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Huddled in a corner of Bryant-Denny Stadium, Texas players sang the “Eyes of Texas” to a large contingent of fans in burnt orange T-shirts and arms raised with Hook ‘Em hand signs Saturday night. It was a rare scene.

Texas’ 34-24 win over No. 3 Alabama was the Longhorns’ first against an AP Top-3 team since 2008 against Oklahoma. It was their first against Alabama since the 1982 Cotton Bowl, and the first by double digits against Alabama since the 1948 Sugar Bowl.

It was Alabama’s first loss by double digits when entering the fourth quarter since 2008 against Florida in the SEC title game, and it snapped a 21-game home win streak (longest active home winning streak in FBS).

The win launched Texas up to No. 4 in this week’s Power Rankings.

Here’s a look at Texas and the rest of the Power Rankings after Week 2 of the college football season.


Quarterback Carson Beck delivered a workmanlike 283 yards, two touchdowns and one interception, and if you’re offensive coordinator Mike Bobo you have to like the way the ball was spread around with 12 different players catching passes. But the story once again was the Georgia defense, which pitched a first-half shutout for the 21st time since the start of the 2021 season — the most during that span. Ball State got a fourth quarter field goal to avoid the full shutout, but only 3 points allowed and 2.8 yards per rush allowed should have Bulldogs coach Kirby Smart feeling good about his team’s effort. — Alex Scarborough

Up next: vs. South Carolina (3:30 p.m. ET, CBS)


The Seminoles were not perfect against Southern Miss, but you would not know it from the final score. There was no letdown from Florida State after a big Week 1 win over LSU. Trey Benson ran for three touchdowns, while Keon Coleman added another receiving touchdown — and a ridiculous hurdle after another reception as the starters played a little more than a half. This is the first time Florida State has scored 45 or more points in each of its first two games since 2016. — Andrea Adelson

Up next: at Boston College (noon ET, ABC)


Wolverines quarterback J.J. McCarthy threw for 278 yards and two touchdowns, completing 22 of 25 passes against UNLV. Through two games, McCarthy owns the second- and third-highest one-game completion percentage by a Michigan quarterback (88% this week and 86.7 last week). He’s the first Big Ten quarterback in the past 25 years to post an 85% completion percentage or higher in consecutive games. Running back Blake Corum put points on the board, as well, running for three touchdowns. The Wolverines defense gave up just seven points to UNLV after holding East Carolina to three points. Despite losing some pieces along the defensive line from last season, they have been dominant through two weeks. — Tom VanHaaren

Up next: vs. Bowling Green (7:30 p.m., Big Ten Network)


Texas and Quinn Ewers made a Texas-sized statement in Tuscaloosa, beating No. 3 Alabama and snapping the Tide’s 21-game home winning streak. Ewers completed 24 of 38 passes for 349 yards with a 44-yard TD to Xavier Worthy and 7- and 39-yard TD strikes to Georgia transfer Adonai Mitchell. The defense, much maligned in recent years, intercepted Jalen Milroe twice and held the Tide to 107 yards rushing and 3.1 yards an attempt. This was the win Texas fans have been waiting for since Steve Sarkisian arrived from Alabama. The hype around this Texas team was legit, and the toughest game on the schedule this season is now behind it. — Dave Wilson

Up next: vs. Wyoming (8 p.m. ET, Longhorn Network)


Caleb Williams needed only half a game to throw for 300 yards, three touchdowns and add a rushing score to boot as the Trojans dominated Stanford in the Pac-12 finale between the two teams. An invigorated USC defense had their best performance of the season, limiting the Cardinal offense to only three points through three quarters while also forcing two turnovers. Thanks to Williams’ play, rushing touchdowns from MarShawn Lloyd and Austin Jones as well as a 75-yard punt return TD by the electric freshman Zachariah Branch, the second half was a mere formality and another chance for USC to test out its depth ahead of a bye week and tougher matchups to come— Paolo Uggetti

Up next: at Arizona State, Sept. 23


The Nittany Lions’ running game was in full effect, accounting for touchdowns on their first four possessions of a 63-7 win over Delaware. Kaytron Allen (103 rushing yards, one TD) and Nicholas Singleton (47 rushing yards, three TDs) took turns for an offense that churned out 315 rushing yards. The two sophomore running backs allowed Penn State to control the clock considerably, scoring on eight of 11 possessions. Quarterback Drew Allar completed 22 of 26 passes for 204 yards and a touchdown, hitting eight different receivers and adding a one-yard TD run. Defensively, the Nittany Lions held Delaware to 140 total yards, and linebacker Dominic DeLuca had a 26-yard pick-six. — Blake Baumgartner

Up next: at Illinois (noon ET, Fox)


After an unsettling offensive opener against Indiana that largely ignored its star wide receivers, Ohio State not surprisingly got right against FCS Youngstown State. Quarterback Kyle McCord found Biletnikoff Award favorite Marvin Harrison Jr. for a 71-yard touchdown on the game’s opening possession, and a 39-yard score later in the first quarter. Harrison and fellow standout receiver Emeka Egbuka, who had only five receptions and 34 yards against Indiana, steadied themselves with a combined 254 yards and three touchdowns on 12 receptions. McCord looked more comfortable, finishing with 258 passing yards and three touchdowns, and running back TreVeyon Henderson averaged 11.2 yards per carry with two scores. Ohio State still has room to improve, scoring only once after halftime and struggling a bit on early third-down chances. But the much-maligned defense has allowed only 10 points through two games, as high-powered Western Kentucky visits next week. — Adam Rittenberg

Up next: vs. Western Kentucky (4 p.m. ET, FOX)


Quarterback Michael Penix Jr. did nothing to hurt his Heisman Trophy candidacy in a win against Tulsa, completing 28 of 38 passes for 409 yards with three touchdowns and an interception. He completed passes to 10 different receivers. The Huskies racked up 563 total yards and had two 100-yard receivers in Jalen McMillan (eight receptions for 120 yards and a score) and Rome Odunze (seven catches for 107 yards and a TD). Two receivers — Ja’Lynn Polk and Odunze — each ran for a touchdown as well. Washington tallied at least 37 points for the fifth time in its last six games, dating back to last season. — Baumgartner

Up next: at Michigan State (5 p.m. ET, Peacock)


In 2016, Notre Dame played in hurricane conditions at NC State and lost 10-3 as part of a miserable 4-8 season. The Irish wouldn’t let another weather-impacted game in Raleigh derail them, overcoming a one-hour, 45-minute delay early in the second quarter to pull away from the Wolfpack behind a big-play offense and an aggressive defense. Al Golden’s blitzing defense harassed NC State quarterback Brennan Armstrong and picked off three passes, including interceptions on consecutive possessions, by Xavier Watts and DJ Brown to prevent any chance of a rally. Audric Estime set the tone on offense early by racing for an 80-yard touchdown. Quarterback Sam Hartman had four more touchdown passes to give him 10 through three games at Notre Dame, which won its 29th consecutive regular-season game against an ACC foe, tying Florida State (1992-95) for the league record. — Rittenberg

Up next: vs. Central Michigan (2:30 p.m., ET, Peacock)


Since coming to Tennessee, Josh Heupel’s Tennessee teams have typically beaten up on the teams the Vols were supposed to. That wasn’t the case Saturday as Tennessee sputtered to a 30-13 win in its home opener over FCS foe Austin Peay, the same Austin Peay team that lost 49-23 in its opener to Southern Illinois. The game was tied at 6-6 with 4:55 left in the second quarter, and the Vols didn’t score their first touchdown until the 15-second mark of the second quarter when quarterback Joe Milton III scored on a 6-yard run. The Vols had 10 penalties for 88 yards, lost a fumble in the red zone and gave up a 52-yard touchdown reception in the fourth quarter. Austin Peay actually had more first downs than Tennessee (19 to 17), so it was anything but a clean performance for the Vols, who have some things to clean up before they travel to Florida for their SEC opener next week. — Chris Low

Up next: at Florida (7 p.m. ET, ESPN)


With Jalen Milroe, apparently you have to take the good with the bad. The good being elite athleticism running the ball, and a strong arm to take shots deep. The bad being that you never know quite what you’re going to get with the rest of his game. Too often he stares down receivers and telegraphs his passes. Twice Texas took advantage with interceptions. And lest we put the loss all on Milroe’s shoulders, the running game didn’t do much, and the offensive line consistently allowed pressure. The defense, on the other hand, was good at points but couldn’t get home and sack the quarterback and was exposed when Quinn Ewers decided he wanted to let it rip. A non-conference 34-24 loss this early doesn’t mean Alabama’s season is over. But it doesn’t portend anything good. — Scarborough

Up next: at South Florida (3:30 p.m. ET, ABC)


The Utes went into Waco without starting quarterback Cam Rising for a second straight game, and this time, his absence really showed. While dueling QBs Bryson Barnes and Nate Johnson were able to keep the Utes afloat against Florida in the season opener, both struggled to get anything going against Baylor, combining for only 153 passing yards and zero touchdowns the entire game. The Utes somehow managed to outlast Baylor thanks to a game-tying drive in the fourth quarter and an ensuing interception from safety Cole Bishop, which set up the game-winning drive. Ja’Quinden Jackson tallied 129 of the team’s 224 yards on the ground. A 2-0 start was almost ruined by a miracle Baylor drive with less than 30 seconds left in the game. After allowing a 47-yard pass that left a single second on the clock, the Utes found some luck when a throw to the end zone as time expired was not called for defensive pass interference, which would have given the Bears another shot at tying or winning the game in regulation. — Uggetti

Up next: vs. Weber State (2 p.m. ET, PAC-12 Network)


The Ducks rode a 20-3 fourth quarter to erase a 9-point deficit and win 38-30 at Texas Tech. Quarterback Bo Nix turned in what has become an expected performance from him in an Oregon uniform: 32 of 44 completed passes, 359 yards with two TD passes, along with 46 yards on nine carries. He outshined former Oregon QB Tyler Shough, who rushed for 101 yards and passed for 282, but threw three costly interceptions including a pick-six in the game’s waning moments that ended any shot of a Tech upset. — Kyle Bonagura

Up next: vs. Hawai’i (8 p.m., PAC-12 Network)


Two games in and Oregon State is still waiting for its first competitive game. FCS UC Davis hardly resembled a speed bump as the Beavers got their starters out of the game early, opening up the freshly-renovated Reser Stadium in style. Their next opponent, San Diego State, figures to provide a more difficult test, but after a 25-point loss to UCLA, the Beavers will be strong favorites to finish nonconference play undefeated. — Bonagura

Up next: vs. San Diego State (3:30 p.m., FS1)


The best kind of early-season tuneup is one in which you get punched in the mouth and respond beautifully. Troy punched, and Kansas State responded. The Trojans scored to cut an early K-State lead to 14-10 late in the first half, and it looked destined to go to halftime with that score. Instead, quarterback Will Howard completed a 38-yard touchdown pass to Phillip Brooks with 10 seconds left in the half. In the second half, one Howard touchdown pass and two Howard keepers turned this one into a 42-13 laugher. Howard finished with 250 yards and had a hand in five touchdowns, and the defending Sun Belt champions just couldn’t keep up. — Bill Connelly

Up next: at Missouri (noon, SEC Network)


Coming into the season, it was fair to think Colorado — having gone 1-11 the year before — could start 0-2 with games at TCU and home against Nebraska. Instead, the Buffs sit at 2-0 with a pair of impressive victories and will welcome ESPN’s “College GameDay” to campus next week as a heavy favorite to triple their win total from last year before the start of conference play. Colorado started slowly against Nebraska but was in control for nearly the entirety in a 36-14 win. It was a particularly encouraging performance from the defense, which rebounded from giving up 42 points last week and limited the Huskers to few scoring chances. — Bonagura

Up next: vs. Colorado State (10 p.m. ET, ESPN)


The offense that was such a mess in the season opener against Florida State found itself Saturday, scoring 72 points against Grambling. Jayden Daniels, whose Heisman Trophy campaign started with a dud, showed signs of life again with 269 yards and five touchdowns. And a nonexistent running game showed up to the tune of 302 yards, five touchdowns and an average of 6.3 yards per carry. In other words: It was the perfect get-right game ahead of the start of the SEC schedule. — Scarborough

Up next: at Mississippi State (noon ET, ESPN)


It is probably safe to say North Carolina does not want to see Appalachian State back on its schedule anytime soon. A year after a wild 63-61 win, North Carolina needed double overtime to beat the Mountaineers 40-34. Omarion Hampton ran for 234 yards and three touchdowns as the Tar Heels relied on their ground game. In all, North Carolina had at least 300 rushing yards and five rushing touchdowns in a game for the seventh time since Mack Brown rejoined the program in 2019, the most by any Power 5 team during that span. Quarterback Drake Maye did not have a touchdown pass for just the third time in his career. — Adelson

Up next: vs. Minnesota (3:30 p.m. ET)


The Rebels won their first road game against a nationally ranked opponent under Lane Kiffin and showed some serious grit in doing so. Leading receiver Tre Harris was injured in the first quarter after catching a 31-yard touchdown pass from Jaxson Dart and didn’t return to the game. And after falling behind 17-7 in the second quarter, Ole Miss owned the second half and went home with a 37-20 victory over Tulane in the kind of road environment that most SEC teams try to avoid: playing a Group of 5 team on its campus. The Rebels caught a break in that Tulane starting quarterback Michael Pratt was injured and didn’t play, but they also made their own breaks, particularly on defense. Deantre Prince returned an interception 44 yards to set up a fourth-quarter field goal and break a 17-17 tie, and Jared Ivey had a 26-yard fumble return for a touchdown to cap the game. For the second straight game, Ole Miss running back Quinshon Judkins had a quiet game. He finished with 48 rushing yards after rushing for 60 in the opener. — Low

Up next: vs. Georgia Tech (7:30 p.m. ET, SEC Network)


Coach Brent Venables’ Sooners moved to 2-0 with a workmanlike 28-11 win over what appears to be a rock-solid SMU. OU led 14-3 for most of the second and third quarters but faced a gut check when SMU cut the lead to three early in the fourth. They responded by driving 75 yards for a touchdown, forcing a quick four-and-out, then scoring the game-clinching points on a 27-yard Dillon Gabriel-to-Marcus Major pass. Gabriel finished with just 19 completions for 176 yards, but four of those completions went for scores, and thanks in part to a huge game from linebacker Danny Stutsman (17 tackles, 2.5 for loss), the Sooner defense made a number of huge stops. — Connelly

Up next: at Tulsa (3:30 p.m. ET)


The Blue Devils got off to a slow start against Lafayette, and who could blame them after an emotional win over Clemson just five days earlier? Once Duke settled down, it cruised to a 42-7 victory. Quarterbacks Riley Leonard and Henry Belin IV combined to go 20-of-20 passing. According to ESPN Stats & Information, they are the first FBS duo since 1996 to each throw for 100 passing yards with a 100% completion percentage in the same game. Duke held Lafayette to 213 total yards. — Adelson

Up next: vs. Northwestern (3:30 p.m. ET, ACC Network)


Nobody is going to declare Miami back after a 48-33 win over Texas A&M, but it is clear the Hurricanes are a markedly improved team from a year ago. The Hurricanes completely controlled the second half, and quarterback Tyler Van Dyke played his best game since 2021, becoming the first player in Miami history to throw five passing touchdowns against an AP Top 25 opponent. Its 48 points are the most against an AP-ranked team since scoring 56 in a win over then No. 18 Virginia Tech on Dec. 7, 2002. Those two stats perfectly illustrate where Miami has been — and where it has the potential to go. — Adelson

Up next: vs. Bethune (7:30 p.m. ET, ACC Network)


Despite being a 6.5-point home underdog, the Cougars were in control for most of their 31-22 win against No. 19 Wisconsin. There were some shaky moments in the third quarter as Wisconsin came within a missed two-point conversion of tying the game, but the Cougars’ defense stood tall and shut down the Badgers on their final three possessions. With a game against FCS Northern Colorado next week, WSU looks like a safe bet to head into the unofficial Pac-2 championship game against Oregon State on Sept. 23 in what will likely be a matchup between ranked teams. — Bonagura

Up next: vs. Northern Colorado (5 p.m. ET)


After generating only seven points and 150 yards in last year’s home loss to Iowa State, Iowa exceeded both totals somewhat easily in coach Kirk Ferentz’s 200th overall victory and sixth straight in Ames. Coordinator Brian Ferentz’s offense is far from dominant, especially when it gets behind the chains, but boasts some playmakers in tight end tandem Luke Lachey and Erick All, as well as emerging redshirt freshman running back Jaizun Patterson, who had a 59-yard run and tacked on a touchdown. Iowa not surprisingly won with defense, as Sebastian Castro returned an interception for a touchdown and the line stoned Cartevious Norton on fourth-and-1 after ISU had closed to within a touchdown. Iowa has only 44 points (37 on offense) through its first two games, but Kirk Ferentz likes the unit’s potential to grow behind quarterback Cade McNamara, who struggled with the deep ball against ISU but came out of the game setback-free with his quad injury. — Rittenberg

Up next: vs. Western Michigan (3:30 p.m. Big Ten Network)


True freshman quarterback Dante Moore not only started the game and played every potential snap at the position until garbage time, but he also threw for 290 yards and three touchdowns on his way to leading the Bruins to a commanding 35-10 win over San Diego State. UCLA added 254 yards on the ground as a team as well as two rushing touchdowns. The story of the game, though, was once again Moore, who averaged nearly 11 yards a throw and showed exactly why he was such a highly touted recruit and the likely starter for the Bruins headed forward into conference play. — Uggetti

Up next: vs. North Carolina Central (5 p.m. ET)

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Back in NHL, Hart debuts for Vegas after acquittal

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Back in NHL, Hart debuts for Vegas after acquittal

LAS VEGAS — Goalie Carter Hart, one of five 2018 Canada world junior hockey players acquitted of sexual assault in July, made his first NHL appearance in nearly two years Tuesday night and received an enthusiastic reaction from Golden Knights fans during pregame introductions.

Hart certainly received the loudest response before Vegas’ home game against Chicago, and if there were any boos, they were difficult to hear.

Some fans also held signs supportive of Hart.

Hart was the first of those five players to agree to an NHL contract. The league ruled those players were eligible to sign deals beginning Oct. 15 and to play starting Dec. 1. Hart signed a two-year, $4 million contract and has been working with the club’s American Hockey League affiliate in Henderson, Nevada.

After he agreed to sign, Hart read a statement to reporters that, in part, said he wanted “to show the community my true character and who I am and what I’m about.”

Hart was asked Monday what steps he has taken to fulfill that pledge.

“There’s been a few things we’ve talked about,” Hart said. “We did a thing there in Henderson helping out the homeless. There’s some things we’ve talked about throughout the season. Whatever I can do to help, I’m happy to help.”

Giving Hart his first start at home could help ease him into what could be a rocky reception around the league. After facing the Blackhawks, Vegas goes on a five-game trip against Eastern Conference teams, including a Dec. 11 stop at Hart’s former Philadelphia team.

He worked in Henderson on getting back into NHL game shape. Hart appeared in three games and went 1-2.

“I’ve worked my [butt] off to get back to this point,” Hart said. “For me, the key is preparation and I’ve done everything I can to be prepared.”

It was a tough start against the Blackhawks. Less than a minute after the Golden Knights scored, Chicago’s Oliver Moore found the back of the net against Hart on the Blackhawks’ second shot on goal.

He gave up a second-period goal when he left the crease to clear the puck. His pass instead went directly to Tyler Bertuzzi, who scored over Hart and defenseman Noah Hanifin.

But Hart made 15 saves through the first two periods and the score was 2-2 entering intermission.

The 27-year-old last played in an NHL game Jan. 20, 2024, for Philadelphia. Hart played six seasons for the Flyers, going 96-93-29 with a .906 save percentage and 2.94 goals-against average.

“The purpose of Henderson was to get him back into live reps,” Golden Knights coach Bruce Cassidy said. “He can practice with us with NHL shooters, but traffic around the net, screens, all that stuff is sometimes hard to replicate, especially when you haven’t played that often. We’re less worried about the results, more getting reps, getting used to that stuff.”

The Golden Knights could use the help in net, especially with starting goalie Adin Hill on injured reserve because of a lower-body injury and his return possibly weeks away. Akira Schmid has received the majority of the work with Hill out and is 9-2-4 with a .896 save percentage and 2.51 GAA.

Vegas had lost four straight games before defeating San Jose 4-3 on Saturday night.

Cassidy said the upcoming schedule works in the Golden Knights’ favor in terms of not overloading the goalies.

“Akira’s played well, too, so we have to keep mindful he has to stay sharp,” Cassidy said. “So I’m sure you’ll see a lot of both goalies, but Carter’s waited a long time to play, so he’s definitely going to get his share of starts.”

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Week 15 Anger Index: The case for Texas and monthlong gripes for Miami, BYU

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Week 15 Anger Index: The case for Texas and monthlong gripes for Miami, BYU

The first College Football Playoff rankings came out five weeks ago. They looked a lot like tonight’s rankings.

We’ve had precious little movement at the top, with a few teams jockeying up or down a slot, but effectively no seismic shifts in the landscape. BYU and Texas are the only two teams that were projected in the field in the committee’s first ranking that aren’t now — and they’re just barely on the outside with reasonable arguments for inclusion.

Teams ranked in the top 18 by the committee this year are a combined 55-9, with six of those losses coming to other teams ranked in the top 18. All three outliers are courtesy of — you guessed it — the ACC (Louisville to Cal, Virginia to Wake and Georgia Tech to Pitt).

That’s a massive anomaly. Last year, top-18 teams at this point had lost 19 games, including 14 to teams outside their own grouping. Top-10 teams are 33-4 this year. In the first 11 years of the playoff, top-10 teams had lost an average of nine games by this point in the season.

The two words that best describe this year’s playoff push are “status quo.”

That, of course, has been bad news for all the teams on the outside looking in — from those with valid cases such as Miami, BYU and Vanderbilt, to underdogs such as USC, Utah or Arizona that might’ve had a shot in a more chaotic year.

But the real loser in this copy and paste rankings season is all the fans who just want to see things get weird. It’s a sad state of affairs when we’re left to rely on MACtion and the ACC to do all the heavy lifting when it comes to college football drama. The power players need to step up — or, perhaps, ratchet down — their game to add a bit more drama.

The good news is, the committee’s ad hoc reasoning, mushmouthed explanations and mind-boggling about-faces still leave plenty to argue about, even if the big picture hasn’t changed all that much.

Here’s this week’s biggest slights, snubs and shenanigans.

It’s not entirely clear how this committee values wins. For the past month, the priority has certainly appeared to be about which team has the better losses (unless, of course, you’re Alabama).

That seems a foolish way to prioritize playoff teams, since the goal of the playoff isn’t to lose to good teams but to win games.

Does Texas have a bad loss? Yes. A 29-21 defeat to woeful Florida — even if the Gators also played Georgia and Ole Miss close and just walloped a team that beat Alabama head-to-head — is problematic.

But look who Texas has beaten: No. 7 Texas A&M by 10, No. 8 Oklahoma by 17 and No. 14 Vandy by three (in a game they led by 24 in the fourth quarter). That’s the résumé of a team capable of winning a national championship — even if the Horns were also capable of losing to a second-rate SEC team.

Are we trying to find teams with the most upside or give participation trophies to the ones which have not lost an ugly one? (Except, again, Alabama.)

And it’s not as if the committee believes an extra loss is disqualifying. Oklahoma, Alabama, Notre Dame and Miami all have two losses and are ranked ahead of one-loss BYU (more on that in a moment), so what’s the harm of moving a three-loss Texas ahead of a two-loss team that has accomplished less?

This all comes back to the most frequent and justified criticism of the committee: The same rules aren’t applied evenly. In some cases, record matters. In some cases, best wins matter. In some cases, better losses matter. The standard varies based on the team being considered. But if the committee is going to err in favor of any team, it should probably do so for one that’s proved — not once, not twice, but three times — that it can beat an elite opponent.

Oh, and moving Texas up ahead of, say, Notre Dame would also have the added bonus of allowing the committee to sidestep another tricky situation. Which leads us to…


We’re putting these two teams together because we’ve already lamented the committee’s utterly disingenuous evaluation of them repeatedly, so it feels redundant to keep going down the same rabbit hole. But, for the sake of two programs being astonishingly misevaluated, let’s do one more round.

For Miami, the logic is obvious: The Canes beat Notre Dame head-to-head.

But let’s keep going. Miami’s two losses — SMU and Louisville — would rank as the fourth- and fifth-toughest games on Notre Dame’s schedule, had the Irish played them. Instead, Notre Dame has cruised through an essentially listless slate. Six of Notre Dame’s 10 wins came against teams that beat zero or one other Power 4 opponent. Stanford — seriously, Stanford! — is Notre Dame’s fourth-best win (by record). Yes, Notre Dame played well enough in losses to two very good teams, but one of those teams has the same record and is somehow ranked lower! Even if this is strictly about the “eye test,” there’s little argument for ignoring the head-to-head outcome. Notre Dame’s strength of record is 13th. Miami’s is 14th. Notre Dame’s game control is fifth. Miami’s is sixth. If all else is the same, how is head-to-head not the deciding factor?

Yet, here’s a little more salt in the wound for the Canes: Had Florida State finished 6-2 instead of 2-6 in ACC play, Miami would’ve won the (fifth) tiebreaker for a spot in the ACC title game and could’ve locked up its place in the playoff by simply beating Virginia. Instead, the Canes will sit at home and watch and hope and, at this point, probably get left out. Chess, not checkers, by rival FSU.

As for BYU, the committee’s desire to overlook the Cougars makes no sense. Let’s take a look at a blind résumé, shall we? (Note: Best wins and composite top 40 based on an average of SP+, FPI and Sagarin ratings.)

Team A: No. 6 strength of record, No. 14 game control, best win vs. No. 11, next vs. No. 28, loss to No. 5, four wins vs. composite top 40, five wins vs. teams that finished 7-5 or better

Team B: No. 7 strength of record, No. 10 game control, best win vs. No. 13, next vs. No. 27, loss to No. 7, three wins vs. composite top-40, two wins vs. teams that finished 7-5 or better

Now, just based on that information, Team A would seem the obvious choice. Now what if I told you Team B just lost its head coach, too?

That’s right, Team A is BYU and Team B is Ole Miss. Every bit of data here suggests the Cougars are, at worst, on even footing with the Rebels or ahead, and yet the committee has Ole Miss ranked five spots higher.

This is, arguably, the second year in a row in which BYU was clearly the most overlooked team in the country.


A week ago, Notre Dame was ranked one spot ahead of Alabama.

Then on Saturday, the Irish beat 4-8 Stanford by 29 (in a game they at one point led 42-3), while Alabama beat 5-7 Auburn by seven (in a game the Tigers had a chance to tie before fumbling in Tide territory late).

The committee looked at those two results and said, “You know what, we like what we saw from the Tide! Move ’em up!”

What could possibly be the logic for shifting opinions on these two teams? The only other team that jumped another winning team was Texas, and the Longhorns beat the No. 3 team in the country emphatically, not a second-tier team that fired its head coach a month ago.

Oh, and hasn’t the committee made it pretty clear losses are supposed to matter? Well, Notre Dame has two losses to teams ranked in the top 12. Alabama got beat by a Florida State team that finished 5-7.

Even by the eye test, this makes little sense. Notre Dame has proved to be one of the most complete, dominant teams in the country, with a secondary that’s near impossible to throw on, a rookie quarterback who has been nearly flawless and a running back who might well be the best player in the country. Alabama, on the other hand, has a one-note offense that can’t run the football.

We’re not believers in using advanced metrics as a ranking of accomplishment, but if this is simply a “who’s better” debate…

  • SP+ ranks Notre Dame fifth and Alabama 12th.

  • FPI ranks Notre Dame third and Alabama sixth.

  • Sagarin ranks Notre Dame second and Alabama seventh.

  • FEI ranks Notre Dame fourth and Alabama ninth.

So, again, we ask: Why would the committee possibly make this change?

We’d wager you know the answer. That sticky Canes vs. Irish head-to-head debate is a real headache for the committee. But if Notre Dame’s currently the last team in and something unexpected happens this weekend (hello, BYU over Texas Tech), then the committee can do as it did in 2014 and wash its hands of a tough choice and keep both Notre Dame and Miami out.

(It’s also interesting that a seven-point win over a team with a losing record is enough to jump Notre Dame, but a 31-point win over a ranked Pitt did nothing for Miami’s relative placement with the Irish despite — and we’re not sure anyone has mentioned this yet — a head-to-head win!)

But, speaking of Alabama…


4. Championship game participants

Step into the time machine with us for a moment, all the way back to championship week 2024. Here’s the state of play: Alabama, at 9-3, is ranked No. 11, the first team out of the playoff and also out of the SEC title game. Still, the Tide and the SEC hope there’s a pathway to salvation because SMU — 11-1 and ranked eighth — still has a game to play against Clemson in the ACC championship. If the Mustangs were to lose, couldn’t the committee then justify slotting SMU behind Alabama based on another data point, even though the Tide were simply sitting at home watching the action?

This was the case being made throughout the run up to the ACC championship last season. SMU, which should’ve been celebrating a miraculously successful first season in the Power 4, spent hours upon hours defending itself against criticism that it didn’t belong in the same conversation with big, bad Bama. Rhett Lashlee hinted he thought the committee’s vote was rigged, SMU players lamented their status on the chopping block despite a ranking that should’ve put them safely in the playoff field, and SEC commissioner Greg Sankey made the rounds arguing that Alabama’s (and Ole Miss’ and South Carolina’s) strength of schedule ought to put them ahead of SMU (and others).

OK, back to the present day. Here we are with Alabama sitting perilously on the dividing line between in the field and out — a week ago, it would have been the last team in, but of course the committee had other ideas this time around — with a game to play against Georgia in the SEC championship. An ACC team (Miami) sits just a tick behind the Tide in the rankings, but it will be off this week.

So, what happens if Alabama loses?

The comparison to last year’s SMU isn’t even a particularly fair one. The Mustangs were at No. 8 before the ACC title game. Alabama is at No. 9 (and probably should be a spot or two lower). SMU’s game against Clemson was new territory. A loss to Georgia will actually undermine Alabama’s best argument for inclusion — the three-point win in Athens in September. And while SMU did make the playoff field last year, a last-second loss on a 56-yard field goal still dropped the Mustangs from No. 8 to No. 10 in the rankings.

Play this scenario out now: Alabama, ranked at No. 9, plays a team that currently counts as the Tide’s best win. Imagine if Georgia wins the rematch and does so convincingly. The committee docked SMU two spots for a last-second loss, so surely it will do at least that much to Alabama for a more convincing defeat, right? And here’s the other thing: Even with the ACC title game loss last year, SMU was 11-2 — one less loss than Alabama had. A Tide loss in the SEC title game will be defeat No. 3 — one more than Notre Dame or Miami or (presumably) BYU.

It’s hard not to see a conspiracy here given the committee’s inexplicable flip-flop between Alabama and Notre Dame. It’s hard not to see brand bias in how the Tide’s championship week narrative diverges from SMU’s a year ago. It’s not at all hard to envision a scenario where Alabama loses to Georgia, gets in as the last team anyway, and it’s all explained away as a completely reasonable decision.


Well, the committee finally weighed in on more than one team outside the Power 4 — mostly because it was just impossible to find enough Power 4 teams worth ranking — and the news isn’t good for JMU. With the committee deciding already that North Texas is the higher ranked team, the Dukes’ only hope for the playoff would seem to be a Duke win in the ACC title game.

But what exactly has the committee seen to warrant that decision? Check out the numbers.

Best win (by average FPI, SP+ and Sagarin ranking)
JMU: No. 54 Old Dominion
UNT: No. 62 Washington State

Next best
JMU: No. 62 Washington State
UNT: No. 68 Navy

Loss
JMU: No. 29 Louisville
UNT: No. 24 USF

Wins vs. bowl-eligible
JMU: six
UNT: five

Strength of record
JMU: 18th
UNT: 22nd

FPI
JMU: 28th
UNT: 37th

There are certainly some check marks in North Texas’ favor, including a more impressive win over common opponent Washington State and a slightly better SP+ ranking, but on the whole, James Madison has had the tougher path here. That can change should UNT beat Tulane, but the committee should’ve waited for that to happen. Instead, it has made it clear JMU isn’t sniffing the playoff unless it comes at the expense of the ACC.

Also angry this week: Vanderbilt Commodores (10-2, No. 14); The ACC leadership who voted on its tiebreaker policies; Manny Diaz, who has to try to make a coherent argument for his five-loss Duke Blue Devils getting in ahead of a one-loss JMU; Every 8-4 team with a markedly better résumé than 9-3 Houston, which isn’t ranked this week; and Lane Kiffin’s yoga instructor and Juice Kiffin’s dog walker.

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CFP Bubble Watch: Could the ACC get left out?

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CFP Bubble Watch: Could the ACC get left out?

Welcome to the party, James Madison.

With the inclusion of JMU at No. 25 in the selection committee’s penultimate ranking — its first appearance all season — the possibility of the ACC being excluded from the playoff entirely just got real. Five-loss Duke is nowhere to be found in the ranking.

If Duke beats Virginia in the ACC championship game, it’s not guaranteed a spot in the 12-team field. It could open the door for two Group of 5 conference champions to compete for a national title, and if the playoff were today, it would be Tulane out of the American and JMU from the Sun Belt. The ACC’s best team, Miami, is still on the outside.

At No. 12, the Hurricanes still need some help, but Alabama increased its chances of earning a spot as the SEC runner-up with a small promotion to No. 9. The conference championship games can still alter the picture, but hope on the bubble is dwindling.

Bubble Watch accounts for what we have learned from the committee so far — and historical knowledge of what it means for teams clinging to hope. Teams with Would be in status below are looking good after the committee’s fifth ranking. For each Power 4 conference, we’ve also listed Still in the mix. Teams that are Out will have to wait until next year.

The conferences below are listed in order of the number of bids they would receive, ranked from the most to least, based on the selection committee’s latest ranking.

Jump to a conference:
ACC | Big 12 | Big Ten
SEC | Independent | Group of 5
Bracket

SEC

Would be in: Alabama, Georgia, Oklahoma, Ole Miss, Texas A&M. Right now, the Crimson Tide are the last SEC at-large team in the field. Alabama will face Georgia in the SEC championship game, but the committee could have a difficult decision if Alabama loses and finishes as a three-loss runner-up. The Tide would have defeated Georgia during the regular season but lost to the Bulldogs in the championship game. Even in moving up a spot to No. 9 this week — ahead of Notre Dame — it still seems as if they have a little more margin for error, but how the SEC title game unfolds could matter. And how far Alabama drops could determine if the SEC gets four or five teams in the field. Alabama could finish as the committee’s highest-ranked three-loss team and still be excluded from the playoff to make room for a conference champion — as they were last year.

A Georgia win should lock up a first-round bye and a top-four finish for the Bulldogs, while a loss should still put them in position to host a first-round game. Georgia beat Ole Miss, so it would be surprising to see the Bulldogs drop below the Rebels with a loss, even though the Bulldogs would have one more defeat. With a 35-10 drubbing of Texas also on its résumé, Georgia would still have a strong enough case to finish as the committee’s top two-loss team.

At No. 6, the selection committee moved the Rebels up one spot, so clearly the departure of coach Lane Kiffin to LSU didn’t hurt Ole Miss or its chances of hosting a first-round home game. The bigger reasoning was a promotion after winning the Egg Bowl combined with Texas A&M losing to Texas.

Still in the mix: Texas. The Longhorns moved up to No. 13, but the win against Texas A&M wasn’t enough to put them into the field after the fifth ranking. Texas is stuck behind Miami in part because of its loss to Florida, which Miami beat. Even if BYU and Alabama were knocked out with title game losses, that still probably won’t be enough for Texas to get into the field because the bracket has to make room for conference champions.

Out: Arkansas, Auburn, Florida, Kentucky, LSU, Mississippi State, Missouri, South Carolina, Tennessee, Vanderbilt


Big Ten

Would be in: Indiana, Ohio State, Oregon. Both Indiana and Ohio State are CFP locks — even if they lose in the conference title game — and the runner-up will still have a strong case for a top-four finish and a first-round bye. The loser’s only loss will be to a top-two team, but it could fall behind Georgia in the top four if the Bulldogs win the SEC, and/or Texas Tech if it wins the Big 12.

The Ducks punctuated their résumé with a respectable win at Washington and should be secure in their playoff position, probably hosting a first-round game. Oregon received a small boost to No. 5 after Texas A&M lost to Texas.

Still in the mix: None.

Out: Illinois, Iowa, Maryland, Michigan, Michigan State, Minnesota, Nebraska, Northwestern, Penn State, Purdue, Rutgers, UCLA, USC, Washington, Wisconsin


Big 12

Would be in: Texas Tech. The Red Raiders will play BYU in the Big 12 title game and have a great case to be in the playoff regardless of the outcome. It’s highly unlikely the selection committee would drop the Red Raiders out of the field as a two-loss Big 12 runner-up — especially considering they would have a regular-season win against the eventual conference champion. It’s also possible Texas Tech earns a first-round bye as a top-four seed if the Red Raiders win the Big 12. The committee moved them into the top four Tuesday night following Texas A&M’s loss during Rivalry Week.

Still in the mix: BYU. If BYU doesn’t win the Big 12, it’s unlikely to earn an at-large bid as the conference runner-up because the Cougars are already on the bubble and would be eliminated during the seeding process if the playoff were today. It’s not impossible, though. If Alabama finishes as a three-loss SEC runner-up, it could at least open the door for debate. BYU would have lost to Texas Tech twice, and Alabama would have defeated Georgia, the eventual SEC champ once — and it was on the road. If BYU wins the Big 12, it’s the ideal scenario for the conference because it would have two teams in the playoff.

Out: Arizona, Arizona State, Baylor, Cincinnati, Colorado, Houston, Iowa State, Kansas, Kansas State, Oklahoma State, TCU, UCF, Utah, West Virginia


ACC

Would be in: TBD. The ACC championship game will feature Virginia and Duke, and if five-loss Duke wins, it’s possible the ACC is excluded from the playoff since Duke is not part of the CFP rankings. If Virginia wins, it will represent the league in the playoff, as the two-loss Cavaliers are ranked in the top 20. And no, Miami did not play Duke or Virginia during the regular season. Duke lost to Tulane, which is the top Group of 5 playoff contender and will reach the playoff if it wins the American. Duke also lost to UConn. And it has already lost to Virginia 34-17 on Nov. 15.

Still in the mix: Miami. The Canes are still the committee’s highest-ranked ACC team, but they would be excluded if the playoff were today to make room for a conference champion. That means the ACC winner could knock the league’s best team out of the playoff. The committee isn’t ignoring Miami’s head-to-head win against Notre Dame, but it also isn’t comparing the Canes only to the Irish. Miami also needs to earn an edge against BYU — which the committee has deemed better than Miami to this point. Miami inched closer to Notre Dame because Bama moved up Tuesday, but with neither team playing in a conference championship game, would the committee flip them on Selection Day with a BYU loss?

Out: Boston College, Cal, Clemson, Florida State, Georgia Tech, Louisville, North Carolina, NC State, Pitt, SMU, Stanford, Syracuse, Virginia Tech, Wake Forest


Independent

Would be in: Notre Dame. The Irish have done everything right since their 0-2 start, running the table and doing it with consistent dominance regardless of opponent. At No.10, Notre Dame is in a precarious position. If BYU wins the Big 12 and enters the field, that could bump out the Irish. If BYU wins the Big 12, both BYU and Texas Tech are highly likely to make the playoff, which means someone currently in the top 10 would have to be excluded.


Group of 5

Would be in: Tulane. If the Green Wave win the American, they will represent the Group of 5 in the playoff. Tulane is currently the highest ranked Group of 5 team, but if North Texas beats Tulane on Friday, the Mean Green would be the most likely team to reach the CFP, given the overall strength of the American Conference this season.

Still in the mix: James Madison, North Texas. JMU (11-1) has clinched the East Division and a spot in the Sun Belt Conference championship game, where it will face Troy (8-4) on Friday. North Texas will face Tulane in the American, and if it wins, it’s more likely to represent the Group of 5 in the playoff than JMU because of its schedule strength. JMU could still be considered, though, if Duke wins the ACC, giving the Group of 5 two playoff teams in the 12-team field. With JMU earning a spot in the top 25 this week, the situation became more probable.

Bracket

Based on the committee’s fifth ranking, the seeding would be:

First-round byes

No. 1 Ohio State (Big Ten champ)
No. 2 Indiana
No. 3 Georgia (SEC champ)
No. 4 Texas Tech (Big 12 champ)

First-round games

On campus, Dec. 19 and 20

No. 12 Tulane (American champ) at No. 5 Oregon
No. 11 Virginia (ACC champ) at No. 6 Ole Miss
No. 10 Notre Dame at No. 7 Texas A&M
No. 9 Alabama at No. 8 Oklahoma

Quarterfinal games

At the Goodyear Cotton Bowl, Capital One Orange Bowl, Rose Bowl Presented by Prudential and Allstate Sugar Bowl on Dec. 31 and Jan. 1.

No. 12 Tulane/No. 5 Oregon winner vs. No. 4 Texas Tech
No. 11 Virginia/No. 6 Ole Miss winner vs. No. 3 Georgia
No. 10 Notre Dame/No. 7 Texas A&M winner vs. No. 2 Indiana
No. 9 Alabama/No. 8 Oklahoma winner vs. No. 1 Ohio State

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