EV maker Rivian is reporting what’s expected to be a big Q3 earnings report on Tuesday after the market close. The report comes as Rivian has continued to improve its per-vehicle losses as it ramps production.
Deliveries continue growing in the third quarter
Rivian crushed expectations, delivering 15,564 vehicles in the third quarter, up 24% from Q2 and more than doubling last year’s figures. The EV maker built 16,304 EVs in Q3, 17% more than the previous quarter.
As Rivian better leverages its Normal, Illinois facility, the cost to build each vehicle has fallen significantly.
Rivian lost $32,595 on each vehicle made in the second quarter. Although this is still a high number, it’s down over 50% from the first quarter’s loss of $67,329.
The improvements are even more drastic compared to last year’s $139,277 loss per vehicle in Q3.
Q3 ’22
Q4 ’22
Q1 ’23
Q2 ’23
Rivian loss per vehicle
$139,277
$124,162
$67,329
$32,594
Rivian loss per vehicle quarterly
Investors will watch this number closely on Tuesday as Rivian reports its Q3 earnings. Scaringe previously said he expects Rivian to reach break-even on each EV built by next year.
Profitability comes into focus
Reaffirming this target, Rivian’s CEO RJ Scaringe told CNBC the company is seeing significant progress quarter-over-quarter.
Scaringe said, “What we’re going to see is a very clear staircase or set of steps that get us to profitability as a business.”
Rivian R1S (Source: Rivian)
Although scaling production has improved vehicle margins, Rivian has also introduced other cost-cutting measures. The EV maker confirmed it’s on track to reach its goal of building 52,000 vehicles this year.
Scaringe also mentioned that he does not see customer overlap with Tesla’s Cybertruck and the Rivian R1T.
Rivian has been among the few EV makers to avoid drastic price cuts. Market leader Tesla has slashed prices all year to boost demand. Tesla’s prices are down about 25% YOY.
Rivian Q3 earnings financial preview
Investors got a scare after Rivian revealed plans to issue $1.5 billion in convertible debt last month. The news came days after Scaringe said the company was “very comfortable” with the company’s “strong balance sheet.”
Rivian R1T (Source: Rivian)
Scaringe eased investors’ minds, telling Reuters that the offering was designed to free up funds as it enters a new growth phase. It’s intended to create an additional buffer rather than reflect cash concerns, according to Scaringe.
Rivian had around $9.2 billion in cash at the end of June. The EV maker’s preliminary Q3 earnings suggest between $1.29 billion and $1.33 billion in revenue, aligning with Wall St estimates of $1.3 billion.
The EV maker posted a net loss of $1.12 billion in Q2, compared to $1.7 billion last year and $1.4 billion in Q1.
After the progress, Rivian improved its adjusted EBITDA guidance to ($4.2 billion) while lowering CapEx to $1.7 billion.
Rivian stock chart over the past 12 months (Source: Rivian)
Rivian’s stock is down 45% over the past 12 months despite a hot streak following strong Q2 results.
Electrek’s Take
Several automakers, including Ford and GM, recently delayed EV targets, with widening losses on electric models.
However, others, including Hyundai and Kia, expect the momentum to continue with electric cars. Can Rivian keep the growth up? We will see Tuesday after the market closes. Check back for final details.
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On today’s fleet-focused episode of Quick Charge, we talk about a hot topic in today’s trucking industry called, “the messy middle,” explore some of the ways legacy truck brands are working to reduce fuel consumption and increase freight efficiency. PLUS: we’ve got ReVolt Motors’ CEO and founder Gus Gardner on-hand to tell us why he thinks his solution is better.
You know, for some people.
We’ve also got a look at the Kenworth Supertruck 2 concept truck, revisit the Revoy hybrid tandem trailer, and even plug a great article by CCJ’s Jeff Seger, who is asking some great questions over there. All this and more – enjoy!
New episodes of Quick Charge are recorded, usually, Monday through Thursday (and sometimes Sunday). We’ll be posting bonus audio content from time to time as well, so be sure to follow and subscribe so you don’t miss a minute of Electrek’s high-voltage daily news.
Got news? Let us know! Drop us a line at tips@electrek.co. You can also rate us on Apple Podcasts and Spotify, or recommend us in Overcast to help more people discover the show.
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Thanks to Trump’s repeated executive order attacks on US clean energy policy, nearly $8 billion in investments and 16 new large-scale factories and other projects were cancelled, closed, or downsized in Q1 2025.
The $7.9 billion in investments withdrawn since January are more than three times the total investments cancelled over the previous 30 months, according to nonpartisan policy group E2’s latest Clean Economy Works monthly update.
However, companies continue to invest in the US renewable sector. Businesses in March announced 10 projects worth more than $1.6 billion for new solar, EV, and grid and transmission equipment factories across six states. That includes Tesla’s plan to invest $200 million in a battery factory near Houston that’s expected to create at least 1,500 new jobs. Combined, the projects are expected to create at least 5,000 new permanent jobs if completed.
Michael Timberlake of E2 said, “Clean energy companies still want to invest in America, but uncertainty over Trump administration policies and the future of critical clean energy tax credits are taking a clear toll. If this self-inflicted and unnecessary market uncertainty continues, we’ll almost certainly see more projects paused, more construction halted, and more job opportunities disappear.”
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March’s 10 new projects bring the overall number of major clean energy projects tracked by E2 to 390 across 42 states and Puerto Rico. Companies have said they plan to invest more than $133 billion in these projects and hire 122,000 permanent workers.
Since Congress passed federal clean energy tax credits in August 2022, 34 clean energy projects have been cancelled, downsized, or shut down altogether, wiping out more than 15,000 jobs and scrapping $10 billion in planned investment, according to E2 and Atlas Public Policy.
However, in just the first three months of 2025, after Trump started rolling back clean energy policies, 13 projects were scrapped or scaled back, totaling more than $5 billion. That includes Bosch pulling the plug on its $200 million hydrogen fuel cell plant in South Carolina and Freyr Battery canceling its $2.5 billion battery factory in Georgia.
Republican-led districts have reaped the biggest rewards from Biden’s clean energy tax credits, but they’re also taking the biggest hits under Trump. So far, more than $6 billion in projects and over 10,000 jobs have been wiped out in GOP districts alone.
And the stakes are high. Through March, Republican districts have claimed 62% of all clean energy project announcements, 71% of the jobs, and a staggering 83% of the total investment.
A full map and list of announcements can be seen on E2’s website here. E2 says it will incorporate cancellation data in the coming weeks.
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Tesla has reportedly delayed the launch of its new “affordable EV,” which is believed to be a stripped-down Model Y, in the United States.
Last year, Tesla CEO Elon Musk made a pivotal decision that altered the automaker’s direction for the next few years.
The CEO canceled Tesla’s plan to build a cheaper new “$25,000 vehicle” on its next-generation “unboxed” vehicle platform to focus solely on the Robotaxi, utilizing the latest technology, and instead, Tesla plans to build more affordable EVs, though more expensive than previously announced, on its existing Model Y platform.
Musk has believed that Tesla is on the verge of solving self-driving technology for the last few years, and because of that, he believes that a $25,000 EV wouldn’t make sense, as self-driving ride-hailing fleets would take over the lower end of the car market.
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However, he has been consistently wrong about Tesla solving self-driving, which he first said would happen in 2019.
In the meantime, Tesla’s sales have been decreasing and the automaker had to throttle down production at all its manufacturing facilities.
That’s why, instead of building new, more affordable EVs on new production lines, Musk decided to greenlight new vehicles built on the same production lines as Model 3 and Model Y – increasing the utilization rate of its existing manufacturing lines.
Those vehicles have been described as “stripped-down Model Ys” with fewer features and cheaper materials, which Tesla said would launch in “the first half of 2025.”
Reuters is now reporting that Tesla is seeing a delay of “at least months” in launching the first new “lower-cost Model Y” in the US:
Tesla has promised affordable vehicles beginning in the first half of the year, offering a potential boost to flagging sales. Global production of the lower-cost Model Y, internally codenamed E41, is expected to begin in the United States, the sources said, but it would be at least months later than Tesla’s public plan, they added, offering a range of revised targets from the third quarter to early next year.
Along with the delay, the report also claims that Tesla aims to produce 250,000 units of the new model in the US by 2026. This would match Tesla’s currently reduced production capacity at Gigafactory Texas and Fremont factory.
The report follows other recent reports coming from China that also claimed Tesla’s new “affordable EVs” are “stripped-down Model Ys.”
The Chinese report references the new version of the Model 3 that Tesla launched in Mexico last year. It’s a regular Model 3, but Tesla removed some features, like the second-row screen, ambient lighting strip, and it uses fabric interior material rather than Tesla’s usual vegan leather.
The new Reuters report also said that Tesla planned to follow the stripped-down Model Y with a similar Model 3.
In China, the new vehicle was expected to come in the second half of 2025, and Tesla was waiting to see the impact of the updated Model Y, which launched earlier this year.
Electrek’s Take
These reports lend weight to what we have been saying for a year now: Tesla’s “more affordable EVs” will essentially be stripped-down versions of the Model Y and Model 3.
While they will enable Tesla to utilize its currently underutilized factories more efficiently, they will also cannibalize its existing Model 3 and Y lineup and significantly reduce its already dwindling gross margins.
I think Musk will sell the move as being good in the long term because it will allow Tesla to deploy more vehicles, which will later generate more revenue through the purchase of the “Full Self-Driving” (FSD) package.
However, that has been his argument for years, and it has yet to pan out as FSD still requires driver supervision and likely will for years to come, resulting in an extremely low take-rate for the $8,000 package.
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