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The US Department of Commerce determined that five Chinese solar companies have been dodging US duties. Here’s why that could impede the growth of US solar.

The Commerce solar investigation, explained

As Electrek reported in May 2022, the Department of Commerce (DOC) launched an investigation of whether Southeast Asian solar cell manufacturers are using parts made in China that would normally be subject to a tariff.

The DOC has now concluded its investigation and announced on Friday that five out of eight Chinese solar companies it’s been probing are “shipping their solar products through Cambodia, Malaysia, Thailand, and/or Vietnam for minor processing in an attempt to avoid paying antidumping and countervailing duties.”

The DOC identified the five Chinese companies that attempted to dodge US duties by processing in Southeast Asia as:

  • BYD Hong Kong, in Cambodia
  • Canadian Solar, in Thailand
  • Trina, in Thailand
  • Vina Solar, in Vietnam
  • New East Solar, in Cambodia

This means that manufacturers’ products will be subject to additional import duties if they go against Obama-era solar tariffs.

The DOC noted that a ban is not going to be implemented on products from Cambodia, Thailand, and Vietnam:

This does not constitute a ban on imports from those countries. Companies in these countries will be permitted to certify that they are not circumventing the [antidumping and countervailing duties] orders, in which case the circumvention findings will not apply. 

The impact of the DOC’s ruling

The majority of the solar industry, as well as President Joe Biden, strongly opposes this ruling because of potential damaging impacts such as higher costs, more solar supply chain snarls, and US job losses.

A report by Wood Mackenzie found that the circumvention petitions could eliminate 16 gigawatts of panels from the US supply chain.

So in June 2022, Biden waived tariffs for 24 months on solar panels made in Southeast Asia in response to the investigation. He also invoked the Defense Production Act to spur on US solar panel and other clean energy manufacturing. That way, domestic production could accelerated without impacting the DOC investigation.

The US solar industry relies on imported solar panels to meet growing demand while the US establishes a domestic supply of solar components. Nearly 75% of solar panels currently imported to the US come from Southeast Asia.

Abigail Ross Hopper, president and CEO of the Solar Energy Industries Association (SEIA), said:

The United States is experiencing a $20 billion solar manufacturing renaissance because of policies in the Inflation Reduction Act that incentivize private investment in this country. However, it will take at least 3-5 years to ramp up domestic solar manufacturing capacity and the global supply chain will be vital in the short term. This case will just make it harder for American businesses to keep deploying, financing, and installing solar power.

More than 263,000 Americans rely on their solar and storage job to feed their family and pay the bills, and this case unnecessarily puts their livelihood at risk.

Biden’s waiver expires in June 2024, and that’s when the assessment of duties will begin. We at Electrek will continue to watch this DOC ruling and its impact on the solar industry.

Photo: First Solar Desert Sunlight Solar Farm/US Department of the Interior


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CATL stock slips as EV battery giant hints at first annual revenue decline in 2024

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CATL stock slips as EV battery giant hints at first annual revenue decline in 2024

The world’s largest EV battery maker warned that it expects to report less revenue in 2024 than the previous year, sending share prices down on Wednesday. CATL (SHE: 300750) stock dipped after its 2024 Annual Performance Forecast was released. Here’s a preview of CATL’s financials for last year.

CATL stock falls on lower 2024 revenue expectations

CATL released the forecast in a filing with the Shenzen Stock Exchange late Tuesday, previewing its full-year 2024 financials.

The battery giant expects annual revenue of between RMB 356 billion ($48.9 billion) and RMB 366 billion ($50.3 billion), suggesting an 11.20% to 8.71% decrease from 2023. This would mark CATL’s first time reporting lower annual revenue than the year before.

CATL said that although sales volume was up, the lower expectations were due to falling raw material prices, including lithium carbonate. Despite this, the company still expects to post annual net income of RMB 49 billion ($6.7 billion) to RMB 53 billion ($7.3 billion), which would be up 11.06% to 20.12% from 2023.

Excluding non-recurring gains and losses, CATL expects net profit attributable to shareholders between RMB 44 billion ($6 billion) and RMB 47 billion ($6.5 billion), up 9.75% to 17.23% from 2023.

CATL-2024-revenue-preview
CATL 2024 revenue and net income forecast (Source: CATL/ Shenzhen Stock Exchange)

CATL said the higher net profits were “mainly due to the company’s technological research and development capabilities.” It also said the competitiveness of its products continues to increase.

After launching a series of new products and technology while expanding its partnerships last year, CATL expects “steady growth” in performance.

CATL-EV-battery-swap-station
CATL Choco-Swap EV battery swap station (Source: CATL)

Just yesterday, a local report from Jieman claimed CATL expected to announce plans for yet another EV battery plant in Europe as it expands its global reach. The new facility would be in addition to the one revealed last month with Stellantis and CATL’s fourth in Europe.

According to SNE Research, CATL remained the world’s largest EV battery maker, commanding 36.8% of the global market through the first 11 months of 2024.

CATL-stock-2024-revenue
CATL launches new Bedrock Chassis (Source: CATL)

CATL launched its new Bedrock Chassis last month, which it calls “the world’s first ultra-safe” EV skateboard chassis. It’s also aggressively expanding its EV battery swap plans with a new line of Choco-SEB batteries, which make swapping even quicker than filling a gas tank (within 100 seconds).

CATL-stock-2024-revenue
CATL stock chart January 2023 through January 2024 (Source: TradingView)

Despite the confidence and higher net profits, CATL’s stock slipped around 2% on Wednesday following the lower revenue expectations.

CATL shares are still up nearly 70% over the past 12 months, as the EV battery leader launched new products and expanded its global market lead.

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Sustainable luxury down below: U-Boat Worx (finally) launches its revamped electric ‘Super Sub’

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Sustainable luxury down below: U-Boat Worx (finally) launches its revamped electric 'Super Sub'

Electric submersible specialist U-Boat Worx has unveiled bonafide images of its flagship electric “Super Sub.” The revamped model, designed to provide customers luxury, speed, and depth at sea, has officially been launched and is available to interested marine explorers.

U-Boat Worx is a Dutch submersible manufacturer that has become one of the industry leaders in luxury electric sub design.

The company has introduced nine different electric submarine series. These include the nine-passenger NEXUS series we previously covered and a three-passenger Super Sub, which first debuted in 2021.

In the fall of 2022, we shared that U-Boat Worx redesigned the all-electric Super Sub to bolster its speed below the water’s surface. It claimed its updated version could cruise as quickly as 10 knots, 3-4 knots faster than the bottlenose dolphin.

U-Boat Worx originally planned to launch the revamped version of the Super Sub in 2023. Over a year later, it officially unveiled the luxury electric sub with new, genuine images of the vessel instead of renderings.

U-Boat Worx begins sales of its electric Super Sub

U-Boat Worx shared the images seen above alongside a press release detailing the official (late) launch of its three-passenger Super Sub. As you can see, the design features a droplet-shaped hull and advanced wing configurations, which, according to U-Boat Worx, helps make it one of the most hydrodynamic submersibles ever crafted.

The electric sub’s streamlined design is complimented by a four-thruster propulsion system that delivers 100 kW of thrust and speeds up to 9 knots (~10 mph) underwater. The vessel can also complete 45-degree climbs and “impressive inclined underwater maneuvers.” Roy Heijdra, Marketing Manager at U-Boat Worx, elaborated:

The Super Sub is a marvel of engineering and luxury. It’s more than a submersible — it’s a first-class ticket to explore the ocean like never before, combining speed, safety, and sophistication in every dive.

In terms of interior luxury, U-Boat Worx says the electric Super Sub offers a comparable experience to first-class travel – a step up from the “business-class comfort” of its other models.

Inside, two passengers and a pilot can enjoy spacious and ergonomic seating with a five-point harness system for comfort and safety during the electric sub’s high-speed maneuvers using a unique SHARC controller developed for the Super Sub to deliver intuitive maneuverability at any angle or pitch. Looking outward, a panoramic ultra-clear acrylic hull offers passengers 360-degree views.

The Super Sub is powered by a 62 kWh battery pack that offers up to 8 hours of exploration using electric propulsion and hydrofoil technology. If you’re wondering how much a luxury three-passenger electric submarine costs, well we’re not sure either. We asked, but U-Boat Worx says it only shares pricing with its applicants. Do any billionaires want to apply and report back? Thanks

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Polestar sees Elon’s antics as an opportunity to steal sales from Tesla

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Polestar sees Elon's antics as an opportunity to steal sales from Tesla

Polestar CEO Michael Lohscheller sees Elon Musk’s politics as an opportunity to steal sales from Tesla as many owners are looking at other electric vehicles.

Tesla CEO Elon Musk’s meddling in politics hasn’t been winning him many fans outside of the US lately. In Germany, we reported on a boycott effort that is gaining ground.

Michael Lohscheller, Polestar’s CEO, sees it as an opportunity.

Being German himself, he finds Musk comments promoting AfD, a far-right party in Germany, “unacceptable”. He said in a Bloomberg interview:

“For Germany, somebody outside of Germany endorsing right-wing political parties is a big thing. You want to know what I think about it? I think it’s totally unacceptable. Totally unacceptable. You just don’t do that. This is pure arrogance, and these things will not work.”

The CEO says that a lot of people are turning on Tesla because of this.

We get a lot of people writing that they don’t like all this. It’s important to listen closely to what they say. And I can tell you, a lot of people have very, very negative sentiment.

Some surveys showed as many as a third of Tesla owners have sold or are looking to sell their vehicles due to Elon Musk’s antics.

That could indeed be an opportunity for Polestar and the company needs it.

Sales have been lacking behind target and its stock has suffered – 92% of its value since going public.

It managed to secure some funding late last year and scaled back spending to extend its capacity to operate. It now plans to go to a more traditional dealership model to move cars.

But the biggest difference maker is the expanding lineup of vehicles that Polestar is launching.

Electrek’s Take

It is certainly an opportunity. I’m seeing more and more Tesla owners saying that they would never buy another Tesla.

Those people aren’t likely to go back to a gas car, and therefore, it is an opportunity for all other EV automakers.

I haven’t had a lot of time in Polestar vehicles. I think they look cool, but my opinion stops there. I am going to test them all next month and I will report back.

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