As Japanese automakers fall behind in the surging Chinese EV market, Toyota looks to turn things around. Toyota announced Monday it will boost local development of tech and software in China to produce “electrified vehicles that are competitive” where EVs are taking over the market.
Toyota boosts local EV development in China
A market once dominated by foreign automakers like Toyota and Volkswagen, China is now seeing an unprecedented surge in domestically built EVs.
On top of this, price cuts from the nation’s top EV makers, like BYD and Tesla, continue putting more pressure on other automakers.
To catch up, Toyota’s new plans call for accelerating local design and development of smart cockpits to enhance the driving experience with modern interior designs and built-in AI, something buyers in China are gravitating toward.
Toyota is also working with its top suppliers, Denso and Aisin, to speed up electric powertrain development.
The move comes after a report from Reuters claimed Toyota’s joint venture in the region with China’s GAC was laying off workers last week.
Toyota bZ3 electric sedan (Source: FAW-Toyota)
Toyota also plans to significantly reduce manufacturing costs through three initiatives. These include developing a local supplier base, reviewing parts designs, and reforming production and manufacturing to regain competitiveness.
CEO of Toyota China, Tatsuro Ueda, commented on the situation, saying:
The Chinese market is growing at an unprecedented pace. Toyota will also work together as a group to reform how we work & think to survive in China. By promoting local development with IEM by TOYOTA at its core, we will attempt to develop and provide competitive products that can satisfy Chinese customers at a fast pace.
Meanwhile, the automaker is sticking to its “multi-pathway” approach, which includes EVs, PHEVs, HEV, and FCEVs.
Toyota concept EVs (Source: Toyota)
Electric vehicle urgency reaches Japan
Newly elected CEO Koji Sato stated during an interview after taking over in April, “We need to increase our speed and efforts to firmly meet the customer expectations in the Chinese market.”
Toyota already slashed prices on its first electric SUV in the region, the bZ4X, earlier this year. On top of this, the automaker issued a recall (over 12K units) for its first electric sedan, the BYD-powered bZ3, over defective door handles.
Toyota bZ4X (Source: Toyota)
The automaker has already revealed plans to advance new EV technologies, including Giga casting to reduce manufacturing complexity, self-propelled production lines, hypersonic rocket tech to enhance efficiency, and next-gen batteries that will boost range while cutting costs.
Giga cast (Source: Toyota)
Toyota plans to have engineers from its three joint ventures in China, BYD, FAW, and GAC, work on a “Toyota-led development project.”
Electrek’s Take
Japanese automakers, who have been slow to adopt purely electric vehicles, are falling behind in the world’s largest EV market, and it’s starting to take its toll.
Mitsubishi was the first Japanese EV maker to fall in China, announcing plans to suspend operations in the region indefinitely earlier this month. A company memo stated, “In the past few months, management and shareholders have tried to the best of our ability, but due to market conditions and with great reluctance and regret, we must seize the opportunity to transition to new energy vehicles.”
Mitsubishi China sales (Source: Bloomberg)
Mitsubishi, like Toyota, cited China’s transition from ICE to electric as reasoning. Mitsubishi’s sales have fallen from a peak of 134,500 in 2019 to only 34,500 this past year.
Other Japanese automakers are also seeing sales fall in the region, including Honda, Nissan, and Mazda.
Toyota’s sales in China fell 2.8% in the first half of the year, including a 12.8% drop in June. And it’s not only happening to automakers in Japan. They are just seeing some of the most drastic impacts. Other foreign automakers are also feeling the heat in China’s booming EV market.
Volkswagen has accelerated its EV efforts in the region, partnering with Xpeng Motors (through Audi) to use its tech platform, ADAs, and connectivity software to develop two new models.
Meanwhile, China’s EV market continues to get bigger, and domestic automakers like BYD, NIO, XPeng, Li Auto, and others are gaining their share.
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On today’s thrilling episode of Quick Charge, we’ve a huge spike in global EV sales and a huge dip in Tesla deliveries. Plus a whole bunch of news from Toyota, including an updated bZ that’s just a bit better than before … but is a bit better going to make a big difference?
We’re also on track for more than 1 in 4 new cars sold this year to be electric, with a whole lot more hybrids coming in to make up the difference and drive fuel demand down to a new yearly low. All this, plus the top 5 cheapest EVs to insure when you hit the play button.
New episodes of Quick Charge are recorded, usually, Monday through Thursday (and sometimes Sunday). We’ll be posting bonus audio content from time to time as well, so be sure to follow and subscribe so you don’t miss a minute of Electrek’s high-voltage daily news.
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Solar power in New Mexico. (2023, December 24). In Wikipedia. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Solar_power_in_New_Mexico
Solar and wind accounted for almost 98% of new US electrical generating capacity added in Q1 2025, according to new Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) data reviewed by the SUN DAY Campaign.
Solar and wind also made up an impressive 100% of new capacity in March, and March was the 19th consecutive month in which solar was the largest source of new capacity.
Renewables were 100% of new capacity in March
In its latest monthly “Energy Infrastructure Update” report (with data through March 31, 2025), FERC says 446 megawatts (MW) of solar were placed into service in March, along with the 223.9 MW Shamrock Wind & Storage Project in Crockett County, TX. Combined, they accounted for 100% of all new generating capacity added during the month.
For the first quarter of the year, the combination of solar and wind (7,076 MW) was 97.8% of new capacity while natural gas (147 MW) provided just 2.0% and another 0.2% came from oil (11 MW).
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Solar was 66.6% of new capacity added in March
Solar accounted for two-thirds (66.6%) of all new generating capacity placed into service in March. It was 72.3% of new capacity added during Q1 2025.
Solar has now been the largest source of new generating capacity added each month from September 2023 to March 2025.
New wind accounted for the remaining third (33.4%) of capacity additions in March and provided over a fourth (25.5%) of new additions for the quarter.
Solar + wind are 22.5% of US utility-scale generating capacity
The installed capacities of solar (10.7%) and wind (11.8%) are now each more than a tenth of the US total. Taken together, they constitute almost one-fourth (22.5%) of the US’s total available installed utility-scale generating capacity.
Approximately 30% of US solar capacity is in the form of small-scale (e.g., rooftop) systems that are not reflected in FERC’s data. Including that additional solar capacity would bring the share provided by solar + wind to more than 25% of the country’s total.
With the inclusion of hydropower (7.7%), biomass (1.1%), and geothermal (0.3%), renewables currently claim a 31.5% share of total US utility-scale generating capacity. If small-scale solar capacity is included, renewables are about one-third of total US generating capacity.
Ten years ago, the mix of utility-scale renewables accounted for 16.9% of total installed generating capacity, including solar (1.0%) and wind (5.7%). Thus, over the past decade, wind’s share of US generating capacity has more than doubled while that of solar has increased by more than tenfold.
Solar is still on track to be second-largest
FERC reports that net “high probability” additions of solar between April 2025 and March 2028 total 89,452 MW – an amount more than four times the forecast net “high probability” additions for wind (22,109 MW), the second fastest growing resource. FERC also foresees net growth for hydropower (596 MW) and geothermal (92 MW) but a decrease of 130 MW in biomass capacity.
Taken together, the net new “high probability” capacity additions by all renewable energy sources over the next three years – that is, the bulk of the Trump administration’s remaining time in office – would total 112,119 MW.
On the other hand, there is no new nuclear capacity in FERC’s three-year forecast, while coal and oil are projected to contract by 24,372 MW and 2,108 MW, respectively. Natural gas capacity would expand by 1,738 MW.
Thus, adjusting for the different capacity factors of gas (59.7%), wind (34.3%), and utility-scale solar (23.4%), electricity generated by the projected new solar capacity to be added in the coming three years should be at least 20 times greater than that produced by the new natural gas capacity, while the electrical output by new wind capacity would be over seven times more than gas.
If FERC’s current “high probability” additions materialize, by April 1, 2028, solar will account for nearly one-sixth (16.3%) of US installed utility-scale generating capacity. Wind would provide an additional 12.6% of the total. Thus, each would be greater than coal (12.4%) and substantially more than either nuclear power or hydropower (7.3% and 7.2%, respectively).
Assuming current growth rates continue, the installed capacity of utility-scale solar will likely surpass coal and wind in less than two years, placing solar in second place for installed generating capacity, behind only natural gas.
Renewables may overtake natural gas within three years
The mix of all utility-scale (i.e., >1 MW) renewables is now adding about two percentage points each year to its share of generating capacity. At that pace, by April 1, 2028, renewables would account for 37.5% of total available installed utility-scale generating capacity, rapidly approaching that of natural gas (40.2%). Solar and wind would constitute more than three-quarters of the installed renewable energy capacity. If those trendlines continue, utility-scale renewable energy capacity should surpass that of natural gas in 2029 or sooner.
However, as noted, FERC’s data do not account for the capacity of small-scale solar. If that is factored in, within three years, total US solar capacity (small-scale + utility-scale) could approach 330 GW. In turn, the mix of all renewables would exceed 40% of total installed capacity while the share of natural gas would drop to about 37%.
Moreover, FERC reports that there may actually be as much as 223,620 MW of net new solar additions in the current three-year pipeline in addition to 66,368 MW of new wind, 9,059 MW of new hydropower, 201 MW of new geothermal, and 39 MW of new biomass. By contrast, net new natural gas capacity potentially in the three-year pipeline totals just 29,912 MW. Consequently, renewables’ share could be even greater by early spring 2028.
“Notwithstanding the Trump Administration’s anti-renewable energy efforts during its first 100+ days, the strong growth of solar and wind continues,” noted the SUN DAY Campaign’s executive director Ken Bossong. “And FERC’s latest data and forecasts suggest this will not change in the near-term.”
Electrek’s Take
This is encouraging, but it might change in the longer term, depending on what happens with the House draft budget, in which the Republicans are attempting to end the residential 30% solar tax credit.
Trump and the energy secretary are also doing everything they can to smash renewables and promote fossil fuel growth, thus being out of step with the rest of the world. They’re certainly doing a fine job kicking offshore wind where it counts. Only time will tell in terms of how much damage Trump inflicts.
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Lucid (LCID) is gearing up for big growth this year. After launching its first electric SUV, the Gravity, the company plans to double production this year. According to Lucid’s interim CEO, Marc Winterhoff, the EV maker will enter new global markets this year, including parts of Europe and the Middle East.
Lucid is expanding into new global markets in 2025
With over 3,100 vehicles delivered in the first quarter, Lucid set its fifth straight quarterly record. Production is picking up at its Casa Grande manufacturing plant, with 2,213 units built from January to March.
Lucid said the record quarter was achieved despite “limited deliveries in Saudi Arabia” due to a system change that has since been fixed. The company had another 600 vehicles in transit to Saudi Arabia, which will be counted in its second quarter results.
During the Saudi-US Investment Forum on Tuesday, Winterhoff told Bloomberg that Lucid expects to accelerate its global expansion with plans to enter new parts of Europe and the Middle East this year.
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“We have started Abu Dhabi and we’re looking into Qatar and other additional markets coming very soon,” Winterhoff said.
Lucid Gravity and Air models (Source: Lucid)
Lucid opened its first international manufacturing plant (AMP-2) in Saudi Arabia and has been assembling its Air luxury electric sedan since September 2023. It’s also on track to finish construction on another plant in the region with 150,000 annual production capacity in 2026.
Last week, Lucid’s senior vice president, Adrian Price, announced on social media that the second batch of Gravity models was ready to ship to Saudi Arabia.
Lucid Gravity electric SUV (Source: Lucid)
Winterhoff told Bloomberg that the company will begin delivering Saudi-made EVs locally the following year while exporting to Europe and parts of Asia, outside of China. Although no details were confirmed, Lucid is considering producing EV batteries in Saudi Arabia through a collaboration.
Saudi Arabia’s Public Investment Fund (PIF) is Lucid’s top shareholder, with a 60% stake in the company. The investment fund has invested billions in the EV startup as it aims to diversify its GDP beyond oil.
Lucid Gravity Grand Touring in Aurora Green (Source: Lucid)
Even with Trump’s auto tariffs, Lucid expects to produce 20,000 vehicles this year, more than double the 9,000 it made in 2024.
The Lucid Gravity Grand Touring model is available to order in the US, starting at $94,900 with up to 450 miles of range. For those looking for something a little cheaper, Lucid will launch the Gravity Touring trim later this year, starting at $79,900.
Lucid ended Q1 with $5.76 billion in liquidity, which it expects will be enough to fund it into the second half of 2026, when it plans to launch its more affordable midsize platform.
Lucid’s stock has risen over 15% since reporting first quarter earnings on May 6, but share prices are still down 12% over the past year at around $2.76.
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