The United States government is, once again, on course to shut down.
In just a few hours, when the clock strikes a minute past midnight, the state will likely be unable to pay its bills.
What happens?
It means all non-essential federal services are frozen. Government, military, waster disposal and air traffic control staff are unlikely to be paid. Federal agencies, national parks, federal courts, museums and a plethora of state bodies will be hit.
They simply won’t have the funding to have meet their wage and other bills.
Lawmakers, however, will continue to be paid, thanks to provision in the US constitution.
Why is this happening?
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Congress, encompassing the US Senate and House of Representatives, have yet to approve discretionary spending, a necessity for the new US financial year, which starts on 1 October.
Republican House Speaker Kevin McCarthy has not succeeded at getting hard right wing Republicans to agree a deal. If he pushes too hard, or gets a bill passed that the right flank of his party don’t like, he risks losing his job.
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Mr McCarthy’s job is predicated on not upsetting that far right cohort. In order to secure his job as speaker he agreed that any House of Representatives member could call for a vote to oust him.
In a way he’s backed himself in to a corner, promising something he couldn’t deliver: to return federal spending to pre-COVID levels. Many Republicans loath the trillions spent on health measures and economic stimulus.
While he secured a deal to lift the debt ceiling with President Joe Biden back in May to avert the US being unable to meet debt repayments, this is a different situation.
There aren’t the same catastrophic economic consequences hanging over a government shutdown and so there’s less of a threat to Mr McCarthy.
Had the US defaulted it would have been first time in the country’s history and would have led to a near total shutdown of the economy. There would have been severe consequences to the worldwide economy.
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1:36
House Speaker Kevin McCarthy says he is directing committees to open a formal investigation into a ‘culture of corruption’ around Joe Biden
When has it happened before?
Many times. In the last decade alone there have been four shutdowns over topics such as Obamacare and Trump’s border wall. This one is harder to tie to a specific event.
Most recently, in 2018, Democratic politicians refused to pass a Trump-led spending plan to fund his disputed southern border wall. The shutdown then lasted 35 days.
Numerous government organisations have manuals for furloughing staff in the event of a shutdown.
What are the consequences/effects?
Last time roughly 800,000 workers were furloughed but exact numbers for a 2023 repeat are unclear.
As the first day of the shutdown would be Sunday, the effects will not be immediate as many employees won’t be due at work.
When people activity falter so too does production.
The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) estimated that the five-week Trump shutdown in 2018-2019 reduced economic output by $11bn, including $3bn that the US economy never regained.
Shutdowns also impact America’s reputation as a stable, functioning financial leader, and it had an influence on government spending plans, delaying legislative agendas.
Fitch brought down the rating from AAA – the highest possible – to AA+ over debt and governance concerns.
Lower credit ratings can increase the cost of government borrowing, adding to taxpayer bills, reducing spending and shrinking the economy.
US officials criticised the move, with Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen calling it “arbitrary” and “based on outdated data”.
Another credit agency, Moody’s, said a shutdown would threaten the triple A credit rating it designated for the US.
What are the odds of this happening?
It’s highly likely. Hard-line Republicans in the House of Representatives voted down a long-shot bill proposed by Mr McCarthy to halt the shutdown.
The Senate, which would need to vote to approve any plan, is not scheduled to take a final vote until Sunday despite the final deadline being midnight on Saturday.
Letitia James – New York attorney general and long-time critic of Donald Trump – has been indicted for fraud.
Ms James, a Democrat, was charged on Thursday with one count of bank fraud and one count of making false statements to a financial institution, in connection with a home she purchased in Norfolk, Virginia, in 2020.
The 66-year-old could face up to 30 years in prison and up to a $1m (£752m) fine on each count if convicted, according to Sky’s US partner network NBC News.
Mr Trumphas been advocating charging Ms James for months, posting on social media without citing any evidence that she’s “guilty as hell” and telling reporters at the White House: “It looks to me like she’s really guilty of something, but I really don’t know.”
Image: Trump had been pushing for Ms James to be indicted. Pic: AP
In a lengthy statement, Ms James vehemently denied any wrongdoing and described the indictment as “nothing more than a continuation of the president’s desperate weaponisation of our justice system”.
She said: “These charges are baseless, and the president’s own public statements make clear that his only goal is political retribution at any cost.”
The indictment was presented to a grand jury by Lindsey Halligan, the newly appointed attorney for the Eastern District of Virginia.
Ms Halligan, who has previously worked as a lawyer for Mr Trump, replaced veteran prosecutor Erik Siebert, who had resisted filing charges against Ms James and former FBI director James Comey, who was charged with lying to Congress two weeks ago.
Image: Former FBI director James Comey. Pic: Reuters
The indictment pertains to Ms James’s purchase of a house in Norfolk, where she has family.
During the sale, she allegedly signed a document called a “second home rider” in which she agreed to keep the property primarily for her “personal use and enjoyment for at least one year”. However, the indictment claims she instead rented it out to a family of three.
According to the indictment, the misrepresentation allowed Ms James to obtain favourable loan terms that are not available for investment properties.
Image: Lindsey Halligan brought the case against Letitia James. Pic: AP
History of Trump and James
Ms James’s indictment is the latest indication that the Trump administration is determined to use the powers of the justice department to target the president’s political and public figure foes.
In a statement on Truth Social last month, Mr Trump called on US Attorney General Pam Bondi, who leads the department, to prosecute his political opponents.
“We can’t delay any longer, it’s killing our reputation and credibility. They impeached me twice, and indicted me (5 times!), OVER NOTHING. JUSTICE MUST BE SERVED, NOW!!!” Trump wrote.
Ms James is a particularly personal target of Mr Trump. During the president’s first term in office, she sued him and his administration dozens of times.
Last year, she won a staggering judgment against the Trump Organization after she brought a civil lawsuit alleging he and his companies defrauded banks by overstating the value of his real estate holdings on financial statements.
An appeals court later overturned a hefty fine Mr Trump was ordered to pay, but upheld a lower court’s finding that he had committed fraud.
Image: Ms James in court during Trump’s civil fraud trial in 2024. Pic: Reuters
What happens now?
Ms James is scheduled to make an initial appearance in the federal court in Norfolk on 24 October.
The case has been assigned to US District Judge Jamar K Walker, who was appointed by Joe Biden.
The standard for securing an indictment before a federal grand jury is much lower than securing a unanimous conviction by a jury at trial, NBC reported.
The Justice Manual, which guides federal prosecutors, says attorneys for the government should move forward on a case only if they believe the admissible evidence – evidence that is allowed to be presented in a court of law – would be enough to obtain and sustain a conviction.
The Nobel Peace Prize winner is set to be named on Friday, with Donald Trump and his administration having made clear more than once that they think the US president deserves the award.
The two-time president has been on a not-so-subtle Nobel Prize campaign for years, starting in his first term in office, when he said “many people” thought he deserved it.
In February this year, during a meeting with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu at the White House, he said: “They will never give me a Nobel Peace Prize. I deserve it, but they will never give it to me.”
After Israel and Hamas signed off on the first phase of Mr Trump’s peace plan on Thursday, people celebrating on the streets of Tel Aviv began calling for the US president to receive the prestigious honour.
But why does he think he should win, who has nominated him and how likely is it?
Why does Trump think he should get a Nobel Prize?
Mr Trump has suggested on several occasions that he has been instrumental in stopping multiple wars.
“I’ve done six wars, I’ve ended six wars,” he said on 18 August, during his summit with Ukrainian and European leaders. “If you look at the six deals I settled this year, they were all at war. I didn’t do any ceasefires.”
The following day, in an interview with Fox News, he revised the number to seven wars. It’s a claim he went on to repeat last month, saying that no one had “ever done anything close to that”.
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Trump last month: ‘I ended seven wars’
Dr Samir Puri, director of the Centre for Global Governance and Security at Chatham House, previously told Sky News: “There’s an absurdity to Trump’s claims, but like many of his claims, within the absurdity there are sometimes grains of truth.”
He suggested there was a “huge difference between getting fighting to stop in the short-term and resolving the root causes of the conflict,” and that Mr Trump’s interventions often amount to “conflict management” rather than conflict resolution.
The deadline for nominations for this year’s Nobel Peace Prize was on 31 January, not long after Mr Trump returned to the White House.
Over the course of his two terms in the Oval Office he has been nominated for the award more than 10 times – by Israel’s Benjamin Netanyahu, Cambodia’s Prime Minister Hun Manet, a Ukrainian politician, as well as legislators from the US, Sweden, and Norway.
However, a nomination does not guarantee someone will be a candidate and the prize committee does not publish a list of candidates before the winner is announced. They have said there are 338 candidates nominated this year, of which 244 are individuals and 94 are organisations.
It is not clear if any of Mr Trump’s nominations came before the January deadline.
Mr Netanyahu publicly nominated him in July, saying Mr Trump was “forging peace as we speak” in “one country and one region after the other”.
It came after Mr Trump took credit for stopping Iran and Israel‘s “12-day war” the month prior.
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Netanyahu presents Trump peace prize nomination
After Gaza agreement, could Trump actually win?
Experts have suggested that successfully pressuring Russia to end the war in Ukraine or Israel to stop its war in Gaza would make Mr Trump a viable candidate.
In a major development overnight on Wednesday, Israel and Hamas signed off on the first phase of Donald Trump’s 20-point peace plan, and it was ratified by the Israeli government on Friday.
Mr Netanyahu said the breakthrough meant the remaining 48 hostages held by Hamas, 20 of whom are thought to still be alive, would be returned.
He added that the “great efforts of our great friend and ally President Trump” had helped them reach “this critical turning point”.
Image: Families of hostages and their supporters while chanting about Trump. Pic: AP
Nina Graeger, director of the Peace Research Institute Oslo, has suggested the overnight developments in Gaza have come too late for Mr Trump.
“It’s highly unlikely that the overnight developments in Gaza will influence the Nobel Committee’s decision tomorrow [Friday],” she told Sky News. “By this stage, the laureate will already have been chosen, and speeches prepared ahead of Friday’s announcement.
“However, if Donald Trump’s 20-point plan will lead to a lasting and sustainable peace in Gaza, the committee would almost certainly have to take that into serious consideration in next year’s deliberations.
“Of course, they would also need to weigh that achievement against the broader record of his efforts to promote peace – both within the US and internationally – in line with Alfred Nobel’s will.”
Why experts think Trump is wrong for the prize
Alfred Nobel’s will, the award’s foundation, says the award should go to the person “who has done the most or best to advance fellowship among nations”.
That is something Trump is not doing, according to Ms Graeger.
“That is not exactly what we think about when we think about a peaceful president or someone who really is interested in promoting peace.”
How do you win a Nobel Peace Prize?
Anyone can be nominated for the prize, but its website cautions that with “no vetting of nominations”, “to simply be nominated is therefore not an official endorsement or honour and may not be used to imply affiliation with the Nobel Peace Prize or its related institutions.”
Only people who meet certain criteria can nominate someone, including heads of state, members of government, former Nobel winners, and university professors.
The Nobel committee, a panel of five experts appointed by the Norwegian Storting (supreme legislative body), shortlists candidates, which are then further scrutinised by external consultants. These include permanent advisers to the committee, Norwegian and international experts in the field.
Once this information is shared with the committee, the final decision is made and the winner announced each October.
In 2025, there were 338 candidates, including 244 individuals and 94 organisations.
During his second term, Mr Trump has also proposed measures that critics argue will hamper education and scientific research – two areas that are considered pillars of the Nobel Prize.
They include slashing the budget for the National Institutes of Health, the world’s largest funder of biomedical research, and plans to dismantle the Department of Education to shrink the federal government’s role in education in favour of more control by the states.
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Ylva Engstrom, vice president of the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences, which awards three of the six Nobel prizes – for chemistry, physics and economics – says she believes Mr Trump’s changes are reckless and could have “devastating effects”.
“Academic freedom… is one of the pillars of the democratic system,” she says.
The Trump administration denies stifling academic freedom, arguing its measures will cut waste and promote scientific innovation.
Critics of Mr Trump also point to his controversial US Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) agency, through which the president has been sending troops to a string of Democratic-led cities to enforce his immigration laws.
Even as the Gaza ceasefire was set to come into effect on Thursday, the president’s deployment of 300 National Guard troops to Chicago was leading to protests in the city centre.
The US military has also carried out at least four strikes on boats in recent weeks that the White House said belonged to cartels, including three it said originated from Venezuela.
The Trump administration said 21 people were killed in the strikes – but it has has yet to provide underlying evidence to lawmakers proving that the boats were carrying drugs.
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1:05
Nobel Peace Prize nomination ‘sort of a big thing’
Asle Toje, the deputy leader of the present Norwegian Nobel Committee, has suggested Mr Trump’s lobbying campaign for the prize may have had an opposing effect on his chances of winning.
“These types of influence campaigns have a rather more negative effect than a positive one, he says. “Because we talk about it on the committee. Some candidates push for it really hard and we do not like it.
“We are used to working in a locked room without being attempted to be influenced. It is hard enough as it is to reach an agreement among ourselves, without having more people trying to influence us.”
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Trump told DRC’s president could nominate him for the prize in June
Who could win the prize?
The prize committee said there are 338 candidates nominated this year, of which 244 are individuals and 94 are organisations.
That’s up from last year, when there were 286 candidates.
Which American presidents have won the Nobel Peace Prize?
Four US presidents have won it in the past:
• Theodore Roosevelt (1906) – for negotiating peace in the Russo-Japanese war in 1904-05.
• Woodrow Wilson (1919) – for his role as founder of the League of Nations.
• Jimmy Carter (2002) – for undertaking peace negotiations, campaigning for human rights, and working for social welfare.
• Barack Obama (2009) – for extraordinary efforts to strengthen international diplomacy and cooperation between peoples.
All of the presidents won the award while in office, except for Mr Carter – though the Nobel Committee said he should have won it in 1978, while president, for successfully mediating a peace agreement between Egypt and Israel.
Humanitarian organisations like Sudan’s Emergency Response Rooms and Doctors Without Borders also have high odds.
The committee could give the award to UN institutions such as the International Court of Justice, or the UN as a whole, which is marking its 80th anniversary this year.
It could also reward the Committee to Protect Journalists or Reporters Without Borders, to mark a year in which more media workers than ever before were killed, predominantly in Gaza.
It could go to local mediators negotiating ceasefires and access to aid in conflicts, such as peace committees in the Central African Republic, the West Africa Network for Peacebuilding or the Elders and Mediation Committee in El Fasher, Darfur.