Eli Lilly also reports before the open. Jim said, “We’re not going to see anything rally” from the Mounjaro and Zepbound maker unless there’s a positive update on the cost of GLP-1 drugs. “That’s unfortunate because I think that [Lily] is going very, very well,” Jim said. Amazon , out with Q3 results after Thursday’s close, is going to have to show revenue acceleration “back to 2021” levels in its cloud business, Jim noted. This would help Amazon Web Services shake off the narrative that its cloud growth has seen better days. Apple also reports Thursday evening. Jim feels confident in the iPhone maker’s fiscal fourth quarter, given signals that the new iPhone models are selling better than many had expected. The stock surged to an all-time intraday high Monday after positive commentary from Wall Street analysts and upbeat iPhone demand data. Friday Linde reports its third-quarter before Friday’s open. Jim is comfortable heading into the quarter after the industrial gas giant’s recent upbeat fireside chats with analysts. Jim said he “likes that situation,” referring to the company as “one of the most reliable stocks we own for the Club.” (Jim Cramer’s Charitable Trust is long GLW, BA, SBUX, META, MSFT, BMY, LLY, AMZN, AAPL, LIN. See here for a full list of the stocks.) As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust’s portfolio. If Jim has talked about a stock on CNBC TV, he waits 72 hours after issuing the trade alert before executing the trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB. NO SPECIFIC OUTCOME OR PROFIT IS GUARANTEED.
Meta is facing new pressure from OpenAI, the juggernaut behind ChatGPT, which is now making waves in short-form video with its viral hit, Sora 2. The new app combines AI-powered video generation with a social feed that mimics TikTok and Instagram Reels. Less than five days after its Sept. 30 launch , Sora 2 racked up over a million iOS downloads for Apple devices, despite being invite-only. That pace outstripped downloads for the ChatGPT app when it launched in May 2023, six months after the AI chatbot debuted on web browsers, marking the start of its historic rise in popularity . Sora 2 spent three weeks at No. 1 on Apple’s App Store, before being supplanted this week by the Dave’s Hot Chicken china, due to a promotional push with rapper Drake . Still, it’s No. 2 as of Friday morning. The threat to Meta: If Sora 2 proves to have staying power, it could chip away at Meta’s most valuable asset – the time people spend scrolling and posting on Facebook and Instagram, which makes those apps indispensable destinations for advertisers. Meta is projected to earn $192 billion in ad revenue in 2025 alone. For Meta, eyeballs equal dollars because nearly all of its revenue comes from advertising. “This isn’t the end of the Instagram-Facebook momentum,” said analyst Michael Nathanson of MoffettNathanson in an interview with CNBC. “But if investors see this as a threat, it may limit how much they’re willing to pay towards the premium for Meta,” added Nathanson, who maintains a buy rating and $890 price target on Meta stock. That implies about 21% upside from Thursday’s close. Meta shares have declined almost 1% since the day before Sora 2’s debut, part of a multimonth slump for the stock. Meanwhile, the tech-heavy Nasdaq has gained more than 2% in the three-plus weeks following Sora 2’s arrival, and it’s advanced roughly 10% in the past three months. Nathanson believes investor anxiety is growing, and that any perceived disruption to Meta’s “engagement flywheel” – and its advertising dollars – could sour investor sentiment fast. While Nathanson remains bullish on Meta shares, he said his decades as an analyst have taught him to keep an open mind on changes in consumer behavior. In general, “investors start to worry about the long-term sustainability of business models,” Nathanson added. “And if you see a potential new competitor emerging, then people would pay a lower multiple for future earnings.” META YTD mountain Meta Platforms YTD It’s a familiar storyline for tech investors. ChatGPT’s explosive growth following its late 2022 debut became a significant overhang on shares of Google-parent Alphabet , as investors questioned the durability of Google’s search empire in the face of a conversational competitor. “People were really worried about the future earnings power of Alphabet,” Nathanson said. Now, nearly three years later, could Meta be facing its own ChatGPT moment? Or will Sora 2 just be a flash in the pan that fails to weaken Meta’s social media supremacy? With Sora 2, users can generate, remix, and put themselves in AI videos using text or images. In addition to being a video generator, it also has a built-in social app. In the app, users can discover new videos in a customizable Sora feed and share them on other social networks. Sora 2 builds on the original Sora model, released in February 2024, with more advanced capabilities that generate more physically accurate and realistic videos. To be sure, OpenAI’s surge isn’t without friction. Last week, the company halted AI-generated videos of Martin Luther King Jr. after users created “disrespectful depictions” of the civil rights leader. OpenAI said it’s strengthening guardrails for public figures and will allow people or their families to opt out of being included in Sora-generated content. OpenAI doesn’t have the AI video turf all to itself. Google has its Veo model , an updated version of which rolled out last week. Days prior to Sora 2’s release, Meta debuted Vibes , a new feed on the Meta AI app where users can create and share short-form AI-generated videos. While browsing, users see a range of AI-generated videos that become more personalized over time. With Vibes, users can create their own videos from scratch, work with content they already have, or remix a video from the feed to make it their own. When ready to share, they can post directly to the Vibes feed, direct message to friends, or cross-post to Instagram and Facebook Stories and Reels. If you see a potential new competitor emerging, then people would pay a lower multiple for future earnings. MoffettNathanson analyst Michael Nathanson Vibes is also gaining traction. As of Oct. 17, combined Meta AI daily active users for iOS and Android were up to 2.7 million, up from roughly 775,000 four weeks ago, according to market intelligence provider, Similarweb. Based on when Vibes was incorporated into the Meta AI app, the firm believes it was the catalyst for the app’s recent growth. While Meta’s Vibes could be its answer to Sora 2, Vibes is “still technically behind Sora,” Nathanson wrote in a note clients Oct. 13. Unlike Sora, which blends real and AI-generated footage and runs on OpenAI’s proprietary models, Vibes still relies on third-party tools and produces fully synthetic content. Beginning this summer, Meta embarked on an aggressive hiring spree to recruit top AI talent to close the gap with OpenAI and other AI startups, as CEO Mark Zuckerberg reportedly has grown frustrat ed with the company’s AI standing. While Meta is now laying off 600 people in its AI division , the big-name hires it brought in this year were unaffected by the cuts, CNBC reported this week. In addition to cutting big checks for talent, Meta is pouring tens of billions of dollars into data center projects to expand its AI computing footprint. To date, investors have largely backed Meta’s hefty AI spending on the belief that it is already improving its ad-targeting prowess, giving Zuckerberg breathing room on other, long-term AI pursuits such as his vision of “personal superintelligence.” Brian Pitz, analyst at BMO Capital Markets, argued that Meta’s scale and adaptability give it a powerful cushion against any potential disruption from Sora 2. “If one area of growth starts slowing, they can step on the gas in another,” he said, pointing to apps like WhatsApp and Threads that aren’t yet big moneymakers, though Meta did introduce ads on both platforms this year . Additionally, Meta’s history of “fast-growing” innovations – from rolling out Stories to compete with Snapchat or Reels in response to TikTok – shows the company’s capacity to catch up to competitors and ultimately win in engagement, Pitz said. Most importantly, Pitz said Meta’s “competitive moat” remains its more than 3 billion daily active users – an audience OpenAI is still far from matching for both Sora 2 and its flagship product, ChatGPT, which has 800 million weekly active users . “A little bit of new monetization goes a really long way on that big of a user base,” said Pitz, who has a hold-equivalent rating and $710 price target on Meta stock. A more fundamental question looms over the rise of Sora 2 and even Meta’s own Vibes: Do people really want fully AI-generated content on social media? While Sora’s growth is eye-popping, Pitz thinks the hype could fade. “It’s hard to call it a winner here,” he said of Sora, warning that users may get tired of synthetic feeds or abandon platforms over copyright disputes and AI “slop” content. “You risk ending up with a pool of craziness,” Pitz said. Some data suggests the Sora 2 buzz is already fizzling among the few million people who were invited to download it. It’s hard to call it a winner here. BMO analyst Brian Pitz “While a plausible [competitive] concern, our data checks point to retention softness at Sora,” analysts at Deutsche Bank wrote in a note Tuesday. “In fact, by day 7, we find that ~98% of initial users no longer open the app. As such, in our view, the app still lacks the scale and retention levels to be a meaningful new competitor to Instagram/ Facebook engagement.” For now, that’s music to the ears of Meta investors. And soon, they’ll get to hear directly from Zuckerberg on this question — and many more, like if there are additional signs its AI investments are paying off companywide — when the company reports its third-quarter results Oct. 29 and holds its post-earnings conference call with analysts. (Jim Cramer’s Charitable Trust is long META, AAPL. See here for a full list of the stocks.) As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust’s portfolio. If Jim has talked about a stock on CNBC TV, he waits 72 hours after issuing the trade alert before executing the trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB. NO SPECIFIC OUTCOME OR PROFIT IS GUARANTEED.
Lisa Su, chair and chief executive officer of Advanced Micro Devices Inc. (AMD), during a fireside chat at the Indian Institute of Science (IISc) in Bengaluru, India, on Thursday, Nov. 21, 2024.
Gabriela Bhaskar | Bloomberg | Getty Images
Shares of Advanced Micro Devices jumped more than 6% on a report that IBM can utilize the company’s chips to run certain quantum computing algorithms.
IBM shares gained about 8% and headed for their best day since January.
Reuters reported on Friday that a paper will publish next week showing that IBM can run a quantum error-correction algorithm on AMD’s field-programmable gate array chips.
Representatives from AMD and IBM didn’t immediately respond to requests for comment.
In August, the two companies announced an agreement to develop quantum computing capabilities and integrate technologies. IBM has also said it plans to debut a quantum computer by 2029.
The technology utilizes quantum mechanics to address problems that traditional computers are unable to solve. Technology giants such as Google, Microsoft and Amazon are also racing to develop quantum computing.
Last year, Microsoft rolled out its first quantum computing chip, while Google launched its breakthrough WIllow. A top quantum executive at the internet search company told CNBC in March that the technology was “five years out from a real breakout.”
The various announcements have brought renewed interest to the quantum space, boosting stocks like D-Wave Quantum, Rigetti Computing, and IonQ, which all climbed on Friday.
The Trump administration on Thursday refuted a report that it was negotiating stakes in quantum companies.