Breaking the “class ceiling” with the promise that a child’s start in life won’t determine where they end up. The last of Sir Keir Starmer’s five missions of a would-be Labour government is perhaps the most personal – and political – yet.
Personal because the Labour leader clearly sees himself as the embodiment of his mission to “tear down barriers of opportunity that hold people back”: his story began in a “pebble-dash semi” with working class parents and could end at Number 10 Downing Street as our next prime minister.
He was the first in his family to go to university and have a white collar profession, going on to become the head of the Crown Prosecution Service and a knight of the realm.
“Our core purpose and my personal cause is to fight – at every stage for every child – the pernicious idea that background equals destiny,” he told his audience at a higher education college in Kent. “Breaking that link, that’s what Labour is for. I’ve always felt it and it runs very deep for me.”
But it is political too: Sir Keir trying to prove to working class voters that this north London lawyer – he’s the third Labour leader in a row to hail from Camden or Islington – shares their values.
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Starmer asked how Labour will level up schools
He is of the view that Labour has drifted too far from working people – not just in the run-up to 2019 when Boris Johnson seized Labour’s red wall, but in the decade before too. A big part of this for Sir Keir, then, was to try to speak to people who are disaffected or, as he says, his toolmaker father was, “disrespected” in a society that values academic qualifications over vocational ones.
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While these five “missions” are sometimes criticised for being rather amorphous and lacking in detail, Sir Keir backed this one with a handful of clear policies and pledges: a focus on ‘oracy’ to give all children more confidence, an expansion of creative subjects to the age of 16 to broaden opportunities beyond narrow academia and a promise to have half a million children hitting early learning targets by 2030.
But even the most charitable observer would be hard-pressed to see how the measures Sir Keir announced on Thursday even approaches meeting his breathtaking goal. This is a Labour leader who wants nothing less than an end to the idea that your background will determine where you get to in life.
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When asked by Sky News when he wanted to get state schools to the level of private schools, he told me he “hoped” to achieve that within five years of a Labour government.
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Protesters interrupt Starmer speech
Is this would-be prime minister making promises he can’t keep?
It’s hard to see how. On the one hand, the gap between private and state school funding per pupil has doubled in the decade to the end of 2021, according to the Institute of Fiscal Studies, from a difference of £3,100 per pupil in 2010 to £6,500 in 2021. On the other, Sir Keir is clear that there isn’t a pot of money for Labour to pour into schools. As he said himself on Thursday, funding increases can only come through economic growth.
This raises obvious questions as to the mismatch between ambition and reality. Is this would-be prime minister making promises he cannot keep?
Paul Whiteman, general secretary of the National Association of Headteachers said of Sir Keir’s plans: “If these ambitions are to be fulfilled, significant additional investment will be needed…it is right to have high ambitions, but schools must have the resources they need if they are to play their part in delivering them.”
Sir Keir knows this. But he too knows that promising big spending pledges opens up a flank on the economy that the Tories will seek to attack. He won’t take that risk.
On average, nineteen points ahead of Rishi Sunak in the polls and with an opponent who is struggling to deliver any of his own five pledges, Sir Keir has probably calculated that he doesn’t need to do much more than not mess up.
Around party conference in October, Labour’s likely to turn the five missions – growing the economy, safer streets, a better NHS, opportunity for all, and clean power – into more precise pledges. But don’t expect big promises on public services from this Labour party ahead of the election.
Sir Keir might talk about being a radical, but when it comes to an election he looks on course to comfortable win, he’s going to be very conservative.
A man guilty of murdering nine people, most of whom had posted suicidal thoughts on social media, has been executed in Japan.
Takahiro Shiraishi, known as the “Twitter killer”, was sentenced to death in 2020 for the 2017 killings of the nine victims, who he also dismembered in his apartment near Tokyo.
His execution was the first use of capital punishment in the country in nearly three years and it was carried out as calls grow to abolish the measure in Japan since the acquittal of the world’s longest-serving death-row inmate Iwao Hakamada last year.
He was freed after 56 years on death row, following a retrial which heard police had falsified and planted evidence against him over the 1966 murders of his boss, wife and two children.
Eight of Shiraishi’s victims were women, including teenagers, who he killed after raping them. He also killed a boyfriend of one of the women to silence him.
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Justice Minister Keisuke Suzuki, who authorised Shiraishi’s hanging, said he made the decision after careful examination, taking into account the convict’s “extremely selfish” motive for crimes that “caused great shock and unrest to society”.
“It is not appropriate to abolish the death penalty while these violent crimes are still being committed,” Mr Suzuki said.
There are currently 105 death row inmates in Japan, he added.
The EU’s defence commissioner has warned Europe must be capable of building a drone army in case Russia attacks.
Military intelligence has suggested Russian forces could be ready to strike a NATO country within the next five years.
In order to defend themselves, Andrius Kubilius says Europeans will require millions of drones and need to start preparing now.
“Russia can have around five million drones, so we need to have capacities bigger than those in order to prevail,” he told Sky News, warning that if President Putin ordered an attack, the target would face a “battle-tested” Russian army with the ability to use millions of drones”.
Image: Andrius Kubilius
The 2022 invasion of Ukraine sparked a revolution in drone warfare.
Facing one of the world’s strongest militaries, the Ukrainians used the cheap, adaptable technology to their advantage.
It estimates its drone units are now responsible for 80% of Russian frontline losses.
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Image: A Ukrainian fighter carries a drone near the city of Lyman in the Donetsk region. Pic: Reuters
Mr Kubilius has visited Ukraine to learn the lessons from the battlefield.
Along the 1200km (745 miles) front line is an area nicknamed “Death Valley”.
“Nothing can move. Everything is controlled by drones. A traditional tank in that zone survives six minutes,” he explained.
This year, Ukraine’s expected to produce more than four million drones.
Image: A Russian drone attacks a building during a massive drone strike on Kyiv, Ukraine, on 17 June. Pic: AP/Efrem Lukatsky
Contemplating how many units other countries would need, the commissioner used the example of his home country of Lithuania.
The former Soviet republic shares a border of around 900km (559 miles) with Russia and Belarus.
“If Ukrainians need four million for 1200km, we need something like three million drones for one year if the war is starting, if ‘Day X’ is coming,” he said.
To try to stay ahead in the fight, both Russia and Ukraine are constantly updating their drone technology.
For this reason, the commissioner believes that rather than stockpiling drones now, which will go out of date, Europe should instead build up teams of pilots, engineers, and producers ready to scale up production should the time come.
“On the European continent, at the moment, there are only two armies battle-tested with the ability to use millions of drones: one is Russian, which is planning new aggressions; another one is Ukrainian,” said Mr Kubilius.
“We need to learn a lot from Ukraine… how to organise defences against millions of drones, and also how to make your defence industry innovative,” he added.
It’s a point many in the business agree with.
Image: Siobhan Robbins with a STARK drone and a drone pilot
German start-up STARK has been testing loitering munitions or “attack drones” ready to supply to Kyiv.
“It’s all made for easy handling for soldiers, so you don’t have to use any tools on the front line, and you just plug in the rudders,” said STARK’s senior vice president, Josef Kranawetvogl, as he quickly clicked the unit’s tail together.
He spent 18 years in the German military before making the jump to weapons production.
He says staying ahead of the enemy requires tactics and technology to be frequently updated.
“Every day you have to adapt. You have such fast development cycles in Ukraine – two or three weeks, then there’s something new upcoming and you have to be prepared for this.”
Image: STARK’s senior VP Josef Kranawetvogl
Since the start of June, Russia has repeatedly used drone swarms to attack Ukraine.
It involves hundreds of drones hammering cities in one night.
I asked Josef whether he believes NATO’s European members are ready to defend against such an attack.
“I see quite a lot of European armies starting right now to develop or to purchase unmanned systems, and it’s a good development, but it’s all about time. How can we speed up?” he replied.
Image: The drone in action
Close to the border with France, another German start-up, Alpine Eagle, is testing defence drone units for Ukraine.
“This is our interceptor drone,” explained the company’s CEO, Jan-Hendrik Boelens, holding up a prototype which looks a bit like a small black plane. The interceptor is carried underneath a large grey drone.
On-board radar means it can be fired at enemy drones up to 5km (3 miles) away.
Jan thinks that could be a game changer in an aerial battle as it means hostile units could be picked off before they get close.
And he believes NATO is unprepared if one of its countries was to be hit by a wave of drones like those in Ukraine.
“We are absolutely not ready in my view,” he said.
Image: Alpine Eagle CEO Jan-Hendrik Boelens with Siobhan Robbins
He explained that Ukraine produced around 1.3 million drones a year last year.
“I would be surprised if NATO even bought a thousand drones last year. I think Germany procured, I don’t know, 100, maybe 200. So now you do the math on what that means and how quickly you run out of drones.
“If Ukraine consumed 1.3 million drones per year, that’s 3,000 a day. So, if you have 100 in your inventory, that would not last an hour.”
A spokesperson from the German Defence Ministry said the numbers stated “do not closely reflect reality”.
“Drones are now part of everyday life for soldiers, they are omnipresent and are used extensively in service operations and training,” they added.
Image: Two Alpine Eagle drones
Drones are a key part of NATO’s defence plan.
The alliance’s leadership has repeatedly said producing, procuring, and protecting against drones is a priority.
In addition to increasing training and development, NATO Chief Mark Rutte has said he wants more investment in drone technology as well as boosting air defences fivefold.
“We see Russia’s deadly terror from the skies over Ukraine every day, and we must be able to defend ourselves from such attacks,” he told an audience at the summit.
Image: NATO chief Mark Rutte
Lessons from Ukraine have prompted members to embrace unmanned technology in various ways.
Britain is one of the countries pledging to put drones front and centre of its new defence plan.
Earlier this month, the government’s Strategic Defence Review outlined a new way forward for British Army warfighting based around a drone-centric 20-40-40 strategy where uncrewed systems are deployed for first wave attacks, before tanks, attack helicopters and other manned platforms arrive on the battlefield.
In essence, the new weapons mix would be 20% traditional heavy platforms (like tanks), 40% single-use expendable drones and munitions, and the remaining 40% reusable, high-end drones.
It’s been confirmed that an extra £2bn will be spent on army drones this parliament.
Defence Secretary John Healey said Britain’s adversaries were working more in alliance and technology was changing how war was fought.
“Drones now kill more people than traditional artillery in the war in Ukraine and whoever gets new technology into the hands of their armed forces the quickest will win,” he said.
Image: Defence Secretary John Healey
This week, the prime minister announced a deal with Ukraine to co-produce drones.
Germany and Denmark have made similar agreements with the German Ministry of Defence, telling Sky News that drones are a top priority.
In a drone showroom in central Berlin, we meet Sven Weizenegger, head of the German military’s cyber innovation hub.
He said they have noticed a boom in pitches from potential suppliers.
Every day, his department receives up to 20 enquiries from companies asking how their products could be used by the military.
Image: A tank after being hit by a STARK drone on a testing field
He believes things need to move more quickly so soldiers get weapons faster.
“We are very advanced in the innovation process. That means we have a lot of ideas and many companies that are ready to deliver,” he explained. “Unfortunately, what we are not good at right now, due to our current processes, is getting these things into real operations, into frontline use. We need to fix that.”
Germany has promised to turbo-charge defence spending, with the Chancellor pledging to create the “strongest conventional army in Europe”.
Plans announced this week include boosting unmanned systems and air defences.
The German Ministry of Defence said it couldn’t reveal stock levels due to security, but a spokesperson confirmed the country is investing in a range of different units, including signing two contracts for attack drones.
“We are procuring not just a few but quite large quantities and testing them directly with the troops,” the spokesperson added.
However, they agreed with the EU defence commissioner that rather than stockpiling tech which would go out of date, it was better to have a system in place to allow for large quantities to be made quickly in the event of war.
In May, the EU approved a €150bn (£125bn) loan scheme to boost defence production across the bloc.
Image: An Israeli attack in Tehran, Iran, ahead of the ceasefire. Pic: Majid Asgaripour/WANA via Reuters
Without such preparations, and sometimes even with them, ceasefires will tend to be breached – perhaps by accident, perhaps because one side does not exercise full control over its own forces, perhaps as a result of false alarms, or even because a third party – a guerrilla group or a militia, say – choose that moment to launch an attack of their own.
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Timeline of Israel-Iran conflict so far
The important question is whether a ceasefire breach is just random and unfortunate, or else deliberate and systemic – where someone is actively trying to break it.
Either way, ceasefires have to be politically reinforced all the time if they are to hold.
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Furious Trump lashes out at Israel and Iran
All sides may need to rededicate themselves to it at regular intervals, mainly because, as genuine enemies, they won’t trust each other and will remain naturally suspicious at every twitch and utterance from the other side.
This is where an external power like the United States plays a critical part.
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If enemies like Israel and Iran naturally distrust each other and need little incentive to “hit back” in some way at every provocation, it will take US pressure to make them abide by a ceasefire that may be breaking down.
Appeals to good nature are hardly relevant in this respect. An external arbiter has to make the continuance of a ceasefire a matter of hard national interest to both sides.
And that often requires as much bullying as persuasion. It may be true that “blessed are the peacemakers”.