I got a text the other day from a friend: “The Yankees need to re-sign Aaron Small and Shawn Chacon.”
It’s a running joke between us, a reference to the 2005 season, when the Yankees were 39-39 on June 1, not looking very good, and Aaron Small and Shawn Chacon popped up out of nowhere to bolster the pitching staff. Small went 10-0 and Chacon went 7-3, the Yankees won 95 games and the team made the playoffs, like it had the previous 10 seasons. Of course, my friend is a Red Sox fan, so it’s not so much a joke as his own personal and painful reminder that the New York Yankees always find a way. Always.
Except this season.
It became clear this weekend that the Yankees will not find a path to the playoffs in 2023 — and, in fact, might not even find the path to a winning season. On Sunday, they led the Marlins 7-3 entering the bottom of the ninth. Clay Holmes and Tommy Kahnle faced eight batters, got only one of them out, and the Marlins rallied for an improbable 8-7 victory. “The mountain gets bigger with every loss,” Holmes said afterward. “We have to put together some wins and string them together and get some momentum going.”
Unfortunately, a series in Atlanta followed. The Braves pounded the Yankees 11-3 on Monday, shut them out 5-0 on one hit on Tuesday and beat them 2-0 on Wednesday. That loss dropped the Yankees to 60-61. It’s the latest in a season they’ve been under .500 since 1995 (nine of the 26 players on the active roster were not yet born). “We’re not showing up, that’s what it comes down to,” Aaron Judge said after the blowout defeat on Monday. “We need to take some personal pride,” said manager Aaron Boone.
For once, the Yankees have no answers. Small or Chacon or Mike Tauchman or Matt Carpenter is not around to rescue them. The rotation is full of injuries. The bullpen is finally leaking. The offense is bad.
Some have rightfully pointed to the Yankees’ lack of left-handed hitting, a major strategic flaw in the roster. The Yankees are next to last in the majors in plate appearances from left-handed batters — despite the obvious reason to employ them and their status as a hallmark of Yankees success going back to Babe Ruth and Lou Gehrig. (Yes, the Astros have the fewest, but the difference: Houston’s right-handed hitters are better.)
Most problematic: For the second time in three years, the overall offense just hasn’t been good. Among the regulars, only Judge and Gleyber Torres carry an OPS+ above league average. The Yankees were 10th in the AL in runs in 2021, first in 2022, 10th again in 2023. We all know what happened last season, but, shockingly, counting on Judge to remain healthy and hit 62 home runs every season probably isn’t a reliable master plan.
Since July 4, when they were 10 games over .500, the Yankees are 12-23 and have been outscored by 51 runs. Over the same period, they are 28th in the majors in runs scored and 24th in runs allowed.
“It’s been a slog,” a frustrated Boone told reporters on Monday. “It’s been a grind. It’s not been how we drew it up.”
They can forget the wild card. The Toronto Blue Jays, currently the third wild-card team, are 12 games over .500. If the Jays play .500 the rest of the way they would finish 87-75, so the Yankees would have to go 27-14 just to tie them — and they also have the Seattle Mariners and Boston Red Sox to climb over. It’s not going to happen — and in fact finishing in last place in the AL East is more likely. But that’s not even the worst part of this year’s trajectory — it could be the franchise’s first losing record since 1992.
The Yankees’ 30-year streak of consecutive winning seasons is an astonishingly impressive achievement in the ultracompetitive business of modern sports. The New England Patriots under Bill Belichick (and with Tom Brady) had 19 consecutive winning seasons from 2001 through 2019. In the NBA, the longest active streak is a mere 12 seasons by, believe it or not, the LA Clippers. The San Antonio Spurs had a 22-year run from 1998 to 2019 but have now suffered four losing seasons in a row. The Pittsburgh Penguins own the longest streak in the NHL at 17 seasons. Even Alabama football has had four losing seasons since the Yankees last had one.
Not surprisingly, a growing percentage of Yankees fans are not only calling for Boone to be fired but longtime general manager Brian Cashman as well. If the team does miss the playoffs and finishes with a losing record, Boone’s seat no doubt will be hot, even though he has another year on his contract. That decision might rest more with managing general partner Hal Steinbrenner than Cashman. Who knows, Steinbrenner might not want to eat Boone’s $2.75 million salary. After all, these Yankees now construct their business with some limitations on expenses — although let’s point out they still have the game’s second-largest payroll in 2023.
That’s why fingers are also pointing in the direction of Cashman, the team’s GM since February of 1998 (who signed a new long-term deal this winter). The Yankees haven’t won a World Series since 2009, but let’s be fair here: While falling short of a title, the Yankees have had success in recent seasons, winning 99 games in 2022, 103 in 2019 and 100 in 2018. They’ve reached three American League Championship Series since 2017, losing all three times to the Astros.
Still, the majority of Cashman’s big decisions in recent years haven’t worked out, even if many of them were defensible at the time. Consider:
Trading for Giancarlo Stanton before the 2018 season. It was too tempting to resist pairing Stanton, coming off a 59-homer season with the Marlins, with Judge, coming off his 52-homer rookie season. Stanton had a 38-homer, 4.4-WAR season in 2018 but has produced less than 1.0 WAR in four of the next five, including 2023, when he’s barely been above replacement level — for a $32 million salary. The ripple effect of the Stanton trade makes it sting even more: With Judge and Stanton, the Yankees stayed away from pursuing Bryce Harper when he hit free agency after the 2018 season, even though Harper grew up a Yankees fan and had a swing tailor-made for the short right-field porch. Since 2019, Stanton has been worth just 4.8 WAR; Harper has racked up 15.8.
Giving Aaron Hicks a seven-year, $70 million extension in 2019 after one good full season in the majors in 2018 (and a good partial season in 2017). At the time, this made some sense since Hicks would be a potential bargain if he continued to play well. But he was an older player for a breakout season, turning 29 at the start of that deal. He battled injuries and played 100 games just once for the Yankees (hitting .216 in 2022) before they released him earlier this season.
Signing DJ LeMahieu to a six-year, $90 million contract in 2021 even though he was entering his age-32 season. LeMahieu was coming off two excellent seasons, finishing fourth in the MVP voting in 2019 and then third in 2020 after hitting .364 and leading the AL in OPS in 50 games during the COVID season. A reasonable signing given LeMahieu’s production those two seasons, it was still risky given his age and, as we now know, a lot of players had fluky numbers in 2019 (due to the juiced ball) and 2020 (due to the weird short season). LeMahieu has been OK, but Cashman would probably like a redo on this one.
Trading for Josh Donaldson in 2022. Another bet on an older player — Donaldson was entering his age-36 season in 2022 — that didn’t work out.
The Frankie Montas trade last year. Montas had missed a couple of starts with the A’s with a sore shoulder, but Cashman traded for him anyway. He went 1-3 with a 6.35 ERA down the stretch, missed the postseason and will miss all of 2023 after shoulder surgery.
Needing a center fielder last year — in part because Hicks was unproductive — the Yankees traded solid starter Jordan Montgomery for Harrison Bader, even though Bader was on the injured list at the time. Bader has missed about 50 games this season and been a below-average hitter, while Montgomery could have been used in the rotation.
Signing Carlos Rodon to a six-year, $162 million contract. It’s obviously too early to assess the long-term value here, but the first year of the deal has been a washout so far, with Rodon winning one game in eight starts with a 7.44 ERA. He’s on the IL right now with a hamstring strain, although he could return next week.
Obviously, not every Cashman deal has backfired — most significantly, Gerrit Cole has been worth the money. In part, Cashman was pushed to gamble on some of those older players because the farm system hasn’t been productive enough. Deivi Garcia was supposed to a rotation stalwart by now, but he was placed on waivers last week (the White Sox claimed him). Luis Gil got injured. Others like Estevan Florial or Albert Abreu just didn’t develop as hoped. Many were scattered to the winds in various transactions — Ezequiel Duran, Garrett Whitlock, Luis Medina, Hayden Wesneski, Roansy Contreras, Kevin Alcantara, Thairo Estrada, JP Sears. The Yankees haven’t really been burned too badly by any of those guys, but what were the returns?
This probably sounds more dire than it is. No matter what happens the rest of 2023, the Yankees will find a way to reshape things for 2024. A rotation with Cole, Rodon and Nestor Cortes is a good starting point, assuming better health from Rodon and Cortes. The lineup needs an overhaul, though, and the Yankees will still be on the hook for $64 million in salaries for Stanton, LeMahieu and Anthony Rizzo (who knows what he’ll be able to contribute given his struggles with post-concussion syndrome). As it was at this year’s trade deadline when the Yankees debated looking for help, the free agent market is thin on hitters — well, you have Shohei Ohtani, but few insiders in the game forecast that happening.
But, that’s all for the offseason, along with the futures of Boone and Cashman. There’s plenty at stake for Yankees fans and Yankees haters alike in these final 41 games: Will the streak come to an end?
ATLANTA — No major decisions were made regarding the future format of the 12-team College Football Playoff on Sunday, but “tweaks” to the 2025 season haven’t been ruled out, CFP executive director Rich Clark said.
Sunday’s annual meeting of the FBS commissioners and the presidents and chancellors who control the playoff wasn’t expected to produce any immediate course of action, but it was the first time that people with the power to change the playoff met in person to begin a review of the historic expanded bracket.
Clark said the group talked about “a lot of really important issues,” but the meeting at the Signia by Hilton set the stage for bigger decisions that need to be made “very soon.”
Commissioners would have to unanimously agree upon any changes to the 12-team format to implement them for the 2025 season.
“I would say it’s possible, but I don’t know if it’s going to happen or not,” Clark said on the eve of the College Football Playoff National Championship game between Ohio State and Notre Dame. “There’s probably some things that could happen in short order that might be tweaks to the 2025 season, but we haven’t determined that yet.”
A source with knowledge of the conversations said nobody at this time was pushing hard for a 14-team bracket, and there wasn’t an in-depth discussion of the seeding process, but talks were held about the value of having the four highest-ranked conference champions earn first-round byes.
Ultimately, the 11 presidents and chancellors who comprise the CFP’s board of managers will vote on any changes, and some university leaders said they liked rewarding those conference champions with byes because of the emphasis it placed on conference title games.
Mississippi State president Mark Keenum, the chair of the board of managers, said they didn’t talk about “what-ifs,” but they have tasked the commissioners to produce a plan for future governance and the format for 2026 and beyond.
Starting in 2026, any changes will no longer require unanimous approval, and the Big Ten and the SEC will have the bulk of control over the format — a power that was granted during the past CFP contract negotiation. The commissioners will again meet in person at their annual April meeting in Las Colinas, Texas, and the presidents and chancellors will have a videoconference or phone call on May 6.
“We’re extremely happy with where we are now,” Keenum said. “We’re looking towards the new contract, which is already in place with ESPN, our media provider, for the next six years through 2032. We’ve got to make that transition from the current structure that we’re in to the new structure we’ll have.”
Following Sunday’s meeting, sources continued to express skepticism that there will be unanimous agreement to make any significant changes for the 2025 season, but a more thorough review will continue in the following months.
“The commissioners and our athletic director from Notre Dame will look at everything across the board,” Clark said. “We’re going to tee them up so that they could really have a thorough look at the playoff looking back after this championship game is done … and then look back and figure out what is it that we need.”
ATLANTA — ACC commissioner Jim Phillips said Sunday that the league will have conversations among coaches and athletic directors about whether to make changes to its conference championship game format.
The conversations are a result of the expanded 12-team College Football Playoff, and ensuring conference champions and the teams that play in conference championship game remain important.
This past season, SMU entered the ACC championship game as the regular-season champion but lost to Clemson in the ACC title game and had to sweat it out before selection day before earning a spot in the 12-team field.
Phillips said the ACC could consider giving its regular-season champion a bye, and have the teams that finish second or third in the league standings play in the ACC championship game.
He said another possibility is having the top 4 teams play on the final weekend of the regular season: first place versus fourth place, and second place vs. third place, with the winners playing the following weekend in the ACC championship game.
Phillips said he will have conversations with league head coaches on a conference call next week to get their feedback on the plan — specifically pointing to comments SMU coach Rhett Lashlee made leading up to the game in which he indicated the Mustangs might be better off not playing to protect its spot in the field.
Phillips also said these conversations will continue at the league’s winter meetings next month in Charlotte, North Carolina, and he has mentioned this is a topic among league athletics directors.
“The conference championship games are important, as long as we make them important, right?” Phillips said. “Do you play two versus three? You go through the regular season and whoever wins the regular season, just park them to the side, and then you play the second-place team versus the third-place team in your championship game. So you have a regular-season champion, and then you have a conference tournament or postseason champion.
“That’s one of the options, depending on how you treat the conference champions, or that championship game, you may want to do it different.
“I have alluded to that in some of our every-other-week-AD calls, and these are some of the things moving forward. We want to have a recap of the regular season, postseason, and what do we think moving forward?”
ESPN baseball reporter. Covered the L.A. Rams for ESPN from 2016 to 2018 and the L.A. Angels for MLB.com from 2012 to 2016.
The Los Angeles Dodgers have added left-hander Tanner Scott, arguably the best relief pitcher on the free agent market, agreeing to terms on a four-year, $72 million contract, sources told ESPN’s Jeff Passan on Sunday.
The addition of Scott likely puts the finishing touches on another busy offseason for the reigning World Series champions.
Before Scott, the Dodgers signed Blake Snell, one of the best starters on the market; brought back Teoscar Hernandez and signed Michael Conforto, solidifying the corner outfield; signed Korean second baseman Hyeseong Kim, freeing up a trade of Gavin Lux; extended Tommy Edman; and, in one of the winter’s biggest developments, lured phenom Roki Sasaki.
Originally a sixth-round pick in 2014, Scott has established himself as a dominant force over these past two years. With the Miami Marlins and San Diego Padres from 2023 to 2024, Scott posted a 2.04 ERA in 146 appearances, striking out 188 batters and issuing 60 walks in 150 innings.
With Scott, the Dodgers’ luxury tax payroll is estimated to be somewhere in the neighborhood of $375 million, about $70 million more than that of the second-place Philadelphia Phillies.
The New York Yankees are the only other team with a competitive balance tax payroll projected to be over $300 million.