All three leading political parties are turning their attention to next year’s general election after a mixed bag of results from Thursday’s ballot box contests.
The Conservatives managed to hold former prime minister Boris Johnson’s seat of Uxbridge and South Ruislip overnight, with Rishi Sunak saying the victory showed the next national vote was “not a done deal”.
However, despite the win saving him from the embarrassment of losing three by-elections in one night, the party’s majority fell from more than 7,000 to just 495 – a swing of 6.7% to Labour – and the success was put down to the local issue of the Ultra-Low Emission Zone (ULEZ), rather than the PM’s own policy platform.
Labour has seen a row erupt in its ranks after missing out on arguably the most winnable seat of the night, with its leader Sir Keir Starmer calling on London Mayor Sadiq Khan to “reflect” on the outcome of the vote.
But having secured a surprise victory in the North Yorkshire seat of Selby and Ainsty, overturning the Tories’ huge 20,137 majority – the largest to ever be reversed at a by-election – Sir Keir said there had been “a cry for change” in the voting booths, promising his party would deliver.
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Labour’s ‘biggest ever’ win in by-election
The Liberal Democrats had their own significant win in the South West, taking the seat of Somerton and Frome, despite its previous 19,000 Tory majority.
Their leader, Sir Ed Davey, said he was “confident” his party could hold onto the seat at the general election too, claiming voters “feel the Conservatives have forgotten what it’s like to live in rural areas”.
The date of the election has not yet been set, but parliamentary rules mean the latest Mr Sunak could call it would be January 2025 – with rumours suggesting it could come as early as next spring.
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The triple by-election evening was seen by many analysts as a warm-up for the main event.
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Lib Dems: ‘Get these clowns out of No 10!’
Sky News’ political editor Beth Rigby said the results wouldn’t give the Conservatives much confidence that they were on course to avoid going under at the next general election.
With the swings of 23.7% to Labour in Selby and Ainsty and 29% swing to the Lib Dems in Somerton and Frome, the figures showed opposition parties were performing at levels matching by-election results in the dying days of Sir John Major’s government – which ended with Labour’s Sir Tony Blair winning a landslide in 1997.
Labour will need a 12% swing nationwide to gain 124 seats and win a majority at the next contest.
But Beth Rigby said there were hopes in the Tory ranks that if the PM can pin the opposition on issues of substance – such as ULEZ – there was an opportunity to create dividing lines between Labour and the Tories that give Mr Sunak a fighting chance.
For today, however, the freshly elected MPs will be focused on their own new jobs in the Commons – although they will have to wait until the end of the summer recess to take their seats.
The Tory winner of Uxbridge and South Ruislip, Steve Tuckwell, has big shoes to fill, taking over Mr Johnson’s former seat after his shock resignation last month, having been found to have mislead parliament over partygate.
But Mr Tuckwell said he was “proud” to represent the area he grew up in and the “hard work starts today”.
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By-elections: What the results mean for UK politics
Selby and Ainsty’s first Labour MP, Keir Mather, replaces outgoing Tory MP Nigel Adams – a close ally of Mr Johnson who decided to quit shortly after the former PM, giving Mr Sunak another by-election to contend with.
At 25, Mr Mather will be the youngest MP in the Commons – nicknamed “the baby of the House” – but he said it was time for “a fresh start” in the constituency.
And Sarah Dyke, the new Lib Dem MP for Somerton and Frome, replaces former Tory MP David Warburton, who stood down after admitting to taking cocaine and following accusations of sexual harassment, which he denies.
The local councillor said her victory showed her party were “back in the West Country”, and promised to her constituents: “I will not let you down.”
The mistaken release of an asylum seeker who was jailed for sexual offences has prompted widespread condemnation – and an extensive police operation.
Hadush Gerberslasie Kebatu, 38, had assaulted a 14-year-old girl and a woman in Epping, about a week after he had crossed the Channel and arrived in the UK by boat.
Last night, the teenager’s father was visibly upset as he turned up at HMP Chelmsford – asking for answers on how Kebatu was freed just one month into a 12-month sentence.
He did not want to speak on camera – but told Sky correspondent Mollie Malone that he was “frustrated” at the thought of the Ethiopian national being back on the streets.
“The justice system has let us down,” he said.
Footage has emerged that appears to show Kebatu in Chelmsford town centre following his release – dressed in prison clothes and clutching his belongings in a see-through bag.
He then headed to the railway station and boarded a train bound for London’s Liverpool Street, which departed at 12.41pm yesterday.
The Liberal Democrat MP for Chelmsford, Marie Goldman, told Sky presenter Barbara Serra she was “appalled, frustrated and angry about how this could possibly happen in the first place”.
She said it is clear something went “fundamentally wrong” at HMP Chelmsford – and her constituents are “fed up” with systems not working and underinvestment.
“It just destroys trust at a time when emotions are riding high. We’ve seen protests over the past few weeks and months, and there’s a lot of fear out there,” Ms Goldman added.
“It is so easy to lose trust and really hard to gain it – we need the government to get a grip on this.”
Image: Protests were held at The Bell Hotel for several weeks
Shadow home secretary Chris Philp described Kebatu as a “dangerous illegal immigrant” – and said his premature release shows “staggering incompetence”.
He told Sky News: “We also need an urgent apology from Home Secretary Shabana Mahmood and Justice Secretary David Lammy who have presided over this fiasco.”
Mr Lammy, who also serves as deputy prime minister, has said he is “appalled” and “livid on behalf of the public that Kebatu is at large”.
He confirmed a full investigation is being launched, adding: “He should be deported back to Ethiopia after the sexual assaults that he’s committed.”
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Manhunt continues for Kebatu
Extensive policing operation under way
Multiple forces are now involved in the manhunt for Kebatu – including Essex Police, the British Transport Police and the Metropolitan Police in London.
Policing commentator Graham Wettone told Sky presenter Gillian Joseph that detectives will be carefully piecing together his movements after walking free from HMP Chelmsford.
“All these forces will now be looking at the CCTV from the train itself – trying to locate him on the train and trying to identify at which stop he went off at, and where he went from that station,” he explained.
Mr Wettone said information from Essex Police’s initial investigation – including the contacts, friends and associates he had at the Bell Hotel – will also be a factor.
Questions will also be asked of the prison authorities: “Has he had any visits or phone calls? Has he got any friends or family in the country?”
He added that additional officers will have been allocated to the manhunt: “The Met will have some significant resources looking for him – maybe the Territorial Support Group or additional borough-based officers in and around Liverpool Street first of all.”
The British Transport Police could also be involved in further inquiries if Kebatu ended up travelling on the Underground.
“It really depends on where that thread goes – if they can locate where he got off, and then where he went to,” Mr Wettone said.
“This work is very, very fast-paced – there are detectives and intelligence officers working in the background, chasing up on leads and updating the teams on the ground.”
Experts are warning that without “fast changes” the UK could run out of drinking water in the future.
The first seven months of 2025 were the driest since 1976, with reservoirs across England only 56.1% full on average, according to the Environment Agency.
“I think that we do need to worry about the fact that there is this possibility we could run out,” Hannah Cloke, professor of hydrology from Reading University, told Sky News.
“It’s only if we start thinking like that, that we’re going to start conserving our water, otherwise we just take it completely for granted.
“It is all of our fault, we have not been paying attention to what’s going on… we need some very fast changes to the way that we are using water and the way that we’re storing water in order to stop this being a problem in the future, because our summers are only going to get hotter.”
By 2050, the government says that England could face a shortfall of five billion litres of water every day.
‘Growing pressure’ on water system
A Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs spokesperson said: “This government recognises the growing pressure on our water system and is taking decisive action.
“We’re delivering over £104bn of private investment to fix leaking pipes, build nine new reservoirs and secure our water supply for the future.”
Latest figures suggest that around 2,690 megalitres of water is lost every day in England through leaks – the equivalent of 1,076 Olympic-sized swimming pools.
Image: There is far less water in Rutland Reservoir this year
‘We have invested an extra £10m’
“Leaks are a really important issue for us. We have invested an extra £10m just to deal with the weather that we’ve seen this summer,” said Dr Geoff Darch, head of strategic asset planning for Anglian Water.
Anglian Water is also hoping to build two new reservoirs in the East of England.
“We don’t want to stop people using water, it is absolutely essential for everything that we need it to do,” Dr Darch said.
“But I think we’ve got to a point now where we have to realise that water is a precious resource, it’s something that we all have to look after so that we have it for future generations and for the environment and with climate change and drought, we will need more reservoirs.”
Image: The government claims it is fast-tracking new reservoirs to address the problem
Concerns about ‘whole system starting to collapse’
In August, the UK received just 62% of its average rainfall, according to the Met Office, which is leading a group of residents to monitor their water stocks closely.
“We collect all our own water from the rain, and so if we don’t have the rain that’s a significant issue,” explained Simon Tilly, director of the Hockerton eco housing project in Nottinghamshire.
He told Sky News they were working together to use less water.
“I suppose I’m most concerned about the whole system starting to collapse. There’s potential for longer droughts and us having a lot of water stress, there’s potential for a lot of floods when the drought finishes… and just generally that system going into random patterns where we’re getting more droughts and more floods,” he added.
A woman in a “life-threatening” condition is “under police watch” in hospital after a nine-year-old girl was found dead in an Oxfordshire village.
Police were called to a property in Middle Street in Islip at 11.15am on Tuesday following reports that three children had been assaulted.
The nine-year-old girl was pronounced dead at the scene. Her family is being supported by specially trained officers.
A girl, a boy and the 49-year-old woman were found injured, with police taking them to hospital for treatment.
The two children have since been discharged.
Detective Inspector Amy Fox said: “First and foremost, our deepest sympathies are with the child’s family, friends and all who knew and loved her. This is an unimaginable tragedy and we are doing everything we can to support those affected.
“A 49-year-old woman from Oxfordshire was taken to hospital in a life-threatening condition and is currently under police bed watch.
“We are not currently seeking anyone else in connection with this incident.”