Why BAE bought Ball Aerospace and why it matters
For some time now there has been a growing air of confidence around BAE Systems.
That was underlined when, earlier this year, the UK’s biggest defence contractor reported a record order book.
And it was further emphasised when, today, BAE announced it is spending $5.55bn (£4.35bn) on the aerospace division of the US packaging giant Ball Corporation.
The deal, described by BAE as a “unique opportunity to strengthen BAE Systems’ world class multi-domain portfolio”, is the biggest acquisition this year by a British company.
The Ball Corporation is a specialist supplier of satellite systems, geospatial intelligence, tactical solutions and antenna arrays.
The acquisition of its aerospace arm takes BAE more deeply into both the space sector and into what, in defence industry jargon, is described as ‘C4ISR’ – command, control, communications, computers, intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance.
Ball, the world’s biggest maker of aluminium drink cans, put the business up for sale earlier this year as it seeks to focus on packaging and to reduce its $9.7bn debt pile – which is partly a legacy of its £4.5bn takeover of Rexam, the former FTSE-100 packaging group, in June 2016.
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In November Sir Simon Lister discussed BAE’s Royal Navy contract to build five ships in Govan, Glasgow
Rivals beaten by BAE
BAE faced stiff competition to buy the business.
Private equity companies Blackstone and Veritas Capital were both in the running, as were other defence contractors, including the $61bn US giant General Dynamics and Textron, whose products include Cessna aircraft.
Charles Woodburn, the BAE chief executive, said the business – which BAE had not expected to become available – would be an “excellent addition” to BAE’s portfolio and an “excellent strategic fit”.
He added: “This is a significant and exciting day for BAE Systems.”
Mr Woodburn said Ball Aerospace was expected to grow its sales by 10% a year during the next five years and that it was also expected to add to BAE’s profits during the first year following the deal.
Ball Aerospace has already doubled its sales during the last five years and BAE expects those sales – which were $1.98bn in 2022 – to hit some $4bn by the end of the decade.
Mr Woodburn added: “We are making this acquisition from a position of strength. Ball Aerospace hits the mark in terms of a number of our strategic priorities… [including] defence, intelligence and scientific missions.”
Why BAE bought Ball Aerospace
Mr Woodburn outlined several reasons for buying Colorado-based Ball Aerospace.
The first is that the space sector is a market of growing importance to BAE’s customers. It will also deepen BAE’s relationship with the likes of NASA – one of Ball Aerospace’s key customers.
The second is the growing importance to BAE’s customers of environmental monitoring and surveillance as they seek to respond to climate change.
Ball Aerospace, which employs more than 5,200 people, is a key supplier of advanced remote sensing and other scientific systems and analytic tools and expertise.
It also enjoys a strong relationship with the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, the US government body that provides daily weather forecasts, storm warnings and climate monitoring.
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The third reason is the war in Ukraine.
Tom Arseneault, who heads BAE’s US arm BAE Systems Inc, said the war had led to a surprisingly rapid drawdown of munitions that was forcing governments to spend more in areas such as that serviced by Ball’s tactical solutions business, which supplies stealth cameras and antennas used on land and sea, and in air and space.
He said the company was optimistic about the regulatory process – a key point given that the US government, under first Barack Obama and then Donald Trump, has become increasingly sensitive in recent years about allowing the acquisition of strategic businesses by overseas buyers.
The deal means the US will now account for just under half of BAE’s global sales.
The Prince of Wales talks to BAE Systems apprentice Charlotte and Typhoon delivery director Martin Topping during a visit to RAF Coningsby, Lincolnshire
Debt fears cause shares to fall
Shares of BAE fell by just over 5% on the news amid concerns that BAE’s debt will increase following the takeover.
Some analysts also expressed concerns that Ball Aerospace’s profit margins are slightly below those enjoyed by BAE’s electronic systems arm.
BAE’s margin is between 15-17% while Ball’s margins are between 10-12%.
But Mr Arseneault dismissed that, arguing that synergies between the two businesses would in time bring Ball Aerospace’s margins higher.
He added: “As part of a company with like supply chains, similar customers and… the ability of the teams to leverage each other’s connections and buying power will… underpin margin improvement.”
That pledge probably stacks up given BAE’s recent history.
As Mr Woodburn noted, BAE has a track record during the last few years of improving margins in its electronic systems business, while more broadly it also has a solid track record in integrating acquisitions in this field.
Following the blockbuster merger between US defence giants United Technologies and Raytheon in 2019, US regulators forced the enlarged company to offload a number of businesses, two of which were subsequently snapped up by BAE.
These were successfully integrated into BAE’s electronic systems business despite the disruption posed when the pandemic erupted shortly afterwards.
The bigger picture is that, while many people associate BAE with military hardware such as jet fighters, tanks, submarines and torpedoes – all of which remain important parts of what it does – the company has been evolving over recent years.
Products and services in electronic systems, cyber security and intelligence are an increasingly crucial part of what it offers customers.
The war in Ukraine has highlighted, in particular, the importance of satellite technology.
The way warfare is conducted is changing – and this deal underlines how this important British business is responding.
Black Friday sales do not appear to have provided much cheer for retailers amid continued consumer caution, according to official figures.
The Office for National Statistics (ONS) reported a 0.1% decline in sales volumes during November, compared to the previous month, when the data is adjusted for seasonal effects due to the pre-Christmas shopping bonanza falling in December last year.
Economists polled by the Reuters news agency had expected growth of 0.4%. The dip was worse when the effects of fuel sales were excluded.
Rolling three-month data showed positive sales volumes were only propped up by strength in September.
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ONS senior statistician Hannah Finselbach said: “Retail continued to grow in the three months to November, helped by a strong performance from clothing and tech shops.
“This year November’s Black Friday discounts did not boost sales as much as in some recent years, meaning that once we adjust for usual seasonality, our headline figures fell a little on the month.
“Meanwhile, our separate household survey showed that although some people said they were planning to do more shopping… this Black Friday than last, almost twice as many said they were planning to do less.”
The data was released against a backdrop of widespread consumer and business caution in the run-up to the budget on 26 November – held just two days before Black Friday – although promotional activity was already well underway before Rachel Reeves’s speech.
That period was dominated by on-off signals over income tax hikes and black holes in the public finances, but the budget itself largely backdated many of the most painful measures towards the end of the parliament.
While the ONS data does little to boost retailers’ expectations for the Christmas season, there was a crumb of comfort to take from a closely-watched survey released just beforehand.
GfK’s consumer confidence index nudged up to its joint-highest level this year – though it remained deep in negative territory.
The biggest upwards contribution came from a willingness to make major purchases, despite perceptions for personal finances weighing amid continuing cost-of-living pressures in the economy.
Neil Bellamy, GfK’s consumer insights director, said: “Consumers resemble a family on a festive winter hike, crossing a boggy field – plodding along stoically, getting stuck in the mud and hoping that easier conditions are not far off.”
We have had better economic news since the survey was completed.
It was revealed this week that a much larger decline in the rate of inflation, to 3.2% from 3.6%, had allowed the Bank of England to cut interest rates to 3.75%.
It promises a boost to spending power as borrowing costs come down further, with wage growth still rising above that pace for price growth.
It is now hoped that the end of the budget circus will spark some life into the economy following two consecutive monthly contractions for output and a surge in the unemployment rate.
Much of the increase has been attributed to the retail and hospitality sectors reacting to sharp rises in employment costs under the Labour government.
Consumer spending accounts for around 60% of the UK economy.
Richard Carter, head of fixed interest research at Quilter Cheviot, said of the outlook: “Markets do not believe growth is coming to the UK anytime soon.
“Indeed, the UK is likely to slip into recession if the latest GDP figures are anything to go by, and there is little sign of positive momentum being generated.”
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